Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Conindustria. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Conindustria. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

January 22, 2019


International Trade

Spain's tank, arms deals with Venezuela prop up Nicolas Maduro

Russia, China and Cuba are not the only ones propping up the leftist regime of President Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela. Spain, a NATO ally of the U.S. and important member of the European Union, has been selling military equipment to Caracas despite an EU arms embargo. Much of the international community, including 14 Latin American governments, joined the Trump administration in condemning Maduro’s inauguration for a second six-year term this month after calling his easy election win fraudulent. Spain’s response was muted. Analysts said Madrid’s reaction reflected a web of historical, commercial and political ties that it maintains with the rogue regime. (The Washington Times: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/jan/21/pedro-sanchez-venezuela-tank-deal-props-maduro/)

 

TORINO claims 27.6% increase in Venezuelan exports

TORINO Economics has updated its import and export data, showing a recovery in both fields during October. It shows sales at US$ 2.8 billion in exports, a 7% increase for October, and 27.6% more than last year, indicating that price increases are compensating dropping crude oil production. Exports were 58% lower over the first 10 months of 2018 than in 2012, mainly oil and derivates. More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/30795/torino-revelo-un-aumento-en-276-en-las-exportaciones)

 

Oil & Energy

U.S. refiners scramble as White House eyes Venezuela sanctions

U.S. refiners are bidding up prices for scarce types of crude oil needed for their most sophisticated plants as the United States reconsiders harsher sanctions on Venezuela that could further reduce imports of the country’s oil. Trump administration officials in recent days met with U.S. oil company executives to lay out potential actions in response to the Jan. 10 inauguration of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in an election it considered illegitimate. Among other steps, U.S. officials have recognized the opposition-run Venezuelan congress as the only legitimately elected authority. But the proposals that would most affect the energy industry involve banning U.S. exports of refined products to Venezuela or limiting oil imports - a move that, until now, the White House has not taken even after sanctioning individuals and barring access to U.S. banks. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-refineries-venezuela/u-s-refiners-scramble-as-white-house-eyes-venezuela-sanctions-idUSKCN1PB2ZX)

 

Economy & Finance

Venezuela gold holdings in Bank of England soar on Deutsche deal

Venezuela’s gold holdings in the Bank of England have jumped after it closed out a gold swap deal with Deutsche Bank, according to two sources, as Britain remains reluctant to release gold held for the troubled nation. The government of Nicolas Maduro has since last year been seeking to repatriate about US$ 550 million in gold from the Bank of England on fears it could be caught up in international sanctions on the country. Its holdings at the bank more than doubled in December to 31 tons, or around US$ 1.3 billion, after Venezuela returned funds it had borrowed from Deutsche Bank AG through a financing arrangement that uses gold as collateral, known as a swap, one of the sources said. Under the deal struck with Deutsche Bank in 2015, Venezuela put up 17 tons of gold in exchange for a loan, according to one of the sources who asked not to be identified because they are not authorized to speak publicly about the issue. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-gold/venezuela-gold-holdings-in-bank-of-england-soar-on-deutsche-deal-sources-idUSKCN1PF1Z8)

 

US$ 20 billion are needed to recover Venezuela’s industrial capacity

Juan Pablo Olalquiaga, President of Venezuela’s National Council of Industries (CONINDUSTRIA) presented a industrial recovery plan to National Assembly President Juan Guaidó, which calls for an investment of US$ 20 billion to recover the nation’s industrial capacity, including around US$ 12 billion through tax credits to match industry’s debt to foreign suppliers. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/economia/olalquiaga-reactivar-la-industria-requiere-de-20-mil-millones; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/30958/presidente-de-conindustria-no-reconoce-a-nicolas-maduro)

 

Venezuela office of Norton Rose taken over by Maduro regime lawyers Dentons

Dentons, the largest law firm in the world, is absorbing Despacho de Abogados miembros de Dentons, S.C. -- formerly the Venezuela practice of Norton Rose Fulbright (and Macleod Dixon before that) as the law firm gears up to defend Venezuela against over US$ 65 billion in defaulted bondholder claims. Despacho de Abogados miembros de Dentons, S.C., is strong in the key practice areas of Energy and Natural Resources, Corporate, Labor and Employment, Litigation and Dispute Resolution, Banking and Finance, Tax and Public Law. It could provide robust synergies with Dentons’ strengths in each of these areas. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2473657&CategoryId=10717)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Country on brink as failed military coup sparks riots in Caracas

Venezuela plunged deeper into turmoil Monday as security forces put down a pre-dawn uprising by national guardsmen that triggered violent street protests, and the Maduro Supreme Court moved to undercut the opposition-controlled congress’ defiant new leadership.  Venezuela’s armed forces quelled a brief uprising at a military stockade, authorities said Monday, prompting protests in a poor Caracas enclave and heightening tensions ahead of antigovernment demonstrations planned for later this week. Twenty-seven members of Venezuela's National Guard have been arrested after they allegedly revolted against the government of President Nicolás Maduro, the defense ministry said. Videos posted on social media showed the officers calling for the removal from office of President Maduro. The men reportedly seized weapons from a National Guard command post in the Cotiza area of the capital, Caracas. The ministry of defense said a "small group" of National Guard members had stolen weapons from a security post in the Petare neighborhood of Caracas and taken four officers hostage before making their way to Cotiza in the early hours of Monday. A video sent to an opposition Twitter account shows a man in uniform saying he is acting "on behalf of the Venezuelan people" and encouraging Venezuelans to take to the streets in protest at the government. It is not clear whether they were overpowered or handed themselves in to the authorities. Anti-government protests erupted in the neighborhood where the alleged rebellion took place. Footage shows residents and security forces clashing in the area. The National Guard fired tear gas at residents. When government security forces surrounded the outpost, several dozen residents barricaded streets and set fire to a car and piles of rubbish as they chanted “don’t hand yourself in”. The residents complain about a lack of water and shout "we want Nicolás to go" as the security forces try to disperse them with tear gas. The new leader of the opposition-controlled National Assembly, Juan Guaidó, has called on those critical of the government to resume their protests once again and has called for anti-government marches to be held on Wednesday.  Ahead of the news of the rebellion, parliament chief Juan Guaido urged the military leaders to break ranks with Maduro. "We are not asking you to mount a coup. We are not asking you to shoot," Guaido said in an online video. "On the contrary, we are asking you not to shoot at us, but rather to defend together with us the right of our people to be heard." The parliament also offered amnesty to the members of the military and state officials if they abandoned Maduro. Guaido tweeted that Monday's events are a reflection "of the generalized feelings within the Armed Forces." "The National Assembly is committed to bring forward all the guarantees for those members of the Armed Forces who actively help restore the Constitution," Guaido tweeted. BBC: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-46945690; DW: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-captures-troops-rebelling-in-caracas/a-47173723; The Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuela-says-it-foiled-military-uprising-11548105608; ABC News: https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/signs-fraying-military-support-venezuela-president-60529693;  CNN: https://edition.cnn.com/2019/01/21/americas/venezuelan-government-military-uprising/index.html; Daily Express: https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1076157/venezuela-news-military-coup-caracas-nicolas-maduro; VOA: https://www.voanews.com/a/venezuela-claims-to-foil-revolt-by-national-guardsmen-/4752762.html; The Star: https://www.thestar.com/news/world/americas/2019/01/21/venezuela-quells-soldiers-revolt-top-court-blasts-congress.html; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics/venezuela-arrests-rogue-officers-after-military-revolt-in-caracas-idUSKCN1PF129; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2473656&CategoryId=10717; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-21/venezuela-detains-rebel-guardsmen-sparking-protests-in-caracas)

