Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Calixto Ortega. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Calixto Ortega. Show all posts

Thursday, June 21, 2018

June 21, 2018


International Trade

Over 2,000 tons of food and medical supplies have arrived at Guanta port

2,382 tons of food, medical supplies and basic products were offloaded at the port of Guanta in Eastern Venezuela, in 270 containers aboard the CFS PALAMEDES, from Panama. Products include wheat flour, spaghetti, surgical gloves, medical kits among others. The shipment also included supplies and equipment for the petroleum industry. More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=41128)

 

Economy & Finance

Maduro regime deploys soldiers to markets to check prices

The Maduro regime has deployed soldiers to almost 100 food markets in efforts to counter an "economic war" it says is being waged against it. President Nicolás Maduro ordered the measure, arguing that sellers were charging over the odds for price-controlled items. Venezuela has the highest inflation in the world and there are severe shortages of basic food items. Many Venezuelans report going hungry as they struggle to feed themselves. Maduro blames international sanctions and "greedy businesspeople" for the shortages. His critics say it is his government's policies and those of his predecessor, Hugo Chávez, who ruined the country's economy. President Maduro says that "the take-over of the municipal markets has been a huge success …A great number of mafiosi, wholesalers, thieves and capitalists have been arrested," he said of the markets. "We found everything there, even prostitution." Members of the army and of the National Guard patrolled food stalls across the country. Armed guards were posted at the entrances of the markets. The minister for industry and production, Tarek El Aissami, said they had found "[price] speculation, hoarding and fraudulent price manipulation" at the markets. Aissami was recently named to the newly created post, which is part of President Maduro's plan for a "rebirth" of the Venezuelan economy. The new minister was placed under US sanctions last year after being declared a "Specially Designated Narcotics Trafficker" by the US Treasury. He dismissed the allegations as an "imperialist aggression".  (BBC News: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-44561089)

 

Maduro boosts minimum wage as inflation soars

Venezuela’s president says he is again raising the minimum wage, though it still will be below the equivalent of US$ 2 a month as inflation soars in the crisis-stricken country. President Nicolas Maduro made the announcement Wednesday before a cheering crowd of workers. It is the fourth such increase this year. The boost brings the monthly pay most Venezuelan workers bring home to little more than 5 million bolivars. That is about US$ 1.85 on the commonly used black market exchange. Maduro last raised the minimum wage in April, shortly before officials declared him the winner of a contested presidential election earning him a second term. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuela-president-boosts-minimum-wage-as-inflation-soars/2018/06/20/c7c83b5c-74e7-11e8-bda1-18e53a448a14_story.html; Reuters: https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-venezuela-economy/inflation-hobbled-venezuela-triples-minimum-wage-to-1-14-month-idUKKBN1JH02Z)

 

Venezuela burns US$ 1.77 billion in reserves in a month

Venezuela's international reserves fell US$ 1.765 billion from May 15 to June 15. On May 15, Venezuela's Central Bank reported that it held US$ 10.216 billion.  Venezuela's Central Bank reported that on June 15, it only held US$ 8.451 (after falling US$ 401 million overnight). That US$ 8.451 million is the lowest that Venezuela's reserves have been since September 1990. The US$ 401 million that Venezuela lost overnight on June 15 isn't the largest fall this month.  On June 8, Venezuela's reserves went down US$ 507 million in one day too. Venezuela's reserves hit a high of US$ 42.464 billion on January 7, 2009, but since then the government has liquidated most of its gold reserves and anything else it could sell.  To put Venezuela's US$ 8.45 billion in reserves in perspective, neighboring Colombia has US$ 47.5 billion.  Brazil has US$ 383 billion.  Argentina has US$ 50.8 billion.  Uruguay has US$ 18 billion.  Even Cuba reportedly has US$ 12.8 billion. Last month Venezuela pulled US$ 500 million from its Reserve Tranche Position at the IMF to redeem its gold from a securitized loan.   That US$ 500 million in gold showed up in the Central Bank's April gold balance, increasing Venezuela's gold holdings to US$ 6.88 billion.  That US$ 6.88 billion is down from US$ 21.269 billion in gold that Venezuela held in September 2011.  Venezuela also borrowed another US$ 70 million from its SDR Holdings account in May, leaving it almost empty.  Venezuela has now borrowed US$ 3.5 billion of its SDR allocation from the IMF. It is important to point out that this rapid destruction of reserves is happening while the country is not paying anything on most of its US$ 65 billion in bond debt -- on which, Venezuela and PDVSA would have had to pay over US$ 10 billion this year had they not defaulted.  (Caracas Capital: RMDallen@CaracasCapital.com)

 

