Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Saturday, June 13, 2015

June 12 , 2015


International Trade

 

Cargo that has arrived at Puerto Cabello:

  • 180 heavy transport units, including 50 trucks and cisterns, from China for government construction projects.
  • 6,400 tons of powdered milk from Colombia for state agency Corporación de Abastecimiento y Servicios Agrícolas (CASA)
  • 209,300 tons of powdered milk from Nestlé Argentina for Nestlé Venezuela
  • 937 tons of frozen beef for CASA
  • Over 818 tons of medicine from FARMACUBA for FUNDACIÓN ORO NEGRO
  • 177 tons of disposable diapers from Procter & Gamble for its subsidiary in Venezuela
More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Mas-de-6-mil-toneladas-de-leche-en-polvo-llegaron-al-puerto-local-/2015/06/10/529449; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Llegaron-de-China-180-unidades-de-transporte-pesado-/2015/06/11/529616; AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/llegaron-china-180-unidades-transporte-pesado-para-barrio-nuevo-barrio-tricolor)

 

 

Oil & Energy

 

PDVSA halting Colombia gas imports

State oil company PDVSA said it would not renew a contract to import gas from neighboring Colombia and would instead tap local production to supply its gas-deficient western region. The neighbors in 2007 inaugurated a 140-mile (225-km) natural gas pipeline with capacity to transport 150 million cubic feet per day of natural gas. The plan was for Venezuela to import gas from Colombia for four to seven years and then reverse the flow so that Venezuela would export gas as new projects came online. But PDVSA said in a statement "supply in the past months has been completely irregular, with frequent problems that have even at times turned off supplies altogether."  The current contract is for 50 million cubic feet per day from Colombia's ECOPETROL and oil and natural gas producer CHEVRON, but that supply fell to 20 million in the last month, the company added. PDVSA said it would next month put in service the Cardon IV block, located in the vast Rafael Urdaneta natural gas field in the Gulf of Maracaibo, to meet domestic gas demand. The block was given under license to Spanish oil major REPSOL and Italian oil company ENI. It is slated to reach production of 450 million cubic feet per day this year, PDVSA added. PDVSA said the current gas supply contract between Colombia and Venezuela ends on June 30. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/11/venezuela-colombia-gas-idUSL1N0YX2GM20150611)

 

Cuba still gets oil from Venezuela

Cuba is still receiving around 90,000 BPD from Venezuela, along with other products, according to oil expert Jorge Piñón, of Austin University in Texas. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/petroleo/industria/cuba-aun-recibe-petroleo-y-otros-productos-conveni.aspx#ixzz3ckLCT19Y)

 

US surpassing Saudis in oil output among world’s ‘tectonic’ energy shifts in 2014

An eventful 2014 in the world oil and gas markets was headlined by the US overtaking Saudi Arabia as the world’s biggest oil producer and surpassing Russia as the world’s largest producer of both oil and gas, BP PLC said in its 64th Statistical Review of World Energy released June 10.  The US last year recorded the largest oil output growth in the world at 1.6 million b/d, becoming the first country ever to increase production by at least 1 million b/d for 3 consecutive years. (Oil&Gas Journal, http://www.ogj.com/articles/2015/06/bp-us-surpassing-saudis-in-oil-output-among-world-s-tectonic-energy-shifts-in-2014.html?cmpid=EnlDailyJune102015&eid=288251412&bid=1093615)

 

 

Commodities

 

Venezuela to sell US$ 350 million to transport sector as parts scarcity bites

Venezuela announced it will sell US$ 350 million to the transport sector at a favorable rate of the country's currency system, amid growing frustration over lack of spare parts in the shortages-hit country. "I've ordered the Finance Minister and state currency board CENCOEX to next week auction US$ 350 million at SICAD for the transport sector," President Nicolas Maduro said in a televised broadcast, without providing details. Under the complex three-tiered currency control, the SICAD rate is currently equivalent to roughly 12 bolivars per U.S. dollar, a much more attractive rate than the black market's approximately 416 bolivars. The announcement comes as companies struggle to obtain hard currency to import parts under the 12-year-old currency system, especially as dollar sales are curtailed amid a deep recession. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/10/us-venezuela-forex-transportation-idUSKBN0OQ07I20150610)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 

Venezuela draws another US$ 1.5 billion from IMF as reserves continue to plunge

According an unofficial source, Venezuela has called in another US% 1.5 billion from its special drawing rights with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The previous withdrawal took place two weeks ago, and remaining funds are now approximately US$ 1.3 billion. Analysts believe the move is due to pressing import and debt service needs. Former Central Bank Chief Analyst José Guerra says "When reserves are withdrawn from the IMF something serious is going on. This means liquid reserves are running out. The government then decides to cash in one of its assets to finance expenses. But no country does this, not even Greece". Analyst Anabella Abadi of ODH says: "Last year they moved money from the Chinese Fund into reserves, as well as the gold swap and liquidating the Dominican Republic's debt to PETROCARIBE - but it is money that is spent very quickly".  International reserves are down from US$16.864 billion, a new low since 2003. After the most recent withdrawal from the IMF they could be down to around US$ 15 billion, which means cash available for imports and debt service would be below US$ 1 billion. More in Spanish:  (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150612/que-esta-pasando; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Giordani says there is no control over the economy, calls it a "time bomb"

