Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Colgate Palmolive. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Colgate Palmolive. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

October 23, 2018


International Trade

Mexico prosecutors find fraud in Venezuela food aid program

Mexican Prosecutors say that people linked to the Venezuelan government and Mexican companies conspired to overcharge Venezuela for basic food aid packages. Known as "CLAP" packages, the food is supposedly subsidized by Venezuela's socialist administration to provide a bare level of subsistence to many families facing hunger amid the country's hyperinflation and economic breakdown. But Mexican prosecutors said an investigation found that the Venezuelan officials and Mexican businessmen bought poor quality items in bulk and exported them to Venezuela at more than double their real price. Mexico's top organized crime prosecutor, Israel Lira, said the suspects have agreed to pay US$ 3 million in reparations to the U.N. refugee agency, to be used for its Latin America operations. The agency is focused overwhelmingly now on helping Colombia resettle hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans fleeing the humanitarian crisis. Lira said prosecutors located 1,300 shipping containers with 1.8 million packages but allowed them to continue to Venezuela to avoid affecting recipients. U.S. Treasury Department officials previously compiled a list of suspected shell companies that they believe senior Venezuelan officials have used around the globe to siphon off millions of dollars from food import contracts. Financial forensic investigators from the U.S. and three Latin American allies — Mexico, Panama and Colombia — traced transactions by companies believed to be controlled by a government-connected businessman. Much of the food comes from Mexico, and there have been complaints about its quality. On May 17, three days before Maduro was re-elected, Colombia announced the seizure of 15 shipping containers filled with more than 25,000 CLAP boxes containing beetle-infested rice and other spoiled food. A story published by The Associated Press in 2016 revealed how senior Venezuelan officials and members of the military were enriching themselves by diverting money from food contracts. Alex Saab, from the Colombian city of Barranquilla, has been identified by U.S. officials as a major focus of the investigation. Saab gained some prominence in 2011 after signing an agreement to build social housing for the Venezuelan government on behalf of a Colombia-based construction company. Investigators have said Saab entered the food business through a Hong Kong-based company, Group Grand Ltd., which they said bears the hallmarks of a shell company, including no known track record in the food business, a rudimentary website that is now inaccessible and an address in Caracas shared with Saab's construction company. Group Grand has been awarded contracts to provide at least 11.5 million CLAP boxes, according to a Venezuelan Food Ministry spreadsheet. Among the transactions that have raised red flags is a September 2017 invoice presented to Venezuela's food ministry by Group Grand for US$ 41 million worth of powdered milk at a price of US$ 6,950 per metric ton, or more than double the market price at the time. A copy of the invoice was provided to the AP. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article220266500.html)

 

Oil & Energy

Caracas to divert oil shipments away from Beijing

Venezuelan state-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) may begin cutting shipments to China that are used to pay for previous loans in favor of prioritizing shipments to the United States or India, which pay in cash. PDVSA will not receive any further Chinese loans to raise production from joint ventures if the company defaults further on Beijing's loans. Redirecting oil shipments would be a short-term strategy to free up more cash for pressing necessities such as debt and arbitration payments. (Stratfor: https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/china-venezuela-caracas-divert-oil-shipments-away-beijing)

 

Blackouts force Venezuelans to live and work — even perform surgery — in darkness

Blackouts in Zulia state, an area of northwestern Venezuela that includes the country’s second-largest city of Maracaibo, have become commonplace in the last year. Food and medicine were already increasingly scarce in Venezuela, but the power cuts that come without warning — sometimes more than once a day — are a new form of misery. And though some widespread outages have reached the capital of Caracas, Zulia — the heart of Venezuela’s energy industry — has turned out to be particularly vulnerable to the rolling blackouts. The government has blamed the outages on a variety of things — including pesky animals. In an Oct. 20 tweet, Energy Minister Luis Motta Dominguez named “rats, mice, snakes, cats, squirrels” as possible culprits in shorting out lines. He added: “In the list of animals mentioned above, of course iguanas are included.” Critics, however, say insufficient investment by the government is the cause, following the 2007 nationalization of the electricity sector. Zulia has experienced 11,131 power failures between January and September this year, according to a civil association called the Blackouts Committee, which receives daily reports of power cuts from citizens. Public transportation, already diminished by the economic crisis, becomes even more dysfunctional when the power flickers and goes out. Communications work erratically. People’s routines are on hold. Lines of cars are two blocks long at gas stations. Commerce and education are paralyzed. Omar Prieto, Zulia’s governor and a support of President Nicolás Maduro, declared in early October that the electric crisis in Zulia was over. But then a massive power failure in a substation in Carabobo left 11 Venezuelan states, Zulia included, without electricity for 12 to 18 hours on Oct. 15. José Aguilar, a Venezuelan power generation and risk consultant, says the power system has been in trouble since 2009, prompting the late President Hugo Chávez to announce new investment and more emphasis on the power system. He said that more than 80% of power generation in Zulia isn’t working due to lack of maintenance and corruption. “The government is overloading power lines, old equipment, and generation and distribution substations,” he said. And he thinks the crisis is far from over in Zulia and especially Maracaibo, once known for being the third Latin American city to have regular electricity in its streets. He thinks Zulia will experience more blackouts between January and February next year, when the general power demand traditionally grows. One of the most affected districts in Zulia is Guajira, a town next to the Colombian border whose population is mostly indigenous. Recently, the residents have been living without electricity for two or three days at a time until the service comes back up, usually for only four uninterrupted hours. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/latest-news/article220464510.html)

