Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Coca-Cola. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Coca-Cola. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

October 23, 2018


International Trade

Mexico prosecutors find fraud in Venezuela food aid program

Mexican Prosecutors say that people linked to the Venezuelan government and Mexican companies conspired to overcharge Venezuela for basic food aid packages. Known as "CLAP" packages, the food is supposedly subsidized by Venezuela's socialist administration to provide a bare level of subsistence to many families facing hunger amid the country's hyperinflation and economic breakdown. But Mexican prosecutors said an investigation found that the Venezuelan officials and Mexican businessmen bought poor quality items in bulk and exported them to Venezuela at more than double their real price. Mexico's top organized crime prosecutor, Israel Lira, said the suspects have agreed to pay US$ 3 million in reparations to the U.N. refugee agency, to be used for its Latin America operations. The agency is focused overwhelmingly now on helping Colombia resettle hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans fleeing the humanitarian crisis. Lira said prosecutors located 1,300 shipping containers with 1.8 million packages but allowed them to continue to Venezuela to avoid affecting recipients. U.S. Treasury Department officials previously compiled a list of suspected shell companies that they believe senior Venezuelan officials have used around the globe to siphon off millions of dollars from food import contracts. Financial forensic investigators from the U.S. and three Latin American allies — Mexico, Panama and Colombia — traced transactions by companies believed to be controlled by a government-connected businessman. Much of the food comes from Mexico, and there have been complaints about its quality. On May 17, three days before Maduro was re-elected, Colombia announced the seizure of 15 shipping containers filled with more than 25,000 CLAP boxes containing beetle-infested rice and other spoiled food. A story published by The Associated Press in 2016 revealed how senior Venezuelan officials and members of the military were enriching themselves by diverting money from food contracts. Alex Saab, from the Colombian city of Barranquilla, has been identified by U.S. officials as a major focus of the investigation. Saab gained some prominence in 2011 after signing an agreement to build social housing for the Venezuelan government on behalf of a Colombia-based construction company. Investigators have said Saab entered the food business through a Hong Kong-based company, Group Grand Ltd., which they said bears the hallmarks of a shell company, including no known track record in the food business, a rudimentary website that is now inaccessible and an address in Caracas shared with Saab's construction company. Group Grand has been awarded contracts to provide at least 11.5 million CLAP boxes, according to a Venezuelan Food Ministry spreadsheet. Among the transactions that have raised red flags is a September 2017 invoice presented to Venezuela's food ministry by Group Grand for US$ 41 million worth of powdered milk at a price of US$ 6,950 per metric ton, or more than double the market price at the time. A copy of the invoice was provided to the AP. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article220266500.html)

 

Oil & Energy

Caracas to divert oil shipments away from Beijing

Venezuelan state-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) may begin cutting shipments to China that are used to pay for previous loans in favor of prioritizing shipments to the United States or India, which pay in cash. PDVSA will not receive any further Chinese loans to raise production from joint ventures if the company defaults further on Beijing's loans. Redirecting oil shipments would be a short-term strategy to free up more cash for pressing necessities such as debt and arbitration payments. (Stratfor: https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/china-venezuela-caracas-divert-oil-shipments-away-beijing)

 

Blackouts force Venezuelans to live and work — even perform surgery — in darkness

Blackouts in Zulia state, an area of northwestern Venezuela that includes the country’s second-largest city of Maracaibo, have become commonplace in the last year. Food and medicine were already increasingly scarce in Venezuela, but the power cuts that come without warning — sometimes more than once a day — are a new form of misery. And though some widespread outages have reached the capital of Caracas, Zulia — the heart of Venezuela’s energy industry — has turned out to be particularly vulnerable to the rolling blackouts. The government has blamed the outages on a variety of things — including pesky animals. In an Oct. 20 tweet, Energy Minister Luis Motta Dominguez named “rats, mice, snakes, cats, squirrels” as possible culprits in shorting out lines. He added: “In the list of animals mentioned above, of course iguanas are included.” Critics, however, say insufficient investment by the government is the cause, following the 2007 nationalization of the electricity sector. Zulia has experienced 11,131 power failures between January and September this year, according to a civil association called the Blackouts Committee, which receives daily reports of power cuts from citizens. Public transportation, already diminished by the economic crisis, becomes even more dysfunctional when the power flickers and goes out. Communications work erratically. People’s routines are on hold. Lines of cars are two blocks long at gas stations. Commerce and education are paralyzed. Omar Prieto, Zulia’s governor and a support of President Nicolás Maduro, declared in early October that the electric crisis in Zulia was over. But then a massive power failure in a substation in Carabobo left 11 Venezuelan states, Zulia included, without electricity for 12 to 18 hours on Oct. 15. José Aguilar, a Venezuelan power generation and risk consultant, says the power system has been in trouble since 2009, prompting the late President Hugo Chávez to announce new investment and more emphasis on the power system. He said that more than 80% of power generation in Zulia isn’t working due to lack of maintenance and corruption. “The government is overloading power lines, old equipment, and generation and distribution substations,” he said. And he thinks the crisis is far from over in Zulia and especially Maracaibo, once known for being the third Latin American city to have regular electricity in its streets. He thinks Zulia will experience more blackouts between January and February next year, when the general power demand traditionally grows. One of the most affected districts in Zulia is Guajira, a town next to the Colombian border whose population is mostly indigenous. Recently, the residents have been living without electricity for two or three days at a time until the service comes back up, usually for only four uninterrupted hours. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/latest-news/article220464510.html)

 

Commodities

RUSORO Mining has received a settlement proposal from Venezuela

RUSORO Mining Ltd. announces that it has agreed on the terms of a settlement proposal with Venezuela by which Venezuela agrees to pay RUSORO over US$ 1.28 billion to acquire the Company's mining data and for full release of the arbitral award issued in favor of the Company in August 2016 by a tribunal constituted pursuant to the Additional Facility of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes. In addition, it is contemplated that the parties will constitute a Mixed Commission to assess the status of RUSORO's Choco 10 and San Rafael - El Placer former projects and based on such assessments may by the end of January 2019 partner to exploit those projects. RUSORO expects to sign the formal settlement agreement shortly after completion of the schedules to the Settlement Agreement. (RUSORO: www.rusoro.com)

 

Economy & Finance

FEMSA to lay off 2,000 Venezuela workers amid crisis: union

COCA COLA FEMSA is preparing to lay off 2,000 of the 4,800 total workers at its Venezuela soft drink operations due to falling demand in the crisis-stricken country, a union leader said, while the company acknowledged it was “revising” output. The move makes FEMSA, one of the largest soft drink bottlers in the world, the latest multinational to downsize in this country. “The company has said that it needs to reduce headcount and suspend some benefits,” said Daniel Montilla, secretary of the union representing workers at the FEMSA plant in the industrial city of Valencia, where Femsa plans to lay off 300 workers. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-femsa/femsa-to-lay-off-2000-venezuela-workers-amid-crisis-union-idUSKCN1MW2G9)

