Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Air France. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Air France. Show all posts

Friday, July 11, 2014

July 11, 2014

International Trade

Imports arrived at Puerto Cabello
  • 25,999 tons of yellow corn from Louisiana, for PROAGRO C.A.
  • 24,999 tons of soybean meal from Louisiana, for Agrolucha C.A., Grupo Souto, Granja Alconca and Avícola La Guásima
  • 23,530 tons of wheat from Canadá for Molinos Nacionales C.A. (MONACA)
  • 16,217 tons of assorted foodstuffs, including margarine, beef, chicken, powdered milk powder and cream for CASA.
  • Over 12,000 tons of food in 380 containers from Brazil for CASA
  • 9,000 ton of degummed crude soybean oil from Argentina for CARGILL de Venezuela and PROVENCESA C.A.
  • 4,100 of heads of cattle from Brazil
  • 2,272 tons of whole milk and margarine from Brazil for CASA.

Two opposition legislators denounce major corruption in rice imports from Argentina
Two COPEI party opposition legislators, Abelardo Díaz and Homero Ruiz, have asked the Prosecutor General to start a criminal investigation of former Food Minister General Félix Osorio who negotiated a food cooperation agreement between Argentina and Venezuela. Díaz says "a major fraud has been committed against our nation for over U$D 15.5 billion in up to 30% overcharges on imports of more than 37,000 tons of paddy rice, and an estimated 80% overcharges on 41,000 tons of rice imported from Argentina”. He says these commodities were exported by a company named BIOARTS, which is reported to have a monopoly on paddy rice and corn exports to Venezuela and has "no previous activity in cereals, and much less in exports”. Rice growers in Argentina made the original charge in local media there. More in Spanish: (Notitarde, http://www.notitarde.com/Pais/Diputados-denunciaron-ante-el-MP-megaguiso-en-importacion-de-arroz-2194078/2014/07/10/338273; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/parlamento/denuncian-presunta-estafa-en-importacion-de-arroz-.aspx; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/empresa-argentina--sin-capacidad--exporto-cereales.aspx#ixzz379dtGNFb; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Involucran-hija-Chavez-estafa_0_442755883.html)


Logistics & Transport

Minister claims Venezuela owes airlines nothing
General Luis Graterol, Minister for Water and Air Transport says international airfares should be set at the exchange rate of the first Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD 1) of VEB 10.8/U$D. "There should be no further distortion" in this area, he says. "The exchange baseline is Sicad and we invite people to learn about the value of their tickets." Graterol reports 21 out of 24 international and domestic airlines operating in Venezuela have delivered their rate brackets to the government. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140710/venezuelan-govt-claims-to-owe-nothing-to-airlines; and more in Spanish: Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/18-aerol%C3%ADneas-entregaron-tarifas-boletos-para-c%C3%A1lculo-precios-justos)

AA, Venezuelan government discuss payment schemes
American Airlines Group says it will keep on working with Venezuelan authorities on dates and applicable exchange rate for the repatriation of funds owed by Venezuela for ticket sales. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140709/aa-venezuelan-govt-discuss-payment-schemes)

Air France-KLM cuts profit target on overcapacity, cargo, fallout from a dispute with Venezuela
Air France-KLM Group (AF), Europe’s largest airline, cut its full-year earnings forecast amid overcapacity on North American and Asian routes, poor demand for freight and the fallout from a dispute with Venezuela. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization will be 2.2 billion Euros (U$D 3 billion) to 2.3 billion Euros this year, compared with a previous target of as much as 2.5 billion euros, Air France said in a statement. In 2013 the airline group reported Ebitda of 1.86 billion Euros. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-08/ir-france-klm-cuts-profit-target-on-overcapacity-cargo.html)

Venezuela's airport 'breathing' tax
The biggest international airport in Venezuela is charging a fee for the right to inhale clean air. At Maiquetia International Airport in Caracas has passengers flying out now have to pay 127 bolivars tax for the air they breathe to cover the cost of a newly-installed system which uses ozone to purify the building's air conditioning system. But with outgoing tickets already expensive and scarce because of Venezuela's economic crisis, many on social media have responded to the tax with both humor and outrage. Radio presenter Daniel Martínez tweeted: "Could you explain to me the ozone thing in Maiquetia? The toilets don't have water, the air-con is broken, there are stray dogs inside the airport, but there's ozone?" (BBC News; http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-28227198)