 

Commodities

RUSORO Mining has received a settlement proposal from Venezuela

RUSORO Mining Ltd. announces that it has agreed on the terms of a settlement proposal with Venezuela by which Venezuela agrees to pay RUSORO over US$ 1.28 billion to acquire the Company's mining data and for full release of the arbitral award issued in favor of the Company in August 2016 by a tribunal constituted pursuant to the Additional Facility of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes. In addition, it is contemplated that the parties will constitute a Mixed Commission to assess the status of RUSORO's Choco 10 and San Rafael - El Placer former projects and based on such assessments may by the end of January 2019 partner to exploit those projects. RUSORO expects to sign the formal settlement agreement shortly after completion of the schedules to the Settlement Agreement. (RUSORO: www.rusoro.com)

 

Economy & Finance

FEMSA to lay off 2,000 Venezuela workers amid crisis: union

COCA COLA FEMSA is preparing to lay off 2,000 of the 4,800 total workers at its Venezuela soft drink operations due to falling demand in the crisis-stricken country, a union leader said, while the company acknowledged it was “revising” output. The move makes FEMSA, one of the largest soft drink bottlers in the world, the latest multinational to downsize in this country. “The company has said that it needs to reduce headcount and suspend some benefits,” said Daniel Montilla, secretary of the union representing workers at the FEMSA plant in the industrial city of Valencia, where Femsa plans to lay off 300 workers. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-femsa/femsa-to-lay-off-2000-venezuela-workers-amid-crisis-union-idUSKCN1MW2G9)

 

Out of cardboard, another COLGATE plant shuts down in Venezuela

COLGATE-PALMOLIVE plant in Valencia, Venezuela, stopped operating this week due to a shortage of cardboard needed for packaging, said Carlos Rodriguez, an employee union leader. The plant, which produced liquid detergent, fabric softener and dishwasher soap, required cardboard to transport company products to stores, supermarkets and pharmacies. The shortage worsened after the government took over control of paper and packaging manufacturer SMURFIT KAPPA’s Venezuelan operations there earlier this year. This is the second out of five production plants to close in the country, Rodriguez said. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-18/out-of-cardboard-another-colgate-plant-shuts-down-in-venezuela)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Pompeo: Venezuela's Maduro has to go

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says Socialist Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro must go and is urging the people of Venezuela to "restore democracy to the country" during an interview with Greta Van Susteren. "We are searching for a solution which will deliver democracy to Venezuela. It's the Maduro regime that has inflicted this set of horrible living conditions on the people of Venezuela and it will ultimately be on the people of Venezuela to fix it," Pompeo said. On whether the U.S. would issue additional sanctions, Pompeo said he was "confident we can find other places where we think we can exert pressure in a way that will convince Maduro that this isn’t going to work, he’s not going to be able to retain power forever." (Newsmax: https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/mikepompeo-maduro-venezuela/2018/10/21/id/887293/)

 

Mike Pence: Honduran President told me Venezuela funding migrant caravan

Vice President Mike Pence on Tuesday said Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández told him that the migrant caravan marching toward the U.S.-Mexico border is “financed by Venezuela.” Pence made the allegation while defending President Donald Trump’s assertion that Middle Easterners make up a part of the 7,000-strong. The Vice President then revealed that Hernández told him that “leftist groups” from the Central American country organized the caravan, “financed by Venezuela” to “challenge our sovereignty, challenge our border.” (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/10/23/mike-pence-honduran-president-told-me-venezuela-funding-migrant-caravan/)

 

Venezuela declares its military ‘fully prepared’ for war with U.S.

Venezuelan soldiers march during a military ceremony to honor President Nicolas Maduro on May

Senior Venezuelan socialist official Diosdado Cabello has claimed his country is “fully prepared” for a war with the United States. Cabello, the leader of the regime’s illegal lawmaking body and a close ally of dictator Nicolás Maduro, claimed that the country’s Bolivarian National Armed Forces would remain loyal to Hugo Chávez’s socialist revolution should the U.S. or any other power try to topple the regime. There is little evidence to support Cabello’s claims. Instead, countless reports detail the growing disaffection and dropout rates among troops, many whose salaries fail to cover basic living resources such as food and medicine. Some soldiers have tried to launch low-level coups and rebellions, although such efforts have so far proved unsuccessful. Cabello’s comments come amid growing international pressure for more action to be taken against the Maduro regime, currently presiding over the worst economic crisis in the country’s history. Cabello’s warning is unlikely to instill fear among leaders in Washington. Trump previously mocked the Venezuelan military for their seemingly cowardly response to a failed assassination attempt on Maduro. (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/latin-america/2018/10/22/venezuela-declares-military-fully-prepared-war-u-s/)

 