 

Out of cardboard, another COLGATE plant shuts down in Venezuela

COLGATE-PALMOLIVE plant in Valencia, Venezuela, stopped operating this week due to a shortage of cardboard needed for packaging, said Carlos Rodriguez, an employee union leader. The plant, which produced liquid detergent, fabric softener and dishwasher soap, required cardboard to transport company products to stores, supermarkets and pharmacies. The shortage worsened after the government took over control of paper and packaging manufacturer SMURFIT KAPPA’s Venezuelan operations there earlier this year. This is the second out of five production plants to close in the country, Rodriguez said. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-18/out-of-cardboard-another-colgate-plant-shuts-down-in-venezuela)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Pompeo: Venezuela's Maduro has to go

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says Socialist Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro must go and is urging the people of Venezuela to "restore democracy to the country" during an interview with Greta Van Susteren. "We are searching for a solution which will deliver democracy to Venezuela. It's the Maduro regime that has inflicted this set of horrible living conditions on the people of Venezuela and it will ultimately be on the people of Venezuela to fix it," Pompeo said. On whether the U.S. would issue additional sanctions, Pompeo said he was "confident we can find other places where we think we can exert pressure in a way that will convince Maduro that this isn’t going to work, he’s not going to be able to retain power forever." (Newsmax: https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/mikepompeo-maduro-venezuela/2018/10/21/id/887293/)

 

Mike Pence: Honduran President told me Venezuela funding migrant caravan

Vice President Mike Pence on Tuesday said Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández told him that the migrant caravan marching toward the U.S.-Mexico border is “financed by Venezuela.” Pence made the allegation while defending President Donald Trump’s assertion that Middle Easterners make up a part of the 7,000-strong. The Vice President then revealed that Hernández told him that “leftist groups” from the Central American country organized the caravan, “financed by Venezuela” to “challenge our sovereignty, challenge our border.” (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/10/23/mike-pence-honduran-president-told-me-venezuela-funding-migrant-caravan/)

 

Venezuela declares its military ‘fully prepared’ for war with U.S.

Venezuelan soldiers march during a military ceremony to honor President Nicolas Maduro on May

Senior Venezuelan socialist official Diosdado Cabello has claimed his country is “fully prepared” for a war with the United States. Cabello, the leader of the regime’s illegal lawmaking body and a close ally of dictator Nicolás Maduro, claimed that the country’s Bolivarian National Armed Forces would remain loyal to Hugo Chávez’s socialist revolution should the U.S. or any other power try to topple the regime. There is little evidence to support Cabello’s claims. Instead, countless reports detail the growing disaffection and dropout rates among troops, many whose salaries fail to cover basic living resources such as food and medicine. Some soldiers have tried to launch low-level coups and rebellions, although such efforts have so far proved unsuccessful. Cabello’s comments come amid growing international pressure for more action to be taken against the Maduro regime, currently presiding over the worst economic crisis in the country’s history. Cabello’s warning is unlikely to instill fear among leaders in Washington. Trump previously mocked the Venezuelan military for their seemingly cowardly response to a failed assassination attempt on Maduro. (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/latin-america/2018/10/22/venezuela-declares-military-fully-prepared-war-u-s/)

 

Ecuador breaks diplomatic relations with Venezuela

Ecuador has broken formal relations with Venezuela after that country’s communication minister called President Lenin Moreno a “liar.” On Thursday, Ecuador expelled Venezuela’s ambassador. The action followed comments by Jorge Rodríguez, Venezuela’s communication minister, who said that Moreno’s claim that 6,000 Venezuelans a day were entering Ecuador was false. Moreno Tweeted the number in August, at the height of the influx of Venezuelan refugees into Ecuador. In its official statement on the break in relations, Ecuador’s foreign affairs ministry said, “The Republic of Ecuador will not tolerate such disrespect for its authorities.” The statement continued: “Faithful to its democratic and humanitarian principles, Ecuador will continue to provide assistance to Venezuelan citizens entering the country, assisting through economic and social efforts to protect their human rights.” Ecuador secretary of communication was more direct in his response to Rodriguez. “His statements show that this corrupt socialism, murderer and liar of the 21st century, still lives in Venezuela.” In response to the expulsion of its ambassador, Venezuela ordered Ecuador’s chargé d’affaires to leave Caracas. (St. Lucia Times: https://stluciatimes.com/2018/10/22/ecuador-breaks-diplomatic-relations-with-venezuela/)

 

OAS chief urges ICC to open formal probe into Venezuela crimes

Luis Almagro, Secretary General of the Organization of American States, spoke to FRANCE 24 about the current issues facing the Americas, from the caravan of Central American migrants heading to the US to the crisis in Venezuela and the situation in Nicaragua. Almagro called for the ICC to open a formal investigation into alleged crimes against humanity committed in Venezuela. (France24: https://www.france24.com/en/20181023-interview-luis-almagro-oas-americas-migrants-caravan-us-venezuela-icc-probe-nicaragua)

 

How Venezuela complicates peace talks in Colombia

After 52 years of conflict, Colombia’s government and the leftist guerrillas of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) signed a peace deal in 2016. But not all the country’s guerrilla groups demobilized. The National Liberation Army (ELN) remains a formidable presence. It began peace talks with the government of Juan Manuel Santos in 2017 but failed to reach a deal before Iván Duque, a conservative, became president in 2018. President Duque, who had criticized the agreement with the FARC as too lenient, is adopting a tougher stance towards the ELN. He refuses to renew negotiations until the ELN has freed all hostages. And he has also raised an objection to Venezuela’s role as one of five guarantors of the talks, claiming it is a “protector of armed groups”. The ELN’s links with Venezuela date from the 1980s. Its standing in Venezuela improved in the late 1990s with the rise to power of Hugo Chávez, who regarded it as an ideological ally. Venezuela has been a haven ever since, a place where the ELN gathers to plan attacks on Colombia, and where in recent times it has started recruiting new members. Its activity within Venezuela often seems to be ignored—even endorsed—by the authorities. As Nicolás Maduro, Chávez’s successor, turns Venezuela into a mafia state in which drug-traffickers run rife, the ELN is rumored to be colluding with the Cartel of the Suns, a drugs gang, in establishing trafficking routes through the country. If the ELN should demobilize, its role in cross-border drug-trafficking is likely to weaken. In such circumstances, it is not surprising that Colombia should call into question Venezuela’s role as an honest arbiter of the peace talks. For the ELN, the price of a peace deal with President Duque’s government is likely to be the severing of its ties to the Venezuelan dictatorship. It has not yet shown itself to be willing to break that link. (The Economist: https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2018/10/22/how-venezuela-complicates-peace-talks-in-colombia)