 

On the anniversary of a coup, desperate Venezuelans demand change

If Venezuela’s opposition was looking for a provocative day to hold a protest, they couldn’t have done much better than Wednesday. Jan. 23 marks the 61st anniversary of the military uprising that toppled dictator Gen. Marcos Pérez Jiménez. And while history might not repeat itself this week, there are those who believe that Wednesday’s protests could be a turning point for the presidency of Nicolás Maduro. Since assuming the head of the National Assembly this month, 35-year-old opposition leader Juan Guaidó has been leading rallies nationwide to build support for Wednesday’s march. And the country has been responding. Juan Guaidó, the president of Venezuela’s National Assembly, has been holding rallies across the country to build support for the national march on Jan. 23. Maduro is intensely aware of the threat posed by the National Assembly and its new leader. On Jan. 13 Guaidó was detained on his way to a rally, only to be released — with handcuff welts still on his wrists — an hour later. And on Monday the Supreme Court, packed with Maduro cronies, ruled that Guaidó and the rest of the congressional leadership were occupying their positions illegally and that all the decisions congress had taken since Jan. 5 were null. Guaidó brushed off the ruling, but the decision could set the stage for a showdown. But the government will also have to tread carefully in dealing with the march: The street protests that broke out in support of the soldiers that rebelled on Monday should worry the government – and are likely to embolden those in the military who are unhappy. The Observatory for Social Conflict, which tracks protests, said there were at least 30 demonstrations Monday night in the capital alone, many in areas considered government strongholds. The National Assembly has also been trying to drive a wedge between Maduro and his commanders. Earlier this month, it passed a bill granting amnesty to military officials who help restore the constitutional order.  (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article224892830.html)

 

Pence officially backs Venezuelan opposition, condemns President Maduro

US Vice President Mike Pence has issued a message to Venezuelans, condemning their “dictator” leader Nicolas Maduro and declaring official U.S. support for the country's legislature and its opposition leader, Juan Guaido. “On behalf of President Donald Trump and all the American people, let me express the unwavering support of the United States as you, the people of Venezuela, raise your voices in a call for freedom,” Pence said in a recorded video message. “Nicolas Maduro is a dictator with no legitimate claim to power. He has never won the presidency in a free and fair election and has maintained his grip on power by imprisoning anyone who dares to oppose him.” Maduro was sworn into another term as Venezuelan president this month, although his government is considered largely “illegitimate” by much of the international community, who deem the elections held last year to be a sham. Pence instead declared U.S backing for National Assembly leader Guaido, who he called the “last vestige of democracy.” “As you make your voices heard tomorrow, on behalf of the American people, we say to all the good people of Venezuela: estamos con ustedes,” Pence continued in the message, peppered with Spanish phrases. “We are with you, we stand with you, and we will stay with you until democracy is restored and you reclaim your birthright of libertad.” (Fox News: https://www.foxnews.com/world/pence-issues-official-backing-of-venezuelan-opposition-leader-condemns-maduro)

 

European Union representatives ask Maduro for new “free” elections in Venezuela

European Union chiefs of mission in Venezuela have called for “new and free elections” here, “in line with international standards”. They stated the EU’s position during a meeting with Nicolas Maduro in the presidential palace here last Friday, and with the leaders of the National Assembly, on Saturday. They stressed the EU’s position of “respect for democracy, the rule of law and basic freedoms”; and called for “recognition and respect for the authority and rights of the National Assembly, including immunity for its members”, as well as “freeing all political prisoners” and “urgently facing the pressing needs of the population”. The announcement was made through the office of the EU’s Foreign Affairs Commissioner Federica Mogherini. For his part, Maduro proposed to the European Union to establish a cooperation agenda aimed at consolidating relations effectively and strengthening political, economic and social ties; and urged the European authorities to maintain a position of greater respect and balance on the political, economic and social reality of Venezuela. (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/maduro-proposes-eu-set-agenda-political-and-economic-cooperation); and more in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/embajadores-de-ue-llaman-a-celebrar-nuevas-elecciones-libres-en-venezuela; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/30966/union-europea-reitera-llamado-a-elecciones-libres-en-venezuela)

 

National Assembly officially asks UN for humanitarian aid

Venezuela’s legislature has officially asked the United Nations for assistance in facing this nation’s health and food crisis. Congressman José Trujillo, who heads the National Assembly’s Social Development Committee made the announcement, blaming the communist system for the crisis. He added that they have also written to UN Human Rights High Commissioner Michelle Bachelet, asking her to come to Venezuela and witness the humanitarian crisis. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/30760/asamblea-nacional-solicito-oficialmente-a-onu-ayuda-humanitaria)

