Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

October 23, 2018


International Trade

Mexico prosecutors find fraud in Venezuela food aid program

Mexican Prosecutors say that people linked to the Venezuelan government and Mexican companies conspired to overcharge Venezuela for basic food aid packages. Known as "CLAP" packages, the food is supposedly subsidized by Venezuela's socialist administration to provide a bare level of subsistence to many families facing hunger amid the country's hyperinflation and economic breakdown. But Mexican prosecutors said an investigation found that the Venezuelan officials and Mexican businessmen bought poor quality items in bulk and exported them to Venezuela at more than double their real price. Mexico's top organized crime prosecutor, Israel Lira, said the suspects have agreed to pay US$ 3 million in reparations to the U.N. refugee agency, to be used for its Latin America operations. The agency is focused overwhelmingly now on helping Colombia resettle hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans fleeing the humanitarian crisis. Lira said prosecutors located 1,300 shipping containers with 1.8 million packages but allowed them to continue to Venezuela to avoid affecting recipients. U.S. Treasury Department officials previously compiled a list of suspected shell companies that they believe senior Venezuelan officials have used around the globe to siphon off millions of dollars from food import contracts. Financial forensic investigators from the U.S. and three Latin American allies — Mexico, Panama and Colombia — traced transactions by companies believed to be controlled by a government-connected businessman. Much of the food comes from Mexico, and there have been complaints about its quality. On May 17, three days before Maduro was re-elected, Colombia announced the seizure of 15 shipping containers filled with more than 25,000 CLAP boxes containing beetle-infested rice and other spoiled food. A story published by The Associated Press in 2016 revealed how senior Venezuelan officials and members of the military were enriching themselves by diverting money from food contracts. Alex Saab, from the Colombian city of Barranquilla, has been identified by U.S. officials as a major focus of the investigation. Saab gained some prominence in 2011 after signing an agreement to build social housing for the Venezuelan government on behalf of a Colombia-based construction company. Investigators have said Saab entered the food business through a Hong Kong-based company, Group Grand Ltd., which they said bears the hallmarks of a shell company, including no known track record in the food business, a rudimentary website that is now inaccessible and an address in Caracas shared with Saab's construction company. Group Grand has been awarded contracts to provide at least 11.5 million CLAP boxes, according to a Venezuelan Food Ministry spreadsheet. Among the transactions that have raised red flags is a September 2017 invoice presented to Venezuela's food ministry by Group Grand for US$ 41 million worth of powdered milk at a price of US$ 6,950 per metric ton, or more than double the market price at the time. A copy of the invoice was provided to the AP. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article220266500.html)

 

Oil & Energy

Caracas to divert oil shipments away from Beijing

Venezuelan state-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) may begin cutting shipments to China that are used to pay for previous loans in favor of prioritizing shipments to the United States or India, which pay in cash. PDVSA will not receive any further Chinese loans to raise production from joint ventures if the company defaults further on Beijing's loans. Redirecting oil shipments would be a short-term strategy to free up more cash for pressing necessities such as debt and arbitration payments. (Stratfor: https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/china-venezuela-caracas-divert-oil-shipments-away-beijing)

 

Blackouts force Venezuelans to live and work — even perform surgery — in darkness

Blackouts in Zulia state, an area of northwestern Venezuela that includes the country’s second-largest city of Maracaibo, have become commonplace in the last year. Food and medicine were already increasingly scarce in Venezuela, but the power cuts that come without warning — sometimes more than once a day — are a new form of misery. And though some widespread outages have reached the capital of Caracas, Zulia — the heart of Venezuela’s energy industry — has turned out to be particularly vulnerable to the rolling blackouts. The government has blamed the outages on a variety of things — including pesky animals. In an Oct. 20 tweet, Energy Minister Luis Motta Dominguez named “rats, mice, snakes, cats, squirrels” as possible culprits in shorting out lines. He added: “In the list of animals mentioned above, of course iguanas are included.” Critics, however, say insufficient investment by the government is the cause, following the 2007 nationalization of the electricity sector. Zulia has experienced 11,131 power failures between January and September this year, according to a civil association called the Blackouts Committee, which receives daily reports of power cuts from citizens. Public transportation, already diminished by the economic crisis, becomes even more dysfunctional when the power flickers and goes out. Communications work erratically. People’s routines are on hold. Lines of cars are two blocks long at gas stations. Commerce and education are paralyzed. Omar Prieto, Zulia’s governor and a support of President Nicolás Maduro, declared in early October that the electric crisis in Zulia was over. But then a massive power failure in a substation in Carabobo left 11 Venezuelan states, Zulia included, without electricity for 12 to 18 hours on Oct. 15. José Aguilar, a Venezuelan power generation and risk consultant, says the power system has been in trouble since 2009, prompting the late President Hugo Chávez to announce new investment and more emphasis on the power system. He said that more than 80% of power generation in Zulia isn’t working due to lack of maintenance and corruption. “The government is overloading power lines, old equipment, and generation and distribution substations,” he said. And he thinks the crisis is far from over in Zulia and especially Maracaibo, once known for being the third Latin American city to have regular electricity in its streets. He thinks Zulia will experience more blackouts between January and February next year, when the general power demand traditionally grows. One of the most affected districts in Zulia is Guajira, a town next to the Colombian border whose population is mostly indigenous. Recently, the residents have been living without electricity for two or three days at a time until the service comes back up, usually for only four uninterrupted hours. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/latest-news/article220464510.html)

 

Commodities

RUSORO Mining has received a settlement proposal from Venezuela

RUSORO Mining Ltd. announces that it has agreed on the terms of a settlement proposal with Venezuela by which Venezuela agrees to pay RUSORO over US$ 1.28 billion to acquire the Company's mining data and for full release of the arbitral award issued in favor of the Company in August 2016 by a tribunal constituted pursuant to the Additional Facility of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes. In addition, it is contemplated that the parties will constitute a Mixed Commission to assess the status of RUSORO's Choco 10 and San Rafael - El Placer former projects and based on such assessments may by the end of January 2019 partner to exploit those projects. RUSORO expects to sign the formal settlement agreement shortly after completion of the schedules to the Settlement Agreement. (RUSORO: www.rusoro.com)

 

Economy & Finance

FEMSA to lay off 2,000 Venezuela workers amid crisis: union

COCA COLA FEMSA is preparing to lay off 2,000 of the 4,800 total workers at its Venezuela soft drink operations due to falling demand in the crisis-stricken country, a union leader said, while the company acknowledged it was “revising” output. The move makes FEMSA, one of the largest soft drink bottlers in the world, the latest multinational to downsize in this country. “The company has said that it needs to reduce headcount and suspend some benefits,” said Daniel Montilla, secretary of the union representing workers at the FEMSA plant in the industrial city of Valencia, where Femsa plans to lay off 300 workers. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-femsa/femsa-to-lay-off-2000-venezuela-workers-amid-crisis-union-idUSKCN1MW2G9)

 

Out of cardboard, another COLGATE plant shuts down in Venezuela

COLGATE-PALMOLIVE plant in Valencia, Venezuela, stopped operating this week due to a shortage of cardboard needed for packaging, said Carlos Rodriguez, an employee union leader. The plant, which produced liquid detergent, fabric softener and dishwasher soap, required cardboard to transport company products to stores, supermarkets and pharmacies. The shortage worsened after the government took over control of paper and packaging manufacturer SMURFIT KAPPA’s Venezuelan operations there earlier this year. This is the second out of five production plants to close in the country, Rodriguez said. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-18/out-of-cardboard-another-colgate-plant-shuts-down-in-venezuela)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Pompeo: Venezuela's Maduro has to go