 

U.N. special envoy Jolie voices support for Venezuelan refugees

U.N. refugee agency special envoy Angelina Jolie voiced support on Tuesday for Venezuelans forced to leave their crisis-stricken homeland and thanked the South American countries hosting them. Hollywood actress Jolie met with Venezuelan refugees in Lima, Peru this week to draw attention to their plight. “After having spoken to so many people it’s clear to me, very clear, that this is not a movement by choice,” Jolie told reporters in a presentation with Peru’s foreign minister. “I heard stories of people dying because of a lack of medical care and medicine... people starving, and tragic accounts of violence and persecution,” she said. Jolie’s visit comes amid a backlash against Venezuelans in some South American countries where they have settled. Jolie met with Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra and said they discussed ways the international community can help host countries like Peru accommodate Venezuelans. “As in nearly every displacement crisis, the countries that have fewer resources are being asked to do the most,” Jolie said, thanking Peru and other “very generous” countries like Ecuador and Colombia for hosting displaced Venezuelans. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-peru-jolie/u-n-special-envoy-jolie-voices-support-for-venezuelan-refugees-idUSKCN1MX2LP)

 

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia more than triple in 2018

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia rose more than threefold in the first nine months of the year compared with the same period in 2017, as more desperate migrants flooded across the border to escape an economic crisis back home, a report released on Monday showed. Between January and September there were 310 violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia, 244.4% more than the 90 in the last year, the National Institute of Forensic Sciences said in a report. Of the total, 254 were men and 56 were women and 56% were murdered. Most of the violent deaths occurred in border regions such as the departments of Norte de Santander and La Guajira. Some died in car crashes or other accidents, and others committed suicide. Annual violent deaths in Colombia total about 25,000, according to the government. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-colombia/violent-deaths-of-venezuelans-in-colombia-more-than-triple-in-2018-idUSKCN1MW28H)

 

Two Venezuelans die attempting to reach Aruba by boat

Two Venezuelans attempting to reach the Caribbean island of Aruba died, authorities said over the weekend, highlighting the increasingly perilous routes migrants take to escape this nation's economic meltdown. Venezuelans routinely travel to the more prosperous Aruba in search of work or staple products that have become unavailable under the socialist government of President Nicolas Maduro. Those who are not allowed to enter Aruba often travel in rickety boats under the cover of darkness. Aruba's government said the pair were undocumented and that three Venezuelans had been detained in relation to the case. In a similar incident in January, four Venezuelans attempting to reach the Dutch Antilles island of Curacao died when their boat broke apart. (The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2018/10/21/world/americas/21reuters-venezuela-migration-aruba.html)

 

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country, according to the World Economic Forum's index

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country in the world, overtaken only by Yemen, a nation in civil war that, according to the United Nations, can suffer the most lethal famine of the last 100 years. The World Economic Forum (WEF) released its annual index of global corruption, as part of its report on international competitiveness, which ranks Venezuela 127th out of 140 countries surveyed. Venezuela appears in the group of the most conflictual countries of the planet, without its population being subjected to a war or a natural disaster, which makes of this country a particularly important case, because its situation is attributable its institutional situation and political conditions. Venezuela ranks last – 140 – in terms of institutional quality and macroeconomic stability. The country ranks below the top 100 Index countries as markets for quality goods and services (137); business dynamism (139); labor market situation (131); and quality of infrastructure (131). Venezuela ranks after the top 50 countries on issues such as capacity for innovation (95); health system (59); size of the market (56); ICT adoption capacity (97) and quality of the financial system (91). When the indicators presented by the World Economic Forum on Venezuela are examined in more detail, the country ranks last in the world in specific areas. like the quality of police services, the efficiency of the judicial system in the enforcement of regulations, property rights, the effectiveness of dispute resolution systems and the protection of property rights intellectual. Under aspects such as innovation and the application of technology, the country has significantly regressed. Consider an indicator as an example of a button: the assessment of mobile penetration has dropped 64 points in one year and a market representing more than 100% of the penetration of the service is 123rd in the world. Controls, skewed subsidies, the tax burden, and other factors make Venezuela's economy a complex case, but the worst of all is the poor quality of institutions, because it is a key element to correct other imbalances. (NAAJU: https://naaju.com/chile/venezuela-is-the-second-most-corrupt-country-according-to-the-world-economic-forums-index/)

 

Russians detained over 'Gucci' cocaine shipment from Venezuela

Three Russian citizens have been charged in Venezuela over a cocaine smuggling plot aboard a tanker headed to Belgium, local media reported, citing prosecutors. Venezuela’s National Guard reportedly seized 147 kilograms of cocaine in a raid on the Jose Progress tanker earlier this month. Twenty people were detained in connection to the plot, including Russian, Ukrainian, Filipino and Venezuelan nationals, according to media reports. Russian nationals were implicated in a cocaine-smuggling plot earlier this year after over 350 kilograms of cocaine were discovered on the grounds of the Russian Embassy in Argentina. Venezuela’s Justice Minister General Nestor Reverol posted a picture on his Twitter account earlier this month which appears to show that the seized cocaine had been hidden in bags labeled with famous fashion brands, including Gucci and Chanel. The ship, which is currently being held by local authorities, sailed under a Panamanian flag and was headed for the Belgian port of Ghent. (The Moscow Times: https://themoscowtimes.com/news/russians-detained-over-gucci-cocaine-shipment-from-venezuela-media-report-63260)

 

These Venezuelan musicians were struggling on the streets. Then their talent saved them.