Land Transport Minister says construction of third bridge over the Orinoco river is 65% completed
Construction of the third bridge over the Orinoco River, which connects the states of Bolivar and Guarico, located in the south of the country, is 65% completed, according to Land Transport Minister Haiman El Troudi. The cable bridge will span 11 kilometers of elevated structure, with a 90 foot deep excavation in the center of the Orinoco River. As a result the bridge will have a height of 232 meters, which is equivalent to a 92-story building, from the bedrock of foundations to the top of the central towers. The Minister says around U$D 2.8 billion dollars have been invested in this megastructure, which has generated more than 13,500 direct and indirect jobs. (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/construction-third-bridge-over-orinoco-river-65-completed)


Oil & Energy

PDVSA tax obligations calculated using the exchange rate of VEB 6.30/USD
The Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) has decided the exchange rate of VEB 6.30/U$D  will be used to calculate tax duties on state-run oil holding Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), its partners and service providers. PDVSA will sell oil income at VEB 6.30/U$D, and funds for investment will be offered at the exchange rate of the second Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD 2), of around VEB 50/U$D. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140710/pdvsa-tax-obligations-at-the-exchange-rate-of-veb-630usd)

Santa Rosa gas complex in Anzoátegui is operating normally after completing a depressurization process, says PDVSA. The company explained a routine operational procedure to include the controlled burning of gas in the pit was carried out to replace a blocked valve in a pipe. Anaco residents had reported an explosion and fire in the complex. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=40139&idc=4)


Economy & Finance

Bloomberg ranks Venezuela as the worst global country risk among emerging nations
Bloomberg has just published a ranking of “Scariest Places on the Business Frontiers” in which Venezuela appears as the riskiest place among 43 emerging nations, after Nigeria, Egypt, Pakistan and Argentina. Bloomberg's global risk indicator is prepared with the Zurich Insurance Company, based on 35 financial, economic and political indicators for each country. More in Spanish: (EnOriente; http://www.enoriente.com/canales/yvn/34808-bloomberg-venezuela-con-el-mayor-riesgo-global-entre-los-pa%C3%ADses-emergentes-(infograf%C3%ADa))

Venezuela's consumer confidence is lowest in Latin America
According to a Nielsen report consumer confidence in Venezuela is now at 76%, the lowest in Latin America.  Market analysts say that although there have been two minimum wage adjustments here so far this year, buying power has not recovered due to 60%+ inflation, expected new devaluations and scarcity. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Confianza-consumidor-venezolano-America-Latina_0_442755895.html)

Reactionaries within the government hold back exchange rate unification, propose dual exchange
A group of extreme leftist reactionaries, led by Executive Vice President (and Chavez son-in law) Jorge Arreaza, is strongly resisting exchange rate unification as announced by Economic Affairs Vice President Rafael Ramírez. They instead propose a dual exchange rate under the control of the National Foreign Trade Center (CENCOEX). Arreaza has the support of Planning Vice President Ricardo Menéndez, CENCOEX President Alejandro Fleming, and Foreign Minister Elías Jaua, who argue that devaluation will bring about great political cost. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Demand for FOREX by far exceeds supply
Every week the government calls for bidders to take part in a US dollar auction sale within the Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD), but demand for FOREX exceeds supply by far. Based on official figures, demand was for U$D 3.9 billion in eight out of 16 auctions, but only U$D 1.4 billion (36%) were actually sold. The National Foreign Trade Center (CENCOEX) –the body convening auctions - says companies that fail to meet all the requirements to take part in the auctions, or those either suspended or failing to pay taxes properly are dismissed. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140710/venezuelan-foreign-currency-demand-exceeds-supply-by-far)

Auto parts chamber reports 82% drop in trade
José Cinnirella, Vice President of the Auto Parts Dealers Chamber (CANIDRA) says the sector has shrunk around 82%, which is a downturn similar to that of carmakers in Venezuela. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140710/auto-parts-chamber-reports-82-drop-in-the-sector; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140710/car-manufacturing-in-venezuela-in-2014-below-2003-level)


Politics

Government calls on the opposition to resume talks
After a meeting of the national Council of State Executive Vice-President Jorge Arreaza reaffirmed President Nicolás Maduro's calls on the different sectors "to settle differences within the framework of the Constitution”. "We thought the opposition would come, but it did not," Arreaza said. "We have pondered the possibility of incorporating not only dissenters from the Unified Democratic Panel (MUD), but all the sectors of the Venezuelan society," he added. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140710/venezuelan-govt-calls-on-the-opposition-to-resume-talks)

