Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label gas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gas. Show all posts

Monday, October 10, 2016

October 10, 2016


International Trade

All border passes with Colombia now open again to cargo transit

Colombia’s tax and customs authority (DIAN) has announced that all seven border passes with Venezuela are now open to cargo transit in all forms of transportation. More in Spanish: (Notitarde, http://www.notitarde.com/Reabren-los-siete-pasos-fronterizos-con-Colombia/Economia/2016/10/09/1028717/)

 

Zulia governor says 880 tons of shrimp were exported to Europe, Asia and the US

Zulia state Governor Colonel Francisco Arias Cardenas has announced that 880 tons of shrimp worth US$ 2.640 million were exported in 44 containers, to the European Union, Asia and the United States, under the auspices of the Venezuelan government. He also said shrimp feed worth US$ 60 million would be imported in 2016-17 in order to increase shrimp production by 25,000 tons. More in Spanish: (Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-exporta-880-toneladas-camarones-mercados-europa-asia-y-eeuu; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/venezuela-exporta-880-toneladas-de-camarones-a-eur.aspx)

 

Minister announces 1.380 million aluminum containers have been exported to Brazil

Basic Industries Minister Juan Arias reports that 1.380 million aluminum containers from state company ALENTUY were exported to Brazil this year. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/industrias/alentuy-exporta-a-brasil-un-millon-380-mil-envases.aspx#ixzz4Mg8TE0lW)

 

Logistics & Transport

Airlines want their money back from Venezuela

Airlines have a question for U.S. regulators: Mind if we collude a bit? The carriers have made an unusual request of the U.S. Department of Transportation: They want antitrust immunity for one year so they can collectively discuss ways to retrieve US$ 3.8 billion currently held hostage by Venezuela’s deep economic slide. Since 2013, Venezuelan officials have virtually halted the repatriation of past ticket sales made in bolivars, the local currency. Inflation has soared and foreign currency reserves have dwindled to under $ 12 billion, as the government of President Nicolas Maduro imposed various currency exchange rates and the economy fell into disarray and food shortages. As a result, the flow of money homeward has slowed to a trickle for many multinational corporations operating in Venezuela. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-07/airlines-ask-permission-to-break-antitrust-law-but-only-a-little)

 

Oil & Energy

US$ 60 oil not ‘unthinkable’ this year, Saudi Energy Minister says

Saudi Arabia’s energy minister Khalid al-Falih said that he was optimistic major oil producers could agree to cut production by November and that it wasn’t “unthinkable” that crude prices could rise another 20% this year to US$ 60 a barrel. The minister’s words confirmed a decisive shift in policy by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries toward a return to market intervention—a role the oil cartel seemed to abandon two years ago when it refused to step in to prop up sinking prices. A production cut is meant to reorder the supply and demand landscape and push prices up during a historic market slump. Falih is attending a conference in Istanbul this week that has become a meeting point for major oil producers to try to hammer out a tentative agreement to reduce output. It follows an agreement in principle reached in Algiers last month. “I think a band would be able to make sure the ceiling can accommodate,” Falih said, adding that because of demand uncertainties “OPEC needs to make sure we don’t kill too much and create a shock.” In Istanbul, Falih is joining an effort to get non-OPEC members to participate in output cuts, including Russia, which produces more crude oil than any other country. He confirmed he is meeting with Russia’s energy minister this week to discuss cooperation and said non-OPEC producers should “absolutely” participate in efforts to balance the market. Falih said the time to act seems to have arrived. “I think market forces have shifted significantly between 2014 and now,” he said. (The Wall Street Journal: http://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-energy-minister-optimistic-on-oil-production-deal-14760861599

 

… and President Maduro is now in Turkey for energy conference


 

