Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label farc. Show all posts
Showing posts with label farc. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

October 23, 2018


International Trade

Mexico prosecutors find fraud in Venezuela food aid program

Mexican Prosecutors say that people linked to the Venezuelan government and Mexican companies conspired to overcharge Venezuela for basic food aid packages. Known as "CLAP" packages, the food is supposedly subsidized by Venezuela's socialist administration to provide a bare level of subsistence to many families facing hunger amid the country's hyperinflation and economic breakdown. But Mexican prosecutors said an investigation found that the Venezuelan officials and Mexican businessmen bought poor quality items in bulk and exported them to Venezuela at more than double their real price. Mexico's top organized crime prosecutor, Israel Lira, said the suspects have agreed to pay US$ 3 million in reparations to the U.N. refugee agency, to be used for its Latin America operations. The agency is focused overwhelmingly now on helping Colombia resettle hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans fleeing the humanitarian crisis. Lira said prosecutors located 1,300 shipping containers with 1.8 million packages but allowed them to continue to Venezuela to avoid affecting recipients. U.S. Treasury Department officials previously compiled a list of suspected shell companies that they believe senior Venezuelan officials have used around the globe to siphon off millions of dollars from food import contracts. Financial forensic investigators from the U.S. and three Latin American allies — Mexico, Panama and Colombia — traced transactions by companies believed to be controlled by a government-connected businessman. Much of the food comes from Mexico, and there have been complaints about its quality. On May 17, three days before Maduro was re-elected, Colombia announced the seizure of 15 shipping containers filled with more than 25,000 CLAP boxes containing beetle-infested rice and other spoiled food. A story published by The Associated Press in 2016 revealed how senior Venezuelan officials and members of the military were enriching themselves by diverting money from food contracts. Alex Saab, from the Colombian city of Barranquilla, has been identified by U.S. officials as a major focus of the investigation. Saab gained some prominence in 2011 after signing an agreement to build social housing for the Venezuelan government on behalf of a Colombia-based construction company. Investigators have said Saab entered the food business through a Hong Kong-based company, Group Grand Ltd., which they said bears the hallmarks of a shell company, including no known track record in the food business, a rudimentary website that is now inaccessible and an address in Caracas shared with Saab's construction company. Group Grand has been awarded contracts to provide at least 11.5 million CLAP boxes, according to a Venezuelan Food Ministry spreadsheet. Among the transactions that have raised red flags is a September 2017 invoice presented to Venezuela's food ministry by Group Grand for US$ 41 million worth of powdered milk at a price of US$ 6,950 per metric ton, or more than double the market price at the time. A copy of the invoice was provided to the AP. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/business/article220266500.html)

 

Oil & Energy

Caracas to divert oil shipments away from Beijing

Venezuelan state-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) may begin cutting shipments to China that are used to pay for previous loans in favor of prioritizing shipments to the United States or India, which pay in cash. PDVSA will not receive any further Chinese loans to raise production from joint ventures if the company defaults further on Beijing's loans. Redirecting oil shipments would be a short-term strategy to free up more cash for pressing necessities such as debt and arbitration payments. (Stratfor: https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/china-venezuela-caracas-divert-oil-shipments-away-beijing)

 

Blackouts force Venezuelans to live and work — even perform surgery — in darkness

Blackouts in Zulia state, an area of northwestern Venezuela that includes the country’s second-largest city of Maracaibo, have become commonplace in the last year. Food and medicine were already increasingly scarce in Venezuela, but the power cuts that come without warning — sometimes more than once a day — are a new form of misery. And though some widespread outages have reached the capital of Caracas, Zulia — the heart of Venezuela’s energy industry — has turned out to be particularly vulnerable to the rolling blackouts. The government has blamed the outages on a variety of things — including pesky animals. In an Oct. 20 tweet, Energy Minister Luis Motta Dominguez named “rats, mice, snakes, cats, squirrels” as possible culprits in shorting out lines. He added: “In the list of animals mentioned above, of course iguanas are included.” Critics, however, say insufficient investment by the government is the cause, following the 2007 nationalization of the electricity sector. Zulia has experienced 11,131 power failures between January and September this year, according to a civil association called the Blackouts Committee, which receives daily reports of power cuts from citizens. Public transportation, already diminished by the economic crisis, becomes even more dysfunctional when the power flickers and goes out. Communications work erratically. People’s routines are on hold. Lines of cars are two blocks long at gas stations. Commerce and education are paralyzed. Omar Prieto, Zulia’s governor and a support of President Nicolás Maduro, declared in early October that the electric crisis in Zulia was over. But then a massive power failure in a substation in Carabobo left 11 Venezuelan states, Zulia included, without electricity for 12 to 18 hours on Oct. 15. José Aguilar, a Venezuelan power generation and risk consultant, says the power system has been in trouble since 2009, prompting the late President Hugo Chávez to announce new investment and more emphasis on the power system. He said that more than 80% of power generation in Zulia isn’t working due to lack of maintenance and corruption. “The government is overloading power lines, old equipment, and generation and distribution substations,” he said. And he thinks the crisis is far from over in Zulia and especially Maracaibo, once known for being the third Latin American city to have regular electricity in its streets. He thinks Zulia will experience more blackouts between January and February next year, when the general power demand traditionally grows. One of the most affected districts in Zulia is Guajira, a town next to the Colombian border whose population is mostly indigenous. Recently, the residents have been living without electricity for two or three days at a time until the service comes back up, usually for only four uninterrupted hours. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/latest-news/article220464510.html)