Venezuela's creditors working on eventual debt restructuring

Venezuela’s public and private creditors are working on how to one day restructure its debt, though U.S. sanctions make that impossible for now, a source close to the Paris Club of government creditors said on Wednesday. Crippled by a hyperinflationary economic crisis, the cash-strapped Venezuelan government and state oil company PDVSA are in default on most of their $60 billion in outstanding bonds. Including debt owed to other governments and official lenders, the nation’s foreign debt is estimated to stand at US$ 140 billion, with China owed US$ 20-25 billion and Paris Club creditors US$ 5.8 billion. However, any restructuring is all but impossible for now because of U.S. sanctions under which that could be seen as illegal financing by Washington. Any future restructuring is complicated by the fact that some Venezuelan sovereign bonds and no PDVSA bonds are covered by so-called collective action clauses, meaning a minority of bondholders could have scope to hold out in a restructuring deal. “The complexity of a Venezuelan debt restructuring is an issue, the day that it happens. It will be very, very complicated,” the source said. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-debt/venezuelas-creditors-working-on-eventual-debt-restructuring-source-idUSKBN1JG3CA)

 

PETRO currency superintendent ousted

According to information published by Carlos Vargas himself on June 20, the official has been dismissed as Superintendent of Cryptoactives and Related Activities and will return to occupy his seat in the illegal National Constituent Assembly (ANC). Using social networks, Vargas greeted Joselit Ramírez, saying he will be taking the reins of the institution. Vargas was appointed superintendent as of the creation of this government entity in December 2017. He claimed on Twitter that he has been summoned to the ANC to defend the PETRO. Although there has not been an official confirmation, Vargas said goodbye to the institution and the position through this social network. Analysts believe Vargas was removed when the PETRO project failed to meet its target objectives. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/economia/destituido-responsable-implantar-petro_240881)

 

Maduro taps CITGO Engineer Ortega as new central bank chief

Venezuela on Tuesday tapped industrial engineer Calixto Ortega as the country’s new central bank chief as it struggles amidst a hyperinflationary collapse of the national economy. Ortega has served as vice president of finance at CITGO, a U.S. refiner owned by Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA. He replaces outgoing central bank chief Ramon Lobo, who has been leading an effort to cut three zeroes off the country’s bolivar currency and working to rein in consumer price inflation that has unofficially neared 25,000% per year. Ortega was designated by the country’s all-powerful Constituent Assembly, which is 100% controlled by allies of the ruling Socialist Party. He is the hird Venezuelan central bank chief to be named in less than two years. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-cenbank/update-1-venezuela-taps-citgo-engineer-ortega-as-new-central-bank-chief-idUSL1N1TL25R)

 

New US$ 100 million lawsuit filed against Venezuela in US Federal Court

Another ICSID award recipient has just filed a lawsuit against Venezuela to try to collect it’s US$ 100 million award. The VESTEY GROUP, a British food products, cattle and sugar cane business founded by Lord Vestey and his younger brother Sir Edmund in 1895, filed to register and enforce its $102 million ICSID expropriation award against Venezuela in U.S. Federal Court in D.C. This marks the second ICSID award enforcement filed against Venezuela this month, after TENARIS filed on June 9 to enforce its US$ 234 million. VESTEY Had begun its operations in Venezuela in 1909 and by the time of expropriation in 2005, they operated a cattle ranching business with 290,000 hectares of land with over 100,000 heads of livestock. VESTEY originally filed for ICSID arbitration in March of 2006 after then President Chavez expropriated VESTEY's cattle and lands in Venezuela by sending troops to seize them. VESTEY stayed the arbitration after they reached an agreement with Chavez in exchange for giving Chavez the 32,000 acre El Charcote ranch and the 106,000-acre San Pablo Paeno ranch.  In exchange, Chavez allowed VESTEY to retain ownership of 9 of their other ranches. He ended up reneging on the deal and in 2011, expropriated the rest of Vestey's land and cattle.  After VESTEY was unable to get paid, the ICSID arbitration was taken off ice in 2012 and went forward. (Caracas Capital: RMDallen@CaracasCapital.com)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Maduro ally named leader of Venezuela's ruling assembly