Ecuador breaks diplomatic relations with Venezuela

Ecuador has broken formal relations with Venezuela after that country’s communication minister called President Lenin Moreno a “liar.” On Thursday, Ecuador expelled Venezuela’s ambassador. The action followed comments by Jorge Rodríguez, Venezuela’s communication minister, who said that Moreno’s claim that 6,000 Venezuelans a day were entering Ecuador was false. Moreno Tweeted the number in August, at the height of the influx of Venezuelan refugees into Ecuador. In its official statement on the break in relations, Ecuador’s foreign affairs ministry said, “The Republic of Ecuador will not tolerate such disrespect for its authorities.” The statement continued: “Faithful to its democratic and humanitarian principles, Ecuador will continue to provide assistance to Venezuelan citizens entering the country, assisting through economic and social efforts to protect their human rights.” Ecuador secretary of communication was more direct in his response to Rodriguez. “His statements show that this corrupt socialism, murderer and liar of the 21st century, still lives in Venezuela.” In response to the expulsion of its ambassador, Venezuela ordered Ecuador’s chargé d’affaires to leave Caracas. (St. Lucia Times: https://stluciatimes.com/2018/10/22/ecuador-breaks-diplomatic-relations-with-venezuela/)

 

OAS chief urges ICC to open formal probe into Venezuela crimes

Luis Almagro, Secretary General of the Organization of American States, spoke to FRANCE 24 about the current issues facing the Americas, from the caravan of Central American migrants heading to the US to the crisis in Venezuela and the situation in Nicaragua. Almagro called for the ICC to open a formal investigation into alleged crimes against humanity committed in Venezuela. (France24: https://www.france24.com/en/20181023-interview-luis-almagro-oas-americas-migrants-caravan-us-venezuela-icc-probe-nicaragua)

 

How Venezuela complicates peace talks in Colombia

After 52 years of conflict, Colombia’s government and the leftist guerrillas of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) signed a peace deal in 2016. But not all the country’s guerrilla groups demobilized. The National Liberation Army (ELN) remains a formidable presence. It began peace talks with the government of Juan Manuel Santos in 2017 but failed to reach a deal before Iván Duque, a conservative, became president in 2018. President Duque, who had criticized the agreement with the FARC as too lenient, is adopting a tougher stance towards the ELN. He refuses to renew negotiations until the ELN has freed all hostages. And he has also raised an objection to Venezuela’s role as one of five guarantors of the talks, claiming it is a “protector of armed groups”. The ELN’s links with Venezuela date from the 1980s. Its standing in Venezuela improved in the late 1990s with the rise to power of Hugo Chávez, who regarded it as an ideological ally. Venezuela has been a haven ever since, a place where the ELN gathers to plan attacks on Colombia, and where in recent times it has started recruiting new members. Its activity within Venezuela often seems to be ignored—even endorsed—by the authorities. As Nicolás Maduro, Chávez’s successor, turns Venezuela into a mafia state in which drug-traffickers run rife, the ELN is rumored to be colluding with the Cartel of the Suns, a drugs gang, in establishing trafficking routes through the country. If the ELN should demobilize, its role in cross-border drug-trafficking is likely to weaken. In such circumstances, it is not surprising that Colombia should call into question Venezuela’s role as an honest arbiter of the peace talks. For the ELN, the price of a peace deal with President Duque’s government is likely to be the severing of its ties to the Venezuelan dictatorship. It has not yet shown itself to be willing to break that link. (The Economist: https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2018/10/22/how-venezuela-complicates-peace-talks-in-colombia)

 

U.N. special envoy Jolie voices support for Venezuelan refugees

U.N. refugee agency special envoy Angelina Jolie voiced support on Tuesday for Venezuelans forced to leave their crisis-stricken homeland and thanked the South American countries hosting them. Hollywood actress Jolie met with Venezuelan refugees in Lima, Peru this week to draw attention to their plight. “After having spoken to so many people it’s clear to me, very clear, that this is not a movement by choice,” Jolie told reporters in a presentation with Peru’s foreign minister. “I heard stories of people dying because of a lack of medical care and medicine... people starving, and tragic accounts of violence and persecution,” she said. Jolie’s visit comes amid a backlash against Venezuelans in some South American countries where they have settled. Jolie met with Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra and said they discussed ways the international community can help host countries like Peru accommodate Venezuelans. “As in nearly every displacement crisis, the countries that have fewer resources are being asked to do the most,” Jolie said, thanking Peru and other “very generous” countries like Ecuador and Colombia for hosting displaced Venezuelans. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-peru-jolie/u-n-special-envoy-jolie-voices-support-for-venezuelan-refugees-idUSKCN1MX2LP)

 

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia more than triple in 2018

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia rose more than threefold in the first nine months of the year compared with the same period in 2017, as more desperate migrants flooded across the border to escape an economic crisis back home, a report released on Monday showed. Between January and September there were 310 violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia, 244.4% more than the 90 in the last year, the National Institute of Forensic Sciences said in a report. Of the total, 254 were men and 56 were women and 56% were murdered. Most of the violent deaths occurred in border regions such as the departments of Norte de Santander and La Guajira. Some died in car crashes or other accidents, and others committed suicide. Annual violent deaths in Colombia total about 25,000, according to the government. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-colombia/violent-deaths-of-venezuelans-in-colombia-more-than-triple-in-2018-idUSKCN1MW28H)

 

Two Venezuelans die attempting to reach Aruba by boat

Two Venezuelans attempting to reach the Caribbean island of Aruba died, authorities said over the weekend, highlighting the increasingly perilous routes migrants take to escape this nation's economic meltdown. Venezuelans routinely travel to the more prosperous Aruba in search of work or staple products that have become unavailable under the socialist government of President Nicolas Maduro. Those who are not allowed to enter Aruba often travel in rickety boats under the cover of darkness. Aruba's government said the pair were undocumented and that three Venezuelans had been detained in relation to the case. In a similar incident in January, four Venezuelans attempting to reach the Dutch Antilles island of Curacao died when their boat broke apart. (The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2018/10/21/world/americas/21reuters-venezuela-migration-aruba.html)