Former Presidential candidate Capriles says the dialogue with the government will continue frozen until those detained for political reasons are released. Miranda Governor Henrique Capriles reiterated it is the government that has to answer for the country’s problems and not the opposition. He also called on all of the opposition to channel public dissatisfaction "more forcefully", and demanded a new Elections Board to bring about change through "transparent" elections. At the same time, the Andrés Bello Catholic University (UCAB) has demanded that national authorities release all the students detained for protesting and stop the ongoing legal persecution. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=40136&idc=1; and more in Spanish: Infolatam)

El Universal buyer betting on political change in Venezuela
A representative of the acquiring parties says the acquisition of Venezuelan newspaper El Universal, which has so far been critical of the Maduro regime, is a bet that a political shift in the country will ease restrictions on media companies and opposition groups. “They are convinced that this is going to happen,” says Jose Luis Basanta when asked if they were expecting political change in the country. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-10/el-universal-buyer-betting-on-political-change-in-venezuela-1-.html)

Canada dismisses J.V. Rangel's claim is a "pure fabrication"
The Canadian government, through its ambassador to Caracas, Ben Roswell, answered claims by journalist José Vicente Rangel, a former Chavez Vice President, who has hinted that the Canadian diplomatic mission took part in destabilization. "The government of Canada absolutely rebuts the charges (made by Rangel), which are a pure fabrication" says the diplomat. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140709/canada-contends-that-venezuelan-former-officers-claim-is-pure-inventio)

MERCOSUR Summit will be held in Caracas on July 29, according to Paraguay’s Foreign Affairs Minister. The summit has been postponed three times and was originally scheduled for December 17, 2013; then postponed for January and later for February. In the end, it had no scheduled date due to the Venezuelan political crisis. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=40129&idc=3)

SPECIAL REPORT: Who rules Venezuela?
The death of a charismatic leader such as Hugo Chavez, along with the ascent of a less popular official such as Nicolás Maduro has created a power vacuum in Venezuela, which is currently being covered by a de facto triumvirate (Maduro-Diosdado Cabello y Rafael Ramírez) that has the backing of Cuba's Castro regime. Foreign Minister Elías Jaua himself has admitted that "no one, no Bolivarian or Chavista, can ignore how serious, how complex it is not to have commandant Chavez at the head of the Bolivarian revolution". Political analyst Alfredo Keller says "it is obvious that Nicolás Maduro has not been able to impose a personal regime, such as Chavez had. What we have here is a triumvirate in which each member needs the other. Chavismo has become a bunch of interests in which internal tension prevails in the absence of the leader that held them together".  According to analyst Agustín Blanco Muñoz, “this revolution is dominated by a military cabal coordinated by Diosdado Cabello and connected to Cuba's G2, which places civilians led by Maduro at a disadvantage”. Rafael Ramírez and his group of technocrats were recently strengthened by Maduro, who personally ratified Ramírez - who controls all funds - as Venezuela's new economic czar and denounced a "brutal campaign" aimed at "destroying him". Ramírez is not expected to do away with exchange controls, but rather establish a new single rate within a system of brackets, and is reported to be negotiating the adjustment -including price increases and a reduction in social programs - with the business community. Economic analyst Rubén Marcano says what lies ahead is "the mother of all devaluations". More in Spanish: (Infolatam)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

May 20, 2014

International Trade

Imports reported at Puerto Cabello:
  • 21,650 tons of sodium sulphate in 3 bundles, from Spain, for Procter & Gamble, Alimentos Polar and Comercializadora El Gauche.
  • 2,070 tons of chicken, in 56 containers, from Brazil for Corporación de Abastecimientos y Servicios Agrícolas (CASA). 
  • 1,234 of metalic structures, in 465 vans for the government Consorcio de Estructuras Metálicas Modernas.
  • 1,079 tons of beef from Brazil for CASA
  • 900 tons of margarine, from Brazil for CASA
  • 211 tons of cream milk from Jamaica, for Nestlé
Twelve (12) vessels remain at bay in Puerto Cabello pending dock assignation, 7 of them carrying bulk cargo. More in Spanish: (El Carabobeño; http://www.el-carabobeno.com/impreso/articulo/101665/-pollo,-carne-y-margarina-arribaron-al-puerto-carabobeo)