The young men hunched over their violins, a piano and a traditional cuatro guitar in a quiet Peruvian suburb never imagined their hard-won musical training might be the secret to surviving so far from home. Brought up under Venezuela’s famed El Sistema classical musical education program, they dreamed of scholarships at conservatories, or being poached by international orchestras — like their colleague Gustavo Dudamel, the kinetic and charismatic director of the Los Angeles Philharmonic. Instead, they’ve joined the millions of Venezuelans fleeing hunger and political chaos. It’s a journey that has stymied their musical careers as they were entering their prime — but also reaffirmed how valuable the determination they developed in the free musical program is to survive in the hard-scrabble world of migrant life. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article220293305.html)

 

OP-ED: Whitewashing the record of Hugo Chávez, by Christian Alejandro Gonzalez

It is depressing but not altogether surprising that Hugo Chávez still retains some support in Western intellectual life. The ongoing destruction of Venezuelan society should have been enough to discredit his apologists, but unfortunately it has not been so. Did he have authoritarian tendencies? His military background left him with a firm belief in hierarchy. The longer he remained in power, the more entrenched he became, which is why term limits and checks and balances are essential to a healthy democracy. Term limits are indeed important elements of democratic societies — elements which in 2009 Chávez abolished. Dislodging incumbents is difficult enough in advanced democracies; it is even more difficult in countries with little institutional accountability, where the government can fund massive clientelist programs to shore up support whenever it needs to. As Chávez well knew, removing term limits would have allowed him to become president for life. Only his premature death from cancer at age 58 prevented him from taking full advantage of this institutional change.  It is hard to overstate the extent to which Chávez obliterated checks on presidential power during his tenure. Shortly after coming into office in 1998, Chávez began implementing steps to take control of PDVSA, the national oil company, which was then autonomously run. Apart from ruining PDVSA, these policies massively expanded the president’s power by giving him an endless source of funds to use for narrow political goals. Chávez expanded the political power of the presidency as well. He packed the Venezuelan supreme court, took over the CNE (the body that is supposed to oversee elections and ensure their fairness), undermined press freedom by shutting down the opposition’s television stations, politicized the military by promoting officers based on loyalty rather than competence, and through a long sequence of constitutional changes transferred most decision-making power from the legislature to the presidency. Nicolás Maduro’s autocracy, then, did not merely come into existence ex nihilo. Chávez bequeathed him an obsequious legislature, a loyal judiciary, and a personal oil company with which he (Maduro) could exert dictatorial power. Indeed, Maduro’s transgressions against liberal-democratic principles occur only under a specific institutional context that Chávez largely created. (National Review: https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/venezuela-hugo-chavez-new-york-times-whitewashes-history/)

Tuesday, June 7, 2016

June 07, 2016


Logistics & Transport


AEROMEXICO mulls leaving Venezuela
AEROMEXICO is analyzing the possibility of stopping its flights to Venezuela, claiming the government here has not allowed it to repatriate earnings from ticket sales for the past two years. Currently, AEROMEXICO operates one daily flight between Mexico City and Caracas. “The situation is deteriorating by the second,” said Grupo AEROMEXICO general director Andrés Conesa. His statement comes days after Lufthansa and LATAM announced they were halting all services to Caracas due to Venezuela’s economic difficulties. More in Spanish: (El Financiero: http://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/empresas/aeromexico-analiza-la-posibilidad-de-salir-de-venezuela.html)

 


Oil & Energy


Paraguay rejects PDVSA’s demand for immediate debt repayment following OAS vote
The Paraguayan government has emphatically rejected a demand by PDVSA for immediate repayment of US$ 287 million in debts within 10 days. It says the demand is not valid because it clashes with “the text of an international treaty”, in reference to the Energy Cooperation Agreement signed in Caracas in 2000. Paraguay’s state oil company PETROPAR rejected a demand by PDVSA for immediate repayment of a fuel debt right after that nation called for applying the Democratic Charter to Venezuela and supported the pending recall referendum here during a meeting of the Organization of American States, Paraguay’s Trade and Industry Minister Gustavo Leite said: “Not even 20 such demands will make us back off Paraguay’s principled position on human rights,” The 2000 Energy Cooperation agreement signed in Caracas calls for a 2% yearly interest rate and a 15 year grace period. It also benefits Costa Rica, El Salvador, Panamá, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala, Jamaica and Belize. More in Spanish: (El Universal: http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/paraguay-rechazo-intimacion-pdvsa-para-que-pague-deuda-dias_313659)

 


Economy & Finance

 
May inflation is pegged at 21.8%
The consumer price index measured by the Central Bank and the National Statistics Institute shot up in May and closed at 21.8%, the sharpest rise this year to date, according to unofficial bank sources. Year to date inflation is now at 125.7%, and inflation for the past 12 months is now at 450.7%, More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Inflacion-mayo-ubico_0_861514193.html)


Doing business in Venezuela is worse than in Syria, Haiti or Ethiopia, according to the World Bank Doing Business 2016 report, which ranks this country 186 out of 189 in the world. Only Libya, Southern Sudan and Eritrea have worse conditions. Venezuela ranked behind Afghanistan and Syria, among others, due to difficulties in paying taxes, setting up a company, border trade, registering property and obtaining electricity. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Hacer-negocios-Venezuela-Haiti-Etiopia_0_861514189.html)

 
US companies fleeing Venezuela to escape country's collapsing economy
Since 2013, when Nicolas Maduro assumed presidency in Venezuela and plunging oil prices began wreaking havoc on the country, more than a dozen U.S. companies have been forced to sell, stop or reduce their operations here in order to avoid damage cause by the economic crisis. In the past three weeks alone, COCA-COLA announced that it had to stop production in here due to a scarcity of sugar, while BRIDGESTONE, a tire company based in Tennessee, decided to sell their assets to local investors and KIMBERLY CLARK, a paper product company based in Texas, reduced its production by 90%. At least 35 companies in the Standards & Poor’s 500 have expressed concerns about Venezuela in the past two months and many have discussed removing Venezuela from its global operations, according to an analysis by USA Today. That has left Venezuela, already reeling from empty supermarket shelves and a lack of basic goods, with a dearth of American products. The U.S. companies pulling out of Venezuela say they are feeling the squeeze because of the country’s hyperinflation.  KIMBERLY and other major companies like PROCTER & GAMBLE, COLGATE, FORD, GENERAL MOTORS and MONDELEZ (OREO) opted to remove Venezuela from their global operations to avoid a direct impact on the overall company's bottom line. GENERAL MILLS sold its operations in Venezuela to local investors in March. MEAD JOHNSON, which makes infant formula, said Venezuela was its toughest market. It blamed the Venezuela for its revenues falling 6%. Since 2013, when Maduro took power, at least eight multinational companies have fled from Venezuela. Four are from the US: GENERAL MILLS, BRIDGESTONE AMERICA, EFCO and CLOROX. The others are from Italy (ALITALIA), Canada (AIR CANADA), Mexico (GRUMA) and the United Kingdom (WONDER). Just this week, Chile-based LATAM, Latin America's largest airline, announced it was suspending its flights to Venezuela because of the "difficult macroeconomic scenario" affecting the region. As the economic situation becomes worse, more could follow. The biggest problem for foreign companies is that the amount of dollars circulating in Venezuela’s economy has reduced dramatically since 2013, prompting a further tightening of currency controls. Multinational companies’ revenues remain hopelessly trapped in the local bolivar. According to local firm ECOANALITICA, the government owes U.S. companies more than US$6 billion. “To get out of this crisis the government should sit and negotiate with private companies to start producing. Other socialist presidents, like Evo Morales in Bolivia, do it,” said Alejandro Grisanti, one of the heads of Ecoanalitica. But Maduro’s government is doing the opposite. Last week, they blamed 10 private companies for the country’s current shortages. Alongside with POLAR, the biggest Venezuelan company, the list included five US firms: CARGILL, JOHNSON & JOHNSON, KIMBERLY CLARK, COLGATE PALMOLIVE and PROCTER & GAMBLE. (Fox News Latino: http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2016/06/01/us-companies-fleeing-venezuela-to-escape-country-collapsing-economy/)