 

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country, according to the World Economic Forum's index

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country in the world, overtaken only by Yemen, a nation in civil war that, according to the United Nations, can suffer the most lethal famine of the last 100 years. The World Economic Forum (WEF) released its annual index of global corruption, as part of its report on international competitiveness, which ranks Venezuela 127th out of 140 countries surveyed. Venezuela appears in the group of the most conflictual countries of the planet, without its population being subjected to a war or a natural disaster, which makes of this country a particularly important case, because its situation is attributable its institutional situation and political conditions. Venezuela ranks last – 140 – in terms of institutional quality and macroeconomic stability. The country ranks below the top 100 Index countries as markets for quality goods and services (137); business dynamism (139); labor market situation (131); and quality of infrastructure (131). Venezuela ranks after the top 50 countries on issues such as capacity for innovation (95); health system (59); size of the market (56); ICT adoption capacity (97) and quality of the financial system (91). When the indicators presented by the World Economic Forum on Venezuela are examined in more detail, the country ranks last in the world in specific areas. like the quality of police services, the efficiency of the judicial system in the enforcement of regulations, property rights, the effectiveness of dispute resolution systems and the protection of property rights intellectual. Under aspects such as innovation and the application of technology, the country has significantly regressed. Consider an indicator as an example of a button: the assessment of mobile penetration has dropped 64 points in one year and a market representing more than 100% of the penetration of the service is 123rd in the world. Controls, skewed subsidies, the tax burden, and other factors make Venezuela's economy a complex case, but the worst of all is the poor quality of institutions, because it is a key element to correct other imbalances. (NAAJU: https://naaju.com/chile/venezuela-is-the-second-most-corrupt-country-according-to-the-world-economic-forums-index/)

 

Russians detained over 'Gucci' cocaine shipment from Venezuela

Three Russian citizens have been charged in Venezuela over a cocaine smuggling plot aboard a tanker headed to Belgium, local media reported, citing prosecutors. Venezuela’s National Guard reportedly seized 147 kilograms of cocaine in a raid on the Jose Progress tanker earlier this month. Twenty people were detained in connection to the plot, including Russian, Ukrainian, Filipino and Venezuelan nationals, according to media reports. Russian nationals were implicated in a cocaine-smuggling plot earlier this year after over 350 kilograms of cocaine were discovered on the grounds of the Russian Embassy in Argentina. Venezuela’s Justice Minister General Nestor Reverol posted a picture on his Twitter account earlier this month which appears to show that the seized cocaine had been hidden in bags labeled with famous fashion brands, including Gucci and Chanel. The ship, which is currently being held by local authorities, sailed under a Panamanian flag and was headed for the Belgian port of Ghent. (The Moscow Times: https://themoscowtimes.com/news/russians-detained-over-gucci-cocaine-shipment-from-venezuela-media-report-63260)

 

These Venezuelan musicians were struggling on the streets. Then their talent saved them.

The young men hunched over their violins, a piano and a traditional cuatro guitar in a quiet Peruvian suburb never imagined their hard-won musical training might be the secret to surviving so far from home. Brought up under Venezuela’s famed El Sistema classical musical education program, they dreamed of scholarships at conservatories, or being poached by international orchestras — like their colleague Gustavo Dudamel, the kinetic and charismatic director of the Los Angeles Philharmonic. Instead, they’ve joined the millions of Venezuelans fleeing hunger and political chaos. It’s a journey that has stymied their musical careers as they were entering their prime — but also reaffirmed how valuable the determination they developed in the free musical program is to survive in the hard-scrabble world of migrant life. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article220293305.html)

 

OP-ED: Whitewashing the record of Hugo Chávez, by Christian Alejandro Gonzalez

It is depressing but not altogether surprising that Hugo Chávez still retains some support in Western intellectual life. The ongoing destruction of Venezuelan society should have been enough to discredit his apologists, but unfortunately it has not been so. Did he have authoritarian tendencies? His military background left him with a firm belief in hierarchy. The longer he remained in power, the more entrenched he became, which is why term limits and checks and balances are essential to a healthy democracy. Term limits are indeed important elements of democratic societies — elements which in 2009 Chávez abolished. Dislodging incumbents is difficult enough in advanced democracies; it is even more difficult in countries with little institutional accountability, where the government can fund massive clientelist programs to shore up support whenever it needs to. As Chávez well knew, removing term limits would have allowed him to become president for life. Only his premature death from cancer at age 58 prevented him from taking full advantage of this institutional change.  It is hard to overstate the extent to which Chávez obliterated checks on presidential power during his tenure. Shortly after coming into office in 1998, Chávez began implementing steps to take control of PDVSA, the national oil company, which was then autonomously run. Apart from ruining PDVSA, these policies massively expanded the president’s power by giving him an endless source of funds to use for narrow political goals. Chávez expanded the political power of the presidency as well. He packed the Venezuelan supreme court, took over the CNE (the body that is supposed to oversee elections and ensure their fairness), undermined press freedom by shutting down the opposition’s television stations, politicized the military by promoting officers based on loyalty rather than competence, and through a long sequence of constitutional changes transferred most decision-making power from the legislature to the presidency. Nicolás Maduro’s autocracy, then, did not merely come into existence ex nihilo. Chávez bequeathed him an obsequious legislature, a loyal judiciary, and a personal oil company with which he (Maduro) could exert dictatorial power. Indeed, Maduro’s transgressions against liberal-democratic principles occur only under a specific institutional context that Chávez largely created. (National Review: https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/venezuela-hugo-chavez-new-york-times-whitewashes-history/)