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says Socialist Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro must go and is urging the people of Venezuela to "restore democracy to the country" during an interview with Greta Van Susteren. "We are searching for a solution which will deliver democracy to Venezuela. It's the Maduro regime that has inflicted this set of horrible living conditions on the people of Venezuela and it will ultimately be on the people of Venezuela to fix it," Pompeo said. On whether the U.S. would issue additional sanctions, Pompeo said he was "confident we can find other places where we think we can exert pressure in a way that will convince Maduro that this isn’t going to work, he’s not going to be able to retain power forever." (Newsmax: https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/mikepompeo-maduro-venezuela/2018/10/21/id/887293/)

 

Mike Pence: Honduran President told me Venezuela funding migrant caravan

Vice President Mike Pence on Tuesday said Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández told him that the migrant caravan marching toward the U.S.-Mexico border is “financed by Venezuela.” Pence made the allegation while defending President Donald Trump’s assertion that Middle Easterners make up a part of the 7,000-strong. The Vice President then revealed that Hernández told him that “leftist groups” from the Central American country organized the caravan, “financed by Venezuela” to “challenge our sovereignty, challenge our border.” (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/10/23/mike-pence-honduran-president-told-me-venezuela-funding-migrant-caravan/)

 

Venezuela declares its military ‘fully prepared’ for war with U.S.

Venezuelan soldiers march during a military ceremony to honor President Nicolas Maduro on May

Senior Venezuelan socialist official Diosdado Cabello has claimed his country is “fully prepared” for a war with the United States. Cabello, the leader of the regime’s illegal lawmaking body and a close ally of dictator Nicolás Maduro, claimed that the country’s Bolivarian National Armed Forces would remain loyal to Hugo Chávez’s socialist revolution should the U.S. or any other power try to topple the regime. There is little evidence to support Cabello’s claims. Instead, countless reports detail the growing disaffection and dropout rates among troops, many whose salaries fail to cover basic living resources such as food and medicine. Some soldiers have tried to launch low-level coups and rebellions, although such efforts have so far proved unsuccessful. Cabello’s comments come amid growing international pressure for more action to be taken against the Maduro regime, currently presiding over the worst economic crisis in the country’s history. Cabello’s warning is unlikely to instill fear among leaders in Washington. Trump previously mocked the Venezuelan military for their seemingly cowardly response to a failed assassination attempt on Maduro. (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/latin-america/2018/10/22/venezuela-declares-military-fully-prepared-war-u-s/)

 

Ecuador breaks diplomatic relations with Venezuela

Ecuador has broken formal relations with Venezuela after that country’s communication minister called President Lenin Moreno a “liar.” On Thursday, Ecuador expelled Venezuela’s ambassador. The action followed comments by Jorge Rodríguez, Venezuela’s communication minister, who said that Moreno’s claim that 6,000 Venezuelans a day were entering Ecuador was false. Moreno Tweeted the number in August, at the height of the influx of Venezuelan refugees into Ecuador. In its official statement on the break in relations, Ecuador’s foreign affairs ministry said, “The Republic of Ecuador will not tolerate such disrespect for its authorities.” The statement continued: “Faithful to its democratic and humanitarian principles, Ecuador will continue to provide assistance to Venezuelan citizens entering the country, assisting through economic and social efforts to protect their human rights.” Ecuador secretary of communication was more direct in his response to Rodriguez. “His statements show that this corrupt socialism, murderer and liar of the 21st century, still lives in Venezuela.” In response to the expulsion of its ambassador, Venezuela ordered Ecuador’s chargé d’affaires to leave Caracas. (St. Lucia Times: https://stluciatimes.com/2018/10/22/ecuador-breaks-diplomatic-relations-with-venezuela/)

 

OAS chief urges ICC to open formal probe into Venezuela crimes

Luis Almagro, Secretary General of the Organization of American States, spoke to FRANCE 24 about the current issues facing the Americas, from the caravan of Central American migrants heading to the US to the crisis in Venezuela and the situation in Nicaragua. Almagro called for the ICC to open a formal investigation into alleged crimes against humanity committed in Venezuela. (France24: https://www.france24.com/en/20181023-interview-luis-almagro-oas-americas-migrants-caravan-us-venezuela-icc-probe-nicaragua)

 

How Venezuela complicates peace talks in Colombia

After 52 years of conflict, Colombia’s government and the leftist guerrillas of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) signed a peace deal in 2016. But not all the country’s guerrilla groups demobilized. The National Liberation Army (ELN) remains a formidable presence. It began peace talks with the government of Juan Manuel Santos in 2017 but failed to reach a deal before Iván Duque, a conservative, became president in 2018. President Duque, who had criticized the agreement with the FARC as too lenient, is adopting a tougher stance towards the ELN. He refuses to renew negotiations until the ELN has freed all hostages. And he has also raised an objection to Venezuela’s role as one of five guarantors of the talks, claiming it is a “protector of armed groups”. The ELN’s links with Venezuela date from the 1980s. Its standing in Venezuela improved in the late 1990s with the rise to power of Hugo Chávez, who regarded it as an ideological ally. Venezuela has been a haven ever since, a place where the ELN gathers to plan attacks on Colombia, and where in recent times it has started recruiting new members. Its activity within Venezuela often seems to be ignored—even endorsed—by the authorities. As Nicolás Maduro, Chávez’s successor, turns Venezuela into a mafia state in which drug-traffickers run rife, the ELN is rumored to be colluding with the Cartel of the Suns, a drugs gang, in establishing trafficking routes through the country. If the ELN should demobilize, its role in cross-border drug-trafficking is likely to weaken. In such circumstances, it is not surprising that Colombia should call into question Venezuela’s role as an honest arbiter of the peace talks. For the ELN, the price of a peace deal with President Duque’s government is likely to be the severing of its ties to the Venezuelan dictatorship. It has not yet shown itself to be willing to break that link. (The Economist: https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2018/10/22/how-venezuela-complicates-peace-talks-in-colombia)

 

U.N. special envoy Jolie voices support for Venezuelan refugees

U.N. refugee agency special envoy Angelina Jolie voiced support on Tuesday for Venezuelans forced to leave their crisis-stricken homeland and thanked the South American countries hosting them. Hollywood actress Jolie met with Venezuelan refugees in Lima, Peru this week to draw attention to their plight. “After having spoken to so many people it’s clear to me, very clear, that this is not a movement by choice,” Jolie told reporters in a presentation with Peru’s foreign minister. “I heard stories of people dying because of a lack of medical care and medicine... people starving, and tragic accounts of violence and persecution,” she said. Jolie’s visit comes amid a backlash against Venezuelans in some South American countries where they have settled. Jolie met with Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra and said they discussed ways the international community can help host countries like Peru accommodate Venezuelans. “As in nearly every displacement crisis, the countries that have fewer resources are being asked to do the most,” Jolie said, thanking Peru and other “very generous” countries like Ecuador and Colombia for hosting displaced Venezuelans. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-peru-jolie/u-n-special-envoy-jolie-voices-support-for-venezuelan-refugees-idUSKCN1MX2LP)

 

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia more than triple in 2018

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia rose more than threefold in the first nine months of the year compared with the same period in 2017, as more desperate migrants flooded across the border to escape an economic crisis back home, a report released on Monday showed. Between January and September there were 310 violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia, 244.4% more than the 90 in the last year, the National Institute of Forensic Sciences said in a report. Of the total, 254 were men and 56 were women and 56% were murdered. Most of the violent deaths occurred in border regions such as the departments of Norte de Santander and La Guajira. Some died in car crashes or other accidents, and others committed suicide. Annual violent deaths in Colombia total about 25,000, according to the government. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-colombia/violent-deaths-of-venezuelans-in-colombia-more-than-triple-in-2018-idUSKCN1MW28H)