 
 

Politics and International Affairs


Lopez rejects Zapatero’s offer of improved jail conditions in exchange for postponing recall refendum
Spain’s former President José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, who leads a group of three UNASUR sponsored former heads of state who are trying to broker talks between the Maduro regime and the opposition here, held an unprecedented meeting with imprisoned Voluntad Popular leader Leopoldo Lopez, the first such visit authorized for Lopez since he turned himself in to authorities in February 2014, Lopez, who is serving a 14 year sentence, later said via Twitter (which is run by his relatives) that he told Zapatero that the dialogue that is being promoted cannot take precedence over regime change. “I told him that no talks or dialogues cannot be above the greater interest of achieving a constitutional change this year, 2016”. He added that he emphasized to the former President “the importance that the dialogue cannot simply be (for the government) to gain time, because the people of Venezuela no longer have time”. Lopez’s father, Leopoldo Lopez Gil, subsequently reported that Zapatero had offered his son better imprisonment conditions for political prisoners in exchange for the recall referendum. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/leopoldo-lopez-dijo-zapatero-que-gobierno-venezuela-debe-cambiar_313505; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Leopoldo-Lopez-dialogo-cambio-constitucional_0_860914002.html: http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Leopoldo-Lopez-Gil-Rodriguez-Zapatero_0_861514186.html)


Venezuela authorities again postpone decision on Maduro referendum
Venezuela's electoral authorities have postponed a key meeting with the opposition in which they were expected to announce whether to allow a recall referendum. After a proposed constitutional amendment to shorten his term from six to four years was rejected by the Supreme Court, the MUD launched a petition to recall him. On 2 May they handed the National Electoral Council (CNE) lists with 1.85 million signatures backing a recall referendum, many more than the 197,000 needed at this initial stage. Members of President Maduro's United Socialist Party (PSUV) allege that at least 10,000 of those signatures are fraudulent. The CNE's decision on whether it accepts the petition is therefore seen as key, even though this is only the first hurdle on the road to a recall referendum. For the recall referendum to be successful almost 7.6 million people will have to vote to oust Maduro, The country is deeply divided into those who support Maduro's socialist policies and those who oppose him, and there have been marches by both sides. But the worsening economic situation in Venezuela, which now has the world's highest inflation rate as well as shortages of basic food and power cuts, means many people who once supported Maduro are demanding change. The opposition says all its efforts to bring about change are being thwarted by the government and the judiciary, which it alleges has been stacked with supporters of Maduro. (BBC News: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-36433535)


Opposition postpones talks with regime in the Dominican Republic pending recall process
The opposition Democratic Unity coalition (MUD) has asked UNASUR Secretary General Ernesto Samper to postpone a scheduled meeting with regime representatives in the Dominican Republic, saying it needs to await a decision by the National Elections Council (CNE) on the next step toward activating the recall referendum it is seeking against President Nicolas Maduro. Foreign Minister Delcy Rodríguez had previously announced that government representatives would attend the meeting. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/mud-solicito-diferir-encuentro-previsto-dominicana-con-gobierno_313593;Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/politica/gobierno-asistira-reuniones-oposicion/; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Delcy-Rodriguez-asistencia-Republica-Dominicana_0_860913987.html)


….and will again take to the streets protesting CNE delays
The parties and political groups that take part in the Democratic Unity (MUD) coalition are holding a number of demonstrations nationwide to ask the National Elections Council (CNE) to set a date for validation of over a million certified signatures seeking a recall referendum. MUD Secretary General Jesus Torrealba declared “the Constitution is above any bureaucratic expression of the regime’s fear”, and rejected a Supreme Tribunal sentence banning demonstrations near CNE offices. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/mud-unidad-regresara-este-martes-cne-pero-con-pueblo_313569; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Torrealba-pueblo-pedimos-paciencia-firmeza_0_861514181.html)


Maduro entreats Latin America not to isolate him
President Nicolas Maduro called upon Latin America on Saturday not to give in to "brutal pressure" from the United States to isolate his government, which is battling intensifying opposition at home and abroad. Meanwhile on Thursday a senior Brazilian official said Brazil may help block Venezuela from taking the rotating presidency of the Mercosur trade group this month, in a bid to prevent Maduro from strengthening his power. "I call upon the governments of the continent to maintain solidarity, cooperation and understanding and not to submit to ... brutal pressure to isolate Venezuela," Maduro entreated other Caribbean leaders gathered for a summit in Havana. The summit, however, did not produce a strong statement of support for Maduro, with the OAS limiting itself to backing the initiative for mediated talks between his government and the opposition. (Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-caribbean-summit-idUSKCN0YQ0RD)


Is there another way out of Venezuela's crisis?
Venezuela faces a new dilemma, albeit a relatively tame one compared to its other crises. The Organization of American States (OAS) on June 1 held an urgent meeting to discuss the political situation in Venezuela. One day earlier, the organization's secretary general, Luis Almagro, said that Venezuela could be expelled from the body. This would require a vote on the subject of Venezuela's continued unconstitutional disruption of its democratic order — a violation of the organization's charter. While the expulsion of Venezuela from the OAS carries relatively remote risk to Venezuela, a declaration that President Nicolas Maduro's government is in violation of the organization's charter would deteriorate relations between the United States and Venezuela further. The decision could also make obtaining loans from international lending organizations, including the International Monetary Fund, Inter-American Development Bank or World Bank, even more problematic because of U.S. political pressure. But an option for the government is to find another way out of the crisis. A tentative dialogue involving the United States has begun in the Dominican Republic between representatives of the Venezuelan government and the opposition coalition, though it provides no guarantee that the government and opposition will inevitably reach some arrangement to coexist politically. If the discussion does not progress over the next several months, policies for addressing Venezuela's political and economic crises will likely be decided informally between opposing factions of the PSUV, independent of any influence by the opposition. Other international factors will also play their part in the near term. But whether oil prices rise significantly or whether Venezuela's simmering social unrest boils over into larger, more frequent protests, Caracas is still very much balanced on a knife-edge. (Stratfor: https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/there-another-way-out-venezuelas-crisis?id=be1ddd5371&uuid=2f21d318-2f89-4df2-8946-6f9669324bed)