Thursday, August 20, 2015

August 20, 2015


International Trade

 

New Housing Minister announces building material has arrived from China

General Manuel Quevedo, appointed this same week as the new Minister for Housing, has announced that steel rods, bathroom equipment, doors, electric scaffolding, window frames and other building materials have arrived at Puerto Cabello from China for government housing programs. More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=26694)

 

Maduro closes Colombia border crossing for 3 days

President Nicolas Maduro has ordered the closure of a major border crossing with Colombia after three soldiers were attacked while looking for smugglers. He the normally busy border in western Tachira state would remain closed for 72 hours. He also vowed to mount a special mission to boost protection for Venezuelans living along the 1,400 mile (2,200-kilometer) border, an area long plagued by violence stemming from Colombia's long-running conflict and the presence of drug-trafficking gangs. Maduro's announcement came hours after the attack of three army officers while they were carrying out patrols in the border town of San Antonio. Maduro said that the assailants, who haven't been identified, shot the officers — two lieutenants and a captain — from behind before fleeing on motorcycles. Maduro regularly blames smugglers and paramilitaries allegedly linked to former Colombian President Alvaro Uribe for violence that has spilled over the border in recent years. As part of a government crackdown against the flow of contraband, the government this year has closed the border in Tachira at night, deployed more troops and toughened jail sentences for anyone caught smuggling. It's also rolled a fingerprint-scanning system to restrict the amount of any single product shoppers can buy. In total, the government says more than 6,000 people have been arrested for smuggling in the past year and more than 28,000 tons of food seized last year in anti-smuggling operations. Opponents say the restrictions are futile and blame price and currency controls for much of the criminality as goods purchased at ultra-low prices in Venezuela are resold for huge profits in Colombia. (New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2015/08/20/world/americas/ap-lt-venezuela-colombia-border.html; More in Spanish: Diario 2001, http://www.2001.com.ve/en-la-agenda/107143/presidente-maduro-ordena-cierre-de-la-frontera-con-colombia-en-tachira.html; AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/presidente-maduro-orden%C3%B3-cierre-frontera-del-estado-t%C3%A1chira-colombia-72-horas; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150820/ordenan-cierre-de-frontera-en-tachira-por-72-horas)

 

 

Oil & Energy

 

Oil prices continue dropping further, WTI at US$ 40.71

Analysts expected US crude oil inventories to drop by 770,000 barrels, but instead they have grown. WTI oil prices are now at US$ 40.71 per barrel, a 4.48% drop since Tuesday. Brent, US$ 46.94, down 3.83%. More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150820/que-esta-pasando)

 

India expects cash-strapped Venezuela to pay dues in oil

India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp. is in discussions to take US$ 535 million worth of crude in lieu of cash for its share of sales from a Venezuelan oilfield. The company’s overseas unit, ONGC Videsh Ltd., owns 40% of the San Cristobal field and invested about US$ 190 million in the project in 2008. State-run Petroleos de Venezuela S.A., or PDVSA, holds the remaining stake. A deal to pay the Indian producer its share of revenue from the field in crude should be reached by March, according to Narendra Kumar Verma, the company’s managing director. Venezuela is already repaying loans outstanding to China with crude. Shipments to China will reach 390,000 barrels a day at an estimated average price of US$ 51 a barrel this year, up from 227,800 barrels at an average price of US$ 88.40 last year, according to Barclays analysts. (Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-20/india-expect-cash-strapped-venezuela-to-pay-dues-in-oil)

 

Venezuela gets new oil minister

President Nicolas Maduro has announced the current head of state oil giant PDVSA will take over as minister of oil and mining as well. Del Pino, a civilian who has led PDVSA since September 2014, is not the first to take on the dual ministerial role in the oil-dependent OPEC member state. Rafael Ramirez led the same two state oil bodies for a decade until he was named foreign minister and later UN ambassador. Maduro voiced concern about the continuing slide in crude prices, which have shed 27% since early June. Del Pino will take over the ministry from Asdrubal Chavez to allow the latter to run for parliament in December's key election. The outgoing Chavez, a cousin of the late ruler, was not a heavyweight in the oil sector and was generally seen as having more of a political role. Del Pino, however, is seen as a technocrat vying to turn around the socialist country's troubled oil sector. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/19/venezuela-oil-idUSL1N10U02X20150819; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2394718&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150819/president-maduro-appoints-new-petroleum-and-housing-ministers; Agence France Press: https://en-maktoob.news.yahoo.com/venezuela-gets-oil-minister-152136267--finance.html)

 

 

Commodities

 

Domestic detergent production is grinding to a halt

Detergent production for domestic use is grinding to a halt. One week after COLGATE PALMOLIVE announced it was stopping production for lack of packing materials, the POLAR powdered soap plant (Las Llaves) had to follow suit for want of sodium sulfate, which is an indispensable ingredient. More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/se-detuvo-produccion-de-jabon-las-llaves.aspx#ixzz3jLYHLab7; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/empresas/polar-paralizo-produccion-de-jabon-en-polvo.aspx; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