 

Two Venezuelans die attempting to reach Aruba by boat

Two Venezuelans attempting to reach the Caribbean island of Aruba died, authorities said over the weekend, highlighting the increasingly perilous routes migrants take to escape this nation's economic meltdown. Venezuelans routinely travel to the more prosperous Aruba in search of work or staple products that have become unavailable under the socialist government of President Nicolas Maduro. Those who are not allowed to enter Aruba often travel in rickety boats under the cover of darkness. Aruba's government said the pair were undocumented and that three Venezuelans had been detained in relation to the case. In a similar incident in January, four Venezuelans attempting to reach the Dutch Antilles island of Curacao died when their boat broke apart. (The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2018/10/21/world/americas/21reuters-venezuela-migration-aruba.html)

 

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country, according to the World Economic Forum's index

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country in the world, overtaken only by Yemen, a nation in civil war that, according to the United Nations, can suffer the most lethal famine of the last 100 years. The World Economic Forum (WEF) released its annual index of global corruption, as part of its report on international competitiveness, which ranks Venezuela 127th out of 140 countries surveyed. Venezuela appears in the group of the most conflictual countries of the planet, without its population being subjected to a war or a natural disaster, which makes of this country a particularly important case, because its situation is attributable its institutional situation and political conditions. Venezuela ranks last – 140 – in terms of institutional quality and macroeconomic stability. The country ranks below the top 100 Index countries as markets for quality goods and services (137); business dynamism (139); labor market situation (131); and quality of infrastructure (131). Venezuela ranks after the top 50 countries on issues such as capacity for innovation (95); health system (59); size of the market (56); ICT adoption capacity (97) and quality of the financial system (91). When the indicators presented by the World Economic Forum on Venezuela are examined in more detail, the country ranks last in the world in specific areas. like the quality of police services, the efficiency of the judicial system in the enforcement of regulations, property rights, the effectiveness of dispute resolution systems and the protection of property rights intellectual. Under aspects such as innovation and the application of technology, the country has significantly regressed. Consider an indicator as an example of a button: the assessment of mobile penetration has dropped 64 points in one year and a market representing more than 100% of the penetration of the service is 123rd in the world. Controls, skewed subsidies, the tax burden, and other factors make Venezuela's economy a complex case, but the worst of all is the poor quality of institutions, because it is a key element to correct other imbalances. (NAAJU: https://naaju.com/chile/venezuela-is-the-second-most-corrupt-country-according-to-the-world-economic-forums-index/)

 

Russians detained over 'Gucci' cocaine shipment from Venezuela

Three Russian citizens have been charged in Venezuela over a cocaine smuggling plot aboard a tanker headed to Belgium, local media reported, citing prosecutors. Venezuela’s National Guard reportedly seized 147 kilograms of cocaine in a raid on the Jose Progress tanker earlier this month. Twenty people were detained in connection to the plot, including Russian, Ukrainian, Filipino and Venezuelan nationals, according to media reports. Russian nationals were implicated in a cocaine-smuggling plot earlier this year after over 350 kilograms of cocaine were discovered on the grounds of the Russian Embassy in Argentina. Venezuela’s Justice Minister General Nestor Reverol posted a picture on his Twitter account earlier this month which appears to show that the seized cocaine had been hidden in bags labeled with famous fashion brands, including Gucci and Chanel. The ship, which is currently being held by local authorities, sailed under a Panamanian flag and was headed for the Belgian port of Ghent. (The Moscow Times: https://themoscowtimes.com/news/russians-detained-over-gucci-cocaine-shipment-from-venezuela-media-report-63260)

 

These Venezuelan musicians were struggling on the streets. Then their talent saved them.

The young men hunched over their violins, a piano and a traditional cuatro guitar in a quiet Peruvian suburb never imagined their hard-won musical training might be the secret to surviving so far from home. Brought up under Venezuela’s famed El Sistema classical musical education program, they dreamed of scholarships at conservatories, or being poached by international orchestras — like their colleague Gustavo Dudamel, the kinetic and charismatic director of the Los Angeles Philharmonic. Instead, they’ve joined the millions of Venezuelans fleeing hunger and political chaos. It’s a journey that has stymied their musical careers as they were entering their prime — but also reaffirmed how valuable the determination they developed in the free musical program is to survive in the hard-scrabble world of migrant life. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article220293305.html)

 

OP-ED: Whitewashing the record of Hugo Chávez, by Christian Alejandro Gonzalez

It is depressing but not altogether surprising that Hugo Chávez still retains some support in Western intellectual life. The ongoing destruction of Venezuelan society should have been enough to discredit his apologists, but unfortunately it has not been so. Did he have authoritarian tendencies? His military background left him with a firm belief in hierarchy. The longer he remained in power, the more entrenched he became, which is why term limits and checks and balances are essential to a healthy democracy. Term limits are indeed important elements of democratic societies — elements which in 2009 Chávez abolished. Dislodging incumbents is difficult enough in advanced democracies; it is even more difficult in countries with little institutional accountability, where the government can fund massive clientelist programs to shore up support whenever it needs to. As Chávez well knew, removing term limits would have allowed him to become president for life. Only his premature death from cancer at age 58 prevented him from taking full advantage of this institutional change.  It is hard to overstate the extent to which Chávez obliterated checks on presidential power during his tenure. Shortly after coming into office in 1998, Chávez began implementing steps to take control of PDVSA, the national oil company, which was then autonomously run. Apart from ruining PDVSA, these policies massively expanded the president’s power by giving him an endless source of funds to use for narrow political goals. Chávez expanded the political power of the presidency as well. He packed the Venezuelan supreme court, took over the CNE (the body that is supposed to oversee elections and ensure their fairness), undermined press freedom by shutting down the opposition’s television stations, politicized the military by promoting officers based on loyalty rather than competence, and through a long sequence of constitutional changes transferred most decision-making power from the legislature to the presidency. Nicolás Maduro’s autocracy, then, did not merely come into existence ex nihilo. Chávez bequeathed him an obsequious legislature, a loyal judiciary, and a personal oil company with which he (Maduro) could exert dictatorial power. Indeed, Maduro’s transgressions against liberal-democratic principles occur only under a specific institutional context that Chávez largely created. (National Review: https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/venezuela-hugo-chavez-new-york-times-whitewashes-history/)

Thursday, September 13, 2018

September 13, 2018



Oil & Energy

Venezuela's PDVSA to reopen damaged port dock by month's end

PDVSA expects to reopen the south dock of Venezuela’s main oil port Jose by the end of September, easing strains on crude exports delayed due to a tanker collision last month, according to internal trade documents from the state-run oil firm seen by Reuters. Last week, PDVSA began diverting tankers to Puerto la Cruz for loading, but the country’s crude exports have remained slow in recent weeks as few customers have accepted the 500,000-barrel-per-cargo maximum neighboring terminals can handle. Besides Puerto la Cruz, tankers waiting to load a total 2.65 million barrels of Venezuelan upgraded and diluted crudes also plan to be serviced this month by two monobuoys at Jose, including cargoes scheduled for U.S.-based CHEVRON Corp and Russia’s ROSNEFT, the documents showed. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-oil-ports/update-1-venezuelas-pdvsa-to-reopen-damaged-port-dock-by-months-end-documents-idUSL2N1VY11K)

