Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Banco Central de Venezuela. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Banco Central de Venezuela. Show all posts

Thursday, June 21, 2018

June 21, 2018


International Trade

Over 2,000 tons of food and medical supplies have arrived at Guanta port

2,382 tons of food, medical supplies and basic products were offloaded at the port of Guanta in Eastern Venezuela, in 270 containers aboard the CFS PALAMEDES, from Panama. Products include wheat flour, spaghetti, surgical gloves, medical kits among others. The shipment also included supplies and equipment for the petroleum industry. More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=41128)

 

Economy & Finance

Maduro regime deploys soldiers to markets to check prices

The Maduro regime has deployed soldiers to almost 100 food markets in efforts to counter an "economic war" it says is being waged against it. President Nicolás Maduro ordered the measure, arguing that sellers were charging over the odds for price-controlled items. Venezuela has the highest inflation in the world and there are severe shortages of basic food items. Many Venezuelans report going hungry as they struggle to feed themselves. Maduro blames international sanctions and "greedy businesspeople" for the shortages. His critics say it is his government's policies and those of his predecessor, Hugo Chávez, who ruined the country's economy. President Maduro says that "the take-over of the municipal markets has been a huge success …A great number of mafiosi, wholesalers, thieves and capitalists have been arrested," he said of the markets. "We found everything there, even prostitution." Members of the army and of the National Guard patrolled food stalls across the country. Armed guards were posted at the entrances of the markets. The minister for industry and production, Tarek El Aissami, said they had found "[price] speculation, hoarding and fraudulent price manipulation" at the markets. Aissami was recently named to the newly created post, which is part of President Maduro's plan for a "rebirth" of the Venezuelan economy. The new minister was placed under US sanctions last year after being declared a "Specially Designated Narcotics Trafficker" by the US Treasury. He dismissed the allegations as an "imperialist aggression".  (BBC News: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-44561089)

 

Maduro boosts minimum wage as inflation soars

Venezuela’s president says he is again raising the minimum wage, though it still will be below the equivalent of US$ 2 a month as inflation soars in the crisis-stricken country. President Nicolas Maduro made the announcement Wednesday before a cheering crowd of workers. It is the fourth such increase this year. The boost brings the monthly pay most Venezuelan workers bring home to little more than 5 million bolivars. That is about US$ 1.85 on the commonly used black market exchange. Maduro last raised the minimum wage in April, shortly before officials declared him the winner of a contested presidential election earning him a second term. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuela-president-boosts-minimum-wage-as-inflation-soars/2018/06/20/c7c83b5c-74e7-11e8-bda1-18e53a448a14_story.html; Reuters: https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-venezuela-economy/inflation-hobbled-venezuela-triples-minimum-wage-to-1-14-month-idUKKBN1JH02Z)

 

Venezuela burns US$ 1.77 billion in reserves in a month

Venezuela's international reserves fell US$ 1.765 billion from May 15 to June 15. On May 15, Venezuela's Central Bank reported that it held US$ 10.216 billion.  Venezuela's Central Bank reported that on June 15, it only held US$ 8.451 (after falling US$ 401 million overnight). That US$ 8.451 million is the lowest that Venezuela's reserves have been since September 1990. The US$ 401 million that Venezuela lost overnight on June 15 isn't the largest fall this month.  On June 8, Venezuela's reserves went down US$ 507 million in one day too. Venezuela's reserves hit a high of US$ 42.464 billion on January 7, 2009, but since then the government has liquidated most of its gold reserves and anything else it could sell.  To put Venezuela's US$ 8.45 billion in reserves in perspective, neighboring Colombia has US$ 47.5 billion.  Brazil has US$ 383 billion.  Argentina has US$ 50.8 billion.  Uruguay has US$ 18 billion.  Even Cuba reportedly has US$ 12.8 billion. Last month Venezuela pulled US$ 500 million from its Reserve Tranche Position at the IMF to redeem its gold from a securitized loan.   That US$ 500 million in gold showed up in the Central Bank's April gold balance, increasing Venezuela's gold holdings to US$ 6.88 billion.  That US$ 6.88 billion is down from US$ 21.269 billion in gold that Venezuela held in September 2011.  Venezuela also borrowed another US$ 70 million from its SDR Holdings account in May, leaving it almost empty.  Venezuela has now borrowed US$ 3.5 billion of its SDR allocation from the IMF. It is important to point out that this rapid destruction of reserves is happening while the country is not paying anything on most of its US$ 65 billion in bond debt -- on which, Venezuela and PDVSA would have had to pay over US$ 10 billion this year had they not defaulted.  (Caracas Capital: RMDallen@CaracasCapital.com)

 