PDVSA seeks to issue another US$ 4.7 billion in debt to pay off suppliers

State oil company PDVSA plans to issue up to US$ 4.7 billion in private debt in order to pay off pending bills from suppliers. The move could overshadow its attempt to roll over US$ 5.3 billion in bonds that mature during 2017 in order to relieve its payment flows over the next few months. A presentation from PDVSA to oil companies indicates that the company has been in touch with son 63 service providers and has offered to issue “promissory notes” to compensate for unpaid bills. It is not clear that the companies actually received the notes. In its latest financial report, PDVSA showed that in May-September this year it provided US$ 1.1 billion in “promissory notes” to 10 companies that provide transportation, drilling and maintenance. The companies include WEATHERFORD and HALLIBURTON, plus smaller local firms such as PROAMBIENTE and ELECNOR. Most local companies have been willing to receive the notes. More in Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2016/10/06/pdvsa-planea-emitir-deuda-por-us4-700-milllones-para-pagar-facturas-vencidas/)

 

Venezuela oil price jumps above US$ 40 on OPEC output cut

The price Venezuela receives for its mix of medium and heavy continued rising aggressively, closing above US$ 40 for the first time since August after OPEC announced an agreement for an oil output cut. According to figures released by the Ministry of Petroleum and Mining, the average price of Venezuelan crude sold by Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) during the week ending October 7 was US$ 41.58, up US$ 2.77 from the previous week's US$ 38.81. According to Venezuelan government figures, the average price in 2016 for Venezuela's mix of heavy and medium crude is now US$ 33.58 for the year to date. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2422699&CategoryId=10717)

 

REPSOL extends line of credit for joint venture in Venezuela

State oil company PDVSA and REPSOL have signed an agreement that calls for the Spanish energy company to provide a line of credit of up to US$ 1.2 billion to expand oil production here. REPSOL CEO Josu Jon Imaz and PDVSA chief Eulogio Del Pino put their signatures to the financing deal for the Petroquiriquire joint venture during a ceremony at the presidential palace, Miraflores. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2422675&CategoryId=10717; Bloomberg, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-pdvsa-repsol-idUSKCN127272; http://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-pdvsa-repsol-idUSL2N1CC1QG)

 

Expert says recovery of Venezuela's major dam is insufficient

The water level of Guri dam, Venezuela’s major electric power supplier, hit 263 meters above sea level last week. This figure is slightly above that recorded in 2015, yet insufficient to overcome challenges of the national power grid, says Jesús Rafael Pacheco, of Simón Bolívar University (USB). According to state power corporation CORPOELEC, the dam’s water level stood at 261.28 meters above sea level, a 1.72 meter raise on September 28th 2015. Pacheco adds that the level “is eight meters below the value the dam should have if thermoelectric plants were in good conditions.(El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/expert-terms-insufficient-recovery-venezuelas-major-dam_620638)

 

PDVSA plans to reactivate 931 oil wells in Lake Maracaibo

State-run oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) and Chinese petroleum equipment manufacturer Shandong KERUI Group Holding Co. signed a partnership agreement to repair and connect 624 oil wells in Lake Maracaibo, north-western Zulia state, with an initial investment of US$ 30 million by the Chinese company. Production of crude oil and gas is expected to increase by 22,600 barrels per day (Mbbls/d) and 13 million cubic feet (MMCF), respectively. At the same time, PDVSA and the Bulgarian-Venezuelan Consortium are currently in talks to carry out activities similar to those agreed with KERUI and interconnect 307 wells in the country's largest lake. Should the talks be successful, the Bulgarian investor group ALECO will finance over US$ 100 million. The wells are distributed in nine production units, and with this addition, crude oil and gas production is expected to raise by 28 Mbbls/d and 30 MMCFPD of gas, respectively. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/pdvsa-plans-reactivate-931-oil-wells-lake-maracaibo_621564)

 

Venezuela promises to become Latin America´s largest gas exporter

Eulogio Del Pino, Minister of Petroleum and Mining, says that Venezuela will be the largest exporter of gas in Latin America, able to produce 1,200 million cubic feet MMSCFD and 28,000 barrels per day (Mbbls/d) of condensate gas. He says that output will be reached under the Mariscal Sucre project, which encompasses four giant deposits located in northern Paria Peninsula (east Venezuela): Dragón, Patao, Mejillones and Río Caribe. "The Cardón project, developed in the Gulf of Venezuela, is producing some 600 million cubic feet per day (MMCFPD) in less than a year. Dragon Field will start producing 300 million MMCFPD and combined with the other deposits that make up the Mariscal Sucre Project, they will reach more than 1,000 MMCFPD in the coming years”, Del Pino explains. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuela-promises-become-latam-largest-gas-exporter_620943)