Venezuela's all-powerful Constituent Assembly on Tuesday elected Diosdado Cabello as its new president, a month after he was slapped with US sanctions. Cabello, deputy leader of the ruling Socialist Party, was elected by a show of hands of the 545-member Assembly and replaces Delcy Rodriguez, a former foreign minister who President Nicolas Maduro last week appointed as his vice-president. Rodriguez had headed the all-powerful, pro-Maduro Constituent Assembly since its inception in 2017. "I swear I will do what I have to defend the Constitution....I swear I will accompany our beloved brother President Nicolas Maduro in constructing Bolivarian socialism," Cabello said as he was sworn-in. A former speaker of parliament, Cabello was targeted by US sanctions along with his wife and brother. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who announced the sanctions on May 18, said "figures like Diosdado Cabello....exploit their official positions to engage in narcotics trafficking, money laundering, embezzlement of state funds and other corrupt activities." The US Treasury also accused Cabello of working with other blacklisted individuals to move narcotics from Venezuela to Europe via the Dominican Republic, while moving cash back to Venezuela, as well as to Panama and the Bahamas. Swiss and EU authorities had already blacklisted Cabello earlier this year, citing grave human rights abuses. The 2017 vote to elect the Constituent Assembly was boycotted by Venezuela's opposition and not recognized by much of the international community, as it effectively usurped the powers of the opposition-dominated parliament. (The Daily Star: https://www.thedailystar.net/backpage/maduro-ally-named-leader-venezuelas-ruling-assembly-1592977; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2459252&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-politics/venezuela-constituent-assembly-elects-cabello-as-its-new-leader-idUSL5N1SY002; https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics/veteran-chavez-ally-cabello-to-lead-venezuelan-constituent-assembly-idUSKBN1JF32Q; AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/cabello-appointed-president-anc-and-saab-front-truth-commission; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-19/venezuela-constituent-assembly-names-cabello-as-new-president)

 

Maduro regime sends 'coup plotters' to jail

Five members of Venezuela's armed forces and three civilians were imprisoned today, convicted of taking part in a 2015 coup plot against President Nicolas Maduro, a prisoners' rights group said. A military court handed down sentences of between three and six years, the group Foro Penal announced. Maduro publicly denounced a coup plot in February 2015 that he said was backed by sectors of the opposition and financed by the US government. The socialist president referred to it as the "blue coup" – a reference to the color of Venezuela's air force uniform, saying the plot had been "dismantled." At the time, the socialist president said the plot involved bombing the Miraflores presidential palace, other government buildings and the headquarters of the state television. Another rights group, Venezuelan Justice, said Wednesday that around 150 members of Venezuela's armed forces are in prison "for political reasons." (Jamaica Observer: http://www.jamaicaobserver.com/latestnews/Venezuela_sends_coup_plotters_to_jail)

 

European Union approves more sanctions on Maduro regime officials

The 28-nation European Union has agreed to impose additional sanctions on Venezuelan officials “linked to organizing” the snap presidential election held here on May 20th, which most of the international community consider a sham. Nations within the Union must apply the sanctions individually. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/12845/la-ue-da-luz-verde-a-nuevas-sanciones-contra-responsables-venezolanos)

 

Spain’s King Felipe VI calls for joint Venezuela policy during Trump meeting

Spain’s King Felipe VI has called for a “joint effort” to restore democracy to Venezuela during his state visit yesterday with US President Donald Trump. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/rey-felipe-sostuvo-encuentro-con-trump-para-unir-esfuerzos-y-resolver-crisis-de-venezuela)

 

Colombia’s president-elect will not appoint Ambassador to Venezuela

Colombia’s president-elect, Ivan Duque, says he will not appoint an Ambassador to Venezuela as long as Nicolás Maduro – whom he considers “illegitimate”- remains in office. He will maintain “consular relations”. More in Spanish:  (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/presidente-colombiano-ivan-duque-no-enviara-embajador-a-venezuela; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/12740/presidente-electo-de-colombia-presionara-diplomaticamente-por-elecciones-libres-en-venezuela; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/mundo/duque-enviara-embajador-venezuela-por-gobierno-ilegitimo-maduro_240705)

 

2 sentenced in US$ 100 million Venezuela money laundering scheme in Miami

Luis Diaz Jr. and Luis Javier Diaz were sentenced to eight months and four months in prison, respectively, for their roles in funneling more than US$ 100 million through the U.S. financial system on behalf of various foreign businesses based predominantly in Venezuela, according to Geoffrey S. Berman, the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York.  They did so through their Miami-based import/export company, which, for nearly five years, the defendants also used to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business. Luis Diaz Jr. and Luis Javier Diaz were convicted of operating an unlicensed money transmitting business and international money laundering following a jury trial in November 2017 before U.S. District Judge William H. Pauley III, who also imposed today’s sentences. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2459251&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-usa-crime/florida-men-sentenced-to-prison-for-laundering-funds-from-venezuela-idUSKBN1JF394)

 