Venezuela's creditors working on eventual debt restructuring

Venezuela’s public and private creditors are working on how to one day restructure its debt, though U.S. sanctions make that impossible for now, a source close to the Paris Club of government creditors said on Wednesday. Crippled by a hyperinflationary economic crisis, the cash-strapped Venezuelan government and state oil company PDVSA are in default on most of their $60 billion in outstanding bonds. Including debt owed to other governments and official lenders, the nation’s foreign debt is estimated to stand at US$ 140 billion, with China owed US$ 20-25 billion and Paris Club creditors US$ 5.8 billion. However, any restructuring is all but impossible for now because of U.S. sanctions under which that could be seen as illegal financing by Washington. Any future restructuring is complicated by the fact that some Venezuelan sovereign bonds and no PDVSA bonds are covered by so-called collective action clauses, meaning a minority of bondholders could have scope to hold out in a restructuring deal. “The complexity of a Venezuelan debt restructuring is an issue, the day that it happens. It will be very, very complicated,” the source said. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-debt/venezuelas-creditors-working-on-eventual-debt-restructuring-source-idUSKBN1JG3CA)

 

PETRO currency superintendent ousted

According to information published by Carlos Vargas himself on June 20, the official has been dismissed as Superintendent of Cryptoactives and Related Activities and will return to occupy his seat in the illegal National Constituent Assembly (ANC). Using social networks, Vargas greeted Joselit Ramírez, saying he will be taking the reins of the institution. Vargas was appointed superintendent as of the creation of this government entity in December 2017. He claimed on Twitter that he has been summoned to the ANC to defend the PETRO. Although there has not been an official confirmation, Vargas said goodbye to the institution and the position through this social network. Analysts believe Vargas was removed when the PETRO project failed to meet its target objectives. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/economia/destituido-responsable-implantar-petro_240881)

 

Maduro taps CITGO Engineer Ortega as new central bank chief

Venezuela on Tuesday tapped industrial engineer Calixto Ortega as the country’s new central bank chief as it struggles amidst a hyperinflationary collapse of the national economy. Ortega has served as vice president of finance at CITGO, a U.S. refiner owned by Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA. He replaces outgoing central bank chief Ramon Lobo, who has been leading an effort to cut three zeroes off the country’s bolivar currency and working to rein in consumer price inflation that has unofficially neared 25,000% per year. Ortega was designated by the country’s all-powerful Constituent Assembly, which is 100% controlled by allies of the ruling Socialist Party. He is the hird Venezuelan central bank chief to be named in less than two years. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-cenbank/update-1-venezuela-taps-citgo-engineer-ortega-as-new-central-bank-chief-idUSL1N1TL25R)

 

New US$ 100 million lawsuit filed against Venezuela in US Federal Court

Another ICSID award recipient has just filed a lawsuit against Venezuela to try to collect it’s US$ 100 million award. The VESTEY GROUP, a British food products, cattle and sugar cane business founded by Lord Vestey and his younger brother Sir Edmund in 1895, filed to register and enforce its $102 million ICSID expropriation award against Venezuela in U.S. Federal Court in D.C. This marks the second ICSID award enforcement filed against Venezuela this month, after TENARIS filed on June 9 to enforce its US$ 234 million. VESTEY Had begun its operations in Venezuela in 1909 and by the time of expropriation in 2005, they operated a cattle ranching business with 290,000 hectares of land with over 100,000 heads of livestock. VESTEY originally filed for ICSID arbitration in March of 2006 after then President Chavez expropriated VESTEY's cattle and lands in Venezuela by sending troops to seize them. VESTEY stayed the arbitration after they reached an agreement with Chavez in exchange for giving Chavez the 32,000 acre El Charcote ranch and the 106,000-acre San Pablo Paeno ranch.  In exchange, Chavez allowed VESTEY to retain ownership of 9 of their other ranches. He ended up reneging on the deal and in 2011, expropriated the rest of Vestey's land and cattle.  After VESTEY was unable to get paid, the ICSID arbitration was taken off ice in 2012 and went forward. (Caracas Capital: RMDallen@CaracasCapital.com)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Maduro ally named leader of Venezuela's ruling assembly