2,600 General Motors Venezuela’s workers were sent home on forced vacations as its inventories of raw material for car assembly got to zero. In its Valencia plant, GM Venezuela has barely manufactured 4,400 units January through Friday, August 14, i.e. 15.71% of its 4,000 units a month installed capacity. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45124&idc=3)

 

Bread prices in Caracas went up 40% (Bs.10) in one week in the case of the baguettes while other presentations went up Bs.10 to Bs.15. The daily 2001 explained the wheat flour imported by the government is being sold at US$ 800/ton, almost twice what it would have cost if the dollars had been authorized to the private sector when needed (US$ 450). (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45114&idc=3)

 

Workers at PEPSICOLA, POLAR, CARGILL and CLOVER warehouses located in La Yaguara asked the central government to repeal the expropriation and eviction measure on the properties. They rallied outside their places of work to ask the Housing and Habitat Ministry to find other vacant lots for housing building in the city. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45115&idc=3)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 

Cash-strapped Venezuela may sell gold reserves, drive prices down further

Countries facing cash shortages may be tempted to sell part of their gold reserves to raise funds, according to CITIGROUP Inc., which cited Venezuela as a potential example amid concern it may default.  Gold retreated to a five-year low in July as the dollar rallied on prospects of higher U.S. interest rates. Should Venezuela sell part of its gold, prices could see lows maintained, says the report. Venezuela had 11.607 million ounces of gold as of September, according to data from the International Monetary Fund. About 68% of the country’s reserves are in bullion as of August, according to the CITIGROUP report. Venezuela “appears poised for a near-term crisis” amid protests and shortages of basic goods as the country heads for parliamentary elections in December, according to RBC Capital Markets Ltd. The cost of insuring the government’s five-year bonds has rebounded to near a 12-year high. In 2011 and 2012, Venezuela’s government repatriated most of bullion that it had held in overseas banks. The move was ordered by then-President Hugo Chavez as a safeguard against instability in financial markets. “The problem is most of the Venezuelan gold is located in Caracas,” said one analyst, “No bank is going to take collateral for gold that’s actually held in Caracas. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-19/cash-strapped-venezuela-may-sell-gold-reserves-citigroup-says)

 

Uruguay's Senate approves deal to buy back debt with Venezuela at 38% discount


 

Central Bank of Venezuela publishes rules to centralize all official FOREX holdings

Venezuela has ordered all government banks and institutions to centralize FOREX holdings at the Central Bank, and has published the rules for the procedure. The financial service for special accounts, required to pay the obligations in foreign currency abroad, should be provided by the selected public agency and previously notified to the BCV. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150819/central-bank-of-venezuela-publishes-rules-to-centralize-foreign-curren)

 

Venezuelan business federation calls for economic consensus

The President of the Venezuelan Federation of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FEDECÁMARAS), Francisco Martínez, is calling for urgent measures to oxygenate the economy; and alerts that those measures must not depend on the upcoming parliamentary vote to be held in December. He explained that if the government puts off actions aimed at improving the economy over fears for a given electoral outcome, it would be a serious mistake. Martínez commented that consensus was required among the public sector, workers, and businessmen to take the necessary steps and actions to recover the economy. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150819/venezuelan-business-sector-calls-for-economic-consensus)

 

Venezuelan bonds averaged a percent point loss on Monday while the PDVSA’s bonds dropped 2.21% in average. The ones which experienced the sharpest drops were the PDVSA 2016 and the PDVSA 2021. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45116&idc=2)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

US again rejects Maduro accusations, Senator Rubio calls him a "corrupt clown"

US State Department spokesman John Kirby has said new charges by President Nicolás Maduro are false. Maduro has claimed an alleged opposition member was involved in murdering a women and pointed to a plot that would involve US legislators and a former US diplomatic official. We have seen press reports and the video of this criminal who made the charges and we say it is another baseless accusation against US officials", he said. US Senator Marco Rubio said Venezuela's President is a "corrupt clown", and added "Maduro once said Chavez visited him reincarnated as a bird, and it sounds as if he is having a similar episode". More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Venezuela claims Guyana has "hidden agenda"

Foreign Minister Delcy Rodríguez is warning Caribbean countries of an alleged attempt by the Guyanese government to create conflict among Latin American and Caribbean countries with the support of foreign agents. Rodríguez is on a tour of the Caribbean started last week along with Venezuelan Vice-President Jorge Arreaza, to lobby for the "peace diplomacy" advanced by Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in an effort to recover the Essequibo. She said: "We know Guyana has a hidden agenda which it is not telling the Caribbean about". (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150819/venezuela-warns-against-guyanas-conflictive-intention; AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-raises-antigua-and-barbuda-banner-peace-diplomacy-defense-essequibo, and more in Spanish: El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Political parties fine-tune details 

It’s only 80 days away from the parliamentary elections on December 6, and all political actors in Venezuela are fine-tuning the details for a vital election day that will help set the direction of the country. On the one hand, there are parties that remain committed to democracy all the way, as is the case of the Democratic Unity Roundtable (MUD). The MUD, although suffering the full burden of illegal acts and arbitrariness by Venezuela’s ruling elite over the past 15 years, is drawing the constitutional path it will take from here until December 6, with the belief it has an advantage of 20% in popular support over the ruling party, the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV). (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2394705&CategoryId=10717)