 

Commodities

RUSORO Mining has received a settlement proposal from Venezuela

RUSORO Mining Ltd. announces that it has agreed on the terms of a settlement proposal with Venezuela by which Venezuela agrees to pay RUSORO over US$ 1.28 billion to acquire the Company's mining data and for full release of the arbitral award issued in favor of the Company in August 2016 by a tribunal constituted pursuant to the Additional Facility of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes. In addition, it is contemplated that the parties will constitute a Mixed Commission to assess the status of RUSORO's Choco 10 and San Rafael - El Placer former projects and based on such assessments may by the end of January 2019 partner to exploit those projects. RUSORO expects to sign the formal settlement agreement shortly after completion of the schedules to the Settlement Agreement. (RUSORO: www.rusoro.com)

 

Economy & Finance

FEMSA to lay off 2,000 Venezuela workers amid crisis: union

COCA COLA FEMSA is preparing to lay off 2,000 of the 4,800 total workers at its Venezuela soft drink operations due to falling demand in the crisis-stricken country, a union leader said, while the company acknowledged it was “revising” output. The move makes FEMSA, one of the largest soft drink bottlers in the world, the latest multinational to downsize in this country. “The company has said that it needs to reduce headcount and suspend some benefits,” said Daniel Montilla, secretary of the union representing workers at the FEMSA plant in the industrial city of Valencia, where Femsa plans to lay off 300 workers. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-femsa/femsa-to-lay-off-2000-venezuela-workers-amid-crisis-union-idUSKCN1MW2G9)

 

Out of cardboard, another COLGATE plant shuts down in Venezuela

COLGATE-PALMOLIVE plant in Valencia, Venezuela, stopped operating this week due to a shortage of cardboard needed for packaging, said Carlos Rodriguez, an employee union leader. The plant, which produced liquid detergent, fabric softener and dishwasher soap, required cardboard to transport company products to stores, supermarkets and pharmacies. The shortage worsened after the government took over control of paper and packaging manufacturer SMURFIT KAPPA’s Venezuelan operations there earlier this year. This is the second out of five production plants to close in the country, Rodriguez said. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-18/out-of-cardboard-another-colgate-plant-shuts-down-in-venezuela)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Pompeo: Venezuela's Maduro has to go

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says Socialist Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro must go and is urging the people of Venezuela to "restore democracy to the country" during an interview with Greta Van Susteren. "We are searching for a solution which will deliver democracy to Venezuela. It's the Maduro regime that has inflicted this set of horrible living conditions on the people of Venezuela and it will ultimately be on the people of Venezuela to fix it," Pompeo said. On whether the U.S. would issue additional sanctions, Pompeo said he was "confident we can find other places where we think we can exert pressure in a way that will convince Maduro that this isn’t going to work, he’s not going to be able to retain power forever." (Newsmax: https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/mikepompeo-maduro-venezuela/2018/10/21/id/887293/)

 

Mike Pence: Honduran President told me Venezuela funding migrant caravan

Vice President Mike Pence on Tuesday said Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández told him that the migrant caravan marching toward the U.S.-Mexico border is “financed by Venezuela.” Pence made the allegation while defending President Donald Trump’s assertion that Middle Easterners make up a part of the 7,000-strong. The Vice President then revealed that Hernández told him that “leftist groups” from the Central American country organized the caravan, “financed by Venezuela” to “challenge our sovereignty, challenge our border.” (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/10/23/mike-pence-honduran-president-told-me-venezuela-funding-migrant-caravan/)

 

Venezuela declares its military ‘fully prepared’ for war with U.S.

Venezuelan soldiers march during a military ceremony to honor President Nicolas Maduro on May

Senior Venezuelan socialist official Diosdado Cabello has claimed his country is “fully prepared” for a war with the United States. Cabello, the leader of the regime’s illegal lawmaking body and a close ally of dictator Nicolás Maduro, claimed that the country’s Bolivarian National Armed Forces would remain loyal to Hugo Chávez’s socialist revolution should the U.S. or any other power try to topple the regime. There is little evidence to support Cabello’s claims. Instead, countless reports detail the growing disaffection and dropout rates among troops, many whose salaries fail to cover basic living resources such as food and medicine. Some soldiers have tried to launch low-level coups and rebellions, although such efforts have so far proved unsuccessful. Cabello’s comments come amid growing international pressure for more action to be taken against the Maduro regime, currently presiding over the worst economic crisis in the country’s history. Cabello’s warning is unlikely to instill fear among leaders in Washington. Trump previously mocked the Venezuelan military for their seemingly cowardly response to a failed assassination attempt on Maduro. (Breitbart: https://www.breitbart.com/latin-america/2018/10/22/venezuela-declares-military-fully-prepared-war-u-s/)

 

Ecuador breaks diplomatic relations with Venezuela

Ecuador has broken formal relations with Venezuela after that country’s communication minister called President Lenin Moreno a “liar.” On Thursday, Ecuador expelled Venezuela’s ambassador. The action followed comments by Jorge Rodríguez, Venezuela’s communication minister, who said that Moreno’s claim that 6,000 Venezuelans a day were entering Ecuador was false. Moreno Tweeted the number in August, at the height of the influx of Venezuelan refugees into Ecuador. In its official statement on the break in relations, Ecuador’s foreign affairs ministry said, “The Republic of Ecuador will not tolerate such disrespect for its authorities.” The statement continued: “Faithful to its democratic and humanitarian principles, Ecuador will continue to provide assistance to Venezuelan citizens entering the country, assisting through economic and social efforts to protect their human rights.” Ecuador secretary of communication was more direct in his response to Rodriguez. “His statements show that this corrupt socialism, murderer and liar of the 21st century, still lives in Venezuela.” In response to the expulsion of its ambassador, Venezuela ordered Ecuador’s chargé d’affaires to leave Caracas. (St. Lucia Times: https://stluciatimes.com/2018/10/22/ecuador-breaks-diplomatic-relations-with-venezuela/)