 

National Assembly names special representative to the OAS

Venezuela’s National Assembly has named its own representative to the Organization of American States (OAS) to coordinate efforts to reestablish democracy and constitutional rule with the international community. It named an experienced former legislator and constitutional lawyer, Gustavo Tarre, as its representative to the Hemispheric organization. The legislature also annulled Nicolás Maduro’s decision to withdraw from the OAS. More in Spanish: (El Nuevo Herald: https://www.elnuevoherald.com/noticias/mundo/america-latina/venezuela-es/article224906045.html)

 

Curacao seeks aid from the Netherlands in dealing with Venezuelan migration

The government of Curacao has asked for help from The Netherlands in dealing with the impact of migrants who arrive by sea from Venezuela. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/curazao-pide-ayuda-a-los-paises-bajos-por-la-inmigracion-venezolana)

 

Ecuador to tighten controls on Venezuelan immigrants after murder

Ecuador is setting up new units to check Venezuelan immigrants’ legal status and may tighten entry requirements after a Venezuelan man murdered his pregnant Ecuadorian girlfriend, President Lenin Moreno said on Sunday. The killing in the northern city of Ibarra is the first reported murder perpetrated by a Venezuelan immigrant in Ecuador since hundreds of thousands have arrived there after fleeing an economic crisis in Venezuela. “I have ordered the immediate setting up of units to control Venezuelan immigrants’ legal status in the streets, in the workplace, and at the border,” Moreno said on Twitter. The government, he added, may create a new “special permit” for Venezuelans to enter the country. He did not give further details about the units or how they will operate. The Venezuelan man held his victim hostage on a busy street for about an hour on Saturday evening before stabbing her to death. He was then arrested by police. “Without generalizing, but with a firm hand, today we must differentiate between Venezuelans who are fleeing Maduro’s government and others who take advantage of the situation to commit crimes,” Vice President Otto Sonnenholzner said, referring to Venezuela’s socialist President Nicolas Maduro. The Maduro regime has demanded that Ecuador’s government “respect the human rights of Venezuelans living in this country and that stop the incitement to xenophobia and persecution”. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ecuador-venezuela/ecuador-to-tighten-controls-on-venezuelan-immigrants-after-murder-idUSKCN1PE0X8; https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ecuador-venezuela/ecuador-to-demand-venezuelan-migrants-criminal-records-after-murder-idUSKCN1PF20E; AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-demands-government-ecuador-cease-incitement-xenophobia)

 

OP-ED: Could the Socialists United of Venezuela finally be falling apart?

Juan Guaido’ s National Assembly is the equivalent of the U.S. Congress. Only that body of government was stripped of its powers by PSUV roughly two years ago to form a so-called Constituent Assembly of leftist PSUV yes men and yes women who continue to run Venezuela into the ground. Recent events provide further evidence of internal frictions within the armed forces and of the fragility of the PSUV government. There is an increasing possibility of regime change, although who will replace Maduro remains unclear. It could be another member of PSUV, trying to preserve the legacy of the party created by the late Hugo Chavez. There’s been a qualitative change in the antigovernment protests. The protests are not being led by some middle-class bourgeoisie with summer homes on Margarita Island and in Miami. It’s happening in the low-income neighborhoods of Caracas where most people survive on government jobs—like those in the security forces—or on some form of social welfare program. The poor are PSUV’s base. They are starting to see the light. Meanwhile, serious crackdowns on opposition leaders leading to jail time, or the police busting heads at tomorrow’s scheduled protest, will only embolden Washington against PSUV. His vocal opposition against Maduro has led to more participation at town halls and other events across the country, which suggests tomorrow’s protest could be the biggest one since the anti-Maduro protests from September 2016 to April 2017. (FORBES: https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2019/01/22/could-the-socialists-united-of-venezuela-finally-be-falling-apart/#7c98c343389d)

 

OP-ED: Amid mounting coup threats in Venezuela, Maduro begs Trump for dialog

In the face of threats from sections of the military, upon which his government depends, sanctions and ever-escalating pressure from Washington and its Latin American allies, on the one hand, and a threat of social upheaval from the Venezuela working class, on the other, President Maduro has directed a call to Donald Trump to reach some form of accommodation. Maduro used an interview with a Fox News reporter to deliver the message, which appealed to Trump for a “frank, direct, face-to-face dialog.” Such a meeting, he insisted, would show Trump that “we are people with whom you can talk, negotiate, understand and agree.” This pathetic plea only underscores the character of the Maduro government, which for all its “Bolivarian” and “21st Century Socialist” rhetoric is a capitalist regime that ruthlessly defends private property and the profit interests of the financiers, corrupt government officials and military commanders that are its most important constituencies. The only way out of Venezuela’s desperate crisis lies in the independent mobilization of the Venezuelan working class in opposition to the government, the ruling PSUV and their trade union stooges, as well as to the right-wing opposition, whose rise to power through a military coup would signal a bloodbath against the country’s workers and impoverished masses. (World Socialist Web Site: https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2019/01/22/vene-j22.html)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Thursday, November 10, 2016

November 10, 2016


International Trade

FEDECÁMARAS estimates international suppliers are owed around US$ 30 billion

Ricardo Cusanno, vice president of FEDECÁMARAS, the nation’s main business federation, estimates the debt owed to international suppliers is around US$ 30 billion, “which impacts the import cost of products”, and called government food imports from Brazil and Colombia “temporary solutions”. More in Spanish: (El Universal: http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/fedecamaras-calcula-que-deuda-proveedores-mil-millones_626216)

 

Port of Guanta: Over 900 tons of food and basic goods have arrived in 41 containers, along with Xmas products, consigned to government agencies, More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=34729; AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/m%C3%A1s-900-toneladas-alimentos-arribaron-al-puerto-guanta)

 

Port of Puerto Cabello: 84 containers bearing toys have arrived, consigned to government agencies, as a part of basic and Xmas products arriving in Venezuela. (AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/arribaron-84-contenedores-juguetes-puerto-cabello; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/arribaron-84-contenedores-de-juguetes-a-puerto-cab.aspx)