 

Commodities

The face of hunger and malnutrition in Venezuela

Venezuela is in the midst of a severe economic crisis. The country, though one of the richest in natural resources, has been called the worst economy of 2016 by the International Monetary Fund, and its inflation rate could reach 700% by the end of the year. Today, the biggest concern for Venezuelans is the food shortage, together with rampant crime and the lack of medicine. Every day, thousands of people reach supermarkets or shops, sometimes as early as dawn, patiently waiting in long lines just to buy a few pieces of basic food items, such as rice or flour, at a lower price set by the government. The alternative to "colas" (food lines in Spanish) can be found in expensive supermarkets, where only the wealthy can afford to shop. The others rely on "bachaqueros", or food smugglers who re-sell on the street subsidized goods at much higher prices. In the slums of Caracas, the situation is difficult. Many families are unable to provide two to three meals a day for their children. Lunch often consists of a banana or a piece of bread. As a result of this climate of uncertainty and helplessness, crime is rising fast in Venezuela, especially in Caracas, already ranked in 2015 as the most violent city in the world. In the rest of the country, the food crisis is worse, and health workers have noted increased cases of malnutrition within the poorest segments of the population. (Aljazeera: http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/inpictures/2016/10/face-hunger-malnutrition-venezuela-161007055723064.html)

 

Economy & Finance

Venezuela PDVSA's bonds tumble after low participation in swap

State oil producer PDVSA's bonds dropped sharply on Friday after the company extended a deadline for its US$ 5.3 billion debt swap offer due to low bondholder participation, signaling that investor reluctance could scuttle the operation. PDVSA on Thursday moved the initial deadline from Oct. 6 to Oct. 12 and said that considerably less than half of outstanding bonds had been tendered. The swap requires more than 50% participation to go through.

The company's 2017 bond maturing in April fell 4.025 points to a bid price of 80.600, while the 2017N bond sank 2.050 points to a bid price of 84.150. The two bonds are a part of the swap operation. Venezuela's sovereign bonds were also down across the board, with the 2018 bond declining 6.769 points to a price of 78.306. (Bloomberg, http://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-pdvsa-debt-idUSL2N1CD0RF, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-07/pdvsa-extends-debt-swap-deadline-on-low-bondholder-participation)

 

Venezuela says US$ 7 billion bond swap to continue as ConocoPhillips sues PDVSA for fraud,

State oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) says it will carry on with an ongoing US$ 7 billion bond swap, in spite of a legal action attempted before a Delaware court Thursday by a former partner, US oil giant ConocoPhillips, which objects to the use of U.S.-based refining company CITGO as collateral in the negotiation. This is the first legal challenge against the swap in the U.S., coming just days after the opposition dominated National Assembly of Venezuela, the country’s legislative arm, criticized the negotiation: The Assembly has said it will not approve the deal, theoretically making it illegal. “In relation with the action presented Thursday October 6th by ConocoPhillips in Delaware, in which it objects to a financing operation by CITGO Holding as well as the current bond swap operation, Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. (PDVSA) informs that, firstly, the financing operations object of that action are perfectly legal and legitimate and, secondly, the new claims presented by ConocoPhillips lack any foundations whatsoever,” the company here said in a press release. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2422640&CategoryId=10717; Bloomberg, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-pdvsa-debt-conocophillips-idUSKCN127284; http://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-pdvsa-debt-response-idUSL2N1CD1ET)

 

…and Maduro orders PDVSA to sue US newspaper after failure of $7 billion swap

President Nicolas Maduro has ordered his Oil Minister, Eulogio Del Pino, who also serves as president of the state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA), to sue the owners of a Venezuelan newspaper "directed from Miami" for "spreading false information" about the oil company. "I have given the order for violating the constitution and forming part of a campaign to destroy PDVSA's financial and development possibilities as part of a dirty campaign against Venezuela," said Maduro during a broadcast that must be carried by every radio and television channel in the country. He did not name the newspaper he described as "garbage" and said that it had a small issue of "just two thousand" copies, which is close to the final print runs of the Latin American Herald Tribune's predecessor The Daily Journal in Caracas.  (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2422720&CategoryId=10717)