Wheat cargo expected to arrive
Nicolás Constantino, President of the Wheat Millers Associations (ASOTRIGO) reports wheat supply for the bread industry will improve in the next few days. He said the government authorized new imports 2 weeks ago in order to restore inventories. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/noticias/comienzan-a-llegar-barcos-con-trigo-para-la-indust.aspx#ixzz32FcQkTcw)

China has become Venezuela´s main supplier of vehicles, but imports dropping
During 2013, China sold Venezuela U$D 269 million in automotive products, around 36.5% of the total imports here. This was a 63.17% drop from 2012 when Venezuela bought a little over U$D 769 million from China. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39343&idc=3; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140519/china-strengthens-as-venezuelas-main-car-supplier)

Panama, Venezuela to restore consular ties after spat
Panama and Venezuela "have proceeded to the exchange of (diplomatic) notes" to restore consular relations, suspended since March 5 together with diplomatic and trade ties in the wake of a political dispute, says the Panamanian Foreign Ministry. The reopening of consular facilities in both countries "will take place in the next few days." No further details were given. After relations were broken off, Panama presented "notes of protest" before the World Trade Organization for what it considers discriminatory measures by Venezuela, which include the suspension of millions of dollars in debt owed by Venezuelan importers to Panamanian exporters in the Colon Free Trade Zone. (Fox News, http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/politics/2014/05/19/panama-venezuela-to-restore-consular-ties-after-spat/)


Logistics & Transport

LUFTHANSA, IBERIA and AIR FRANCE halt Caracas ticket sales
LUFTHANSA suspended ticket sales to Caracas joining airlines that have taken similar actions over Venezuela’s currency controls. IBERIA - which holds 24% market share in Venezuela-Europe air transportation - reports "there are restrictions on the sales of tickets to and from Venezuela" AIR FRANCE says "there is no availability until further notice". Panama’s COPA said last week it will cut routes to Venezuela, saying it’s owned U$D 488 million by the government. Airlines had an equivalent of U$D 3.9 billion stuck in bolivars as of April, according to the International Air Transport Association. Those sales in the local currency can’t be repatriated because of a decade-long system of controls. The group said currency restrictions have prompted at least 11 carriers to cut capacity, sales or routes to Venezuela in the past year. Local international ticket sales have dropped 41% during Q1 2014. Caracas is now the most expensive destination in Latin America from and to any European country (over €1,000) because of the distortions. Tickets are between 20 and 40% more expensive; even more so than flying to Brazil during the World Cup, a travel agent told AFP. In addition, the IATA informed air carriers have cut their offers 15% to 75%. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-05-17/lufthansa-halts-caracas-ticket-sales-joining-other-carriers-1-.html; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39344&idc=3; and more in Spanish: http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140520/iberia-y-air-france-presentan-restriccion-en-venta-de-boletos; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/empresas/cayo-41--venta-de-boletos-internacionales--en-el-p.aspx#ixzz329uMzKM9)


Oil & Energy

Maduro has announced the creation of PETROPALESTINE
During a meeting in Caracas with Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas, President Nicolás Maduro announced the creation of PETROPALESTINE, to "provide Venezuelan diesel to Palestine". More in Spanish: (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/presidente-maduro-anuncia-creaci%C3%B3n-petropalestina; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/petroleo/pdvsa/gobierno-crea-petropalestina-para-surtir-de-diesel.aspx)


Economy & Finance

Total pending government obligations to the private sector around U$D 41.8 billion
Government debt to the private sector for pending FOREX reimbursements and frozen dividend repatriation continues to rise. According to the ECOANALÍTICA think tank:
  • Pending import debt to the private sector rose to U$D 25.8 billion by the close of March, a 9.3% increase.
  • Approved - but not paid - dividend repatriations are up to U$D 4.2 billion.
  • Unpaid service debt to airlines, insurance companies and others are now above U$D 5.7 billion.
  • PDVSA's pending obligation to companies in mixed venture projects, which are up to U$D 6.1 billion.
  • This all adds up to U$D 41.8 billion.
Business leaders have told authorities this is their main problem and is linked directly to paralyze production as foreign suppliers refuse to provide goods and services to Venezuela. Government response has been ambiguous. Economic Affairs Vice President Rafael Ramírez set off alarms in January when he conditioned repayment, then the government appeared to correct its course and promised to pay off up to 30% of its debt in priority areas. That repayment has not taken place and is hurting inventories and productivity. The National Industry Federation (CONINDUSTRIA) reports industry is operating at 48.02% capacity, the lowest level since the 2003 general strike. ECOANALÍTICA Director Asdrúbal Oliveros points out that while the regime leaves obligations to the private sector unpaid, it is stockpiling fund deposits abroad, which were up to U$D 15.8 billion in March, up from U$D 9.3 billion in March 2013. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://m.eluniversal.com/economia/140518/gobierno-adeuda-al-sector-privado-258-millardos)