 

Oil & Energy

PDVSA pipeline break dumps 25,000 barrels of oil into rivers used for drinking water

In what is probably the largest oil spill in its history, Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA has reportedly lost between 24,000 to 100,000 barrels of oil after a main oil pipeline (36 inches or 91,44 centimeters in diameter) burst in Eastern Venezuela, an accident that spells more trouble for an already troubled company. PDVSA admitted to the spill that took place days earlier (the company is usually tight-lipped and slow to react in the face of such events), informed about the size of the pipeline and a contingency plan being activated to prevent the oil from “a crude leak” from reaching nearby bodies of water, but did not provide a figure in barrels for the spill. PDVSA produces some 2.1 million barrels a day, about half of which comes from the area of the spill, where the Eastern Division (Division Oriental) operates. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2424805&CategoryId=10717)

 

Venezuela claims oil agreement has been negotiated for OPEC Summit November 30

The Petroleum and Mining Ministry claims Venezuela agreed with Russia, Iran, Iraq, Qatar, Ecuador and the General Secretariat of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to arrange a deal among oil producers to reduce oil oversupply, to be struck at the next OPEC Summit scheduled for November 30. The Ministry says President Nicolás Maduro has called on his Russian, Iraqi, Iranian and Saudi Arabian counterparts to take “high level” decisions to implement an agreement to cut output reached in September in Algeria. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/oil-agreement-negotiated-for-opec-summit-november_626393)

 

Commodities

Venezuela faces a complete shutdown of its auto industry

CONINDUSTRIA, Venezuela’s national industry council, is warning that the local auto industry faces a complete shutdown in 2017. Its current output has dropped by 91%. More in Spanish: (El Nacional: http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Conindustria-Venezuela-cierre-industria-automotriz_0_954504715.html)

 

Government run sugar mills have been inactive for the last three seasons

Small scale sugar growers in the South of Portuguesa state are warning PDVSA Agriculture that the 12 state run sugar mills may go inactive for the third season in a row, Tiburcio Barroeta, of the Caña Blanca cooperative says: “there is no funding for maintenance; boilers and mills remain untouched because the company contracted to make repairs has received no money”, They report that disrepair is impressive at the Río Guanare mill where they operate, which is the one in best shape. They add that there are about to be “three sugar crops that have gone unharvested and the people are without sugar” (Tal Cual: http://www.talcualdigital.com/Nota/134505/centrales-azucareros-del-gobierno-acumulan-tres-zafras-sin-molienda)

 

Economy & Finance

Economic Affairs minister claims credit ratings are economic sanctions in disguise

Economic Affairs Minister Carlos Faría says agencies that rate Venezuela as a high-risk nation are applying economic sanctions in disguise, and said those ratings did not follow any economic criteria because Venezuela and PDVSA have “punctually and in a disciplined manner” honored its obligations, adding that the ratings were “incomprehensible”. He said: “They impose very high interest rates and difficult conditions on us … the impose that type of disguised sanctions, but in the end they are sanctions”. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/afirman-que-pais-cumple-sus-compromisos-externos_626084)

 

Legislature asks Central Bank and Statistics Institute to release official data immediately

The opposition majority block in Venezuela’s National Assembly has passed a resolution asking the Central Bank of Venezuela and the National Statistics Institute to “immediately” release official data inflation, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), balance of payments, food basket prices, and poverty rates. They also asked the government to adjust salaries and pensions, in keeping with an economic approved by the legislature in April, which is termed “Ten proposals to solve the economic crisis”. Additionally, the legislature called on the government to accept humanitarian aid including food and medicines to assist the most vulnerable sectors of society. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelan-parliament-asks-bcv-ine-release-official-data-immediately_626341)

 

October inflation was 19.1%

A source close to the Central Bank has reported their consumer price index registered 19.1% for the month of October. Year to date inflation was pegged at 525.4% and projected 2016 inflation is 755.9%, the highest ever registered in Venezuela. August inflation was 26.9% and September inflation was 21.6%. More in Spanish: (El Nacional: http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Inflacion-octubre-ubico_0_955104721.html)

 

Supreme Tribunal refuses to rule on PDVSA bond payments in local currency

PDVSA must make its 2016, 2017 and other pending bond payments in US dollars, as originally established. Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal has refused to as much as review a request by Corporación XT-46 for the court to determine whether such payments could be made in bolivars. More in Spanish: (El Universal: http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/tsj-rechazo-aclarar-pdvsa-puede-pagar-sus-bonos-bolivares_626207)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Government-opposition dialogue to continue amid debate, Capriles says military should join

Vatican brokered talks between the Maduro regime and the Democratic Unity opposition coalition are scheduled to convene again on November 11th, to follow up four working groups set up during the preliminary meeting. Former presidential candidate and opposition leader Henrique Capriles Radonski has said it would be useful if Defense Minister General Vladimir Padrino Lopez would take a seat at the table in place of Downtown Caracas Mayor Jorge Rodríguez, or his sister, Foreign Minister Delcy Rodríguez. Capriles said “The Armed Forces are today involved in practically all areas…I think it important that they are represented there. The Armed Forces have a role to play in any dialogue process”. He insisted that the “crisis will not be resolved until the people can vote” and asked Venezuelans to demand results after the talks tomorrow. He added that the opposition is entering talks with a clear agenda and “if the government again mocks the people of Venezuela, we will undertake the planned agenda” of protests. He said that “the opposition is not responsible for the country’s economic plight because the damage is to the government’s model”. Falcón state governor Henri Falcón said the coalition will not abandon talks, and that “it is expected there will be concrete results from the upcoming plenary” meeting. Freddy Guevara, National Coordinator for the Voluntad Popular party says the key issue is “a date for new presidential elections, whether through a recall referendum or moving up elections”. Tomás Guanipa, Executive Secretary of the Primero Justicia party, says talks should continue but must have a time limit. Former Ambassador Roy Chaderton, one of the government representatives at the talks, said both sides should “lower the tone” of their speech, and criticized private media. Pro government legislator Elías Jaua, also a member of the government group in the dialogue, said elections would not be moved forward and that they would “not discuss anything that is outside the Constitution”. Newly appointed Cardinal Baltazar Porras said that the “dialogue does not seek political benefits, but rather social benefits”; he added that one must not enter a dialogue and then “disqualify” and called for participants to maintain an adequate tone. More in Spanish: (El Nacional: http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Capriles-sugirio-Padrino-Lopez-incorpore_0_954504839.html; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/capriles-noviembre-vamos-reunion-con-una-agenda-clara_626290; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/guevara-ratifica-que-dialogo-debe-ser-para-convocar-elecciones_626004; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/tomas-guanipa-dialogo-puede-tener-tiempo-ilimitado_626015; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/baltazar-porras-dialogo-debe-buscar-beneficio-social-politico_625988; Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/noviembre/8/174911=gobernador-henri-falcon-asegura-que-oposicion-venezolana-no-dejara-el-dialogo; http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/noviembre/7/174806=tomas-guanipa-considera-que-el-dialogo-no-debe-tener-un-tiempo-ilimitado; http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/noviembre/7/174772=diputado-jaua-niega-que-vayan-a-convocarse-elecciones-adelantadas-en-el-pais; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/noticias/chaderton--tanto-el-estado-como-la-oposicion-deben.aspx#ixzz4PPjVEBsH)