Singapore is world’s safest destination, Venezuela most lawless — Gallup report

Singapore, Norway and Iceland have emerged as the safest destinations in a new law and order report from Gallup, which polled residents about how secure they feel in their respective countries. According to the results of the Gallup poll, which surveyed 1,000 adults in 142 countries, the top 10 safest places can be found across Asia and Western Europe. At the other end of the index, however, only 17% of Venezuelans said they feel safe walking alone at night, placing the country at the bottom of the heap for the second consecutive year, after war-torn Afghanistan and South Sudan. For the report, Gallup asked respondents four yes or no questions and compiled the responses into an index score for each country. Countries are scored on a 100-point scale. Participants were asked if they had confidence in their local police; felt safe walking alone at night; if they had money or belongings stolen in the last year; and if they had been assaulted or mugged in the last year as well. Globally, the survey reveals that the majority of the world feels safe, with more than two in every three people worldwide expressing confidence in their local law enforcement and the same ratio of respondents saying they feel safe walking alone at night. (Lifestyle Enquirer: http://lifestyle.inquirer.net/298061/p2fb-singapore-worlds-safest-destination-venezuela-lawless-gallup-report/#ixzz5J3yoTJ4Q)

 

For Venezuelan refugees, this bridge connects past and present

The Simón Bolívar bridge, which connects Venezuela and Colombia, has become the epicenter of this massive migration. Thousands of Venezuelan refugees walk across Simón Bolívar bridge into Cúcuta, Colombia, each day. Soon after the border opens in the early hours of the morning, thousands cross by foot from Venezuela to Colombia. Many are ready to leave everything behind, planning not to return to their home country. Some expect to stay in Colombia and others are moving through to different destinations. Another group crosses the bridge to shop for basic items. The number of daily pedestrians varies, but it’s estimated that about 35,000 people are now crossing the bridge every day. Although the region has experienced multiple population movements, this exodus is thought by some to be Latin America’s worst-ever migration crisis. Over the last four years, amid a long and dire economic downfall, Venezuela has seen the impoverishment of its citizens and a resulting mass exodus. The latest re-election of President Nicolás Maduro to a second term hasn’t helped the already tenuous situation, igniting a simmering desire of many Venezuelans to leave the struggling nation. Hyperinflation of the economy, hospitals without supplies, and the rampant spread of hunger have fueled their flight. This mass migration, however, started even earlier, when now-deceased leader Hugo Chavez took office in 1999. Millions of Venezuelans have fled the country in the last 20 years. More than one million Venezuelans have moved to Colombia since 2017, according to the Red Cross. And that number covers only those who passed through approved checkpoints. Crossing the border by foot at spots like the Simón Bolívar bridge is the only option for those unable to pay for a plane ticket. Under the blazing sun, Venezuelan travelers pass into Colombia, juggling overstuffed suitcases and backpacks. Some travel alone, while others walk with family, carrying their children. The route takes refugees through a sea of people, from gold traders who buy desperate Venezuelans’ precious metals to vendors selling one-way tickets to Peru, Chile, and Ecuador. Many queuing to stamp their passports will only stay in Cúcuta temporarily. They have plans to go to other countries and were lucky enough to save sufficient money for bus tickets. Others don’t cross with the same fortune. Some run out of money before completing their planned trip and get stuck in the city. The migration crisis has prompted the Colombian government to allocate more than US$ 3.5 million (U.S.) for health services to migrants from bordering countries, and Cúcuta locals are also doing their part. (National Geographic: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/photography/proof/2018/06/refugees-venezuela-colombia-election-crisis-simon-bolivar-culture/)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, July 26, 2013

July 26, 2013

Economics & Finance
BOFA projects 48.4% inflation for Venezuela this year, a 3.6% drop in GDP. Bank of America Merrill Lynch projects Venezuela's economy will drop by 3.6% this year, inflation will go up to around 48.4% and exports will go down to around U$D 89.9 billion, a 7.6% reduction from 2012. The figures would be the result of a 8.1% drop in domestic demand, down 20.4 points from 2012. Private consumption will decrease by 6%, and public spending by 8.1%, to levels not experienced since the oil strike of 2002-2003. The report also estimates imports will fall by 14.9% to around U$D 51.2 billion, in contrast to last year's increase of 24%. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Next auction sale of US dollars scheduled for July 29. Central Bank President Edmee Betancourt announced that they will hold another auction sale of US dollars next July 29-30 through the Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD). Authorities have said auctions will be held approximately every 15 days, and that CADIVI continues to be the normal way to obtain FOREX. More in Spanish: (AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/subasta-del-sicad-ser%C3%A1-pr%C3%B3xima-semana; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/bcv-convocara-hoy-nueva-subasta-del-sicad.aspx; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/bcv-convocara-este-viernes-a-una-nueva-subasta-del.aspx; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130726/en-proxima-subasta-del-sicad-se-ofertaran-mas-de-200-millones)