 

Minister claims foreign investment here was US$ 12 billion in 2016

Foreign Trade and Investment Minister Jesús Faría reports that foreign investments in gas, oil and mining here is US$ 12 billion, from countries such as China, Canada, South Africa and Russia. He also says he has met with around 70 businessmen from Germany, France and Portugal, to push forward on 5 projects in the areas of pharmaceuticals, agribusiness, ports and infrastructure. More in Spanish: (Notitarde, http://www.notitarde.com/-Inversion-foranea-suma-12000-millones-en-2016/Economia/2016/10/09/1028714/; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/traeremos-300-millardos-fugados_621710;El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/faria--inversiones-extranjeras-suman--12-mil-millo.aspx)

 

An unlikely winner in Venezuela crisis: high-end real estate

Building luxury apartments or corporate office towers might seem like an odd investment in an economy reeling from a deep recession, triple-digit inflation and chronic product shortages. Unless it's Venezuela. The combination of soaring prices and exchange controls that prevent businesses from buying dollars has made high-end real estate an attractive way for companies to protect the value of revenue earned in the increasingly worthless bolivar currency. Cranes clutter the skyline of the Caracas municipality of Chacao, home to the capital's financial district and most of its embassies, despite a backdrop of huge supermarket lines that have become a symbol of the country's economic decay. Las Mercedes, a neighborhood developed in the 1950s as an exclusive residential zone that is now filled with garish restaurants and bars, is also awash in real estate development. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-construction-idUSKCN12715A)

 

Politics and International Affairs

National Assembly President predicts Supreme Tribunal will quash recall process

National Assembly President Henry Ramos Allup has charged that the Supreme Tribunal will issue a ruling that strips legislators of parliamentary immunity, and also seeks to quash a recall referendum against President Nicolas Maduro. Ramos said: “Indeed, next Tuesday they will perpetrate these two crimes against the Constitution: To eliminate immunity in order to put critical legislators in jail should we criticize this shameful regime that is killing Venezuela; and second, to kill, murder the recall referendum…because the government knows that if that instrument is used, it will have to leave office if rejected popularly”. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/octubre/6/171378=presidente-de-la-an-afirma-que-el-tsj-promovera-sentencia-para-eliminar-el-fuero-de-los-diputados-opositores)

 

Opposition leader Capriles vows to end Maduro rule

Henrique Capriles told the BBC that 80% of the population wanted change and the opposition would be able to collect 4 million signatures and force a recall referendum. "We are having the worst situation in our history," he said. Oil accounts for most of Venezuela's export revenues but plummeting prices and economic mismanagement have brought the country to economic collapse.  Last month pro- and anti-government demonstrations attracted hundreds of thousands of people. Opposition supporters blame President Nicolas Maduro for Venezuela's economic crisis and accuse the electoral commission of delaying a referendum that could shorten his stay in power. But Capriles said he believed the opposition can force a referendum to take place. "We have to collect signatures," he said. "It's four million people and that is going to be so important that it is going to open the door for the referendum and the people are going to vote and we are going to have a new government in our country.  It looks very difficult to have it, but so important that it is going to be very difficult for Maduro to avoid the referendum." (BBC News: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-37582569)

 

Cabello says regime will seek to charge Leopoldo Lopez with homicide

Lieutenant Diosdado Cabello, First Vice President of the ruling United Socialist Party (PSUV) says that relatives of 43 people killed during protests called by opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez in early 2014 are moving to charge him with murder at local courts. Cabello called Lopez a “murderer”. A peaceful demonstration called by Lopez on 12 February 2014 ended in violence, and set off a wave of protests through the following months, in which 43 died. Venezuela’s opposition terms Lopez’ arrest “political”, while Cabello is insisting that “Leopoldo Lopez must remain in prison. He has to pay for those 43 dead.” More in Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2016/10/06/cabello-dice-que-solicitaran-que-el-opositor-lopez-sea-acusado-de-homicidio/)

 

Opposition will demand that Elections Council fix imbalance in voting machine distribution