 

OAS chief urges ICC to open formal probe into Venezuela crimes

Luis Almagro, Secretary General of the Organization of American States, spoke to FRANCE 24 about the current issues facing the Americas, from the caravan of Central American migrants heading to the US to the crisis in Venezuela and the situation in Nicaragua. Almagro called for the ICC to open a formal investigation into alleged crimes against humanity committed in Venezuela. (France24: https://www.france24.com/en/20181023-interview-luis-almagro-oas-americas-migrants-caravan-us-venezuela-icc-probe-nicaragua)

 

How Venezuela complicates peace talks in Colombia

After 52 years of conflict, Colombia’s government and the leftist guerrillas of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) signed a peace deal in 2016. But not all the country’s guerrilla groups demobilized. The National Liberation Army (ELN) remains a formidable presence. It began peace talks with the government of Juan Manuel Santos in 2017 but failed to reach a deal before Iván Duque, a conservative, became president in 2018. President Duque, who had criticized the agreement with the FARC as too lenient, is adopting a tougher stance towards the ELN. He refuses to renew negotiations until the ELN has freed all hostages. And he has also raised an objection to Venezuela’s role as one of five guarantors of the talks, claiming it is a “protector of armed groups”. The ELN’s links with Venezuela date from the 1980s. Its standing in Venezuela improved in the late 1990s with the rise to power of Hugo Chávez, who regarded it as an ideological ally. Venezuela has been a haven ever since, a place where the ELN gathers to plan attacks on Colombia, and where in recent times it has started recruiting new members. Its activity within Venezuela often seems to be ignored—even endorsed—by the authorities. As Nicolás Maduro, Chávez’s successor, turns Venezuela into a mafia state in which drug-traffickers run rife, the ELN is rumored to be colluding with the Cartel of the Suns, a drugs gang, in establishing trafficking routes through the country. If the ELN should demobilize, its role in cross-border drug-trafficking is likely to weaken. In such circumstances, it is not surprising that Colombia should call into question Venezuela’s role as an honest arbiter of the peace talks. For the ELN, the price of a peace deal with President Duque’s government is likely to be the severing of its ties to the Venezuelan dictatorship. It has not yet shown itself to be willing to break that link. (The Economist: https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2018/10/22/how-venezuela-complicates-peace-talks-in-colombia)

 

U.N. special envoy Jolie voices support for Venezuelan refugees

U.N. refugee agency special envoy Angelina Jolie voiced support on Tuesday for Venezuelans forced to leave their crisis-stricken homeland and thanked the South American countries hosting them. Hollywood actress Jolie met with Venezuelan refugees in Lima, Peru this week to draw attention to their plight. “After having spoken to so many people it’s clear to me, very clear, that this is not a movement by choice,” Jolie told reporters in a presentation with Peru’s foreign minister. “I heard stories of people dying because of a lack of medical care and medicine... people starving, and tragic accounts of violence and persecution,” she said. Jolie’s visit comes amid a backlash against Venezuelans in some South American countries where they have settled. Jolie met with Peruvian President Martin Vizcarra and said they discussed ways the international community can help host countries like Peru accommodate Venezuelans. “As in nearly every displacement crisis, the countries that have fewer resources are being asked to do the most,” Jolie said, thanking Peru and other “very generous” countries like Ecuador and Colombia for hosting displaced Venezuelans. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-peru-jolie/u-n-special-envoy-jolie-voices-support-for-venezuelan-refugees-idUSKCN1MX2LP)

 

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia more than triple in 2018

Violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia rose more than threefold in the first nine months of the year compared with the same period in 2017, as more desperate migrants flooded across the border to escape an economic crisis back home, a report released on Monday showed. Between January and September there were 310 violent deaths of Venezuelans in Colombia, 244.4% more than the 90 in the last year, the National Institute of Forensic Sciences said in a report. Of the total, 254 were men and 56 were women and 56% were murdered. Most of the violent deaths occurred in border regions such as the departments of Norte de Santander and La Guajira. Some died in car crashes or other accidents, and others committed suicide. Annual violent deaths in Colombia total about 25,000, according to the government. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-colombia/violent-deaths-of-venezuelans-in-colombia-more-than-triple-in-2018-idUSKCN1MW28H)

 

Two Venezuelans die attempting to reach Aruba by boat

Two Venezuelans attempting to reach the Caribbean island of Aruba died, authorities said over the weekend, highlighting the increasingly perilous routes migrants take to escape this nation's economic meltdown. Venezuelans routinely travel to the more prosperous Aruba in search of work or staple products that have become unavailable under the socialist government of President Nicolas Maduro. Those who are not allowed to enter Aruba often travel in rickety boats under the cover of darkness. Aruba's government said the pair were undocumented and that three Venezuelans had been detained in relation to the case. In a similar incident in January, four Venezuelans attempting to reach the Dutch Antilles island of Curacao died when their boat broke apart. (The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2018/10/21/world/americas/21reuters-venezuela-migration-aruba.html)