International reserves down U$D 3.24 billion in 100 days
Venezuela's economic outlook is terrible in the opinion of experts. In a forum on the first 100 years of government of President Nicolás Maduro, they remarked that existing problems are growing more and more serious. Luis Oliveros, a professor with Metropolitan University, says "only inept and incapable people can produce scarcity with oil prices at USD 100 for three years in a row". At the same time, José Guerra, a professor at Venezuela's Central University says "this is not the failure of a single man, but the failure of a model marked by state control and corruption." (El Universal, 07-24-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130724/international-reserves-down-usd-324-billion-in-100-days)

Venezuela projected to have the lowest economic growth in Latin America
The UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has cut its economic growth forecast for the region in 2013 to 3%, down from 3.5% in April. ECLAC said the reduced growth estimate "was partly due to slow growth in Brazil and Mexico. In addition, several countries that were growing quickly, such as Chile, Panama and Peru, experienced a slowdown in economic activity in recent months." Venezuela is the country with the lowest GDP growth forecast for Latin America for 2013. ECLAC estimated that Venezuelan economic growth would hit only 1% this year, below El Salvador, with 2%. (El Universal, 07-25-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130725/venezuela-to-experience-the-lowest-economic-growth-in-latin-america)

A "central committee" will control sales by basic industries
Ricardo Menéndez, Minister of Industries announced a central committee will be set up to control the sale of products from government owned basic industries. He says they will carry out a first sale of briquettes, with a price established by the government. The product of those sales will be transferred to the Central Bank. (Veneconomy, 07-23-2013; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=35615&idc=3)

Commodities
FERROMINERA grinds to a halt, under military control
A group of workers from the CVG FERROMINERA state-owned iron company have blocked both the main gate and railways leading into the plant, as they reject the firm's militarization which started Wednesday evening.
Demonstrators said the company's board suspended transport service and troops blocked the gates as part of a contingency plan to restart the plant with National Guard troops.  One worker told media that they "seized the railways to prevent trains coming from Ciudad Piar from getting to FERROMINERA or steelmaker SIDOR." The company has responded by making military control more stringent and did not allowed workers on the night shift to enter the plant. Roger Salazar, of the Workers Union (SINTRAFERROMINERA) says the company tried to maintain rail operations with new personnel and even unemployed individuals, and adds: "this regime is killing the first step in the national iron and steel production system, and does not understand that there can be no company without workers." (El Universal, 07-25-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130725/venezuelas-ferrominera-comes-to-a-halt-amid-militarization; and more in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130726/para-contrarrestar-paros-activan-contingencia-en-ferrominera)

REPSOL to invest U$D 1.58 billion in Venezuela in 2012-2016
Spanish oil giant REPSOL announced a U$D 25.13 billion investment plan of for 2012-2013, 6.3% of which is earmarked for Venezuela. According to the plan, around U$D 2.6 billion will be invested in Brazil, U$D 3.04 billion in the US, U$D 1.58 billion in Venezuela, U$D 529.21 million in Russia, and U$D 26.46 million in Spain, AFP reported. (El Universal, 07-25-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130725/repsol-to-invest-usd-158-billion-in-venezuela-in-2012-2016)

Expropriated steel-company SIDETUR defaults says Fitch
Fitch Ratings has taken the following ratings actions on Sidururgica del Turbio S.A. (SIDETUR) and Sidetur Finance B.V.: Sidetur S.A.
  • Foreign currency long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) downgraded to ‘D’ from ‘C’;
  • Local currency long-term IDR downgraded to ‘D’ from ‘C’;
  • National scale rating downgraded to ‘D (ven) from ‘C (ven)’;
  • National short-term rating downgraded to ‘D (ven)’ from ‘C (ven)’.
In case of default, investors who acquired U$D 100 million in company bonds in 2006 can’t demand that the entire balance must be paid to them - this is U$D 75 million, which normally should be amortized every 3 months through 2016. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 07-23-2013; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=885187&CategoryId=10717, and more in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130726/tras-default-de-sidetur-el-pais-podria-ser-demandado-indicadores)

Politics
Opposition charges Maduro is bringing the country down
The United Democratic Conference, Venezuela's opposition umbrella group, says Nicolás Maduro's first 100 days leading the nation have resulted only in demagoguery and destruction of the country. It charges that "false promises" about security "have not prevented over 4,200 individuals from being murdered; the drama inside Venezuelan prisons from worsening; or insecurity from being Venezuelans' main fear. Maduro has proved to have neither the political will nor the capacity to solve insecurity in Venezuela," the MUD stressed. (El Universal, 07-24-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130724/venezuelan-opposition-claims-maduro-is-bringing-the-country-down)