 

Attorney General files suit against legislature here

Acting Attorney General Reinaldo Muñoz has announced he has filed an injunction against the National Assembly with Venezuela's Supreme Tribunal (TSJ) over "recent actions against the Constitution." He claimed those actions include an "alleged impeachment against President Nicolas Maduro which is nonexistent in the Constitution" and well as promoting violent street action such as those in 2002 and 2014. Additionally, he asked the Court to block any efforts to replace TSJ magistrates and directors of the National Electoral Council (CNE).  National Assembly President Henry Ramos Allup insists that the legislature has the right to declare the President “politically responsible” and that the process was temporarily put on hold during talks. He made it clear that the procedure is not an impeachment, as claimed by government spokespeople. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2424955&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelan-government-accuses-opposition-led-national-assembly-plot_626419; and more in Spanish: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/noviembre/9/175093=ramos-allup-reitera-potestad-del-parlamento-para-declarar-responsabilidad-politica-del-presidente-

 

Venezuela congratulates Donald Trump on triumph in US elections

The Venezuelan government congratulated the US President-elect Donald Trump, and called for a move forward a new stage in bilateral relations based on respect for sovereignty, self-determination, and peace. “The Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela hopes that in this new phase for the North-American nation, new paradigms may be established with our region, as based on the recognition of cultural, social and historical identities of our countries, as well as the observance of non-intervention in internal affairs, the right to development and peace,” it said in a communiqué issued by the Foreign Ministry here. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuela-praises-donald-trumps-triumph-elections_626442)

 

El Aissami says Venezuela maintains “anti-imperialist principle” after Trump win

Following Donald Trump’s election, Aragua state governor Tareck el Aissami twitted that Venezuela maintains the “anti-imperialist principle” and called on the US government to end the what he called the “attack” coming from Washington. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/noviembre/9/175030=el-aissami-manifesto-que-venezuela-mantiene-la-“conviccion-antiimperialista”-tras-las-victoria-de-trump)

 

Maduro to speak with US Secretary of State

President Nicolás Maduro has referred recent talks held with US government officials, including Thomas Shannon and John Kerry, Under Secretary and Secretary of State, respectively. He said: “I have a pending conversation with Kerry, whatever happens in the elections”. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelas-maduro-speak-with-secretary-state_626395; and more in Spanish: Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/noviembre/8/174908=presidente-maduro-informo-que-conversara-en-los-proximos-dias-con-john-kerry)

 

What does Trump victory mean for Venezuela?

The only candidate that indicated a plan to defend democracy in Venezuela is now President-elect of the United States. What are the implications for embattled President Nicolas Maduro, trying to cling to power with more than 80% of the country against him? Analysts in the US and Caracas say that the Trump White House could undertake a more aggressive foreign policy against Venezuela, with sanctions included, while some see a new President focused more on domestic issues, bordering on isolationism. “Now we can expect increased pressure from the US,” says Professor Greg Weeks, Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science & Public Administration at the University of North Carolina in Charlotte. “Trump will probably impose sanctions” on Venezuela. During the campaign, Trump made more references to Venezuela than Clinton, saying things like “Venezuela is a beautiful, vibrant, and resource-rich country, filled with amazing and hardworking people. But Venezuela has been run into the ground by socialists,” in September. “The next President of the United States must stand in solidarity with all people oppressed in our hemisphere, and I will stand with the oppressed people of Venezuela yearning to be free,” Trump said in October. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2424969&CategoryId=10717)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, October 14, 2016

October 14, 2016


International Trade

Cargo that has arrived at Puerto Cabello

  • 1.404 tons of coffee
  • 675 tons of powdered whole milk
  • 1,070 tons of black beans, all consigned to state agency CASA. 
More in Spanish: (Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/descargadas-m%C3%A1s-tres-mil-toneladas-alimentos-puerto-cabello)

 

231 containers have arrived at La Guaira’s port, bearing basic food items, medicine and personal care products. More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=34642; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/arriban-265-contenedores-alimentos-puertos-guaira-guanta_622406)

 

772 tons of food arrived at Guanta port in Eastern Venezuela, aboard 34 containers. The shipment includes 7 containers bearing rice, 7 with pasta, 12 with sugar and 8 with oil. More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=34646)

 

Maduro seeks a Venezuela-Turkey binational fund

During his visit to Turkey, President Nicolas Maduro meth the board of Turkish bank TURKEXIMBANK to discuss recent financial cooperation agreements between the two nations.  (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuela-and-turkey-mull-over-binational-fund_622265)

 

 

Logistics & Transport

Canada advises citizens to avoid travel to Venezuela, as have the US, Netherlands, Spain and Germany