Dropping support for Maduro halts economic adjustment
Foreign bank representatives meeting with economic authorities report the government is working at an adjustment plan which involves a unified currency, increased gasoline prices, adjusting controlled prices and consolidating FOREX funds in order to increase international reserves...but a 13.4% drop in President Maduro's popularity - down to 37% - with 8 out of 10 polled considering the nation's situation as negative - has put a damper on further economic adjustment plans. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140520/baja-en-el-respaldo-a-maduro-complica-al-plan-de-ajuste)

April inflation jumps to 5.7% percent
Venezuela's consumer prices rose 5.7% in April, jumping from 4.1% the month before as the nation struggles to control inflation. The Central Bank this year has routinely delayed the release of economic indicators as the government of President Nicolas Maduro faces growing criticism over slowing growth, spiraling prices and chronic product shortages.
Daily newspaper El Nacional reported said 12-month inflation at 61.5% in April and that the Central Bank's shortage index, a measure of the availability of staple products, was at least 30%. Inflation for a given month is supposed to be published within the first ten days of the following month. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/05/17/us-venezuela-economy-idUSBREA4G05O20140517)

Finance Committee Chairman admits corruption in CADIVI, hints at unified currency
Ricardo Sanguino, pro government Chairman of the National Assembly's Finance Committee, has said "there was indeed corruption in CADIVI" and admitted that the regime was "very permissive" in controlling FOREX allocations. He also says the long term tendency is to unify all exchange rates. More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/sanguino-si-hubo-corrupcion-en-cadivi.aspx#ixzz32Fbt44Gl)


Politics

UNASUR struggles to get paralyzed talks started again
In a brief statement after meeting with 3 UNASUR Foreign Ministers and the Papal Nuncio, Ramón Guillermo Aveledo, Secretary General of the Democratic Unity Coalition, said mediators will continue meeting with authorities in order to get the talks going again. Opposition leaders presented the delegation with a document setting forth "all details" which led them to put a freeze on the talks until the regime made "gestures" and complied with agreements which they say were made during meetings. A key sticking point is the liberation of political prisoners, which the government PSUV party leadership discards as "impunity". President Nicolás Maduro called on the opposition to rejoin the talks and says his government will not abandon negotiations, but added that if talks did not continue the nation would continue on its course. At the same time, Foreign Minister Elías Jaua said that all those who abandon talks "want war". A full meeting of UNASUR Foreign Ministers is scheduled to take place this week in Ecuador's Galapagos islands to evaluate the critical situation. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140520/discuten-liberacion-de-jovenes-para-reactivar-el-dialogo; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140519/jaua-afirma-que-quien-se-pare-de-la-mesa-de-dialogo-quiere-guerra; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/politica/unasur-abrio-puentes-en-el-dialogo-venezolano-otra.aspx; AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/cancilleres-unasur-realizar%C3%A1n-reuni%C3%B3n-ordinaria-pr%C3%B3xima-semana-ecuador;  Infolatam)

Venezuela to protest in UN over alleged US interference in domestic politics
Venezuela has announced it will file a formal complaint to the UN and other international institutions over US interference in the country’s internal affairs that has aggravated the political crisis in the country. "We will be making formal complaints at the United Nations, since [the United States] is violating the UN Charter,” said Venezuela’s Foreign Minister Elias Jaua. He added that Venezuela will also file complaints to regional institutions - namely the Organization of American States, the Latin American and Caribbean grouping CELAC and the South American bloc UNASUR - and added that Caracas has prepared a "comprehensive file" with evidence against the US president, Secretary of State and other US officials, who allegedly interfered in Venezuela’s affairs. (Ria-Novosti, http://en.ria.ru/world/20140519/189934575/Venezuela-to-Protest-in-UN-Over-US-Interference-in-Domestic.html)