 

IEA warns of higher oil prices as Iran, Venezuela losses deepen

The International Energy Agency warned that oil prices could break out above US$ 80 a barrel unless other producers act to offset deepening supply losses in Iran and Venezuela. Iranian crude exports have fallen significantly before U.S. sanctions even take effect, the IEA said in a monthly report. The Middle Eastern nation will face further pressure in coming months and the economic crisis in Venezuela is pushing output there to the lowest in decades. It’s uncertain whether Saudi Arabia and other producers will fill any shortfall, or how far they’re able to, the agency said. Oil climbed to a three-month high above US$ 80 a barrel in London on Wednesday as fears of a supply crunch eclipsed concern about the risks to demand such as the U.S.-China trade dispute. While the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia pledged to boost supply, the IEA said it remains to be seen how much will be delivered. Venezuela, which is pumping at just half the rate it managed in early 2016, could see its output slump another 19% to 1 million barrels a day this year as infrastructure deteriorates and workers flee, the agency predicted. (Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-13/iea-warns-of-higher-oil-prices-as-iran-venezuela-losses-deepen)

 

Commodities

Venezuela: where a crisis and a “gold rush” are creating an environmental disaster

El Callao has been a mining town since it was founded in 1853, but today its gold mines have become magnets that attract Venezuelans faced with economic hardships and in search of income. The same is true throughout the so-called “Mining Arc” of the Orinoco River basin. On 24 February 2016, continuing a project initiated by his predecessor, the late Hugo Chávez, Nicolás Maduro designated 12% of Venezuelan territory (111,843 km²) south of the Orinoco River as a “national strategic development zone.” In this subsoil, overflowing with gold as well as coltan, diamonds, bauxite and other metals, the government sees an opportunity to compensate for the decline of its oil production, the country’s primary source of wealth. In El Callao, however, government investment is nowhere to be seen. The mines and plantas (where the gold is extracted) belonging to national mining company MINERVEN are for the most part abandoned. Some have been taken over by artisanal and small-scale mining operations and are controlled by armed gangs. This is the case at the planta in Peru, not far from El Callao, where infrastructure is rusting, and buildings have fallen into ruins. The crisis and insecurity in the country have discouraged many companies. Minister of Ecological Mining Development Victor Cano tacitly admitted failure in March 2018, announcing that only “three mixed enterprises” were working in the Mining Arc, and that there would ultimately be only “70 strategic alliances.” The roughly 17 tons of gold that have been handed over to the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) since 2016 are in fact the result of work by small-scale miners who work independently and sell their output to the government via MINERVEN, which has effectively become a purchasing center. Though the government is currently conducting a census of the mining population, it is hard to quantify the scale of the rush taking place in the region. But its effects are evident. At the edge of the city of Guayana, 170 kilometers north of El Callao, roughly one hundred men with miner’s pans on their backs and picks in their hands wait for a car to take them to their destination. Many Venezuelans are flocking to the region to take advantage of the economic windfall by setting up small businesses. The influx of miners can be measured in terms of accelerated deforestation. Venezuelan biologist Gustavo Montes reports that between 2001 and 2015, an average of 19,258 hectares of forestland per year disappeared in the state of Bolivar where the Mining Arc is located. In 2016 alone, more than 34,000 hectares were deforested. Satellite images taken by the University of Maryland show that deforestation continued in 2017. Located in the Orinoco Mining Arc are protected areas, which include most of the Imataca Forest Reserve and part of the El Caura Forest Reserve. It also borders the Canaima National Park, a World Heritage Site. Draughts are thus becoming increasingly common and can slow down operations at the Guri dam, which supplies most of Venezuela’s electricity. The region’s local population, particularly its indigenous peoples, see the mines as a threat to their way of life. Deforestation and the massive amount of water used have led to a proliferation of mosquitos that spread malaria, a disease that, according to the capitán, affects “80% of the community.” The subsoil and waterways have also been polluted by the massive amounts of mercury used in the mills to extract gold from soil. But since the government doesn’t have the means to enforce the law and continues to buy gold with little concern, miners continue to use the process. After the soil and rock are crushed, a toxic muddy liquid is released through a pipe into a pond, which still has a gold content of over 60%. This mercury threatens the country’s largest freshwater reserves, such as the Caroni Basin. According to a study by the Central University of Venezuela (UCV) published in 2010, 74% of schools inspected in El Callao had above-average levels of mercury. Since then, the number of illegal mining operations and the amount of mercury used have continued to increase. The government is not alone in seeking economic benefit from the gold mined by artisanal miners: armed gangs also control vast territories. Miners operating in their territories must pay them part of their output as “rent” in order to ensure their “protection.” These gangs engage in violent turf wars, when not fighting the army itself. According to the watchdog group Observatorio Venezolana de Violencia (OVV), El Callao holds the national record for violent deaths with 816 victims for every 100,000 people in 2017. (Equal Times: https://www.equaltimes.org/venezuela-where-a-crisis-and-a?lang=en#.W5nVOehKhPY)

 

The cocaine ties that bind Colombia and Venezuela

Colombia and Venezuela share the problem of the illicit drug trade, but the ramifications of such trafficking could not be more different for the next-door neighbors. From the United States' point of view, Colombian criminality and Venezuelan authoritarianism are two looming foreign policy problems that are linked by the cocaine trade and that require vastly different solutions. In Colombia, a spike in rural violence is likely to occur in the coming years as criminal groups contest areas abandoned by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) in its peace deal. Over the border in Venezuela, government officials — some under investigation by U.S. authorities in cocaine-trafficking and money-laundering cases — will band together in the face of increasing internal threats to cling to power and preside over a political and economic meltdown that will continue to induce mass migration. In the end, Bogota might be well-placed to apply a steady hand to some of the problems stemming from drug trafficking — in stark contrast to its ailing neighbor. Colombia's criminal groups and Venezuelan political officials are connected to one another by the cocaine supply chain. Colombian groups produce coca and refine it into cocaine, and some Venezuelan elites profit from its transit through their country. Though government action has weakened Colombia's insurgents and other drug traffickers, the cocaine trade remains a key, illicit industry that will continue to affect both countries. Foreign business interests are at greatest risk of violence in the oil-producing regions along the Venezuelan border, as well as Meta. The Venezuelan crisis, which is indirectly connected to Colombia's militancy by the cocaine trade, is a more pressing issue for the region. Because of the common understanding among elites that abandoning power could result in their imprisonment in Venezuela or the United States, the government in Caracas has become increasingly obstinate about U.S. pressure. President Nicolas Maduro faces an investigation by U.S. authorities over alleged money laundering, while political ally Diosdado Cabello faces investigation for alleged cocaine trafficking. But even if internal dissent continues to rise amid the threat of far-heavier U.S. sanctions, the ruling party is likely to remain united. (Stratfor: https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/cocaine-ties-bind-colombia-and-venezuela)

 