Venezuela's all-powerful Constituent Assembly on Tuesday elected Diosdado Cabello as its new president, a month after he was slapped with US sanctions. Cabello, deputy leader of the ruling Socialist Party, was elected by a show of hands of the 545-member Assembly and replaces Delcy Rodriguez, a former foreign minister who President Nicolas Maduro last week appointed as his vice-president. Rodriguez had headed the all-powerful, pro-Maduro Constituent Assembly since its inception in 2017. "I swear I will do what I have to defend the Constitution....I swear I will accompany our beloved brother President Nicolas Maduro in constructing Bolivarian socialism," Cabello said as he was sworn-in. A former speaker of parliament, Cabello was targeted by US sanctions along with his wife and brother. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who announced the sanctions on May 18, said "figures like Diosdado Cabello....exploit their official positions to engage in narcotics trafficking, money laundering, embezzlement of state funds and other corrupt activities." The US Treasury also accused Cabello of working with other blacklisted individuals to move narcotics from Venezuela to Europe via the Dominican Republic, while moving cash back to Venezuela, as well as to Panama and the Bahamas. Swiss and EU authorities had already blacklisted Cabello earlier this year, citing grave human rights abuses. The 2017 vote to elect the Constituent Assembly was boycotted by Venezuela's opposition and not recognized by much of the international community, as it effectively usurped the powers of the opposition-dominated parliament. (The Daily Star: https://www.thedailystar.net/backpage/maduro-ally-named-leader-venezuelas-ruling-assembly-1592977; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2459252&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-politics/venezuela-constituent-assembly-elects-cabello-as-its-new-leader-idUSL5N1SY002; https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics/veteran-chavez-ally-cabello-to-lead-venezuelan-constituent-assembly-idUSKBN1JF32Q; AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/cabello-appointed-president-anc-and-saab-front-truth-commission; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-19/venezuela-constituent-assembly-names-cabello-as-new-president)

 

Maduro regime sends 'coup plotters' to jail

Five members of Venezuela's armed forces and three civilians were imprisoned today, convicted of taking part in a 2015 coup plot against President Nicolas Maduro, a prisoners' rights group said. A military court handed down sentences of between three and six years, the group Foro Penal announced. Maduro publicly denounced a coup plot in February 2015 that he said was backed by sectors of the opposition and financed by the US government. The socialist president referred to it as the "blue coup" – a reference to the color of Venezuela's air force uniform, saying the plot had been "dismantled." At the time, the socialist president said the plot involved bombing the Miraflores presidential palace, other government buildings and the headquarters of the state television. Another rights group, Venezuelan Justice, said Wednesday that around 150 members of Venezuela's armed forces are in prison "for political reasons." (Jamaica Observer: http://www.jamaicaobserver.com/latestnews/Venezuela_sends_coup_plotters_to_jail)

 

European Union approves more sanctions on Maduro regime officials

The 28-nation European Union has agreed to impose additional sanctions on Venezuelan officials “linked to organizing” the snap presidential election held here on May 20th, which most of the international community consider a sham. Nations within the Union must apply the sanctions individually. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/12845/la-ue-da-luz-verde-a-nuevas-sanciones-contra-responsables-venezolanos)

 

Spain’s King Felipe VI calls for joint Venezuela policy during Trump meeting

Spain’s King Felipe VI has called for a “joint effort” to restore democracy to Venezuela during his state visit yesterday with US President Donald Trump. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/rey-felipe-sostuvo-encuentro-con-trump-para-unir-esfuerzos-y-resolver-crisis-de-venezuela)

 

Colombia’s president-elect will not appoint Ambassador to Venezuela

Colombia’s president-elect, Ivan Duque, says he will not appoint an Ambassador to Venezuela as long as Nicolás Maduro – whom he considers “illegitimate”- remains in office. He will maintain “consular relations”. More in Spanish:  (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/presidente-colombiano-ivan-duque-no-enviara-embajador-a-venezuela; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/12740/presidente-electo-de-colombia-presionara-diplomaticamente-por-elecciones-libres-en-venezuela; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/mundo/duque-enviara-embajador-venezuela-por-gobierno-ilegitimo-maduro_240705)

 

2 sentenced in US$ 100 million Venezuela money laundering scheme in Miami

Luis Diaz Jr. and Luis Javier Diaz were sentenced to eight months and four months in prison, respectively, for their roles in funneling more than US$ 100 million through the U.S. financial system on behalf of various foreign businesses based predominantly in Venezuela, according to Geoffrey S. Berman, the United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York.  They did so through their Miami-based import/export company, which, for nearly five years, the defendants also used to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business. Luis Diaz Jr. and Luis Javier Diaz were convicted of operating an unlicensed money transmitting business and international money laundering following a jury trial in November 2017 before U.S. District Judge William H. Pauley III, who also imposed today’s sentences. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2459251&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-usa-crime/florida-men-sentenced-to-prison-for-laundering-funds-from-venezuela-idUSKBN1JF394)

 