Canada has joined the list of nations advising their citizens to avoid travel to Venezuela on the basis of safety. A notice by the Canadian Foreign Affairs Ministry says unnecessary travel should be avoided due to the “significant level of violent crime”, as well as “unstable political and economic conditions”, and the “decline in basic living conditions, including scarcity of medicine, food and water”. The United States Department of State, Netherlands Foreign Affairs Ministry, Spain’s Foreign Ministry and Germany’s Embassy in Caracas have issued similar warnings. More in Spanish: (El Universal: http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/canada-suma-los-paises-que-recomiendan-evitar-viajar-venezuela_622407)

 

Oil & Energy

Maduro says oil prices must be “fairer, more realistic

Global oil prices need to be fairer and more realistic to encourage investment and OPEC members should reach an agreement to bring price stability, President Nicolas Maduro told an energy congress on Monday. "OPEC members should reach an agreement and should work for the stability of the oil industry. Prices must be fairer, more realistic, and they should be an incentive for investors. For that we need fair prices," Maduro told the World Energy Congress in Istanbul, according to a translation of his comments. He said he hoped an agreement could be reached at a meeting of energy ministers next Wednesday and that Venezuela was ready to be part of any alliance among producers. (Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-oil-opec-venezuela-idUSKCN12A1J8?il=0)

 

PDVSA seeks to supply oil to Global Liman

The world largest operator of ports and cruises Global Liman and state-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) are evaluating the possibility for PDVSA to supply oil to meet the needs of cruises and other ships. A Memorandum of Understanding was signed during President Nicolas Maduro’s visit to Turkey. According to the document, the parties promised to evaluate and set terms and conditions for supplying oil. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/pdvsa-signs-memorandum-with-global-liman_622097; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuela-and-turkey-strike-new-energy-deals_622059)

 

Commodities

Decree orders that 50% of all products must be sold to government

A decree just published by the Maduro regime forces “public and private companies that produce agribusiness supplies or products, personal care and home products, must sell 50% of their production to public institutions”. All productive units, companies, sugar mills, factories, industries, farms, productive plants, processing plants, slaughterhouses, importers, distributors, wholesalers and merchants are subject to this decree, under penalty if they refuse, delay or do not comply with the decree. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/economia/2016/octubre/13/172107=decreto-establece-que-50-de-la-produccion-agricola,-higiene-personal-y-aseo-se-destinara-a-los-clap; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/oficializan-normas-para-la-venta-del-50--de-produc.aspx)

 

Maduro seeks wheat supply from Russia

President Nicolas Maduro says he will soon sign agreements with Russia intended to ensure bread wheat for over 10,000 bakeries nationwide in the upcoming years. He claimed that under instructions from his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, the two leaders are “to close a deal to provide all the wheat that Venezuela needs to make bread for years 2017 and 2018. Russia is the world's largest wheat producer. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuela-secures-wheat-supply-from-russia_622408)

 

Economy & Finance

PDVSA warns bondholders to swap 2017 notes by next Monday, sues local newspaper

Petroleos de Venezuela SA’s President said holders of US$ 7 billion of the company’s 2017 bonds would be best advised to tender them in a swap offer, because the alternative is worse. He declined to give further details. “The best option they have is the exchange, and if it doesn’t happen we will be evaluating all options,” Eulogio Del Pino, also the country’s oil and energy minister, said in an exclusive interview from Caracas. “We are against the clock and there isn’t time for us to make a better offer.” The state-owned oil company is trying to persuade holders of at least half of its bonds due next year -- US$ 3 billion that mature in April and the rest in November -- to swap them for new notes that pay out between now and 2020. That would “give us breathing room,” and allow PDVSA to shift maturities into 2018 and 2019 when it doesn’t have big liabilities, “as any company would,” Del Pino said. Venezuelan bonds are the best-performing in emerging markets this year, with a return of about 60%, as the country defied expectations it would default on its debt. While some ratings companies have said they would treat the swap transaction as a default, investors had been betting that it will allow both the company and the country to keep making payments.  PDVSA will cancel the deal if it doesn’t achieve its target, Del Pino said. The company has pledged 50.1% of its stake in the holding company of U.S. refining arm CITGO Petroleum Corp. as a guarantee for the bonds. To go ahead with less than 50% participation would dilute the value of that stake, according to the company.  “CITGO has a value for us and we’re not going to exchange it for anything less than a minimum 50%,” he said. “We are giving two days for bondholders to understand that. This is a good offer and the best option there is. Otherwise we will have to analyze all options.” The company plans to pay the US$ 1 billion of debt it has coming due later this month, he said. He declined to make the same commitment for US$ 2 billion in payments on the 2017 bonds that fall due this November. So far, take-up of the swap offer has been very low, Del Pino said. PDVSA has twice extended the deadline, which now runs out on Monday at midnight New York time. PDVSA also filed a lawsuit against local newspaper El Nuevo Pais, accusing it of defamation and damaging efforts to persuade investors to take up a US$ 5.3 billion bond swap offer. "They are trying to harm, in whatever way they can, an operation that we have offered transparently," Del Pino said of El Nuevo Pais outside the Caracas courthouse after filing the lawsuit. The government has repeatedly insisted that it would pay its debts. Central bank President Nelson Merentes assured investors, in a rare private meeting in Washington last week, that they would be paid. (Reuters; http://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL1N1CK10E; http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-pdvsa-debt-idUSKCN12D1VK; http://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-pdvsa-swap-idUSL1N1CJ026; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2422977&CategoryId=10717; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-13/pdvsa-bonds-fall-after-swap-deadline-extended-for-second-time; https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-10-11/saudi-pdvsa-bond-sales-reveal-the-sorry-state-of-oil)

 

Inflation in Venezuela seen hitting 1,500% in 2017 as crisis goes from bad to worse

The economic situation in Venezuela continues to go from bad to worse, and things are unlikely to get better, experts have warned. This week, Venezuela's congress was stripped of its powers over the budget, viewed as a move by the country's President Nicolas Maduro as an attempt to consolidate power. On top of this, the country lacks many basic goods and inflation is out of control. Year-on-year inflation is expected to reach 700% this year and UBS forecasts it will reach 1,500% next year. "This situation is vastly deteriorating," Diego Moya-Ocampos, senior Latin America analyst at IHS Country Risk, told CNBC Thursday. "We expect the economy to contract at least 11.5%, inflation to hit 700%, already the highest in the world." (CNBC: http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/13/inflation-in-venezuela-seen-hitting-1500-in-2017-as-crisis-goes-from-bad-to-worse.html)