US leaves "door open" to Venezuela
US State Department spokesperson Jen Psaki says the US has left the door open to improve relations with Venezuela, but avoided any sort of rectification as demanded by President Nicolás Maduro, who announced the end of discussions to restore relations after recent statements by Samantha Power, who has been nominated as US ambassador to the United Nations. "We are open to having a positive relationship with Venezuela moving forward. That's what our focus is on, and we still are leaving the door open for that," the spokesperson remarked. Calixto Ortega, Venezuela's charge d'affairs in the US says contacts between both nations are currently "interrupted", but that Maduro's regime is willing to have a "friendly" bilateral relationship. (El Universal, 07-24-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130724/us-leaves-door-open-to-venezuela; More in Spanish: Fox News, http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/espanol/2013/07/24/eeuu-evita-disculparse-con-venezuela-pero-sigue-abierto-al-dialogo/, El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130726/ortega-dice-que-hay-voluntad-para-nexo-amistoso-con-eeuu)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, April 26, 2013

April 26, 2013


Economics & Finance

Treasury needs an additional U$D 53 billion, says ECOANALITICA
A recent report by the ECOANALITICA research firm shows that the government needs U$D 53 billion, in addition to oil and tax income, in order to meet its current obligations. The firm estimates the gap can be covered through further indebtedness and by using money available in parallel funds, such as the National Development Fund, which is managed by the national treasury, but it warns that buffer funds that are outside the formal budget dropped by 35.3% last year. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 04-26-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130426/calculan-que-el-fisco-necesita-53-millardos-adicionales)

Only U$D 638 million available for imports so far this year, 50% drop in imports estimated
Companies in Venezuela are being hit by a severe scarcity of FOREX badly needed for importing raw materials, spare parts, and finished products essential to the domestic supply chain. So far this year only U$D 638 million have been provided to the private sector through the Foreign Currency Administration Commission (CADIVI), as well as the former Transaction System for Foreign Currency Denominated Securities (SITME), and its substitute Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD). The meager supply of FOREX has meant lower stocks and more shortages nationwide. The National Trade and Services Council (CONSECOMERCIO) estimates there has been a 50% drop in imports during Q1 2013, based on data from national ports. There are only 10,000 companies registered within the exchange control system, this is 1.2% of all companies operating nationwide. (El Universal, 04-25-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130425/only-usd-638-million-sold-under-alternative-mechanisms-this-year; and more in Spanish: http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130426/consecomercio-estima-caida-de-50-en-las-importaciones; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/consecomercio-falta-de-divisas-tiene-paralizado-al.aspx)

New central bank's head to face inflation and nose-diving reserves
Former Trade Minister Edmée Betancourt is slated to become the next president of the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) upon being nominated to the National Assembly by President Nicolás Maduro. The Bank has become an appendage of the President's Office which prints bills to finance state-owned companies, fosters the unlimited growth of currency to provide the sense of a booming economy, and transfers the nation's international reserves to the National Development Fund (FONDEN) -which is managed by the president.
Under these conditions, Betancourt's doesn't seem likely to encourage a reform aimed at reversing practices. As a result investment banks such as Barclays Capital have reported to their clients that Betancourt's nomination is not a good signal for the economy.
(El Universal, 04-24-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130424/new-central-banks-head-to-face-inflation-and-nose-diving-reserves)

S&P revises outlook on Venezuela’s PDVSA to negative
Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services revised its outlook on Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) to negative from stable. At the same time, the agency affirmed its ‘B+’ foreign and local currency ratings on PDVSA.
In accordance with the agency’s criteria on government-related entities and assuming no changes in the current likelihood of extraordinary support from the government, the outlook revision on PDVSA reflects the fact that a potential downgrade of Venezuela would lead to a similar rating action on the company. This is due to the agency’s assessment that there is an almost certain likelihood that the government would provide timely and extraordinary support to PDVSA, in case of financial distress. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 04-23-2013; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=756553&CategoryId=10717)

... as well as on CORPOELEC
Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services revised its outlook on Corporacion Electrica Nacional S.A. (CORPOELEC) to negative from stable. At the same time, the agency affirmed its ‘B’ corporate credit rating on the company. The outlook revision follows the April 19 outlook revision on Venezuela (B+/Negative/B). (Latin American Herald Tribune, 04-23-2013; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=757627&CategoryId=10717)

Devaluation hits multinational companies quarterly profits, as at least seven major firms in different areas have listed Venezuela and its weakened currency as the cause for losses or reduced earnings. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, 04-26-2013; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Economia/Empresas/Devaluacion-afecta-ganancias-trimestrales-de-empre.aspx)