Singapore is world’s safest destination, Venezuela most lawless — Gallup report

Singapore, Norway and Iceland have emerged as the safest destinations in a new law and order report from Gallup, which polled residents about how secure they feel in their respective countries. According to the results of the Gallup poll, which surveyed 1,000 adults in 142 countries, the top 10 safest places can be found across Asia and Western Europe. At the other end of the index, however, only 17% of Venezuelans said they feel safe walking alone at night, placing the country at the bottom of the heap for the second consecutive year, after war-torn Afghanistan and South Sudan. For the report, Gallup asked respondents four yes or no questions and compiled the responses into an index score for each country. Countries are scored on a 100-point scale. Participants were asked if they had confidence in their local police; felt safe walking alone at night; if they had money or belongings stolen in the last year; and if they had been assaulted or mugged in the last year as well. Globally, the survey reveals that the majority of the world feels safe, with more than two in every three people worldwide expressing confidence in their local law enforcement and the same ratio of respondents saying they feel safe walking alone at night. (Lifestyle Enquirer: http://lifestyle.inquirer.net/298061/p2fb-singapore-worlds-safest-destination-venezuela-lawless-gallup-report/#ixzz5J3yoTJ4Q)

 

For Venezuelan refugees, this bridge connects past and present

The Simón Bolívar bridge, which connects Venezuela and Colombia, has become the epicenter of this massive migration. Thousands of Venezuelan refugees walk across Simón Bolívar bridge into Cúcuta, Colombia, each day. Soon after the border opens in the early hours of the morning, thousands cross by foot from Venezuela to Colombia. Many are ready to leave everything behind, planning not to return to their home country. Some expect to stay in Colombia and others are moving through to different destinations. Another group crosses the bridge to shop for basic items. The number of daily pedestrians varies, but it’s estimated that about 35,000 people are now crossing the bridge every day. Although the region has experienced multiple population movements, this exodus is thought by some to be Latin America’s worst-ever migration crisis. Over the last four years, amid a long and dire economic downfall, Venezuela has seen the impoverishment of its citizens and a resulting mass exodus. The latest re-election of President Nicolás Maduro to a second term hasn’t helped the already tenuous situation, igniting a simmering desire of many Venezuelans to leave the struggling nation. Hyperinflation of the economy, hospitals without supplies, and the rampant spread of hunger have fueled their flight. This mass migration, however, started even earlier, when now-deceased leader Hugo Chavez took office in 1999. Millions of Venezuelans have fled the country in the last 20 years. More than one million Venezuelans have moved to Colombia since 2017, according to the Red Cross. And that number covers only those who passed through approved checkpoints. Crossing the border by foot at spots like the Simón Bolívar bridge is the only option for those unable to pay for a plane ticket. Under the blazing sun, Venezuelan travelers pass into Colombia, juggling overstuffed suitcases and backpacks. Some travel alone, while others walk with family, carrying their children. The route takes refugees through a sea of people, from gold traders who buy desperate Venezuelans’ precious metals to vendors selling one-way tickets to Peru, Chile, and Ecuador. Many queuing to stamp their passports will only stay in Cúcuta temporarily. They have plans to go to other countries and were lucky enough to save sufficient money for bus tickets. Others don’t cross with the same fortune. Some run out of money before completing their planned trip and get stuck in the city. The migration crisis has prompted the Colombian government to allocate more than US$ 3.5 million (U.S.) for health services to migrants from bordering countries, and Cúcuta locals are also doing their part. (National Geographic: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/photography/proof/2018/06/refugees-venezuela-colombia-election-crisis-simon-bolivar-culture/)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

June 11, 2013

Economics & Finance

Venezuela hit by fears of hyperinflation and recession. Hyperinflation is looming in Venezuela, with prices suffering their highest monthly rise on record in May, while the economy slides into recession and the popularity of Nicolas Maduro wanes. Prices rose 6.1% in May, compared with 1.6% in the same period last year, bringing accumulated inflation for the first five months of 2013 to 19.4%, almost as high as the annual figure for 2012 of 20.1%.  The sudden jump in prices, with the 4.3% rise in April already sounding alarms, has triggered fears at Goldman Sachs that Venezuela could be on the brink of hyperinflation. At present, the annualized rate of inflation in Venezuela is 35.2%. At the same time, the economy is losing steam, with 0.7% growth registered in the first quarter of 2013, compared with 5.9% in the same period last year. Analysts at London-based consultancy Capital Economics suspect that the Venezuelan economy may already be in recession, and forecast that gross domestic product will contract by 1% this year.  “The Maduro administration seems to be incapable of acting and is locked in internecine policy and power conflicts that are causing paralysis,” says Russ Dallen, managing partner at Caracas Capital Markets. (Financial Times, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b41fbcb4-d0f1-11e2-be7b-00144feab7de.html#axzz2VmcrDONS)

Country risk up 18% since 14 April elections
According to economist Alfredo Puerta, Venezuela´s country risk has risen 18% since President Maduro was elected, and is now at 876, above high risk nations such as Greece, Iraq or the Ukraine. These conditions render it very unlikely for new debt to be issued in the short term. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 06-11-2013; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