 

Venezuelan opposition legislators seek support of MERCOSUR parliament

A delegation of Venezuela's opposition umbrella group United Democratic Round Table (MUD) legislators have presented their PARLASUR counterparts (Parliament of the Common Market of the South -MERCOSUR), with a copy of the draft bill for amnesty and political reconciliation in Venezuela proposed by the coalition, and are requesting their support. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150818/venezuelan-opposition-seeks-support-from-mercosur-parliament)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Thursday, August 13, 2015

August 13, 2015


International Trade

 

10,000 steer have arrived at Guanta port

Ten thousand heads of cattle from Brazil have arrived at Guanta port for the government Food Corporation (CEVAL). More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=25672)

 
 

Logistics & Transport

 
Truckers are refusing to carry price controlled products due to lootings

Truckers are refusing to carry price controlled products out of fear of lootings, after constant thefts they must undergo: an average 4 cases per week. Giovanni Lupi, President of the Central Venezuela Transportation Chamber, reports that it is usual for trucks stuck in traffic to be assaulted and looted. The problem now ranks ahead of lack of spare parts among obstacles to be overcome. Trucks are now not circulating between 7 PM and 6 AM and must hire escorts to get drivers to carry price controlled products. Spare part costs have increased by 300%, which translates in to 40% of the entire cargo fleet being paralyzed. More in Spanish: (El Carabobeño, http://www.el-carabobeno.com/portada/articulo/110497/transportistas-no-quieren-llevar-productos-regulados-por-temor-a-saqueo)

 

Cargo freightage cost to increase 200%

José Petit, of the Association of Small Business and Drivers of Container Cargo at Puerto Cabello (ASOTRACONTAINER) reports that the group has decided to increase cargo freightage from the port to other cities by 200% starting August 18th, due to the cost increases for spare parts and services. More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Precios-de-fletes-de-cargas-aumentaran-200-2480565/2015/08/11/583815/)

 

 

Oil & Energy

 
Venezuela says pushing for OPEC, Russia action to stem oil fall

Cash-strapped Venezuela is pushing for an emergency OPEC meeting and joint coordination with Russia to stem a tumble in oil prices, says President Nicolas Maduro. "We're working towards a special OPEC meeting, in coming days we'll announce .... We're making contacts with OPEC governments," he said - and added "We're evaluating the possibility that a very high ranking OPEC meeting be called, and that in coordination with the Russian Federation, President Vladimir Putin, we can advance in taking a series of actions to defend the oil market in the face of this latest fall". (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/12/opec-venezuela-idUSL1N10N02620150812; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45031&idc=4)

 

Crude oil exports expected to drop by US$ 4.9 billion

ODH CONSULTORES warns that oil exports could shrink by US$ 4.9 during the second semester this year due to the drop in prices. It says that if the average price is US$ 43.15 per barrel and if one assumes volume will remain the same, total sales would be US$ 41.5 billion. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 
 

Commodities

 
HEINZ ketchup and baby food plants have stopped operations due to lack of raw materials in the latter and to maintenance in the former. A spokesman from the plant’s workers confirmed the plant located in San Joaquín in Carabobo state has been paralyzed for a week. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45028&idc=3)

 

COLGATE PALMOLIVE has also stopped one of its plants

Colgate informed its workers in the Valencia plant -via an internal memorandum- its detergent production line will be stopped indefinitely as of August 10 due to shortages of raw material for packaging. Workers of four of the six production lines at this plant will be relocated to the company’s other lines. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45029&idc=3)

 

Auto and motorcycle assembly at a standstill in Venezuela

The automobile sector in Venezuela continued to be hit by lack of FOREX as a consequence of dwindling oil prices.
The motorcycle sector has not been allocated the foreign currency it requires to import the CKD, a kit with the assembly materials for each unit. Overall production in July declined to 412 units from June, when 1,446 motorcycles were assembled, according to figures from the Association of Motorcycle Industrials, Manufacturers, and Assemblers (AIFEM). Moreover, the sector accrues a US$ 812 million debt to their Chinese suppliers, so credit lines are frozen for the time being.
(El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150812/car-and-motorcycle-assembly-at-a-standstill-in-venezuela)

 

Beer maker Polar restarts brewing after shortages

Venezuela's largest beer manufacturer says it will restart operations after shortages of raw materials led it to close some breweries. Cerveceria Polar has announced that it's received the malted barley it needs to manufacture the golden brew that is a favorite here. The company makes more than 70% of Venezuela's beer. Last week, bottles of Polar began to disappear from store shelves in Caracas due to difficulty obtaining ingredients. (Associated Press, http://news.yahoo.com/venezuela-beer-maker-polar-restarts-brewing-shortages-185759591.html)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 
Central Bank of Venezuela has failed to release figures for seven months

The Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) has not published official data on inflation (national consumer price index), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and shortage of products in the past seven months. This means the BCV has been breaking its own law, which provides that official economic figures must be published within the first days of each month. Recently, the Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ) dismissed a lawsuit brought against the President of the BCV, Nelson Merentes, by NGO Transparencia Venezuela urging him to publish official figures. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150811/central-bank-of-venezuela-fails-to-release-figures-for-seven-months)

 