The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

September 24, 2013

Economics & Finance

Maduro announces a new U$D 5 billion credit from China
President Nicolas Maduro met with China's President Xi Jinping over the weekend in Beijing and said that China had granted Venezuela another $5 billion credit line -- and all was announced by twitter. "In the meeting we approved projects and resources for the development of energy, housing, agriculture, transportation, among others," he tweeted. Official sources report Venezuela already had 365 cooperation agreements with China in areas including energy, oil, education, health, technology, trade, construction, agro-industry and agriculture, infrastructure, industry, culture and sport, among others. The agreements signed during the trip bring the total to 400. Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez says is supplying China with 626,000 barrels per day of oil, and expects exports to China will reach 1 million barrels per day within 2 years. This is up from 49,000 BPD in 2005. Venezuelan officials, including Foreign Minister Jaua claim oil shipments have helped pay back some U$D 20 billion out of the U$D 46.5 billion that China loaned Venezuela between 2005 and 2012. Maduro also used twitter to announce an agreement between Venezuela and Chinese oil company SINOPEC for the production of 200,000 BPD of crude oil in the Junin 1 oil block in the Orinoco Belt. "In the energy field, we agreed with Sinopec an investment of U$D 14 billion in the block Junin 1 of oil in the Orinoco Belt, for the production of 200,000 barrels per day," Maduro wrote. The U$D 5 billion is basically a credit that will be invested in the country, through a credit from the China Development Bank (BDC) for the financing of strategic projects in the field of health, science road, transport, technology, industry, electricity and mining. The China Development Bank will establish an office in Caracas to oversee the loans. Projects announced include:

  • U$D 391 for construction of a maritime terminal for Pequiven (petrochemical company), through The Export-Import Bank (Eximbank) of China, in order to export Urea and ammonia.

  • Develoment of the Las Cristinas gold mine project.

  • CITIC construction group to build 4,500 homes in the states of Nueva Esparta and Anzoategui.

  • SINOHYDRO to rehabilitate the Las Majaguas irrigation system in Portuguesa state and for road connection in the East-West Kempis - Santa Lucía road in Miranda State.

  • BEIDAHUANG, a leader in China's agricultural industry in China, agreed to plant 60,000 hectares of corn, rice and soybean in Guarico, Barinas, Apure, Delta Amacuro and Portuguesa.


Expected FOREX tender postponed indefinitely
Although authorities had announced a new FOREX to be held last week, the event did not take place. Some sources indicate a decision on FOREX will be taken once the party of officials that went to China with President Maduro return to Venezuela. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/sectores-de-la-economia-se-quedan-a-la-espera-de-n.aspx#ixzz2fnwZYBi8)

Central Bank is considering trading gold to increase disposable reserves
The Central Bank has started to consider options to increase disposable reserves available for imports and debt service. One option would be to use gold bullion deposited abroad - worth U$D 2.6 billion - in exchange for credit. Disposable reserves closed at U$D 1.3 billion in August, a record low point, at a time foreign debt service has tripled since 2012, imports remain high and oil exports remain stagnant due to lower production and discount sales to allied nations. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130924/bcv-analiza-entregar-oro-como-garantia-para-subir-las-reservas)

Inflation could close at 45-48% by the end of the year, according to economist José Guerra. Production is “stagnant” and “incapable” of growing up to capacity, according to the economist who says that added to that, there is “an out of control inflation and a noticeable shortage of products,” that according to the figures from the Central Bank is at “an alarming 20.2%.” (Veneconomy, 09-23-2013; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=36416&idc=2)

Venezuelan stock market up 252%
Venezuela’s stock market rose 3% during the week ending September 20th with the Caracas Stock Index closing at 1,660,974, a new all time high. The leading gainers were the shares of Mercantil Servicios Financieros A and B, both closing at Bs. 500 for a gain of 7.8% and 7.3% respectively. MANPA rose 4.2% at Bs. 12.5, before its toilet paper plant was taken over by the government on Saturday; Banco Provincial gained 3.8% to close at Bs. 500. Nationalized phone company CANTV lost 3.1% at Bs. 46. All other stocks were flat or did not trade. The Venezuela Stock Market is now up 252.32% for the year to date in bolivar terms, though only 140.48% in official rate dollar terms because of February devaluation, still making it the best performing stock market in the world. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 09-23-2013; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=1032160&CategoryId=10717)