 

Isturiz says exchange controls here are a political measure, not economic policy

Venezuela’s Executive Vice President Aristobulo Isturiz says exchange controls in Venezuela are not an economic policy but rather a political instrument. “If we remove exchange controls we would be overthrown …. Exchange controls here are not an economic policy, but a political one…That is the truth, and we cannot allow ourselves to be overthrown, let them kill us first because we have a commitment to the people”. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/economia/2016/octubre/11/171955=isturiz-afirma-que-control-cambiario-en-venezuela-no-es-una-medida-economica-sino-politica

 

CONINDUSTRIA says Supreme Tribunal rulings frighten away investors

Juan Pablo Olalquiaga, President of the Confederation of National Industries (CONINDUSTRIA) says that the ruling by the Supreme Tribunal (TSJ) that allows President Maduro to decree the 2017 budget without legislative approval will frighten away investors. He explained that decisions that bypass the Constitution do not project Venezuela as a trustworthy nation that can attract foreign investment. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/economia/2016/octubre/12/172019=presidente-de-conindustria-expreso-que-sentencias-del-tsj-genera-desconfianza-en-inversionistas

 

Venezuela says it makes us$ 201 million interest payment on some PDVSA bonds

Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. (PDVSA) says it has made the US$ 201 million interest payments for its PDVSA Bonds maturing April 2017, 2027 and 2037. This semi-annual interest payment was due to bondholders on Wednesday, October 12, 2016, according to the payment conditions. "PDVSA honors the commitment with the people and all investors of bonds issued by the national oil company, which confirms the financial soundness of the main industry of Venezuelans," PDVSA said in a statement. The bonds are part of a US$ 7.5 billion, three maturity issue that the government of President Hugo Chavez sold in the markets on April 12, 2007. PDVSA issued US$ 3 billion of the PDVSA 5.25% of April 12, 2017, for which it paid US$ 79 million in interest for the last 6 months. That US$ 3 billion comes due, along with the final interest payment, in April of next year. Rather than have to pay the US$ 3 billion, PDVSA is currently trying to swap holders into a new bond maturing in 2020, collateralized by a first lein on 50.1% of its CITGO Holding company in the United States. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2422846&CategoryId=10717)

 

An unlikely winner in Venezuela crisis: high-end real estate

Building luxury apartments or corporate office towers might seem like an odd investment in an economy reeling from a deep recession, triple-digit inflation and chronic product shortages. Unless it's Venezuela. The combination of soaring prices and exchange controls that prevent businesses from buying dollars has made high-end real estate an attractive way for companies to protect the value of revenue earned in the increasingly worthless bolivar currency.  (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-construction-idUSKCN12715A)

 

ECLAC forecasts Venezuela’s economy will shrink by 8% in 2016

The UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) projects that Venezuela’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will fall by 8% this year, hitting the region's economic growth with an average shrinkage of -0.9%. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/eclac-forecasts-venezuelan-economy-shrinkage-2016_622403)

 

Politics and International Affairs

National Assembly defies Executive and Supreme Tribunal

Venezuela’s opposition says it is the Executive and the Supreme Tribunal (TSJ) that are in contempt of the Constitution. The National Assembly decided it will not recognize “the authority and validity of Executive actions and TSJ sentences that contradict democratic values, principles and guarantees, and violate basic rights”. Julio Borges, leader of the opposition majority in the National Assembly accused the government of being the number one transgressor of the Constitution: “It is Nicolas Maduro who is outside the Constitution when he holds political prisoners, when he persecutes media, when he destroys productions, when he denies property, then he forces the Armed Forces to act as an appendix of the PSUV (ruling party)”. Congressman Simon Calzadilla said: “Where does the Constitution say that the TSJ can pass a law? Because the national budget is a law and it must be approved by the National Assembly. And they are so shameless as to say the National Assembly is in contempt. Contempt lies with the TSJ and this regime!” The legislature’s resolution orders the leadership of the National Assembly “to lead consultations and the organization of Venezuelan society to promote a great national civil movement to defend the Constitution, democracy and the right to vote”.  It also demands that the National Elections Council set a date for the recall referendum and regional elections within this year, and calls on the Armed Forces to disregard Executive and TSJ orders that violate the Constitution, and demand that the President respect the will of the people. In addition, it decided to create the Judiciary Nominating Committee to replace TSJ justices named in December 2015 and another Committee to investigate the TSJ decision to name Elections Council members in December 2014. During the fiery debate PSUV legislator Hugbel Roa threw his microphone at another legislator and also tried to throw his laptop, for which his right to debate was suspended for one month. More in Spanish: (El Nacional: http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/AN-desconocera-Ejecutivo-antidemocraticos-TSJ_0_938906402.html)

 

Venezuelan democracy takes another blow as Congress bypassed

Venezuela’s democracy took another blow late Tuesday when the Supreme Tribunal ruled that its constitutional chamber had the authority to approve the 2017 budget instead of the opposition-controlled National Assembly. Citing a previous ruling that nullified any acts passed by the National Assembly after it reinstated three disputed lawmakers and President Nicolas Maduro’s emergency powers, the court bypassed the congress completely. The government now has five days to submit the budget to the constitutional chamber, one of the Supreme Court’s six chambers. The ruling will intensify a political standoff in the country as the opposition tries to gather signatures later this month to push for a recall vote on Maduro in the face of a collapsing economy and rampant inflation. Since winning control of congress in December elections, the opposition has seen most of its legislative initiatives blocked or overturned by the Supreme Tribunal, which was stacked with pro-Maduro judges by the outgoing, pro-government congress. The tribunal based its decision "on the need to complete the legal formation of the national budget ... with the aim of maintaining the state's functions, guaranteeing fundamental rights and constitutional order." (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-12/venezuelan-democracy-takes-another-blow-as-congress-bypassed; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/tsj-lets-venezuelas-maduro-enact-national-budget-without-congress-consent_622248; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-budget-idUSKCN12C21O)