 

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country, according to the World Economic Forum's index

Venezuela is the second most corrupt country in the world, overtaken only by Yemen, a nation in civil war that, according to the United Nations, can suffer the most lethal famine of the last 100 years. The World Economic Forum (WEF) released its annual index of global corruption, as part of its report on international competitiveness, which ranks Venezuela 127th out of 140 countries surveyed. Venezuela appears in the group of the most conflictual countries of the planet, without its population being subjected to a war or a natural disaster, which makes of this country a particularly important case, because its situation is attributable its institutional situation and political conditions. Venezuela ranks last – 140 – in terms of institutional quality and macroeconomic stability. The country ranks below the top 100 Index countries as markets for quality goods and services (137); business dynamism (139); labor market situation (131); and quality of infrastructure (131). Venezuela ranks after the top 50 countries on issues such as capacity for innovation (95); health system (59); size of the market (56); ICT adoption capacity (97) and quality of the financial system (91). When the indicators presented by the World Economic Forum on Venezuela are examined in more detail, the country ranks last in the world in specific areas. like the quality of police services, the efficiency of the judicial system in the enforcement of regulations, property rights, the effectiveness of dispute resolution systems and the protection of property rights intellectual. Under aspects such as innovation and the application of technology, the country has significantly regressed. Consider an indicator as an example of a button: the assessment of mobile penetration has dropped 64 points in one year and a market representing more than 100% of the penetration of the service is 123rd in the world. Controls, skewed subsidies, the tax burden, and other factors make Venezuela's economy a complex case, but the worst of all is the poor quality of institutions, because it is a key element to correct other imbalances. (NAAJU: https://naaju.com/chile/venezuela-is-the-second-most-corrupt-country-according-to-the-world-economic-forums-index/)

 

Russians detained over 'Gucci' cocaine shipment from Venezuela

Three Russian citizens have been charged in Venezuela over a cocaine smuggling plot aboard a tanker headed to Belgium, local media reported, citing prosecutors. Venezuela’s National Guard reportedly seized 147 kilograms of cocaine in a raid on the Jose Progress tanker earlier this month. Twenty people were detained in connection to the plot, including Russian, Ukrainian, Filipino and Venezuelan nationals, according to media reports. Russian nationals were implicated in a cocaine-smuggling plot earlier this year after over 350 kilograms of cocaine were discovered on the grounds of the Russian Embassy in Argentina. Venezuela’s Justice Minister General Nestor Reverol posted a picture on his Twitter account earlier this month which appears to show that the seized cocaine had been hidden in bags labeled with famous fashion brands, including Gucci and Chanel. The ship, which is currently being held by local authorities, sailed under a Panamanian flag and was headed for the Belgian port of Ghent. (The Moscow Times: https://themoscowtimes.com/news/russians-detained-over-gucci-cocaine-shipment-from-venezuela-media-report-63260)

 

These Venezuelan musicians were struggling on the streets. Then their talent saved them.

The young men hunched over their violins, a piano and a traditional cuatro guitar in a quiet Peruvian suburb never imagined their hard-won musical training might be the secret to surviving so far from home. Brought up under Venezuela’s famed El Sistema classical musical education program, they dreamed of scholarships at conservatories, or being poached by international orchestras — like their colleague Gustavo Dudamel, the kinetic and charismatic director of the Los Angeles Philharmonic. Instead, they’ve joined the millions of Venezuelans fleeing hunger and political chaos. It’s a journey that has stymied their musical careers as they were entering their prime — but also reaffirmed how valuable the determination they developed in the free musical program is to survive in the hard-scrabble world of migrant life. (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article220293305.html)

 

OP-ED: Whitewashing the record of Hugo Chávez, by Christian Alejandro Gonzalez

It is depressing but not altogether surprising that Hugo Chávez still retains some support in Western intellectual life. The ongoing destruction of Venezuelan society should have been enough to discredit his apologists, but unfortunately it has not been so. Did he have authoritarian tendencies? His military background left him with a firm belief in hierarchy. The longer he remained in power, the more entrenched he became, which is why term limits and checks and balances are essential to a healthy democracy. Term limits are indeed important elements of democratic societies — elements which in 2009 Chávez abolished. Dislodging incumbents is difficult enough in advanced democracies; it is even more difficult in countries with little institutional accountability, where the government can fund massive clientelist programs to shore up support whenever it needs to. As Chávez well knew, removing term limits would have allowed him to become president for life. Only his premature death from cancer at age 58 prevented him from taking full advantage of this institutional change.  It is hard to overstate the extent to which Chávez obliterated checks on presidential power during his tenure. Shortly after coming into office in 1998, Chávez began implementing steps to take control of PDVSA, the national oil company, which was then autonomously run. Apart from ruining PDVSA, these policies massively expanded the president’s power by giving him an endless source of funds to use for narrow political goals. Chávez expanded the political power of the presidency as well. He packed the Venezuelan supreme court, took over the CNE (the body that is supposed to oversee elections and ensure their fairness), undermined press freedom by shutting down the opposition’s television stations, politicized the military by promoting officers based on loyalty rather than competence, and through a long sequence of constitutional changes transferred most decision-making power from the legislature to the presidency. Nicolás Maduro’s autocracy, then, did not merely come into existence ex nihilo. Chávez bequeathed him an obsequious legislature, a loyal judiciary, and a personal oil company with which he (Maduro) could exert dictatorial power. Indeed, Maduro’s transgressions against liberal-democratic principles occur only under a specific institutional context that Chávez largely created. (National Review: https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/venezuela-hugo-chavez-new-york-times-whitewashes-history/)