Commodities

OVL mulls raising stake in U$D 20 billion Venezuela oil project
ONGC Videsh Ltd and its partners are mulling raising stake in Venezuela's U$D 20 billion Carabobo-I oil project even as India looks at raising crude oil imports from the Latin American country. OVL, which has 11% stake in the project that will produce 400,000 barrels per day of oil (20 million tons) in four years, is looking at buying a similar stake that Malaysia's PETRONAS has decided to give up in the project. On the other hand, Reliance Industries Ltd, which gets about 20% of its oil needs from Venezuela, is looking at raising imports while state-run firms like Indian Oil Corp (IOC) and HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited (HMEL) are keen to start buying oil from the Latin American nation. "Indian companies' representatives will visit Venezuela on October 7 and 8 and have some concrete proposals worked out," Oil Minister M Veerappa Moily told reporters after meeting Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez. (Economic Times, http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/energy/oil-gas/ovl-mulls-raising-stake-in-20-billion-venezuela-oil-project/articleshow/22992242.cms)

PDVSA said to lose U$D 111 billion due to lower production
Oil and gas expansion projects have failed to strike targets set for production by official plans, and Venezuela's share in the global oil market is now narrower. The program to expand production called for a U$D 77.3 billion investment, including U$D 54 billion furnished by PDVSA. (El Universal, 09-23-2013;http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130923/pdvsa-said-to-lose-usd-111-billion-out-of-less-production)

Most offshore gas production slated for 2017
PDVSA estimates that the bulk of production from Rafael Urdaneta and Mariscal Sucre projects will be achieved as of 2017. The oil giant has calculated gas production in Dragón at 252 million cubic feet per day (mcfd) by 2014, and this will be the only unit starting early production. (El Universal, 09-23-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130923/most-offshore-gas-production-expected-in-2017)

Tariff hike will cut Venezuela's income from methanol sales
Exports from Petróleos de Venezuela (Pdvsa) to the European Union, particularly methanol, will be altered in 2014 upon the entry into force of a tariff increase. The decision not only will impact PDVSA but also threatens the domestic market. Until 2010, Venezuela was listed among countries with tariff preferences at a 0% level for exports to Europe, under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP). This year Venezuela was included in the list of nations that pay a 2% tariff. However, by 2014, Venezuela will pay the full rate at 5.5%. PEQUIVEN and its joint ventures sell Europe some 700,000 tons of methanol a year, for about U$D 252 million. (El Universal, 09-23-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130923/tariff-hike-cuts-venezuelas-income-from-methanol-sale)

SIDOR paralyzed for six days due to strike
The SIDOR steel combine has been at a standstill for six days due to spontaneous labor protests. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130924/sidor-acumula-seis-dias-de-paralizacion-por-protesta-laboral)

Toilet paper factory occupied by government officials
The Venezuelan Government has "intervened" into the nation's major paper manufacturer, MANPA, in order to verify production, distribution and sales of toilet paper. No details were given on what the company might have done wrong. MANPA is the nation's best know manufacturer of toilet paper, sanitary towels and disposable diapers. Karin Granadillo, head of the Consumer Protection Agency says, "the team responsible for temporary occupation can take all decisions necessary, even taking over the direction of production, distribution and sales up to 15 days since the date the company was notified". The Maduro regime has been blaming the private sector for scarcities, while business says difficult access to FOREX needed for buying supplies is to blame. More in Spanish: (INFOLATAM and
AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/revisan-estructura-producci%C3%B3n-distribuci%C3%B3n-y-comercializaci%C3%B3n-manpa)

Politics

Independent municipal candidates will be expelled from the United Socialist Party
The pro government United Socialist Party (PSUV) has set forth its official candidates for the upcoming December 8th municipal elections, and the party's Vice President, Diosdado Cabello, has announced that all pro-government candidates running outside the party list will be expelled from the organization. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130924/sacan-del-psuv-a-los-que-se-lanzaron-solos-para-el-8d)

U$D 270 million worth of cocaine found on Air France flight
There was something odd about the 30 suitcases that showed up on a flight from Venezuela. The colorful bags weren't registered to any of the passengers on the plane. When French officials opened them up, they discovered why -- 1.3 tons of pure cocaine was stuffed inside the anonymous bags. The street value of the stash? About 200 million Euros, or UD$ 270 million. The catch was made on September 11, but French authorities didn't publicize the find until Saturday. (CNN, 09-23-2013; http://edition.cnn.com/2013/09/22/world/europe/air-france-cocaine-found/index.html?iref=allsearch)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.