 

"Public loans will be null and void after top court's decision on budget"

José Guerra, head of Budget Subcommittee of National Assembly’s Finance Committee, says the country is undergoing a scam by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ), following a Tuesday ruling that authorizes President Nicolas Maduro to submit the nation’s 2016 budget for to the TSJ Constitutional Chamber instead of the Legislature. Guerra added that the government could have serious troubles with public loans operations should the domestic budget be not enacted by Congress. Likewise, the official claimed the government does not want to deliver the budget to the Legislature, in order to have at its disposal a level of spending that will be illegal. “This does great damage harm to the country. The government should have better presented the budget and the Law on Indebtedness at the Congress for us to make relevant comments and ultimately pass them (both instruments) to prevent the country from facing something that will happen in 2017 regrettably,” he said. National Assembly President Henry Ramos says the ruling reflects the court’s “lawbreaking attitude.” (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/public-loans-will-null-with-top-courts-decision-budget_622371; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelan-dissent-deplores-top-court-decision-budget-fy2017_622293;  The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuela-top-court-president-can-bypass-congress-on-budget/2016/10/12/92edf0e8-90a0-11e6-bc00-1a9756d4111b_story.htm)

 

Capriles: Venezuelans to take streets if high court halts recall

Two-time Venezuelan presidential candidate Henrique Capriles said Wednesday that Venezuelans will mobilize nationwide if the Supreme Tribunal issues a ruling paralyzing the process of holding a referendum to recall President Nicolas Maduro. The governor of the central state of Miranda said that the Venezuelan opposition had been informed that the high court allegedly is preparing a preventive measure to halt the process for activating the referendum begun last March but which still has not been announced because the magistrates hold “divided” positions on the matter. “We have to be on maximum alert, if they try via a preventive measure to rob us of our right, immediately the response must be to ... defend the Constitution and ... our right for this country to get out of this situation,” Capriles told reporters. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2423018&CategoryId=10717)

 

Venezuela in a vise

A so-called recall referendum may be held if 20% percent of registered voters in each state sign a petition at the end of this month. Even if they do, however, a meaningful recall vote is far from guaranteed. Under the Constitution new elections won’t take place if the referendum is scheduled after Jan. 10. In that case, and if President Nicolas Maduro is voted out, the vice president will serve the remaining two years of Maduro’s term in his place. It’s up to the national election commission to determine when to hold the referendum, and the commission has a long record of pro-government partisanship. Earlier this year, it took over a month to produce the simple one-page official form that the political opposition needed to collect signatures for the referendum. This foot-dragging has been called unconstitutional, undemocratic, a desperate ploy to hang on to power. Desperation is roiling just beneath the surface. Voters said to be in favor of removing Maduro from office far outnumber those against: nearly 68%, compared with 23.5%, according to a poll taken this summer by VENEBAROMETRO, a respected local pollster. Some 92% of respondents also said the country’s situation was “somewhat bad,” “bad” and 57% calling it “very bad.” Venezuela is no longer a country split between roughly two antagonistic halves: a pro-government left and an opposition-minded right. Now, a small, heavily militarized state elite rules over a hungry, desperate mass of people who increasingly hate it. A broad and diverse opposition movement has coalesced around the need to return Venezuela to democracy. But it finds itself in a peculiar predicament: Although its numbers are strong, it is virtually powerless. And now the Maduro government, by maneuvering to deny a timely recall vote, is shutting down any institutional avenue out of the crisis. Which is why today, depressingly, Venezuela’s fate once again may rest where it should never be: with the armed forces. Yet Chavistas, of all people, should realize the dangers of making it necessary for a group of desperate officers, spurred on by history, to go off into the middle of the night to see what comes of it. (The New York Times OP-ED by Francisco Toro: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/12/opinion/venezuela-in-a-vise.html?_r=1)

 

VP party denounces “wave of persecutions” by regime

Representatives of the Voluntad Popular party, which is headed by imprisoned opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez, has presented a 300-page complaint to the Organization of American States, denouncing what they call a “wave of persecutions” by the Maduro regime, which they say has become “systematic” against opposition parties. They say around 250 Voluntad Popular activists are being persecuted and there are 8 jailed, two underground and over five in exile. More in Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2016/10/10/partido-de-lopez-denuncia-en-la-oea-ola-de-persecuciones-del-gobierno/

 

Cardinal Porras says Elections Council must abide by the Constitution on recall process

Newly appointed Cardinal Baltazar Porras has said that the National Elections Council (CNE) and the Supreme Tribunal (TSJ) must follow the lines set out in the Constitution with regard to the recall referendum process, and adds that criticism by the Catholic Church should not be taken as partisan. “Each time a criticism is made or real problems are pointed to because we see what people tell us, that is not to be in the opposition, or for or against any side, it is basically the wish to help those most deprived who are the ones that suffer the most”.  More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/octubre/10/171785=cardenal-baltazar-porras-expreso-que-el-cne-debe-respetar-lineamientos-de-la-constitucion-sobre-rr

 

European Parliament asks EU to assist European prisoners in Venezuela

The Human Rights Subcommittee of the European Parliament has asked the European Union to “go into action” to solve “the humanitarian crisis” in Venezuela and “assist” European political prisoners that remain detained in this country. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/internacionales/2016/octubre/12/172014=eurodiputados-piden-que-ue-actue-para-ayudar-a-presos-europeos-en-venezuela)

 

Clinton or Trump? Both bad, Maduro bemoans

Venezuela's president has blasted White House contenders Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, panning their weekend debate and warning either becoming the next U.S. president would be bad for Latin America. "I have not seen a more miserable, more immoral debate in the United States' political history, which I've followed for 30 years," said Socialist Nicolas Maduro, during an event to mark "Indigenous Resistance Day" in Venezuela, a former Spanish colony. "If half of what they told each other is true, neither of them can be president of the United States or any other country in the world," added Maduro, a former bus driver and union leader who had previously thrown his support behind former Clinton rival, Senator Bernie Sanders, calling him his "revolutionary friend." (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-venezuela-idUSKCN12C2LY)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.