Economy & Finance

Maduro travels to China in search of fresh funds

President Nicolas Maduro is traveling to China to discuss economic agreements, as the crisis-struck nation seeks to convince its key Asian financier to disburse fresh loans. “I am going with great expectations and we will see each other again in a few days with big achievements,” the leftist leader said on Wednesday in a state broadcast from the airport, without providing details. China’s Foreign Ministry, in a brief statement carried by the official Xinhua news agency, said Maduro would visit from Thursday until Saturday at the invitation of President Xi Jinping. It gave no other details. The trip to China is Maduro's first outside the country since he was allegedly targeted by exploding drones at a military parade in Caracas Aug. 4. Vice President Delcy Rodriguez is currently in China and on Wednesday met with Chinese Vice President Wang Qishan, the Chinese Foreign Ministry said in a brief statement late Wednesday. The two countries have long had friendly ties and cooperation has been “steadily progressing” in all fields, the ministry cited Wang as telling Rodriguez. Venezuela’s Finance Ministry in July said it would receive US$ 250 million from the China Development Bank to boost oil production but offered no details. Venezuela previously accepted a US$ 5 billion loan from China for its oil sector but has yet to receive the entire amount. Local consultant Asdrubal Oliveros, who tracks Chinese loans closely, said on Wednesday Venezuela was close to clinching a fresh loan of US$ 5 billion to finance oil projects. Beijing was waiting for Maduro to announce a series of economic measures, including a steep devaluation and more flexible currency controls, before extending fresh funds, Oliveros said. Over a decade, China plowed more than US$ 50 billion into Venezuela through oil-for-loan agreements that helped Beijing secure energy supplies for its fast-growing economy while bolstering an anti-Washington ally in Latin America. The flow of cash halted nearly three years ago, however, when Venezuela asked for a change of payment terms amid falling oil prices and declining crude output that pushed its state-led economy into a hyperinflationary collapse. Venezuela’s elected legislature has stated it will reject any new financing of the Maduro regime by China as it has not been informed of the terms it would be granted and the use of the funds. It said it would notify the Chinese embassy in Caracas of the risk they would be taking by bypassing the National Assembly’s authority under the Venezuelan Constitutional. Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-china/venezuelas-maduro-travels-to-china-in-search-of-fresh-funds-idUSKCN1LS2UL;  ABC News: https://news.abs-cbn.com/business/09/13/18/maduro-looks-to-china-to-bolster-venezuelas-collapsing-economy; US News: https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-09-12/venezuelas-maduro-travels-to-china-in-search-of-fresh-funds); and more in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/politica/alfonso-marquina-asegura-que-acuerdos-entre-china-y-venezuela-requieren-autorizacion-de-la-an)

 

Some Constituent Assembly members seek to woo private oil investment

An overhaul of Venezuela's constitution being prepared by the pro-government Constituent Assembly will likely include changes intended to attract private investment in the country's oil fields, according to two assembly members. The Constituent Assembly, whose powers supersede those of the country's Congress, would reword some articles of the constitution to reduce emphasis on state control of oil and ease the way for private investment, the assembly members said. The 1999 constitution says oil industry activity is "reserved" for the state, while the 2001 Hydrocarbons Law requires that exploration and production be carried out by state-majority joint ventures. The assembly members said the assembly would first make changes to constitutional language. That would be followed by legal reforms to give joint ventures more favorable operating conditions and encourage private investment in services companies. They said they will submit their proposals within a month to Constituent Assembly President Diosdado Cabello, a powerful Socialist Party politician who will decide the reforms to be discussed. Maduro would have to sign off on any changes. Foreign oil companies are continuing to be skeptical even in the face of significant legal reforms. (Channel News Asia: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/venezuela-constituent-assembly-seeks-to-woo-private-oil-investment-10710034)

 

National Assembly reports a 50% drop in GDP since Maduro became president

The opposition controlled National Assembly reports that the nation’s economy has been halved since President Nicolas Maduro took power in 2013. Congressman Ángel Alvaro, who heads the legislature’s Finance Committee, reports Venezuela’s GDP has dropped by 50.61% since 2013, a tremendous fall which is “reflected in the quality of life of all Venezuelans”. He added that in the first half of 2910 the nation’s economy dropped 25% from the year before. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/economia/economia-venezolana-cae-50-desde-que-maduro-es-presidente-dice-parlamento; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/20421/an-actividad-economica-cae-25-en-primer-semestre)

 

40% of all shops nationwide have shut down

María Carolina Uzcátegui, President of Venezuela’s National Trade Federation, reports that “not only have 40% of all shops shut down, but 25% have paralyzed purchasing due to a lack of cash flow”. She reports many shops have been shuttered and others are clearing all stock in order to close down permanently after the Maduro regime’s most recent economic measures. She says she believes the end is not yet in sight and small and medium business will continue to collapse due to the current situation. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/20420/uzcategui-cerraron-40-de-los-comercios-en-el-pais)

 

Politics and International Affairs
 

Venezuela: is a US-backed 'military option' to oust Maduro gaining favor?

When Donald Trump first floated the idea of a “military option” in Venezuela last year, he was widely rebuffed by regional leaders and policy experts. Even the US president’s closest aides were reportedly stunned by the suggestion of an invasion – which for many in Latin America evoked bitter memories of previous US forays in the region. Direct US intervention remains a fringe idea, but a small section of the Venezuelan opposition appears to be receptive to the possibility of a military coup to remove the country’s increasingly authoritarian president Nicolás Maduro. And while most prominent opposition politicians have avoided explicit calls for a coup, some now appear to believe that Maduro will not be removed at the ballot box. “There’s no democratic way out of this crisis,” said Julio Borges, an opposition politician now living in Colombia. “The army have a new enemy and it is Nicolas Maduro – they know he is taking the country down the worst path.” Florida senator Marco Rubio – who has reportedly helped frame much of Trump’s Latin America policy – wrote an op-ed in the Miami Herald in February calling for an uprising in Venezuela. Revelations about a new plot are red meat for the embattled president, said Omar Lares, a former opposition mayor who fled to Colombia a year ago. “The way I see it was that these reports [about a US conspiracy] are a huge, stupid favor to Maduro,” he said. (The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/12/venezuela-trump-nicolas-maduro-military-option)

 

Pro-regime supporters march in support of Maduro

Hundreds of Venezuelan government supporters took to the streets on Monday protesting what they describe as US imperialism. Demonstrators made their way downtown, where they listened to speeches by several leaders of the movement launched by the late Hugo Chavez, Maduro’s predecessor and political mentor. PSUV’s Pedro Carreño told reporters, referring to the United States. “We are telling the empire, the enemies of the motherland and the domestic and international reactionary right, that the people are not willing to be the victim of more threats and persecution.” The speaker of the PSUV-controlled National Constituent Assembly, Diosdado Cabello, encouraged the public to “prepare to defend the motherland” from a possible armed attack. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2464972&CategoryId=10717)

 

Colombia calls for help to face Venezuela migrant surge

Colombia lacks the capacity to face by itself a deluge of Venezuelan migrants fleeing their crisis-afflicted country, says Bogota’s top diplomat. Foreign Minister Carlos Holmes Trujillo called instead for an international response. More than 1.6 million Venezuelans have left their homeland since 2015 — most of them for Colombia — when economic troubles worsened, according to the United Nations. Colombia “cannot deal with this situation alone,” Holmes said. “We have made important efforts lately and they are going to continue but the extent of the crisis is such that we do not have sufficient capacity to respond” to the migrant flow without support, Trujillo told Caracol Radio. Among the measures which Colombia’s government seeks are: creation of a multilateral emergency fund and naming of a high-level United Nations official to coordinate the actions of Latin American countries. (Malay Mail: https://www.malaymail.com/s/1671664/colombia-calls-for-help-to-face-venezuela-migrant-surge)

 

Almagro meets with Colombia’s President Iván Duque about Venezuelan migrant crisis

OAS Secretary General Luis Almagro has arrived in Colombia along with a technical mission, to visit states bordering with Venezuela and analyze the migrant crisis, to later present a report and propose means for cooperation. He will first meet in Cartagena with President Iván Duque and Foreign Minister Carlos Holmes; and later visit Cúcuta, on the Venezuelan border. More in Soanish (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/internacional/20437/almagro-se-reune-este-jueves-con-ivan-duque-para-analizar-ola-migratoria-venezolana#; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/latinoamerica/colombia-pide-onu-funcionario-para-atender-exodo-venezolanos_251534)