Juan Carlos Caldera, who represents the Democratic Unity (MUD) opposition at the National Elections Council says that Maduro’s opponents are drawing up a list of polling places in order to protest with the Council about imbalances in the distribution of polling machines that must be installed for the planned 20% voter signature drive to call for the President’s recall. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/mud-reclamara-cne-desequilibrio-maquinas-centros-votacion_621442)

 

Argentina's FM advises President Maduro "to be careful with his words"

Argentine Foreign Minister Susana Malcorra told Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro that “it is necessary to be careful with the use of words, especially as a leader,” after Maduro called his Argentine counterpart Mauricio Macri as a “political hitman” and “imperial puppet.” Malcorra said Maduro’s aggressive speech stems from the “intrinsic tensions” Venezuela is going through, and added that both Heads of State “view the reality from different angles, yet that is not a reason to disrespect another president.” “There are people who get angry and believe that we can intervene with a magic wand and solve those problems. When the democratic charter is invoked as in the case of Mercosur (Common Market of the South) or OAS (Organization of American States), consensus from all Member States is needed. Achieving it is not that simple; the alternative is assisting Venezuelans in finding a solution,” she added. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/argentinas-advises-president-maduro-careful-with-his-words_621593)

 

OAS Almagro, Brazil's Temer agree on "need" for recall vote in Venezuela

Luis Almagro, Secretary General of the Organization of American States (OAS), has visited Brazilian President Michel Temer, and both of them talked about the “need” for a recall vote in Venezuela this year, as sought

by the opposition political sector, yet put off for 2017 by the country’s electoral authorities. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/almagro-brazils-temer-agree-necessity-recall-vote-venezuela_621536)

 

Brazilian Foreign Minister charges Venezuela increases cocaine exports

Brazil’s Foreign Minister José Serra says “Venezuela’s situation is increasingly worrying”, and adds that this country is “increasing cocaine exports”. He said the fact that the Vatican has joined the search for talks between the Maduro regime and its opposition has created hope, but added “it will be complicated to arrive at a formula for a transition”; and said “a way out can be found, but it will not be simple”. More in Spanish: (El Universal: http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/canciller-brasileno-venezuela-exporta-cada-vez-mas-cocaina_621462)

 

Venezuela to rebuild housing in Cuba in the wake of hurricane Matthew.

A Venezuelan navy vessel has left port here with 375 tons of construction equipment and material to help rebuild housing in Cuba following the path of hurricane Matthew. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/venezuela-envia-maquinas-para-reconstruir-viviendas-cuba_621747)

 

Pope names new Venezuelan cardinal

Pope Francis I named an additional Venezuelan cardinal, he is Baltasar Porras, Archbishop of Mérida, who said the appointment “shows the affection the Pope has for us, and understanding that we are undergoing a difficult situation”. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/noticias/baltazar-porras--anuncio-del-papa-expresa-su-amor-.aspx#ixzz4Mg8fl9uC)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Thursday, November 26, 2015

November 26, 2015


International Trade

Cargo that has arrived at Puerto Cabello:

  • 2500 taxi cabs and 300 trucks from China for state agency CORPOVEX
  • 280 containers bearing automobile parts for Chery Venezuela and state agency EMSOVEN (Bolipuertos,
  • 414 tons of whole milk for state agency Corporación de Alimentos y Servicios Agrícolas (CASA)
  • 378 tons of frozen beef for state agency CASA
  • 360 tons of frozen pork for state agency CASA
  • 18 tons of rice for state agency CASA
  • 5 containers of toys for state agency Corporación Venezolana de Comercio Exterior (CORPOVEX)
  • 1027 head of cattle from Nicaragua for state agency Corporación Venezolana de Alimentos (CVAL).
More in Spanish: Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=33961; http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=33960; http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=33964; http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=33962; Notitarde, http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Pernil-y-juguetes-arriban-al-Puerto/2015/11/24/713637/; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Mas-de-2-mil-taxis-y-300-camiones-llegaron-a-Puerto-Cabello/2015/11/25/714712/;  Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/m%C3%A1s-mil-toneladas-alimentos-y-cinco-contenedores-juguetes-llegaron-puerto-cabello; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politica/llegaron-280-contenedores-con-autopartes-a-puerto-.aspx; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/2-500-taxis-y-300-camiones-arribaron-a-bolipuertos.aspx)