Thursday, September 13, 2018

September 13, 2018



Oil & Energy

Venezuela's PDVSA to reopen damaged port dock by month's end

PDVSA expects to reopen the south dock of Venezuela’s main oil port Jose by the end of September, easing strains on crude exports delayed due to a tanker collision last month, according to internal trade documents from the state-run oil firm seen by Reuters. Last week, PDVSA began diverting tankers to Puerto la Cruz for loading, but the country’s crude exports have remained slow in recent weeks as few customers have accepted the 500,000-barrel-per-cargo maximum neighboring terminals can handle. Besides Puerto la Cruz, tankers waiting to load a total 2.65 million barrels of Venezuelan upgraded and diluted crudes also plan to be serviced this month by two monobuoys at Jose, including cargoes scheduled for U.S.-based CHEVRON Corp and Russia’s ROSNEFT, the documents showed. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-oil-ports/update-1-venezuelas-pdvsa-to-reopen-damaged-port-dock-by-months-end-documents-idUSL2N1VY11K)

 

IEA warns of higher oil prices as Iran, Venezuela losses deepen

The International Energy Agency warned that oil prices could break out above US$ 80 a barrel unless other producers act to offset deepening supply losses in Iran and Venezuela. Iranian crude exports have fallen significantly before U.S. sanctions even take effect, the IEA said in a monthly report. The Middle Eastern nation will face further pressure in coming months and the economic crisis in Venezuela is pushing output there to the lowest in decades. It’s uncertain whether Saudi Arabia and other producers will fill any shortfall, or how far they’re able to, the agency said. Oil climbed to a three-month high above US$ 80 a barrel in London on Wednesday as fears of a supply crunch eclipsed concern about the risks to demand such as the U.S.-China trade dispute. While the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia pledged to boost supply, the IEA said it remains to be seen how much will be delivered. Venezuela, which is pumping at just half the rate it managed in early 2016, could see its output slump another 19% to 1 million barrels a day this year as infrastructure deteriorates and workers flee, the agency predicted. (Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-13/iea-warns-of-higher-oil-prices-as-iran-venezuela-losses-deepen)

 

Commodities

Venezuela: where a crisis and a “gold rush” are creating an environmental disaster

El Callao has been a mining town since it was founded in 1853, but today its gold mines have become magnets that attract Venezuelans faced with economic hardships and in search of income. The same is true throughout the so-called “Mining Arc” of the Orinoco River basin. On 24 February 2016, continuing a project initiated by his predecessor, the late Hugo Chávez, Nicolás Maduro designated 12% of Venezuelan territory (111,843 km²) south of the Orinoco River as a “national strategic development zone.” In this subsoil, overflowing with gold as well as coltan, diamonds, bauxite and other metals, the government sees an opportunity to compensate for the decline of its oil production, the country’s primary source of wealth. In El Callao, however, government investment is nowhere to be seen. The mines and plantas (where the gold is extracted) belonging to national mining company MINERVEN are for the most part abandoned. Some have been taken over by artisanal and small-scale mining operations and are controlled by armed gangs. This is the case at the planta in Peru, not far from El Callao, where infrastructure is rusting, and buildings have fallen into ruins. The crisis and insecurity in the country have discouraged many companies. Minister of Ecological Mining Development Victor Cano tacitly admitted failure in March 2018, announcing that only “three mixed enterprises” were working in the Mining Arc, and that there would ultimately be only “70 strategic alliances.” The roughly 17 tons of gold that have been handed over to the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) since 2016 are in fact the result of work by small-scale miners who work independently and sell their output to the government via MINERVEN, which has effectively become a purchasing center. Though the government is currently conducting a census of the mining population, it is hard to quantify the scale of the rush taking place in the region. But its effects are evident. At the edge of the city of Guayana, 170 kilometers north of El Callao, roughly one hundred men with miner’s pans on their backs and picks in their hands wait for a car to take them to their destination. Many Venezuelans are flocking to the region to take advantage of the economic windfall by setting up small businesses. The influx of miners can be measured in terms of accelerated deforestation. Venezuelan biologist Gustavo Montes reports that between 2001 and 2015, an average of 19,258 hectares of forestland per year disappeared in the state of Bolivar where the Mining Arc is located. In 2016 alone, more than 34,000 hectares were deforested. Satellite images taken by the University of Maryland show that deforestation continued in 2017. Located in the Orinoco Mining Arc are protected areas, which include most of the Imataca Forest Reserve and part of the El Caura Forest Reserve. It also borders the Canaima National Park, a World Heritage Site. Draughts are thus becoming increasingly common and can slow down operations at the Guri dam, which supplies most of Venezuela’s electricity. The region’s local population, particularly its indigenous peoples, see the mines as a threat to their way of life. Deforestation and the massive amount of water used have led to a proliferation of mosquitos that spread malaria, a disease that, according to the capitán, affects “80% of the community.” The subsoil and waterways have also been polluted by the massive amounts of mercury used in the mills to extract gold from soil. But since the government doesn’t have the means to enforce the law and continues to buy gold with little concern, miners continue to use the process. After the soil and rock are crushed, a toxic muddy liquid is released through a pipe into a pond, which still has a gold content of over 60%. This mercury threatens the country’s largest freshwater reserves, such as the Caroni Basin. According to a study by the Central University of Venezuela (UCV) published in 2010, 74% of schools inspected in El Callao had above-average levels of mercury. Since then, the number of illegal mining operations and the amount of mercury used have continued to increase. The government is not alone in seeking economic benefit from the gold mined by artisanal miners: armed gangs also control vast territories. Miners operating in their territories must pay them part of their output as “rent” in order to ensure their “protection.” These gangs engage in violent turf wars, when not fighting the army itself. According to the watchdog group Observatorio Venezolana de Violencia (OVV), El Callao holds the national record for violent deaths with 816 victims for every 100,000 people in 2017. (Equal Times: https://www.equaltimes.org/venezuela-where-a-crisis-and-a?lang=en#.W5nVOehKhPY)