New legal FOREX market under study
In a report on Venezuela BARCLAYS Capital predicts the nation's exchange system will be adjusted over the next few months. The firm says that after meetings between government representatives and the private sector, authorities have a more pragmatic attitude and that a number of steps are being taken which indicate "a shift toward moderation in economic policy". The report adds that authorities are working toward making the FOREX system more flexible, which could involve a short renewal of SICED (Ancillary FOREX System), and seeking legal means to open an unofficial but legal market. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-11-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130611/se-analizan-vias-legales-para-crear-otro-mercado-de-divisas; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/barclays--gobierno-venezolano-estudia-retorno-del.aspx)

Finding scarce food and toilet paper in Venezuela _ now there’s a free mobile app for that
Harried Venezuelans who devote hours scouring supermarkets for increasingly scarce food basics and toilet paper have just received some digital help thanks to a young software developer. A free application for mobile devices written by Jose Augusto Montiel lets people notify one another where flour, sugar, milk, cooking oil and toilet paper are for sale. It has been downloaded more than 12,000 times. The app, known as ABASTECEME, or Supply Me, is Android-based and relies on Google Maps for geographic location. It leverages what is known in the tech world as crowd-sourcing, with users notifying one another where a certain product is for sale. Basic items such as wheat flour and butter have gone missing on store shelves throughout Venezuela. Economists blame government-imposed price controls, while President Nicolas Maduro says greedy merchants are hoarding goods. (The Washington Post, 06-09-2013; http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/finding-scarce-food-in-venezuela-theres-an-app-for-that/2013/06/09/93960792-d10e-11e2-9577-df9f1c3348f5_story.html; Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2013/06/10/finding-toilet-paper-in-venezuela-app-for-that/)

FEDECAMARAS says supply crisis will not ease soon
Jorge Botti, President of FEDECÁMARAS says the nation's economic condition "continues to be pressing", and that "we cannot expect short term improvement in the supply system". He was positive that there is "finally" an "open discussion" between private companies and the Government, but noted that despite intentions there have been "contradictions between speeches by ministers for the economy, and political discourse". He added that there have been no signs of rising confidence as "the business community cannot very well digest talk of an armed, but peaceful, labor militia". More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-11-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130611/fedecamaras-senala-que-el-abastecimiento-no-mejorara-en-el-corto-plazo)

Food minister seeks to avoid panic buying
Food Minister Felix Osorio said on Twitter that panic buying has caused an excessive consumption of staples, making it more difficult catch up with domestic supplies. He said that public behavior, going in masse to supermarkets to purchase more products than they need, is due to a campaign launched by some media. (AVN, 06-10-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/food-minister-urges-prevent-panic-buying)

6.7% drop in minimum wage purchasing power for minimum wage over past eight months
Inflation has eroded the purchasing power of those who earn a minimum wage in Venezuela, despite the latest wage increase. In eight months their power to buy goods and services has fallen 6.7% in view of accelerated price increases this year. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, 06-11-2013; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/laboral/en-ocho-meses-el-poder-de-compra-del-salario-minim.aspx#ixzz2Vu5h8yxe)

Commodities

GRUMA seeks ICSID arbitration vs. Venezuela
Mexican cornmeal giant GRUMA has sued Venezuela at ICSID, the World Bank's- International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes after three years of failed negotiations on setting up a joint venture following the expropriation of their operations here. In April GRUMA said they continued to operate their 15 plants locally, in association with authorities, as they defined the terms of nationalization ordered by the late President Chavez. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-11-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130611/gruma-solicita-arbitraje-ante-el-ciadi-contra-venezuela)

SIDOR and ORINOCO Iron pellet plants paralyzed
SIDOR's pellet plant has stopped operating completely due to a lack of iron ore caused by am eight day old strike at CVG Ferrominera Orinoco, which has halted dispatches. Their stoppage hits the entire briquette industry. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-11-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130611/se-paralizan-planta-de-pellas-de-sidor-y-orinoco-iron)

International Trade

Government directly controls of 45% of imports
According to Central Bank data over the past five years, imports increased by 20% but were driven by the public sector. The government went from receiving 25% of shipments in the first quarter of 2009 to 45.6% of the total, whereas 54.4% goes to the private sector. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-02-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130602/el-estado-controlo-mas-del-45-de-las-importaciones)

Logistics & Transport

Cargo volumes down 35% year to date
As the drop in imports continues so has cargo brought in by carriers. Eddy Meayke, President of the Shipping Association says "It is a difficult situation; cargo volume has dropped 30-35% compared to the same time frame last year". He says the fleet is "ready and available" for the time when FOREX controls are eased so that private companies can increase volume. Eduardo Quintana, First Vice President of FEDECÁMARAS Vargas estimates there is a 75% drop in imports this year. He called the situation critical and says port operations are almost paralyzed. (El Nacional, 06-11-2013; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Politics