Venezuela holds the largest gold reserves in Latin America

Venezuela tops the list of Latin American countries with the largest gold reserves, according to the latest report issued by the World Gold Council, headquartered in London. The ranking shows that the United States holds the largest gold reserves in the world, with 8,133.5 tons. Venezuela holds 361 tons of gold, which represent 68% of its reserves. The country ranks 16 worldwide, despite the fact that its gold reserves declined from 367.6 tons in June. The price of gold stands at its lowest level since February 2010, at USD 1,072.30 per ounce. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150811/venezuela-holds-the-largest-gold-reserves-in-latin-america)

 

Venezuela appeals for 2nd time to World Bank panel in Conoco dispute

Venezuela has appealed for a second time to the World Bank's arbitration panel against its decision in the country's dispute with ConocoPhillips, linked to the nationalization of the company's assets. In a partial ruling last year, the International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) said that the 2007 takeover by late socialist leader Hugo Chavez of Conoco's oil projects was unlawful. On Tuesday, Venezuela's Attorney General's Office said it formally requested the previous day that ICSID "reconsider its position with respect to the ruling." The nation has requested various reviews of recent ICSID decisions, which critics see as attempts to stall the payment of fines. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/11/venezuela-arbitration-conocophillips-idUSL1N10M2ES20150811)

 

CONINDUSTRIA: Reactivating industry can substitute imports

Venezuela's industrial sector hopes to present the government its proposal to oxygenate the economy and recover local production. The President of the Venezuelan Confederation of Industries (CONINDUSTRIA), Juan Pablo Olalquiaga, says a plan for import substitution requires urgent implementation of the five measures proposed by the industrial sector: securitization of the debt owed by industries to their suppliers, legalization of the parallel foreign exchange market towards a feasible scheme, lifting price controls, returning expropriated companies to the private sector, and establishing links between education and research centers and the companies. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150812/conindustria-reactivating-the-industry-will-substitute-imports)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 
Regime frees 2nd prominent opponent in just over 24 hours

A former Chavez defense minister turned staunch government critic was granted early release from jail, making him the second prominent opposition leader to be freed in little more than 24 hours. A military tribunal granted retired Gen. Raul Baduel parole after he completed six of a nearly 8-year sentence on corruption charges. A short video of Baduel embracing loved ones was tweeted by his daughter after he was discharged from the military prison outside Caracas, where he's been held alongside Venezuela's most-recognized jailed opponent, Leopoldo Lopez. Baduel's release comes just 24 hours after Daniel Ceballos, the former mayor of the restive western city of San Cristobal, was granted house arrest on medical grounds while awaiting trial for his alleged role in inciting violence during last year's anti-government protests. Combined, the two surprise releases could signal a greater leniency on the part of President Nicolas Maduro's socialist administration, which has come under sharp fire from the U.S. over the imprisonment of some 50 anti-government activists on what human rights groups say are trumped-up charges meant to silence dissent. Ceballos, hours after being reunited with his family, shouted a statement from a second floor window in Caracas, saying his surprise release represented a hopeful sign "that all political prisoners might be reunited with their families." (The New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2015/08/12/world/americas/ap-lt-venezuela-opposition-leader.htm; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2394338&CategoryId=10717; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2394332&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150811/court-grants-home-arrest-to-dissenter-daniel-ceballos)

 

Dissident legislative candidates emerge on both sides

The DELPHOS polling group indicates that some 40% of voters are bent toward a third voting option in the upcoming December 6th parliamentary elections, away from the MUD opposition coalition and pro-government forces, and dissidents could take votes away from both pro-regime candidates and those of the opposition.  Both the MUD coalition and the government's PSUV nominated 334 candidates and 3 representatives of the indigenous tribes for the 167 seats in the National Assembly (including main representatives and alternates), but independents have emerged on both sides. On the opposition splinter groups have emerged in both Lara and Mérida states. On the part of the "chavista" forces, dissident forces headed by Marea Socialista (Socialist Tide) have put forward 99 candidates, and there may be more. They say they will present candidates in 58% of the electoral districts. One "chavista" dissident, labor leader Marcela Máspero, says "Maduro accentuated corruption, political persecution and harassment of labor. Expropriation was a failure and the proof is that 95% of nationalized companies produce nothing". More in Spanish: (El Nacional: http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Atomizacion-candidatos-signa-comicios_0_682132042.html)

 

US willing to improve relations with Venezuela

US Secretary of State John Kerry says the US is interested in a normal relationship with the Venezuelan government and is talking to Cuban authorities about the matter. He says he spoke to the Cuban regime about "the desire of Washington to increase chances for the Venezuelan people to be protected, respected and represented"; and added that he hopes Venezuela complies with OAS and Human Rights Committee standards on free elections and is accountable to the international community. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

US denies it is stirring chaos in Venezuela

The United States has denied that the Southern Command, in charge of military operations in Latin America, is plotting against the Venezuelan economy, as President Nicolás Maduro has denounced. A spokesperson for the US Southern Command, emphasized that the Command was neither fostering disturbances in Venezuela nor trying to dynamite the Venezuelan economy or its government. Maduro had claimed that a special committee had been created to produce evidence of an alleged destabilization plan led by the Southern Command he called "Plan Buitre" (Vulture Plan). (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150812/us-denies-it-is-stirring-chaos-in-venezuela)

 

One out of every four Venezuelans would rather leave the country

A public opinion study by CONSULTORES 21 shows that one out of every 4 Venezuelans would rather leave for another country than stay in Venezuela. 36.4% of those between 18-24 years old would like to migrate. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 
 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.