 

The cocaine ties that bind Colombia and Venezuela

Colombia and Venezuela share the problem of the illicit drug trade, but the ramifications of such trafficking could not be more different for the next-door neighbors. From the United States' point of view, Colombian criminality and Venezuelan authoritarianism are two looming foreign policy problems that are linked by the cocaine trade and that require vastly different solutions. In Colombia, a spike in rural violence is likely to occur in the coming years as criminal groups contest areas abandoned by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) in its peace deal. Over the border in Venezuela, government officials — some under investigation by U.S. authorities in cocaine-trafficking and money-laundering cases — will band together in the face of increasing internal threats to cling to power and preside over a political and economic meltdown that will continue to induce mass migration. In the end, Bogota might be well-placed to apply a steady hand to some of the problems stemming from drug trafficking — in stark contrast to its ailing neighbor. Colombia's criminal groups and Venezuelan political officials are connected to one another by the cocaine supply chain. Colombian groups produce coca and refine it into cocaine, and some Venezuelan elites profit from its transit through their country. Though government action has weakened Colombia's insurgents and other drug traffickers, the cocaine trade remains a key, illicit industry that will continue to affect both countries. Foreign business interests are at greatest risk of violence in the oil-producing regions along the Venezuelan border, as well as Meta. The Venezuelan crisis, which is indirectly connected to Colombia's militancy by the cocaine trade, is a more pressing issue for the region. Because of the common understanding among elites that abandoning power could result in their imprisonment in Venezuela or the United States, the government in Caracas has become increasingly obstinate about U.S. pressure. President Nicolas Maduro faces an investigation by U.S. authorities over alleged money laundering, while political ally Diosdado Cabello faces investigation for alleged cocaine trafficking. But even if internal dissent continues to rise amid the threat of far-heavier U.S. sanctions, the ruling party is likely to remain united. (Stratfor: https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/cocaine-ties-bind-colombia-and-venezuela)

 

Economy & Finance

Maduro travels to China in search of fresh funds

President Nicolas Maduro is traveling to China to discuss economic agreements, as the crisis-struck nation seeks to convince its key Asian financier to disburse fresh loans. “I am going with great expectations and we will see each other again in a few days with big achievements,” the leftist leader said on Wednesday in a state broadcast from the airport, without providing details. China’s Foreign Ministry, in a brief statement carried by the official Xinhua news agency, said Maduro would visit from Thursday until Saturday at the invitation of President Xi Jinping. It gave no other details. The trip to China is Maduro's first outside the country since he was allegedly targeted by exploding drones at a military parade in Caracas Aug. 4. Vice President Delcy Rodriguez is currently in China and on Wednesday met with Chinese Vice President Wang Qishan, the Chinese Foreign Ministry said in a brief statement late Wednesday. The two countries have long had friendly ties and cooperation has been “steadily progressing” in all fields, the ministry cited Wang as telling Rodriguez. Venezuela’s Finance Ministry in July said it would receive US$ 250 million from the China Development Bank to boost oil production but offered no details. Venezuela previously accepted a US$ 5 billion loan from China for its oil sector but has yet to receive the entire amount. Local consultant Asdrubal Oliveros, who tracks Chinese loans closely, said on Wednesday Venezuela was close to clinching a fresh loan of US$ 5 billion to finance oil projects. Beijing was waiting for Maduro to announce a series of economic measures, including a steep devaluation and more flexible currency controls, before extending fresh funds, Oliveros said. Over a decade, China plowed more than US$ 50 billion into Venezuela through oil-for-loan agreements that helped Beijing secure energy supplies for its fast-growing economy while bolstering an anti-Washington ally in Latin America. The flow of cash halted nearly three years ago, however, when Venezuela asked for a change of payment terms amid falling oil prices and declining crude output that pushed its state-led economy into a hyperinflationary collapse. Venezuela’s elected legislature has stated it will reject any new financing of the Maduro regime by China as it has not been informed of the terms it would be granted and the use of the funds. It said it would notify the Chinese embassy in Caracas of the risk they would be taking by bypassing the National Assembly’s authority under the Venezuelan Constitutional. Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-china/venezuelas-maduro-travels-to-china-in-search-of-fresh-funds-idUSKCN1LS2UL;  ABC News: https://news.abs-cbn.com/business/09/13/18/maduro-looks-to-china-to-bolster-venezuelas-collapsing-economy; US News: https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-09-12/venezuelas-maduro-travels-to-china-in-search-of-fresh-funds); and more in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/politica/alfonso-marquina-asegura-que-acuerdos-entre-china-y-venezuela-requieren-autorizacion-de-la-an)

 