Luis Almagro: A courageous voice on Venezuela
As Venezuela has plunged into economic chaos and a humanitarian crisis, its hemispheric neighbors, including the United States, have mostly looked the other way. The remarkable exception to this dismal diplomatic record has been Luis Almagro, the secretary general of the Organization of American States, who stunned his timid fellow statesmen by proposing that the OAS formally review Venezuela’s adherence to the Inter-American Democratic Charter, a 2001 treaty that binds OAS members to democratic norms and provides for collective action when they are violated. In a 132-page letter to the OAS permanent council, Almagro documented the Maduro government’s sweeping breaches of the rule of law and the mounting humanitarian crisis caused by food, medicine and power shortages. He called for the immediate release of political prisoners and steps to repair institutions and combat corruption. Most important, he stressed that a recall referendum on Maduro, sought by the opposition and provided for in the constitution, should be held this year. “On that depends democracy in Venezuela,” the report concluded. The good news is that Almagro’ s bold action prompted the OAS permanent council to convene its first meeting on Venezuela in two years — despite the buffoonish posturing of Maduro, who called a rally in Caracas to tell Almagro to “stuff” his report. The bad news is that cowardice and crass political calculations by council members prompted it to issue another anodyne appeal for “dialogue.” The non-response was orchestrated by Argentina’s foreign minister who is hoping to be elected the next U.N. secretary general, and so is anxious to appease Venezuela and its dwindling band of allies. The Obama administration has inexplicably joined in the empty “dialogue” chorus while failing to take a position on Almagro’ s letter. As Almagro noted in his letter, political dialogue is useless without “a commitment a priori to democracy and the rule of law.” The solution in Venezuela, he rightly argued, is not talks but votes. “When the political system of a country is extremely polarized, the only solution can come from the decision of the sovereign,” says his report. On Thursday, Mr. Almagro reiterated his call for a review of Venezuela under the Democratic Charter. He’s calculating that greater diplomatic pressure could force the Maduro regime to schedule a referendum. Almagro ought to have the support of the United States. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-courageous-voice-on-venezuela/2016/06/02/401b2f76-28e9-11e6-b989-4e5479715b54_story.html

Maduro says that if US elections “were free” Sanders would win
President Nicolas Maduro says if US elections “were free”, Democratic Senator Bernie Sanders would win them because its people want change. He says “if elections in the US were free and did not depend on an archaic 200-year old system, Bernie Sanders would be President of the United States”. He called Hillary Clinton a “comrade”, “a member of the US Bolivarian Movement”, and “militant Bolivarian”, and added he doesn’t share her views won the world, Latin America and Venezuela, but respects them. He said she has “veered toward change, but the only way she can win is by nominating a vice president from the left”. (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2016/06/01/maduro-dice-que-si-elecciones-en-eeuu-fueran-libres-ganaria-bernie-sanders/)

 

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, May 24, 2016

May 24, 2016


Oil & Energy

PDVSA eyes US$ 2.5 billion debt issue to pay service firms

State oil company PDVSA is preparing to issue US$ 2.5 billion in promissory notes to settle unpaid bills to services companies, according to industry sources and documents seen by Reuters. PDVSA has already issued at least US$ 310 million in debt securities as part of a broader effort to prevent crucial oil services providers from downing their tools for lack of payment, Reuters reported this month. The company has hired little-known, Miami-based financial services firm CP Capital to structure 3-year notes with a one-year grace period that will have the same status as PDVSA's global bonds, according to documents obtained by Reuters. The operation creates additional financial obligations for a company already facing doubts about its capacity to meet ballooning bond payments amid low oil prices, a collapsing socialist economy, and chronic shortages reminiscent of the Soviet bloc. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-economy-idUSL2N18K0YM)

 

Venezuela oil price up for 6th straight week

The price Venezuela receives for its mix of medium and heavy oil rose for a sixth consecutive week as oil prices around the world continued strengthening. According to figures released by the Ministry of Petroleum and Mining, the average price of Venezuelan crude sold by Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) during the week ending May 20 was US$ 37.87, up US $2.59 from the previous week's US$ 35.28.  According to Venezuelan government figures, the average price in 2016 for Venezuela's mix of heavy and medium crude is now US$ 28.70 for the year to date. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2412705&CategoryId=10717)

 

Maduro to continue PETROCARIBE’s cooperation with Jamaica

President Nicolas Maduro met with Jamaican Prime Minister Andrew Michael Holness in the island’s capital city, Kingston. There, Maduro reiterated his government would continue funding that country through multi-state oil alliance PETROCARIBE. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelas-maduro-continue-petrocaribe-cooperation-with-jamaica_311377)

 

PDVSA reportedly is selling assets and pulling out of Argentina

An Argentine group called GMM has made an offer to buy of PETROLERA DEL CONO SUD, a PDVSA subsidiary which owns 95 service stations and storage tanks at Dock Sud. Local subsidiary denied the sale, but it is reported it has funding available only through the end of this year. More in Spanish: (La Nación: http://www.el-nacional.com/GDA/Pdvsa-vende-activos-va-Argentina_0_853114957.html)

 

 

Commodities

 

Coca Cola production halts for lack of sugar

The Venezuelan bottler of Coca-Cola has halted production of sugar-sweetened beverage due to a lack of sugar. Production of sugar-sweetened drinks has stopped, but output of diet drinks such as Coca-Cola light and other zero-sugar beverages continued. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-coca-cola-venezuela-idUSKCN0YE2Q6; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-05-23/coca-cola-to-halt-production-in-venezuela; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-23/coca-cola-to-stop-production-of-sweetened-beverages-in-venezuela; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/coca-cola-company-warns-against-possible-production-halt-venezuela_311397)

 

Food shortages take toll on Venezuelans' diet, cattle slaughtered, people scrounge in garbage