 

Venezuela will request compensation for past assistance to Colombian migrants

President Nicolás Maduro has announced that Colombia will be sued to compensate the nation for the attention given to the more than five million Colombians who fled the armed conflict and the drug trafficking suffered by the nation of Nueva Granada for more than 50 years. "There is an idea that I have approved of placing an international demand to request compensation from the Colombian government for the 5,600,000 Colombians who are here. The compensation for each Colombian” he said. "We will use all international legal channels to compensate Venezuela for all Colombians who have received care, work, health, education”. (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-will-request-compensation-assistance-colombian-migrants)

 

Venezuela´s legislature calls on Bachelet to visit and witness the humanitarian crisis here

José Trujillo, Chairman of the Social Development Committee in Venezuela’s opposition dominated National Assembly, has on behalf of the legislature invited Michelle Bachelet, the new UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, to visit Venezuela and witness the humanitarian crisis here. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/20417/an-invita-a-bachelet-constatar-crisis-humanitaria-en-venezuela)

 

Brazilian Defense Minister says his Venezuelan counterpart requested humanitarian aid

Joaquim Silva e Luna, Brazil’s Defense Minister, reports that during his recent meeting in Puerto Ordaz (Bolivar state) with his Venezuelan counterpart, General Vladimir Padrino López, he received assurances that Venezuela will not cut energy supply to the neighboring Brazilian state of Roraima, as well as a request for humanitarian aid due to the crisis here in Venezuela. The meeting -held at the request of Brazilian President Michal Temer, was over alleged Venezuelan threats of cutting energy supply to Roraima over a substantial debt by Brazilian state energy company ELETROBRAS. Roraima is the only Brazilian state not connected to the national grid. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/latinoamerica/ministro-brasileno-padrino-lopez-admite-que-venezolanos-emigran-por-hambre_251561; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/20415/venezuela-mantendra-suministro-electrico-a-brasil)

 

Pope confirms ‘closeness’ to Venezuela amid political, economic meltdown

As Venezuela continues to struggle with a deep political crisis, Pope Francis met the country’s bishops Tuesday for a wide-ranging conversation that also touched on immigration, vocations and the environment, although details of the private exchange were not released.  Forty-six Venezuelan bishops met the pope for their “ad limina” visit to the Vatican, a trip made by prelates around the world every five years to meet the pope and get to know the various Vatican departments. While no mention was made at the press conference about Francis’s thoughts on the Venezuelan political situation, the pontiff has made clear his closeness to its impoverished people. The Argentinian pope recently appointed Archbishop Edgar Peña Parra from Venezuela to the powerful position of sostituto, or “substitute”, at the Vatican’s Secretariat of State, making him effectively the pope’s Chief of Staff. This move, along with the fact that the current Secretary of State, Italian Cardinal Pietro Parolin, also served as papal envoy to Venezuela from 2009 to 2013, reflects the Vatican’s keen interest in the troubled nation. (Crux Now: https://cruxnow.com/church-in-the-americas/2018/09/12/pope-confirms-closeness-to-venezuela-amid-political-economic-meltdown/)

 

Venezuela is the only South American country where hunger is increasing

Venezuela is the only country in South America, and one of only two in Latin America, where hunger is increasing, a new report from the United Nations has revealed. While fewer people go hungry throughout most of South America and the vast majority of Latin America, the impact of Venezuela’s ongoing crisis has had such a severe impact that it has brought a notable increase to the region's overall percentage of severe food insecurity, El Pais reported. About 3.7 million Venezuelans were undernourished in 2017, approximately 12% of the population. The problem is particularly dire in Venezuela, where an estimated 2.3 million people have fled the country as of June, largely due to food insecurity, the U.N said according to Reuters. Additionally, lack of access to quality foods and economic woes has brought other dietary issues, such as obesity. With limited options, impoverished Venezuelans may often consume cheaper, energy-dense processed foods that are high in fat, salt and sugar. (Newsweek: https://www.newsweek.com/venezuela-only-south-american-country-hunger-increasing-1117995)

 

Venezuela’s crisis is so bad that people are abandoning their beloved pets

 If life in Venezuela has become hard for humans, it has become even harder for many pets. With inflation soaring toward 1 million percent, dog food and veterinary care have spiraled out of reach for millions of people. One kilo — or 2.2 pounds — of dog food, for instance, now costs nearly the equivalent of three weeks’ salary for a minimum-wage worker. The result, animal specialists say, has been an exploding population of abandoned dogs on the streets and rising numbers in underfunded shelters. Although there are no reliable national figures on the phenomenon, officials from eight shelters in the capital, Caracas, said they had seen a roughly 50% rise in the number of pets left at their facilities this year. At the same time, pet adoptions have a dropped by as much as a third, they said.  At the same time, donations to shelters have fallen drastically. For pets as well as people, the crisis here is likely to get worse. Some shelters are considering closing once they’re able to place all their dogs. “It’s a critical situation because we have to spend three times as much as we used to, to maintain each animal,” said Mariant Lameda, owner of the Network of Canine Support, which has 270 dogs. Only one has been adopted this year, compared to 13 last year, and more than 200 in 2015. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuelas-crisis-is-so-bad-that-people-are-abandoning-their-beloved-pets/2018/09/12/e7479252-abd3-11e8-9a7d-cd30504ff902_story.html)

 

 
 

Thursday, June 21, 2018

June 21, 2018


International Trade

Over 2,000 tons of food and medical supplies have arrived at Guanta port

2,382 tons of food, medical supplies and basic products were offloaded at the port of Guanta in Eastern Venezuela, in 270 containers aboard the CFS PALAMEDES, from Panama. Products include wheat flour, spaghetti, surgical gloves, medical kits among others. The shipment also included supplies and equipment for the petroleum industry. More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=41128)

 

Economy & Finance

Maduro regime deploys soldiers to markets to check prices

The Maduro regime has deployed soldiers to almost 100 food markets in efforts to counter an "economic war" it says is being waged against it. President Nicolás Maduro ordered the measure, arguing that sellers were charging over the odds for price-controlled items. Venezuela has the highest inflation in the world and there are severe shortages of basic food items. Many Venezuelans report going hungry as they struggle to feed themselves. Maduro blames international sanctions and "greedy businesspeople" for the shortages. His critics say it is his government's policies and those of his predecessor, Hugo Chávez, who ruined the country's economy. President Maduro says that "the take-over of the municipal markets has been a huge success …A great number of mafiosi, wholesalers, thieves and capitalists have been arrested," he said of the markets. "We found everything there, even prostitution." Members of the army and of the National Guard patrolled food stalls across the country. Armed guards were posted at the entrances of the markets. The minister for industry and production, Tarek El Aissami, said they had found "[price] speculation, hoarding and fraudulent price manipulation" at the markets. Aissami was recently named to the newly created post, which is part of President Maduro's plan for a "rebirth" of the Venezuelan economy. The new minister was placed under US sanctions last year after being declared a "Specially Designated Narcotics Trafficker" by the US Treasury. He dismissed the allegations as an "imperialist aggression".  (BBC News: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-44561089)

 