Some Constituent Assembly members seek to woo private oil investment

An overhaul of Venezuela's constitution being prepared by the pro-government Constituent Assembly will likely include changes intended to attract private investment in the country's oil fields, according to two assembly members. The Constituent Assembly, whose powers supersede those of the country's Congress, would reword some articles of the constitution to reduce emphasis on state control of oil and ease the way for private investment, the assembly members said. The 1999 constitution says oil industry activity is "reserved" for the state, while the 2001 Hydrocarbons Law requires that exploration and production be carried out by state-majority joint ventures. The assembly members said the assembly would first make changes to constitutional language. That would be followed by legal reforms to give joint ventures more favorable operating conditions and encourage private investment in services companies. They said they will submit their proposals within a month to Constituent Assembly President Diosdado Cabello, a powerful Socialist Party politician who will decide the reforms to be discussed. Maduro would have to sign off on any changes. Foreign oil companies are continuing to be skeptical even in the face of significant legal reforms. (Channel News Asia: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/venezuela-constituent-assembly-seeks-to-woo-private-oil-investment-10710034)

 

National Assembly reports a 50% drop in GDP since Maduro became president

The opposition controlled National Assembly reports that the nation’s economy has been halved since President Nicolas Maduro took power in 2013. Congressman Ángel Alvaro, who heads the legislature’s Finance Committee, reports Venezuela’s GDP has dropped by 50.61% since 2013, a tremendous fall which is “reflected in the quality of life of all Venezuelans”. He added that in the first half of 2910 the nation’s economy dropped 25% from the year before. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/economia/economia-venezolana-cae-50-desde-que-maduro-es-presidente-dice-parlamento; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/20421/an-actividad-economica-cae-25-en-primer-semestre)

 

40% of all shops nationwide have shut down

María Carolina Uzcátegui, President of Venezuela’s National Trade Federation, reports that “not only have 40% of all shops shut down, but 25% have paralyzed purchasing due to a lack of cash flow”. She reports many shops have been shuttered and others are clearing all stock in order to close down permanently after the Maduro regime’s most recent economic measures. She says she believes the end is not yet in sight and small and medium business will continue to collapse due to the current situation. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/20420/uzcategui-cerraron-40-de-los-comercios-en-el-pais)

 

Politics and International Affairs
 

Venezuela: is a US-backed 'military option' to oust Maduro gaining favor?

When Donald Trump first floated the idea of a “military option” in Venezuela last year, he was widely rebuffed by regional leaders and policy experts. Even the US president’s closest aides were reportedly stunned by the suggestion of an invasion – which for many in Latin America evoked bitter memories of previous US forays in the region. Direct US intervention remains a fringe idea, but a small section of the Venezuelan opposition appears to be receptive to the possibility of a military coup to remove the country’s increasingly authoritarian president Nicolás Maduro. And while most prominent opposition politicians have avoided explicit calls for a coup, some now appear to believe that Maduro will not be removed at the ballot box. “There’s no democratic way out of this crisis,” said Julio Borges, an opposition politician now living in Colombia. “The army have a new enemy and it is Nicolas Maduro – they know he is taking the country down the worst path.” Florida senator Marco Rubio – who has reportedly helped frame much of Trump’s Latin America policy – wrote an op-ed in the Miami Herald in February calling for an uprising in Venezuela. Revelations about a new plot are red meat for the embattled president, said Omar Lares, a former opposition mayor who fled to Colombia a year ago. “The way I see it was that these reports [about a US conspiracy] are a huge, stupid favor to Maduro,” he said. (The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/12/venezuela-trump-nicolas-maduro-military-option)

 

Pro-regime supporters march in support of Maduro

Hundreds of Venezuelan government supporters took to the streets on Monday protesting what they describe as US imperialism. Demonstrators made their way downtown, where they listened to speeches by several leaders of the movement launched by the late Hugo Chavez, Maduro’s predecessor and political mentor. PSUV’s Pedro Carreño told reporters, referring to the United States. “We are telling the empire, the enemies of the motherland and the domestic and international reactionary right, that the people are not willing to be the victim of more threats and persecution.” The speaker of the PSUV-controlled National Constituent Assembly, Diosdado Cabello, encouraged the public to “prepare to defend the motherland” from a possible armed attack. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2464972&CategoryId=10717)

 

Colombia calls for help to face Venezuela migrant surge

Colombia lacks the capacity to face by itself a deluge of Venezuelan migrants fleeing their crisis-afflicted country, says Bogota’s top diplomat. Foreign Minister Carlos Holmes Trujillo called instead for an international response. More than 1.6 million Venezuelans have left their homeland since 2015 — most of them for Colombia — when economic troubles worsened, according to the United Nations. Colombia “cannot deal with this situation alone,” Holmes said. “We have made important efforts lately and they are going to continue but the extent of the crisis is such that we do not have sufficient capacity to respond” to the migrant flow without support, Trujillo told Caracol Radio. Among the measures which Colombia’s government seeks are: creation of a multilateral emergency fund and naming of a high-level United Nations official to coordinate the actions of Latin American countries. (Malay Mail: https://www.malaymail.com/s/1671664/colombia-calls-for-help-to-face-venezuela-migrant-surge)

 

Almagro meets with Colombia’s President Iván Duque about Venezuelan migrant crisis

OAS Secretary General Luis Almagro has arrived in Colombia along with a technical mission, to visit states bordering with Venezuela and analyze the migrant crisis, to later present a report and propose means for cooperation. He will first meet in Cartagena with President Iván Duque and Foreign Minister Carlos Holmes; and later visit Cúcuta, on the Venezuelan border. More in Soanish (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/internacional/20437/almagro-se-reune-este-jueves-con-ivan-duque-para-analizar-ola-migratoria-venezolana#; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/latinoamerica/colombia-pide-onu-funcionario-para-atender-exodo-venezolanos_251534)