Maduro announces Special ALBA-MERCOSUR productive investment economic areas
At a meeting yesterday, President Nicolás Maduro announced the government would establish special economic areas in several parts of the country in order to foster domestic production and exports. More in Spanish: (VTV, 04-26-2013; http://www.vtv.gob.ve/articulos/2013/04/25/presidente-maduro-anuncia-zonas-especiales-de-inversion-productiva-alba-mercosur-472.html; AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/maduro-debemos-avanzar-hacia-expansi%C3%B3n-fuerzas-productivas-del-pa%C3%ADs)

Government will create a national fund for FOREX savings
President Maduro also announced his government is moving toward creating a national fund for savings in foreign currency, under special conditions to attract investment and seek capital repatriation. More in Spanish: (AVN, 04-26-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/ejecutivo-crear%C3%A1-fondo-nacional-ahorros-divisas; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/maduro-plan-de-inyeccion-de-divisas-comenzara-el-2.aspx)



Commodities

Govt plans to bolster energy industrialization
Newly appointed Electricity Minister Jesse Chacon says the Government will bolster industrialization within the nation's electric sector aiming to manufacture tools and supplies to meet the domestic demand and even export to foreign markets. He added that the midterm goal is to "manufacture in Venezuela the supplies which will be used in the electrical sector and, beyond that, export them to ALBA (Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America) and Mercosur (Common Market of the South)." (AVN, 04-25-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/bolivarian-govt-bolster-energy-industrialization; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130425/venezuelan-government-orders-intervention-of-electricity-utility)

... minister pledges to stabilize electric sector within 100 days, or resign

Chacón also undertook a plan to stabilize the national electric system within 100 days, and said he will resign if he cannot meet the goal.  The plan includes maintenance and strategies to lower demand for electricity. More in Spanish: (AVN, 04-26-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/ministro-chac%C3%B3n-se-compromete-estabilizar-sector-el%C3%A9ctrico-100-d%C3%ADas; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130426/deciden-intervenir-y-determinar-responsabilidades-en-corpoelec)


Logistics & Transport

Former workers threaten to paralyze port operations
Former workers at the now defunct National Ports Institute have threatened to block entrances to the nation's main port - Puerto Cabello - if they are not paid at least 20% of what they are currently owed, after they congregated at the entrance of the administration building for Bolivarian Ports (BOLIPUERTOS), unsuccessfully expecting to receive their checks. More in Spanish: (Notitarde, 04-26-2013; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Ex-trabajadores-del-extinto-INP-amenazan-con-parar-el-puerto/2013/04/25/181651; El Carabobeño, http://www.el-carabobeno.com/impreso/articulo/57713/ex-trabajadores-del-inp-amenazaron--con-paralizar-el-puerto-si-no-les-pagan)


Politics

Elections Board steadfastly refuses to allow access to voting registers in audit
To this date the National Elections Board - with the sole exception of independent member Vicente Díaz - has refused requests by opposition election experts to review voting registers and check for duplicate fingerprints, a key part of the audit on 46% unaudited polling centers, as demanded by presidential candidate Henrique Capriles Radonski and the opposition Democratic Unity Conference. The pro-government majority within the Board insists that the system's reliability can be proven by simply matching numbers in poll minutes, voting tickets and the number of voters who signed the registers - but not review each voter. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 04-26-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130426/cne-mantiene-decision-de-verificacion-sin-acceso-a-cuadernos)

Opposition says it will formally contest the election, seek new vote
Opposition leader Henrique Capriles Radonski has announced that he and the National Democratic Conference (MUD) will contest presidential elections held on April 14th. He says: "We will contest the elections and comply with all legal steps, because in the end this will be known worldwide and what would come out of all this is a new election". He also said they would not take part in a fake audit: "We will not take part if there is no checking of voting registers in order to verify fingerprints and signatures, because that would be taking part in a sham and we will not accept it." Capriles said they will take the case to the Supreme Court as part of the required procedures, and that "if Venezuelan justice does not provide an answer we will take this internationally. What has happened here will go all around the world". More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 04-26-2013; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Maduro declares there was no fraud, claiming "this is the same system used to elect members of the National Assembly and Governors." More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 04-26-2013; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Machado says "Some in UNASUR feel cheated by the Elections Board"
National Assembly member María Corina Machado says the opposition has been in touch "with all legislatures in Latin America, Europe, and the World Inter Parliamentary Union, and all have roundly condemned what is happening at the National Assembly and the betrayal of a commitment by Tibisay Lucena and the National Elections Board to fully audit April 14th presidential elections". She added that some UNASUR representatives "believe they were cheated" by the Board, and that what is at stake is whether the regional organization "will be an organization known to defend democracy, or a club of nations meant to cover up each other's serious violations of democracy". More in Spanish: (Tal Cual, 04-26-2013; http://www.talcualdigital.com/index.html)