Maduro boosts minimum wage as inflation soars

Venezuela’s president says he is again raising the minimum wage, though it still will be below the equivalent of US$ 2 a month as inflation soars in the crisis-stricken country. President Nicolas Maduro made the announcement Wednesday before a cheering crowd of workers. It is the fourth such increase this year. The boost brings the monthly pay most Venezuelan workers bring home to little more than 5 million bolivars. That is about US$ 1.85 on the commonly used black market exchange. Maduro last raised the minimum wage in April, shortly before officials declared him the winner of a contested presidential election earning him a second term. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuela-president-boosts-minimum-wage-as-inflation-soars/2018/06/20/c7c83b5c-74e7-11e8-bda1-18e53a448a14_story.html; Reuters: https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-venezuela-economy/inflation-hobbled-venezuela-triples-minimum-wage-to-1-14-month-idUKKBN1JH02Z)

 

Venezuela burns US$ 1.77 billion in reserves in a month

Venezuela's international reserves fell US$ 1.765 billion from May 15 to June 15. On May 15, Venezuela's Central Bank reported that it held US$ 10.216 billion.  Venezuela's Central Bank reported that on June 15, it only held US$ 8.451 (after falling US$ 401 million overnight). That US$ 8.451 million is the lowest that Venezuela's reserves have been since September 1990. The US$ 401 million that Venezuela lost overnight on June 15 isn't the largest fall this month.  On June 8, Venezuela's reserves went down US$ 507 million in one day too. Venezuela's reserves hit a high of US$ 42.464 billion on January 7, 2009, but since then the government has liquidated most of its gold reserves and anything else it could sell.  To put Venezuela's US$ 8.45 billion in reserves in perspective, neighboring Colombia has US$ 47.5 billion.  Brazil has US$ 383 billion.  Argentina has US$ 50.8 billion.  Uruguay has US$ 18 billion.  Even Cuba reportedly has US$ 12.8 billion. Last month Venezuela pulled US$ 500 million from its Reserve Tranche Position at the IMF to redeem its gold from a securitized loan.   That US$ 500 million in gold showed up in the Central Bank's April gold balance, increasing Venezuela's gold holdings to US$ 6.88 billion.  That US$ 6.88 billion is down from US$ 21.269 billion in gold that Venezuela held in September 2011.  Venezuela also borrowed another US$ 70 million from its SDR Holdings account in May, leaving it almost empty.  Venezuela has now borrowed US$ 3.5 billion of its SDR allocation from the IMF. It is important to point out that this rapid destruction of reserves is happening while the country is not paying anything on most of its US$ 65 billion in bond debt -- on which, Venezuela and PDVSA would have had to pay over US$ 10 billion this year had they not defaulted.  (Caracas Capital: RMDallen@CaracasCapital.com)

 

Venezuela's creditors working on eventual debt restructuring

Venezuela’s public and private creditors are working on how to one day restructure its debt, though U.S. sanctions make that impossible for now, a source close to the Paris Club of government creditors said on Wednesday. Crippled by a hyperinflationary economic crisis, the cash-strapped Venezuelan government and state oil company PDVSA are in default on most of their $60 billion in outstanding bonds. Including debt owed to other governments and official lenders, the nation’s foreign debt is estimated to stand at US$ 140 billion, with China owed US$ 20-25 billion and Paris Club creditors US$ 5.8 billion. However, any restructuring is all but impossible for now because of U.S. sanctions under which that could be seen as illegal financing by Washington. Any future restructuring is complicated by the fact that some Venezuelan sovereign bonds and no PDVSA bonds are covered by so-called collective action clauses, meaning a minority of bondholders could have scope to hold out in a restructuring deal. “The complexity of a Venezuelan debt restructuring is an issue, the day that it happens. It will be very, very complicated,” the source said. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-debt/venezuelas-creditors-working-on-eventual-debt-restructuring-source-idUSKBN1JG3CA)

 

PETRO currency superintendent ousted

According to information published by Carlos Vargas himself on June 20, the official has been dismissed as Superintendent of Cryptoactives and Related Activities and will return to occupy his seat in the illegal National Constituent Assembly (ANC). Using social networks, Vargas greeted Joselit Ramírez, saying he will be taking the reins of the institution. Vargas was appointed superintendent as of the creation of this government entity in December 2017. He claimed on Twitter that he has been summoned to the ANC to defend the PETRO. Although there has not been an official confirmation, Vargas said goodbye to the institution and the position through this social network. Analysts believe Vargas was removed when the PETRO project failed to meet its target objectives. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/economia/destituido-responsable-implantar-petro_240881)

 

Maduro taps CITGO Engineer Ortega as new central bank chief

Venezuela on Tuesday tapped industrial engineer Calixto Ortega as the country’s new central bank chief as it struggles amidst a hyperinflationary collapse of the national economy. Ortega has served as vice president of finance at CITGO, a U.S. refiner owned by Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA. He replaces outgoing central bank chief Ramon Lobo, who has been leading an effort to cut three zeroes off the country’s bolivar currency and working to rein in consumer price inflation that has unofficially neared 25,000% per year. Ortega was designated by the country’s all-powerful Constituent Assembly, which is 100% controlled by allies of the ruling Socialist Party. He is the hird Venezuelan central bank chief to be named in less than two years. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-cenbank/update-1-venezuela-taps-citgo-engineer-ortega-as-new-central-bank-chief-idUSL1N1TL25R)

 

New US$ 100 million lawsuit filed against Venezuela in US Federal Court

Another ICSID award recipient has just filed a lawsuit against Venezuela to try to collect it’s US$ 100 million award. The VESTEY GROUP, a British food products, cattle and sugar cane business founded by Lord Vestey and his younger brother Sir Edmund in 1895, filed to register and enforce its $102 million ICSID expropriation award against Venezuela in U.S. Federal Court in D.C. This marks the second ICSID award enforcement filed against Venezuela this month, after TENARIS filed on June 9 to enforce its US$ 234 million. VESTEY Had begun its operations in Venezuela in 1909 and by the time of expropriation in 2005, they operated a cattle ranching business with 290,000 hectares of land with over 100,000 heads of livestock. VESTEY originally filed for ICSID arbitration in March of 2006 after then President Chavez expropriated VESTEY's cattle and lands in Venezuela by sending troops to seize them. VESTEY stayed the arbitration after they reached an agreement with Chavez in exchange for giving Chavez the 32,000 acre El Charcote ranch and the 106,000-acre San Pablo Paeno ranch.  In exchange, Chavez allowed VESTEY to retain ownership of 9 of their other ranches. He ended up reneging on the deal and in 2011, expropriated the rest of Vestey's land and cattle.  After VESTEY was unable to get paid, the ICSID arbitration was taken off ice in 2012 and went forward. (Caracas Capital: RMDallen@CaracasCapital.com)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Maduro ally named leader of Venezuela's ruling assembly