Colombia suggests UN should check out Venezuelan claims
Colombia's Vice President Angelino Garzón has proposed that the UN should verify Venezuelan allegations that the opposition has purchased aircraft to attack Venezuela from Colombia. The allegations were first made by José Vicente Rangel, recently appointed as member of the Council of State, and also former Vice President, Foreign Minister and Defense Minister within the Chavez regime. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-11-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130611/colombia-sugiere-que-onu-revise-denuncia-de-rangel)

Maduro calls the Council of State to define relations with Colombia
President Nicolas Maduro called a State Council meeting next Tuesday in order to "define" relations with Colombia. The relationship between the two countries strained after Santos received opposition leader Henrique Capriles and after the announcement of the government of Juan Manuel Santos to seek closer ties with NATO. The purpose of the meeting is to draft a document that expresses the vision of the relations between the two countries, Maduro said. More in Spanish: (CNN, 06-09-2013; http://cnnespanol.cnn.com/2013/06/09/maduro-convoca-al-consejo-de-estado-para-definir-relaciones-con-colombia/?iref=allsearch)

Santos: I did not intend to provoke Maduro when I met with opponent
Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos seeks positive relations with Venezuela and claims he had no intention to "provoke" President Nicolás Maduro when he met in Bogotá with opposition leader Henrique Capriles.
"I am a democrat and I think it is normal to meet with the government and the opposition," Santos.
"It was not my intention to provoke a friendly government with whom we have good relations, even though we are very different in many ways and have different views," the president said in an attempt to appease the Venezuela-Colombia diplomatic tensions ignited by his meeting with Capriles.
(El Universal, 06-08-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130608/santos-i-did-not-intend-to-provoke-maduro-when-i-met-with-dissenter)

"Audit" by Electoral Council confirms Maduro win
Venezuela’s Electoral Council has completed an audit of results from April’s bitterly contested presidential election, and as expected it confirmed Nicolas Maduro’s 1.5% victory. No government official appeared publicly to comment on the outcome, but an official at the council confirmed on Sunday a report by the state-run AVN news agency that the audit supported the official vote count. The opposition has complained that the council ignored its demand for a full recount. That would have included not just comparing votes electronically registered by machines with the paper ballot receipts they emitted, but also comparing those with the poll station registries that contain voter signatures and with digitally recorded fingerprints. (The Washington Post, 06-09-2013; http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/audit-by-venezuela-electoral-council-confirms-presidential-win-for-chavez-heir-nicolas-maduro/2013/06/09/cf977f42-d162-11e2-9577-df9f1c3348f5_story.html; Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/06/09/audit-by-venezuela-electoral-council-confirms-presidential-win-for-chavez-heir/)

Maduro says he has halted plans to restrict food sales in Zulia state
President Nicolas Maduro says he has put a halt to a plan to restrict sales of 20 basic food products in Venezuela’s most populous state, a scheme critic had deemed rationing in disguise. Officials in western Zulia state had said the plan to limit sales of items such as cooking oil, flour, chicken and toilet paper — all of which are subject to price controls — could begin as early as Monday at 65 supermarkets. But they never explained exactly how it would work. Data on purchases would reside on computer servers to guarantee that individuals did not make multiple purchases of the same item in different supermarkets, they said. (The Washington Post, 06-08-2013; http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuelas-president-says-hes-asked-that-food-restrictions-not-proceed/2013/06/08/415195b6-d06c-11e2-9772-6fcf660e8c49_story.html)

Diosdado Cabello meets with Raul and Fidel Castro in Cuba
Diosdado Cabello, president of the National Assembly, met with President Raul Castro and Fidel Castro to discuss bilateral relations and challenges to Venezuela. Cabello's activities included meetings with Esteban Lazo, President of the Cuban parliament and leaders of the Communist Party. More in Spanish: (CNN, 06-09-2013; http://cnnespanol.cnn.com/2013/06/09/diosdado-cabello-se-reune-con-raul-y-fidel-castro-en-cuba/?iref=allsearch)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

May 07, 2013


Economics & Finance

Government fine tunes exchange and price policies
Pressured by the short supply in basic staples within the domestic market, business half-operating businesses for lack of inputs, and a cooling economy, the government is striving to improve FOREX allocations and pondering changes in price controls. President Nicolás Maduro recently said that Finance Minister Nelson Merentes will announce a plan for apportioning US dollars in order to end with "caseload" of unmet applications at the Foreign Exchange Administration Board (CADIVI). (El Universal, 05-04-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130504/venezuelan-government-refines-exchange-and-price-policy)

Scarcities will not soon end
According to estimations by the ECONOMÉTRICA research firm, imports have dropped during Q1 2013, and it believes the trend must be closely monitored as "a severe contraction would mark the beginning of an economic recession", adding that "it will be difficult to abate shortages in the near term". More in Spanish: (El Universal, 05-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130507/estiman-que-la-escasez-no-se-reducira-en-el-corto-plazo)