With prolonged shortages of basic foods, Venezuelans have been forced to shift their diets to whatever they can find. And what they can find is not necessarily healthy. Milk, meat and beans – the main sources of protein in the Venezuelan diet – are hard to find or sold at exorbitant prices, and many are filling up on empty carbs from pasta, rice and the traditional arepa cornmeal cake. A study revealed last month by Venezuela’s top three universities showed that 12% of those polled said they were eating less than three meals a day.  And those who do have access to three meals have seen a deterioration in the quality of their diet,” said Marianella Herrera-Cuenca, of the Bengoa Foundation, an NGO dedicated to promoting nutrition. Children and the elderly are hardest hit. Investigators from the Bengoa Foundation said a sampling of 4,000 school-aged children showed 30% were malnourished and that school absences were on the rise.  Cruces, the nutritionist, predicted that future generations of Venezuelans will be shorter and wider because of the low quality of the food they are consuming. “The lack of calcium will stunt growth and excess carbohydrates will make them fat,” he said. Critics of the socialist government of Nicolas Maduro say food production collapsed in the oil-reliant country due to a mix of the expropriation of farmland and agro-industrial enterprises and strict price controls that made importing food cheaper than producing it locally. But a byzantine currency control system and plummeting oil prices have slashed imports of raw materials and food products. Opposition Congressman Elías Matta has reported cattle has been stolen and found slaughtered and quartered by hungry inhabitants of Zulia state, he also points to long lines seeking food at markets and other establishments, as well as people scrounging for food in garbage dumps near restaurants and shopping centers, “while indolent authorities are only concerned with clinging to power at any cost”. (The Guardian: http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/may/24/venezuela-crisis-basic-food-shortages; and more in Spanish: El Impulso: http://www.elimpulso.com/noticias/nacionales/elias-matta-matanza-de-reses-en-el-zulia-es-muestra-del-hambre-que-pasa-venezuela)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 

Venezuela’s economy shrank 10.8% in Q1 2016

A source close to the Finance and Banking Ministry reports Venezuela’s economic activity dropped 10.8% during Q1 2016, down from the same period in 2015. Manufacturing, trade and oil register a severe contraction, which point to unheard of results by the year’s end. The same source reports demand dropped 6.7% and investment shrank 15.6% during the same period this year. Trade and Investment Minister Jesus Faria says the greatest hurdles for the economy are “in the exchange area and the lack of FOREX”, but claims the worst part is over and “there are signs that a fundamental improvement is coming”. More in Spanish: (El Nacional: http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Economia-cayo-primer-trimestre_0_853114954.html)

 

Supreme Tribunal says Maduro's state of emergency is “constitutional

The Venezuelan Supreme Court has ruled that a decree issued by President Nicolas Maduro last week declaring a state of emergency is constitutional. The decree gives Maduro extra powers to deal with Venezuela's economic crisis, including the right to impose tougher security measures. The opposition-controlled parliament rejected the decree, but the Supreme Court, which rarely rules against the government, immediately said the decree was justifiable.  The court upheld the decree because of what it called "the extraordinary social, economic, political, natural and ecological circumstances that are gravely affecting the national economy." In measures published in the government gazette on Monday, the armed forces and local committees now have powers to distribute and sell food. Authorities will also be allowed to cut the working week in the private sector, as they have done in the public sector, to conserve electricity. The new measures also allow the government to take control of basic goods or services, which analysts say opens the way to the expropriation of companies. (BBC News: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-36339721)

 

Dominican Republic’s Fernandez to coordinate talks on Venezuela’s economy

Spain’s former President José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero announced that a task force from the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) headed by Leonel Fernandez, former President of the Dominican Republic, will work to “reactivate economic growth” in Venezuela as part of their efforts to seek political talks between the Maduro regime and its opponents. Fernandez said there would be talks “between the government, representatives of the Democratic Unity coalition, economists and the private sector” More in Spanish: (Notitarde, http://www.notitarde.com/Economia/Dialogo-para-reactivar-economia-venezolana-sera-coordinado-por-Leonel-Fernandez-/2016/05/19/976264/; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/subcomitiva-de-unasur-tratara-asuntos-economicos-d.aspx#ixzz49C61KfOQ; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/leonel-fernandez-abordara-situacion-economica-de-v.aspx)

 

Bridgestone sells Venezuela business

Tire manufacturer BRIDGESTONE has announced it is selling its business in Venezuela after over 60 years operating here. It has sold to the CORIMON local business group. More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias: http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/bridgestone-vendera-sus-negocios-en-venezuela.aspx#ixzz49ZBCsCHF; Notitarde, http://www.notitarde.com/Economia/Grupo-Corimon-compra-activos-de-Bridgestone-2681698/2016/05/23/979934/; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/bridgestone-vende-filial-venezuela-grupo-corimon_311472)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

Venezuela holds war games as opposition demands recall vote

Venezuela held the biggest military exercise in its history this weekend, citing threats to national security, as the opposition pushes for a recall referendum on President Nicolas Maduro. While the streets of Caracas were mostly calm, state television and government news websites showed of deployments across the country, with tanks being unloaded from landing craft, troops setting up tents and armored vehicles on the move. Maduro announced the drills a week ago, a day after pledging to prolong his government’s special emergency powers as the country battles its worst recession in decades. He sought to deflect blame for those ills, saying high crime and crippling economic woes are part of an “unconventional war” being waged against Venezuela. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-21/venezuela-holds-war-games-as-opposition-demands-recall-vote)

 

….and Maduro claims U.S. 'dreams' of dividing loyal military

The United States "dreams of dividing" a "Chavista" military fiercely loyal to Venezuela's socialist government, president Nicolas Maduro said on Saturday, as the military comes under scrutiny in the crisis-gripped nation. Maduro and the opposition are at loggerheads over a referendum to recall him. Authorities say the vote will not happen this year, while the opposition says an unpopular Maduro must be removed to keep a brutal recession from worsening. Some opposition supporters hope factions of Venezuela's opaque but powerful military will nudge the former bus driver and union leader to allow the vote. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKCN0YC0SZ)

 

Regime will make no “concessions” over recall referendum

Legislator Diosdado Cabello, Vice President of the ruling United Socialist Party (PSUV) insists they will make “no concessions” to opponents requesting a recall referendum, and will demand that all deadlines must be met. “It is impossible for a referendum to take place here in Venezuela this year, whatever they say”, he said, adding that in his count the process requires 243 days. “We are asking that each period be complied with according to law, not each step the right wing demands”, he said, and added “we will not give them any type of option”. More in Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2016/05/23/chavismo-asegura-no-dara-concesiones-para-que-se-celebre-revocatorio/)

 

….and CNE says signature verification will require 5 steps, through May 31st.