 

Venezuela will request compensation for past assistance to Colombian migrants

President Nicolás Maduro has announced that Colombia will be sued to compensate the nation for the attention given to the more than five million Colombians who fled the armed conflict and the drug trafficking suffered by the nation of Nueva Granada for more than 50 years. "There is an idea that I have approved of placing an international demand to request compensation from the Colombian government for the 5,600,000 Colombians who are here. The compensation for each Colombian” he said. "We will use all international legal channels to compensate Venezuela for all Colombians who have received care, work, health, education”. (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-will-request-compensation-assistance-colombian-migrants)

 

Venezuela´s legislature calls on Bachelet to visit and witness the humanitarian crisis here

José Trujillo, Chairman of the Social Development Committee in Venezuela’s opposition dominated National Assembly, has on behalf of the legislature invited Michelle Bachelet, the new UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, to visit Venezuela and witness the humanitarian crisis here. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/20417/an-invita-a-bachelet-constatar-crisis-humanitaria-en-venezuela)

 

Brazilian Defense Minister says his Venezuelan counterpart requested humanitarian aid

Joaquim Silva e Luna, Brazil’s Defense Minister, reports that during his recent meeting in Puerto Ordaz (Bolivar state) with his Venezuelan counterpart, General Vladimir Padrino López, he received assurances that Venezuela will not cut energy supply to the neighboring Brazilian state of Roraima, as well as a request for humanitarian aid due to the crisis here in Venezuela. The meeting -held at the request of Brazilian President Michal Temer, was over alleged Venezuelan threats of cutting energy supply to Roraima over a substantial debt by Brazilian state energy company ELETROBRAS. Roraima is the only Brazilian state not connected to the national grid. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/latinoamerica/ministro-brasileno-padrino-lopez-admite-que-venezolanos-emigran-por-hambre_251561; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/20415/venezuela-mantendra-suministro-electrico-a-brasil)

 

Pope confirms ‘closeness’ to Venezuela amid political, economic meltdown

As Venezuela continues to struggle with a deep political crisis, Pope Francis met the country’s bishops Tuesday for a wide-ranging conversation that also touched on immigration, vocations and the environment, although details of the private exchange were not released.  Forty-six Venezuelan bishops met the pope for their “ad limina” visit to the Vatican, a trip made by prelates around the world every five years to meet the pope and get to know the various Vatican departments. While no mention was made at the press conference about Francis’s thoughts on the Venezuelan political situation, the pontiff has made clear his closeness to its impoverished people. The Argentinian pope recently appointed Archbishop Edgar Peña Parra from Venezuela to the powerful position of sostituto, or “substitute”, at the Vatican’s Secretariat of State, making him effectively the pope’s Chief of Staff. This move, along with the fact that the current Secretary of State, Italian Cardinal Pietro Parolin, also served as papal envoy to Venezuela from 2009 to 2013, reflects the Vatican’s keen interest in the troubled nation. (Crux Now: https://cruxnow.com/church-in-the-americas/2018/09/12/pope-confirms-closeness-to-venezuela-amid-political-economic-meltdown/)

 

Venezuela is the only South American country where hunger is increasing

Venezuela is the only country in South America, and one of only two in Latin America, where hunger is increasing, a new report from the United Nations has revealed. While fewer people go hungry throughout most of South America and the vast majority of Latin America, the impact of Venezuela’s ongoing crisis has had such a severe impact that it has brought a notable increase to the region's overall percentage of severe food insecurity, El Pais reported. About 3.7 million Venezuelans were undernourished in 2017, approximately 12% of the population. The problem is particularly dire in Venezuela, where an estimated 2.3 million people have fled the country as of June, largely due to food insecurity, the U.N said according to Reuters. Additionally, lack of access to quality foods and economic woes has brought other dietary issues, such as obesity. With limited options, impoverished Venezuelans may often consume cheaper, energy-dense processed foods that are high in fat, salt and sugar. (Newsweek: https://www.newsweek.com/venezuela-only-south-american-country-hunger-increasing-1117995)

 

Venezuela’s crisis is so bad that people are abandoning their beloved pets

 If life in Venezuela has become hard for humans, it has become even harder for many pets. With inflation soaring toward 1 million percent, dog food and veterinary care have spiraled out of reach for millions of people. One kilo — or 2.2 pounds — of dog food, for instance, now costs nearly the equivalent of three weeks’ salary for a minimum-wage worker. The result, animal specialists say, has been an exploding population of abandoned dogs on the streets and rising numbers in underfunded shelters. Although there are no reliable national figures on the phenomenon, officials from eight shelters in the capital, Caracas, said they had seen a roughly 50% rise in the number of pets left at their facilities this year. At the same time, pet adoptions have a dropped by as much as a third, they said.  At the same time, donations to shelters have fallen drastically. For pets as well as people, the crisis here is likely to get worse. Some shelters are considering closing once they’re able to place all their dogs. “It’s a critical situation because we have to spend three times as much as we used to, to maintain each animal,” said Mariant Lameda, owner of the Network of Canine Support, which has 270 dogs. Only one has been adopted this year, compared to 13 last year, and more than 200 in 2015. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuelas-crisis-is-so-bad-that-people-are-abandoning-their-beloved-pets/2018/09/12/e7479252-abd3-11e8-9a7d-cd30504ff902_story.html)