Venezuela's all-powerful Constituent Assembly on Tuesday elected Diosdado Cabello as its new president, a month after he was slapped with US sanctions. Cabello, deputy leader of the ruling Socialist Party, was elected by a show of hands of the 545-member Assembly and replaces Delcy Rodriguez, a former foreign minister who President Nicolas Maduro last week appointed as his vice-president. Rodriguez had headed the all-powerful, pro-Maduro Constituent Assembly since its inception in 2017. "I swear I will do what I have to defend the Constitution....I swear I will accompany our beloved brother President Nicolas Maduro in constructing Bolivarian socialism," Cabello said as he was sworn-in. A former speaker of parliament, Cabello was targeted by US sanctions along with his wife and brother. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who announced the sanctions on May 18, said "figures like Diosdado Cabello....exploit their official positions to engage in narcotics trafficking, money laundering, embezzlement of state funds and other corrupt activities." The US Treasury also accused Cabello of working with other blacklisted individuals to move narcotics from Venezuela to Europe via the Dominican Republic, while moving cash back to Venezuela, as well as to Panama and the Bahamas. Swiss and EU authorities had already blacklisted Cabello earlier this year, citing grave human rights abuses. The 2017 vote to elect the Constituent Assembly was boycotted by Venezuela's opposition and not recognized by much of the international community, as it effectively usurped the powers of the opposition-dominated parliament. (The Daily Star: https://www.thedailystar.net/backpage/maduro-ally-named-leader-venezuelas-ruling-assembly-1592977; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2459252&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-politics/venezuela-constituent-assembly-elects-cabello-as-its-new-leader-idUSL5N1SY002; https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics/veteran-chavez-ally-cabello-to-lead-venezuelan-constituent-assembly-idUSKBN1JF32Q; AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/cabello-appointed-president-anc-and-saab-front-truth-commission; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-19/venezuela-constituent-assembly-names-cabello-as-new-president)

 

Maduro regime sends 'coup plotters' to jail

Five members of Venezuela's armed forces and three civilians were imprisoned today, convicted of taking part in a 2015 coup plot against President Nicolas Maduro, a prisoners' rights group said. A military court handed down sentences of between three and six years, the group Foro Penal announced. Maduro publicly denounced a coup plot in February 2015 that he said was backed by sectors of the opposition and financed by the US government. The socialist president referred to it as the "blue coup" – a reference to the color of Venezuela's air force uniform, saying the plot had been "dismantled." At the time, the socialist president said the plot involved bombing the Miraflores presidential palace, other government buildings and the headquarters of the state television. Another rights group, Venezuelan Justice, said Wednesday that around 150 members of Venezuela's armed forces are in prison "for political reasons." (Jamaica Observer: http://www.jamaicaobserver.com/latestnews/Venezuela_sends_coup_plotters_to_jail)

 

European Union approves more sanctions on Maduro regime officials

The 28-nation European Union has agreed to impose additional sanctions on Venezuelan officials “linked to organizing” the snap presidential election held here on May 20th, which most of the international community consider a sham. Nations within the Union must apply the sanctions individually. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/12845/la-ue-da-luz-verde-a-nuevas-sanciones-contra-responsables-venezolanos)

 

Spain’s King Felipe VI calls for joint Venezuela policy during Trump meeting

Spain’s King Felipe VI has called for a “joint effort” to restore democracy to Venezuela during his state visit yesterday with US President Donald Trump. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/rey-felipe-sostuvo-encuentro-con-trump-para-unir-esfuerzos-y-resolver-crisis-de-venezuela)

 

Colombia’s president-elect will not appoint Ambassador to Venezuela

Colombia’s president-elect, Ivan Duque, says he will not appoint an Ambassador to Venezuela as long as Nicolás Maduro – whom he considers “illegitimate”- remains in office. He will maintain “consular relations”. More in Spanish:  (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/presidente-colombiano-ivan-duque-no-enviara-embajador-a-venezuela; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/12740/presidente-electo-de-colombia-presionara-diplomaticamente-por-elecciones-libres-en-venezuela; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/mundo/duque-enviara-embajador-venezuela-por-gobierno-ilegitimo-maduro_240705)

 

2 sentenced in US$ 100 million Venezuela money laundering scheme in Miami

Luis Diaz Jr. and Luis Javier Diaz were sentenced to eight months and four months in prison, respectively, for their roles in funneling more than US$ 100 million through the U.S. financial system on behalf of various foreign businesses based predominantly in Venezuela, according to Geoffrey S. Berman, the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York.  They did so through their Miami-based import/export company, which, for nearly five years, the defendants also used to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business. Luis Diaz Jr. and Luis Javier Diaz were convicted of operating an unlicensed money transmitting business and international money laundering following a jury trial in November 2017 before U.S. District Judge William H. Pauley III, who also imposed today’s sentences. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2459251&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-usa-crime/florida-men-sentenced-to-prison-for-laundering-funds-from-venezuela-idUSKBN1JF394)

 

Singapore is world’s safest destination, Venezuela most lawless — Gallup report

Singapore, Norway and Iceland have emerged as the safest destinations in a new law and order report from Gallup, which polled residents about how secure they feel in their respective countries. According to the results of the Gallup poll, which surveyed 1,000 adults in 142 countries, the top 10 safest places can be found across Asia and Western Europe. At the other end of the index, however, only 17% of Venezuelans said they feel safe walking alone at night, placing the country at the bottom of the heap for the second consecutive year, after war-torn Afghanistan and South Sudan. For the report, Gallup asked respondents four yes or no questions and compiled the responses into an index score for each country. Countries are scored on a 100-point scale. Participants were asked if they had confidence in their local police; felt safe walking alone at night; if they had money or belongings stolen in the last year; and if they had been assaulted or mugged in the last year as well. Globally, the survey reveals that the majority of the world feels safe, with more than two in every three people worldwide expressing confidence in their local law enforcement and the same ratio of respondents saying they feel safe walking alone at night. (Lifestyle Enquirer: http://lifestyle.inquirer.net/298061/p2fb-singapore-worlds-safest-destination-venezuela-lawless-gallup-report/#ixzz5J3yoTJ4Q)

 

For Venezuelan refugees, this bridge connects past and present

The Simón Bolívar bridge, which connects Venezuela and Colombia, has become the epicenter of this massive migration. Thousands of Venezuelan refugees walk across Simón Bolívar bridge into Cúcuta, Colombia, each day. Soon after the border opens in the early hours of the morning, thousands cross by foot from Venezuela to Colombia. Many are ready to leave everything behind, planning not to return to their home country. Some expect to stay in Colombia and others are moving through to different destinations. Another group crosses the bridge to shop for basic items. The number of daily pedestrians varies, but it’s estimated that about 35,000 people are now crossing the bridge every day. Although the region has experienced multiple population movements, this exodus is thought by some to be Latin America’s worst-ever migration crisis. Over the last four years, amid a long and dire economic downfall, Venezuela has seen the impoverishment of its citizens and a resulting mass exodus. The latest re-election of President Nicolás Maduro to a second term hasn’t helped the already tenuous situation, igniting a simmering desire of many Venezuelans to leave the struggling nation. Hyperinflation of the economy, hospitals without supplies, and the rampant spread of hunger have fueled their flight. This mass migration, however, started even earlier, when now-deceased leader Hugo Chavez took office in 1999. Millions of Venezuelans have fled the country in the last 20 years. More than one million Venezuelans have moved to Colombia since 2017, according to the Red Cross. And that number covers only those who passed through approved checkpoints. Crossing the border by foot at spots like the Simón Bolívar bridge is the only option for those unable to pay for a plane ticket. Under the blazing sun, Venezuelan travelers pass into Colombia, juggling overstuffed suitcases and backpacks. Some travel alone, while others walk with family, carrying their children. The route takes refugees through a sea of people, from gold traders who buy desperate Venezuelans’ precious metals to vendors selling one-way tickets to Peru, Chile, and Ecuador. Many queuing to stamp their passports will only stay in Cúcuta temporarily. They have plans to go to other countries and were lucky enough to save sufficient money for bus tickets. Others don’t cross with the same fortune. Some run out of money before completing their planned trip and get stuck in the city. The migration crisis has prompted the Colombian government to allocate more than US$ 3.5 million (U.S.) for health services to migrants from bordering countries, and Cúcuta locals are also doing their part. (National Geographic: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/photography/proof/2018/06/refugees-venezuela-colombia-election-crisis-simon-bolivar-culture/)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.