Fernández and Rousseff meet, discuss Venezuela
Argentine President Cristina Kirchner and Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff met yesterday in Buenos Aires and among other issues discussed the UNASUR declaration on the situation in Venezuela, which the termed "democratic". The UNASUR statement supported the decision to expand the election audit to the total number of voting centers. More in Spanish: (AVN, 04-26-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/presidentas-fern%C3%A1ndez-y-rousseff-destacan-calidad-declaraci%C3%B3n-unasur-sobre-venezuela)

Around 93% of Venezuelans abroad voted for Capriles, further closing vote gap
A preliminary count of the votes cast abroad in the Venezuelan presidential election of April 14 show that opposition candidate Henrique Capriles Radonski won 93% of the ballots. However, these are unofficial results from a manual count conducted by the opposition campaign team, based on the manual tally sheets from the polling stations located in consulates and embassies. These preliminary results are available for consultation on the website comandoexteriorvenezuela.com. (El Universal, 04-24-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130424/some-93-of-venezuelans-abroad-vote-capriles)

Opposition, government wrestle on web, airwaves over clinic firebombing claims
Hours after barely winning Venezuela’s presidential election, the ruling party started to flood state media with accusations that opposition provocateurs were firebombing Cuban-run neighborhood health clinics across the country in revenge. More than a week later, a national dispute is raging as the opposition wages a remarkably successful media counteroffensive showing the claims to be seriously exaggerated and in some cases entirely false. With meticulously dated amateur photos of undamaged clinics, opposition supporters have vividly illustrated how cellphone cameras, Twitter and Facebook can help even the playing field against a government that came to dominate broadcast media during the late Hugo Chavez’s 14-year presidency. (The Washington Post, 04-24-2013; http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/opposition-government-wrestle-on-internet-airwaves-over-clinic-firebombing-claims/2013/04/24/51ef7e34-ad11-11e2-a8e6-b6e4cc7c49d1_story.html; Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/04/24/opposition-government-wrestle-on-internet-airwaves-over-clinic-firebombing/)

Cabello now says he will not pay National Assembly legislators who do not recognize Maduro
National Assembly President Diosdado Cabello, who has refused opposition members the right to speak at the National Assembly unless they first recognize Nicolás Maduro as President, now says he will not pay dissident Assembly members: "This is logical and coherent. How am I to pay a ghost? If they do not work they will not be paid, and they are not working because they do not recognize Maduro". More in Spanish: (El Universal, 04-26-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130426/cabello-no-cobraran-diputados-que-no-reconozcan-a-maduro)

Parliament launches probe into Capriles
The government-controlled parliament set up an inquiry into violence over the disputed election that authorities blame on opposition leader Henrique Capriles. Nine people died and dozens were injured after opposition protests against Nicolas Maduro's narrow April 14 presidential poll win turned violent around the nation. The government said the unrest was evidence the opposition was planning a coup. Capriles' camp rejects that, saying officials exaggerated the violence and included deaths from common crimes to bolster the toll and discredit the opposition. (Reuters, 04-25-2013; http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/25/us-venezuela-opposition-idUSBRE93N0Z320130425)

Deputy Calixto Ortega, appointed chargé d’affaires to the United States, says he will do everything possible to keep improving relations “with the precise instructions our President and the Venezuelan Foreign Affairs Ministry". (Veneconomy, 04-24-2013; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=34434&idc=1; El Universal, 04-24-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130424/venezuela-appoints-calixto-ortega-as-charge-daffaires-to-the-us)

American filmmaker detained in Venezuela post-vote crackdown
A 35-year-old filmmaker from California has been arrested by authorities who are accusing him of fomenting postelection violence on behalf of the U.S. government. President Nicolas Maduro says he personally ordered Timothy Tracy's arrest on suspicion of "creating violence in the cities of this country." The interior minister said Tracy was working for U.S. intelligence, paying right-wing youth groups to hold violent demonstrations in order to destabilize the country after Maduro's narrow election win last week. Friends and family of Tracy say he has been in Venezuela since last year making a documentary about. The Georgetown University English graduate produced the recent Discovery Channel program "Under Siege," about terrorism and smuggling across the U.S./Canada border. He is the first American in recent memory to be detained in Venezuela on politically related charges. (Fox News, 04-25-2013; http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/04/25/us-man-detained-in-venezuela-post-vote-crackdown-family-says-innocent-filmmaker/#ixzz2Ra0WOOjX) 


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.