At the same time, Carlos Quintero, a deputy director at the National Elections Council (CNE) said the signatures collected to launch the recall referendum will require a 5 step verification process before they are validated, and this process will end on May 31st.  More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/politica/firmas-del-1-deben-pasar-5-fases.aspx#ixzz49C9hKQGY)

 

Opposition plans to rally in front of the high court, following ban on demonstrations at Elections authority

Miranda state governor Henrique Capriles said an injunction by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ) banning any demonstration in the surroundings of the offices of the National Electoral Council (CNE) is unconstitutional, and has called for a march to all the TSJ chapters nationwide on Wednesday, May 25. “We will take action to demand that court officers observe the Constitution, people’s rights and for decisions to ensure benefits mandated by the legislature,” he admonished. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelan-opposition-plans-rally-front-the-high-court_311330; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelan-high-court-bars-rallies-near-the-national-electoral-council_311386)

 

Ban Ki-Moon calls for talks in Venezuela

United Nations (UN) Secretary General Ban Ki-moon has recommended that the Venezuelan government and opposition sit down to talks in order to overcome the national crisis, upholding the Constitution and the rule of law.

Ban claimed to be “encouraged by the ongoing initiatives by former Heads of State and Government to promote dialogue between the Government of Venezuela and the opposition, under the auspices of the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR)”. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/ban-ki-moon-makes-appeal-for-dialogue-venezuela_311380)

 

Maduro tells UNASUR group promoting talks to be patient and wishes them luck

President Nicolas Maduro wished “good luck” to the group of former Presidents (Jose Luis Rodríguez Zapatero of Spain; Martín Torrijos of Panama; and Leonel Fernandez, of the Dominican Republica) who are seeking to promote talks between the regime and its opponents here under UNASUR auspices; and told them to “be patient.” The opposition Democratic Unity coalition has expressed it is willing to engage in talks if they have a precise agenda that deals first with freeing political prisoners and moving forward with the proposed recall referendum. It rejects talks as a distraction from these issues. Maduro says the talks are for “opposition groups to cease in their coup attitude and cooperate in a dialogue so that the nation can overcome its problems”. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/maduro-pide-paciencia-expresidentes-que-median-dialogo-con-oposicion_310848; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/politica/oposicion-manifiesta-disposicion-al-dialogo-con-pr.aspx#ixzz49C96Uy84)

 

Venezuela has become a failed state.

According to the International Monetary Fund's latest projections, it has the world's worst economic growth, worst inflation and ninth-worst unemployment rate right now. It also has the second-worst murder rate, and an infant mortality rate at public hospitals that's gotten 100 times worse itself the past four years. And in case all that wasn't bad enough, its currency, going by black market rates, has lost 99% of its value since the start of 2012. It's what you call a complete social and economic collapse. And it has happened despite the fact that Venezuela has the world's largest oil reserves. Never has a country that should have been so rich been so poor. Venezuela's government is to blame. Every other country whose economy begins and ends at its oil wells has at least managed to avoid that fate. Which is to say that Venezuela is a man-made disaster. It's a gangster state that doesn't know how to do anything other than sell drugs and steal money for itself.  Venezuela struggles with days of looting, following widespread shortages in energy and basic goods. Venezuela is the answer to what would happen if an economically illiterate drug cartel took over a country. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/05/19/there-has-never-been-a-country-that-should-have-been-so-rich-but-ended-up-this-poor/)

 

Yes, I'm mad as a goat!”, Maduro responds to Uruguay's Mujica

Called "mad as a goat" by Uruguay's Jose Mujica this week, President Nicolas Maduro retorted laughingly on Thursday that the former president was right - but he was only crazy with love for his country. "Yes, I'm mad as a goat, it's true," Maduro told a rally of the ruling Socialist Party. "I'm mad with love for Venezuela, for the Bolivarian Revolution, for Chavez and his example," he added, smiling as the crowd cheered, in a reference to former President Hugo Chavez. Mujica, a fellow leftist who ruled Uruguay between 2010 and 2015, said on Wednesday he respected Maduro, but still thought he and others in Venezuela were "crazy" for attacking each other rather than sitting down to resolve problems. (Yahoo News: https://www.yahoo.com/news/yes-im-mad-goat-maduro-responds-uruguays-mujica-013839835.html)

 

Nicolas Maduro, Venezuela’s lord of misrule

Ever since he became Venezuelan president, Nicolas Maduro has gone to ridiculous lengths to eulogize the memory of Hugo Chávez. The burly 53-year-old has claimed to speak with his predecessor’s spirit manifested as a “little bird”. At cabinet meetings he waves a book of his mentor’s sayings as if they are holy script. He has even argued that Chávez should be sanctified: a rare trespass into Christianity by the gaffe-prone Maduro, who once compared Venezuelan socialism to “when Christ multiplied the penises” — a confusion of peces, the Spanish for fish, and penes that must rank as one of the worst malapropisms in history. Such absurdities would be comic if Maduro’s presidency, and the state of the country he has governed for three years, were not so tragic. More than two-thirds of Venezuelans believe he should not finish his term. Instead, this Latin American Mugabe has dug in. This week he claimed the country was suffering a “brutal media and political offensive” from the “Washington-Miami-Madrid” axis. Although he has a 26% approval rating, such exhortations draw only faint cheers from the red-clad supporters bussed in to hear him rant. Chávez controlled the vipers’ nest of Chavista politics with charisma; the leaden Maduro has to use patronage. Corruption flourishes in Venezuela, a narcocracy and petro-state in one.  Maduro’s control of the state oil company and import system gives him economic control; subordination of the courts ensured legal domination. At least until now. The opposition won control of the national congress in last year’s midterm elections and has called for a “no confidence” referendum that could mean Maduro is replaced. Maduro, who calls the opposition “faggots”, swears he will block this constitutionally allowed process. What next? The role of the army as arbiter is crucial. There is a high chance Venezuela could default on its US$ 127 billion of international debt — in which case, oil cargoes could be seized, collapsing internal systems of patronage as dollar revenues dry up. There is persistent speculation of a military-backed palace coup, especially if current sporadic looting spreads. There is a growing risk of a humanitarian crisis. Nonetheless, Maduro may cling on. Luis Almagro, head of the Organization of American States, has called him “a petty dictator”, while Henrique Capriles, an opposition leader, fears Venezuela is “a time bomb”. Both charges appear to be all too true. (Financial Times: https://next.ft.com/content/f7ae1936-1ddc-11e6-a7bc-ee846770ec15)

 

Another Hugo Chavez mystery -- what happened to Venezuela's Air Force One?

Former President Hugo Chavez’s US$ 75 million, customized Airbus luxury jetplane is missing. Chavez had ordered the Airbus A319 jet after seeing one belonging to a sheik of the United Arab Emirates in 2001 but it has not been seen since 2013. After an investigation by the Latin American Herald Tribune, two things seem certain, however: the plane is not in Venezuela and, even worse, it is not in operation, air industry sources say. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2412763&CategoryId=10717)

 

 
The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.