 

Cargo that has arrived at Bolipuertos La Guaira:

  • 109 containers of Basic foods such as basket: oil, corn, wheat, rice, beans and medicines necessities like toilet paper, soap.
More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=33958)

 

Over 800 tons of heavy oil equipment has arrived at Guanta port

854 tons of heavy oil equipment from Korea for PDVSA for the Deep Conversion Refinery in Refinería de Puerto La Cruz. More in Spanish:  (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=33965; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/151126/llegan-al-pais-repuestos-equipos-petroleros-y-taxis; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/llegaron-al-pais-854-toneladas-de-equipos-petroler.aspx)

 

 

Oil & Energy

OPEC not to cut oil output despite possible price drop in 2016

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is determined to maintain a vigorous crude oil output despite the current financial tension as they warned the oil barrel price could fall to USD 20 in 2106. Any change in the policy would be only possible provided that major non-OPEC producers, especially Russia, embrace some coordinated oil output cuts. "Unless non-OPEC member countries state they are willing to help, I think we will have no change," a delegate of an important OPEC producer told Reuters. "The OPEC will not make a cut on its own account," the delegate added. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/151125/opec-not-to-cut-oil-output-despite-possible-price-drop-in-2016)

 

The Gas Exporting Countries Forum agreed to defend prices and the market stability. They agreed to demand a fair price that defends investments in the only source of “clean energy” that can guarantee the global energy needs and sustainable development in the short term. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=46308&idc=4)

 

Nicolás Maduro said he is all for fair prices to stabilize the gas market during his statements at the 3rd Summit of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum. He also said it would be good to retake Hugo Chávez’ pet project, the Southern Gas Pipeline that would take natural gas to all the countries in South America. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=46297&idc=4)

 

 

Commodities

 

Australian company produced its first gold ingot in disputed Essequibo region

Australia´s Troy Resources has produced its first gold ingot in a mine within Guyana's Region 7, which is the Essequibo area under dispute with Venezuela. Clinton Williams, head of Guyana's Geology and Mining Commission, says the company "has surpassed all expectations in complying with their mining agreement" and is operating at 40-50% capacity, with full production expected in 2016. More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/empresa-australiana-produce-primer-lingote-de-oro-.aspx#ixzz3sakaYKRa)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 

Maduro awaits elections to launch new economic recovery plan

President Nicolás Maduro says he will launch a plan to grow the nation's economy after the December legislative elections. He also said he will "radicalize the revolution in favor of the people". More in Spanish: (Notitarde, http://www.notitarde.com/Economia/Maduro-espera-legislativas-para-lanzar-nuevo-plan-de-recuperacion-economica/2015/11/25/714840/; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/maduro-anunciara-medidas-economicas-despues-de-las.aspx)

 

Bank of America expects major adjustment in 2016.

In a recently published report, Bank of America Merrill Lynch says: "We expect a major macroeconomic adjustment in 2016, with a large devaluation and correction of large relative price disequilibria. The post-election setting will be conducive to a change in economic policies, especially if a landslide opposition victory leads to a change in government. Debt restructuring could come on the table under a new administration. Main risks. Lack of data raises uncertainty about  fundamentals and liquidity. Exacerbation of relative price disequilibria and deficit monetization can lead to hyperinflation. Suspension of elections or fraud could raise political instability. Continued low oil prices would put added stress on cash flows." At the same time, Francisco Rodríguez, BOFA Representative for the Andean Region has publicly called for unifying foreign exchange rates here, along with creating subsidies for those most impacted.  More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/151125/proponen-aplicar-sistema-de-unificacion-cambiaria; and full BOFA Report: ATTACHED)

 

Government to extend Income Tax (ISLR) payment waiver for the primary agricultural sector through 2018, says Executive Vice President Jorge Arreaza. The measure does not include the agro-industrial sector. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=46305&idc=2)

 

CONINDUSTRIA: Contracting in Venezuela sank in 2015

President of the Venezuelan Industries Confederation (Conindustria) Juan Pablo Olalquiaga reports that hiring by local enterprises has diminished as compared to 2014,. "This is an attempt not to dismiss the personnel (companies) have taken too long to train," he said. "There was not a significant impact in terms of volume of people hired. When there is not any reduction in employees, they (the companies) seek to keep their payrolls with a minimum production volume, which results in the increase (in prices) of the products launched (to the market)," Olalquiaga explains. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/151125/conindustria-contracting-in-venezuela-sank-in-2015)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