Central Bank is unlikely to pay debts to private sector
FEDECÁMARAS First Vice President Jorge Roig applauded moves to accelerate FOREX allocations,but said "the bad news we have is that operational reserves are very low".  More in Spanish: (El Universal, 05-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130507/dudan-que-bcv-pueda-liquidar-deuda-con-sector-privado)

Merentes unable to overcome high risk perception
Finance Minister Nelson Merentes is on a crusade to improve negative perceptions on Venezuela's economy, but his meetings with the business community have not led to better bond ratings for either the government or PDVSA. Neither have they clarified what economic course the government will set. Three weeks after the recent Presidential elections sovereign and PDVSA bonds remain 4 points below their pre-election prices. According to a report prepared for Bank of America by analyst Francisco Rodríguez, "many multinationals have registered great losses due to devaluation, and this makes headquarters reluctant to increase financing to their subsidiaries."  Rodríguez adds that "as recession deepens, Maduro's approval ratings will continue downward and this will lead some in the opposition to become more confrontational". More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 05-07-2013; http://www.el-nacional.com/)



Commodities

PDVSA's accounts receivable soared 32% in 2012
State oil company PDVSA's annual report for 2012 reveals that its receivables soared 32% in 2012, from U$D 31.57 billion in 2011 to U$D 41.70 billion in 2012. The results were strongly influenced by government debts to PDVSA, which are mainly due to oil and byproducts supplied to foreign governments. Official debts are 74.5% of PDVSA's total receivables. (El Universal, 05-06-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130506/pdvsas-accounts-receivable-soar-32-in-2012)

Oil and fuel exports rose, crude output slips
Venezuela's oil and fuel exports rose slightly in 2012 over the previous year even as crude production and refinery output slipped, the oil minister said on Friday, as the nation relied on imports to meet part of local fuel demand. Exports rose 4% to reach 2.57 million barrels per day (bpd) while oil production slipped 3% to 3.03 million bpd from 3.13 million bpd, state oil company PDVSA said. The total amount of oil processed by Venezuelan refineries dropped 13%. Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez said PDVSA last year imported refined products to supply the domestic market. He said it also imported naphtha to blend with extra-heavy crude from the vast Orinoco belt and exported the resulting mix. (Reuters, 05-03-2013; http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/03/venezuela-oil-idUSL2N0DK18820130503; Veneconomy, 05-06-2013; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=34558&idc=4)

PDVSA's partners could be out if they fail to boost production
Private-owned oil companies operating in partnership with PDVSA in traditional areas must meet the oil output increase ordered by the Ministry of Petroleum and Mining. If they fail to do so, their partnerships may be dissolved. Oil minister and PDVSA president, Rafael Ramírez says some small join ventures that were operating agreements must now become part of a single company to make them financially viable. (El Universal, 05-06-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130506/pdvsas-partners-could-be-out-if-failing-to-boost-production)



International Trade

PETROCARIBE economic zone created
An agreement to create an economic region for investment, trade and common development among PETROCARIBE member states was approved during a presidential summit of the group, in order to solidify the energy, economic and finance stability in the region. President Nicolas Maduro and 19 delegations, agreed to begin working to create the zone, which extends scope of an alliance that was limited to oil affairs and now aims at "investing, trading to carry out joint productive, tourism projects." (AVN, 05-05-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/petrocaribe-economic-zone-passed; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130506/firm-results-expected-from-petrocaribe-zone-in-june)

Honduras and Guatemala added to the PETROCARIBE program
Honduras and Guatemala have been included in the Petrocaribe program, under which his country provides oil and natural gas on preferential terms. President Nicolas Maduro made the announcement Sunday as he hosted a PETROCARIBE summit bringing together Latin American and Caribbean leaders in Venezuela’s capital. (The Washington Post, 05-05-2013; http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/venezuelas-maduro-says-honduras-and-guatemala-have-been-added-to-petrocaribe-program/2013/05/05/505c63e2-b5c8-11e2-b568-6917f6ac6d9d_story.html)

Guyana to resume rice exports to Venezuela under new PETROCARIBE deal
Guyana says it will resume rice shipments to Venezuela following the renewal of a U$D 130 million rice-for-oil deal between the two countries. Agriculture Minister Leslie Ramsammy said Saturday that Guyana could export as much as 210,000 metric tons (231,500 tons) of rice in the next two weeks. He said he expects to travel to the Caracas in about a week to hasten the renewed PETROCARIBE deal, which offers fuel at preferential terms. (The Washington Post, 05-04-2013; http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/guyana-to-resume-rice-exports-to-venezuela-under-new-petrocaribe-deal/2013/05/04/9d94f706-b4d7-11e2-9fb1-62de9581c946_story.html)

Maduro to visit Mercosur nations this week
Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro informed that he will start a formal call through Argentina, Uruguay and Brazil, member states of the Common Market of the South (Mercosur) next Tuesday, May 7. (AVN, 05-06-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/maduro-visit-mercosur-nations-week)


Logistics & Transport

Port activities down 20-30% due to delays in accessing foreign exchange and bureaucratic processes to import goods. This situation has led to shortages of some products. The decline is hitting over 700 companies working in the port. More in Spanish: (El Carabobeño, 05-06-2013; http://www.el-carabobeno.com/impreso/articulo/58997/actividades-portuarias-cayeron--entre-20-y-30-por-ciento)



Politics

Dialogue begins at the National Assembly
Pro government and opposition legislators have begun talks in order to try to reach an agreement which will allow the National Assembly to function. Roberto Enriquez, President of the COPEI party had earlier said they would seek to renew debates "with no limitation whatsoever on what the Constitution mandates, and put an end to insults and most particularly, aggressions" that took place in recent sessions. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 05-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130507/oficialismo-y-oposicion-abren-dialogo-en-la-asamblea)

Capriles brings additional challenge on election
Miranda Governor Henrique Capriles is bringing a new challenge against the recent Presidential elections to the Venezuelan Supreme Court. The former presidential candidate says he will bring additional proof on each of the charges made against the election, and added he has brought action "in view of the refusal of the Elections Board to carry out a full audit". More in Spanish: (El Universal, 05-07-2013, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130507/nueva-impugnacion-de-las-elecciones-presentaran-hoy)

Colombia protests Maduro references to former President Alvaro Uribe
Colombian Foreign Minister María Ángela Holguín called in Venezuela's Ambassador to Bogotá, Iván Rincón, to protest references by Nicolás Maduro toward former Colombian President Álvaro Uribe, whom Maduro he termed a "murderer" and accused of plotting to kill him. Earlier, Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos had instructed the Foreign Minister to establish diplomatic contact to uphold the "dignity" of the former President. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 05-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130507/colombia-expreso-a-venezuela-inconformidad-por-tema-uribe)

Maduro begins tour of MERCOSUR
President Nicolas Maduro says a tour he is taking to Uruguay, Argentina and Brazil aims at strengthening food supplies for Venezuela. He says he will seek to ensure a three month supply of staples, including food, personal care, home and consumer products. More in Spanish: (AVN, 05-07-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/ampliar-reserva-alimentaria-ser%C3%A1-tema-esencial-gira-del-presidente-maduro; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/maduro-saldra-de-gira-internacional-para-buscar-al.aspx; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Economia/Internacional/Maduro-buscara-alimentos-en-su-primera-gira-intern.aspx)

Nicaragua owes Venezuela U$D 2.188 billion according to a report by Nicaragua's Central Bank, which shows the amount reflected under ALBANISA, a consortium created to manage Venezuela's funding. This makes Venezue1la Nicaragua's main creditor, for almost half of the Central American nation's public foreign debt. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, 05-07-2013; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Economia/Internacional/Nicaragua-le-debe--2-188-millones-a-Venezuela.aspx)

No democracy in Venezuela, according to 130 countries
Representatives of 130 Foreign Offices of nations considered democratic met last week at the Summit of the Community of Democracies in Mongolia. Venezuela was one of a small group of 16 nations not invited for failing to meet the minimum requirements. Nations attending are required to have free elections, uphold human rights, ensure freedom of the press and freedom of association are ensured, and enforce the rule of law. (El Universal, 05-06-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130506/no-democracy-in-venezuela-according-to-130-countries)

Venezuela rebuffs Obama, repeats case against U.S. 'spy'
Venezuela brushed off criticism from U.S. President Barack Obama and maintained its accusation that an American detainee in Caracas is a spy pretending to be a filmmaker. During his visit to Latin America, Obama said the allegations against Tim Tracy, 35, were "ridiculous." But Interior Minister Miguel Rodriguez Torres insisted that intelligence agents tracking Tracy since late 2012 had uncovered ample evidence he was plotting with militant anti-government factions to destabilize Venezuela with violence. "When you want to do intelligence work in another country, all those big powers who do this type of spying, they often use the facade of a filmmaker, documentary-maker, photographer or journalist," he told state TV. (Reuters, 05-06-2013; http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/06/venezuela-usa-idUSL2N0DM0D520130506; El Universal, 05-06-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130506/venezuelan-public-authorities-repudiate-obamas-statements; The Washington Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/obama-idea-that-american-detained-by-venezuela-is-a-spy-is-ridiculous/2013/05/04/1b2ae9f0-b4fb-11e2-9fb1-62de9581c946_story.html)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.