Maduro puts followers on "alert" following opposition rejection of UNASUR proposal

President Nicolás Maduro has asked "chavistas" to be on "alert" following the opposition's rejection of the proposed UNASUR agreement on abiding by election results. He called upon his followers to not "rest upon their laurels". More in Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2015/11/25/maduro-pide-estar-alerta-por-negativa-opositora-de-firmar-acuerdo-de-unasur/)

 

Pro government gangs shoot opposition leader dead on dais during rally

Pro government followers have shot and killed Luis Manuel Díaz, Regional Secretary General of Acción Democratica in Guárico state in a drive by shooting while Díaz was on the dais of a rally along with Lilian Tintori, wife of imprisoned leader Leopoldo López. The action follows other shooting attacks on opposition campaign activities. UNASUR's Elections Mission condemned the attack and expressed "it's strongest rejection of all types of violence that could hurt the normal development of elections" and called on authorities to determine who was responsible. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/caracas/151126/unasur-pide-se-investigue-muerte-de-secretario-de-ad-en-guarico; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/muerte-AD-Unasur-rechazo-violencia_0_745125738.html)

 

Opposition to propose an Amnesty Law after winning, will not bring more sectarianism

Venezuela's Democratic Union opposition coalition (MUD) has set forth its priorities in case if secures a majority of the National Assembly in upcoming elections. It says their first move will be to promote an Amnesty Law that frees political prisoners such as Leopoldo López and Metropolitan Caracas mayor Antonio Ledezma; and will focus on social and economic matters to seek solutions to the "deep, monstrous and fearsome economic and social crisis". The coalition says it will respect the diverse pro-government factions replace one sectarianism with another, but will rather seek to "reconcile and unite the nation". More in Spanish (Infolatam, http://www.infolatam.com/2015/11/25/oposicion-venezolana-dice-que-primera-medida-si-gana-elecciones-sera-una-ley-de-amnistia/)

 

Guyana seeks international support over border dispute with Venezuela

Guyanese President David Granger has announced he will seek to reaffirm his territorial sovereignty over the Essequibo region, a disputed area with Venezuela. Additionally, he said he would seek international support in the next meeting of the Commonwealth of Nations to be held in Malta on 27-29 November this year. "We have always had the support of the Commonwealth, and we will continue working with our allies in that organization to strengthen their support and convey a message to aggressor states, Venezuela in this case, that we are not alone," Granger said. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/151125/guyana-seeks-intl-support-over-border-dispute-with-venezuela)

 

Ombudsman to deploy civil servants for parliament vote

Ombudsman Tarek William Saab says he will use 600 civil servants (about 100% of his personnel) in the situation rooms of polling stations nationwide to ensure the proper development of the electoral process during the upcoming parliament vote on December 6. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/151125/venezuelas-ombudsman-to-deploy-civil-servants-for-parliament-vote)

 

Brazil takes a wait and see attitude on Macri's proposal, pending elections

After being asked on the intentions of Argentina's president-elect Mauricio Macri of seeking to apply the "democratic clause" against the Venezuelan regime, Brazilian Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira says "one cannot judge beforehand" what will happen in Venezuela's legislative elections and trusts that UNASUR's "accompanying" mission will be able to work with full freedom. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/151125/brasil-considera-que-no-se-puede-juzgar-a-priori-a-venezuela)

 

Ecuador's Correa charges that Macri is "meddling" in Venezuelan internal affairs

Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa has pointed to apparent "meddling" in Venezuelan internal affairs in referring to remarks by Argentine President-elect Mauricio Macri, who said he would request the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR) to levy sanctions against the government here. This is "clearly interference in the internal affairs of Venezuela," Correa said. Further, he pointed out that, in his opinion, applying a clause against Venezuela "would not be correct," because democracy prevails in that country, as well as a political project which "has won many elections." (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/151125/ecuadors-correa-notices-macris-meddling-in-venezuelan-internal-affairs)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.