Former Chavez Planning Vice President Jorge Giordani, who held office for 13 years up to a year ago, says there is no economic model in Venezuela today, no "direction" or leadership in an economy that is undergoing a "serious distortion". "There is no direction here, they are playing it by ear", he says, adding "it is a time bomb" due to many reasons, among them "lack of leadership". More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politica/exministro-giordani--en-venezuela-no-hay-control-s.aspx#ixzz3ckK4EIrB)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

OAS Secretary General offers to observe Venezuelan legislative elections

OAS Secretary General Luis Almagro has announced that the organization is willing to send technical elections observers to Venezuela, as requested by the opposition umbrella group Unified Democratic Conference (MUD), if the government of Nicolas Maduro accepts. "We will be inflexible concerning respect for human rights and democracy, there will be no double standards," he added. The Executive Secretary of the MUD, Jesús Torrealba, applauded the proposal of the head of the OAS. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150611/oas-secretary-general-offers-electoral-observation-in-venezuela)

 

Gonzalez termss the situation in Venezuela a "catastrophe", says Maduro is a hindrance to Castro

Former Spanish President Felipe Gonzalez departed Venezuela aboard a Colombian Air Force aircraft sent by President Juan Manuel Santos, after being denied permission to see imprisoned opposition leaders Leopoldo López and Daniel Ceballos. His visit is proving that the dictatorial nature of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, who heaped insults on the Spanish statesman and called in the Colombian Ambassador for an explanation. González said afterwards that Maduro "is the one responsible for the destruction of Venezuela", and thanked him because due to his "clumsiness" he has made his mission have "a great repercussion everywhere". He says he left Caracas "seriously worried and sad" because if it "a country in the process of destruction, and Nicolás Maduro is responsible for the catastrophe in personal safety, the social crisis and in basis freedoms". He adds that Venezuela needs "dialogue and reconciliation", but that "dialogue is not coming because there is no mood dialogue in the government"; and further says that Maduro's performance "is today much more of a hindrance to Raúl Castro than of any help".  (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2390110&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150610/colombias-santos-authorizes-air-force-plane-to-pick-up-felipe-gonzalez; and more in Spanish: Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2015/06/11/gonzalez-vuelve-preocupado-y-achaca-a-maduro-la-destruccion-de-venezuela/)

 

EU-CELAC Summit declaration includes indirect reference to US sanctions against Venezuela

The countries of the European Union (EU) and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) reached an agreement to include an indirect mention of the sanctions imposed by the United States on Venezuelan officials in the final declaration of the EU-CELAC Summit, which reads: "unilateral coercive measures that have extraterritorial effects that are contrary to international law". (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150611/eu-celac-summit-declaration-to-mention-us-sanctions-against-venezuela; and more in Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2015/06/11/ue-y-america-latina-caribe-de-acuerdo-en-casi-todo-menos-venezuela/; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Jailed former mayor ends hunger strike in Venezuela

A former Venezuelan mayor jailed last year for his role in anti-government protests has ended a 20-day hunger strike that supporters said had weakened him and triggered kidney pain. Daniel Ceballos, formerly mayor of the opposition hotbed of San Cristobal in western Venezuela, had stopped eating to demand the release of jailed politicians and that the government set a date for this year's parliamentary elections. Hours afterwards, Venezuelan government ombudsman Tarek William Saab announced that Ceballos was being transferred to a new place of detention in Caracas. Fellow jailed hardline opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez started a partial hunger strike 18 days ago. It was not immediately clear if he too would resume eating. Some moderates in the opposition have criticized the high-profile hunger strikes as distractions from this year's key elections and Venezuela's day-to-day problems, which include shortages of everything from medicines to milk, severe crime rates, and soaring inflation that gobbles up purchasing power. (Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/; and more in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150612/daniel-ceballos-levanto-huelga-de-hambre-tras-20-dias; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/politica/daniel-ceballos-fue-trasladado-al-helicoide.aspx; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Venezuela threatening energy exploration in Guyana, UN mediation sought

Venezuela has unilaterally extended its maritime boundary with Guyana by presidential decree. The order led Guyana to announce June 8 that it would summon Venezuela's ambassador to Guyana to explain the measure. Venezuela's decision to lay claim to additional Guyanese territory could have the added effect of delaying future energy exploration in Guyanese offshore blocks. While Venezuela's presidential order is only recognized under Venezuelan law, it could complicate Guyanese efforts to attract foreign energy firms to explore and develop the country's offshore resources. By extending the Atlantic Maritime Integral Defense Zone to Guyanese waters, Caracas is now empowered to conduct military operations within that defense zone. Venezuelan military vessels could then, in theory, sail into these disputed waters, and some foreign firms will be dissuaded from further operations in the area, prolonging additional exploration and development of the offshore energy resources claimed by Venezuela. However, the possibility that Venezuela will intervene to reinforce its claim cannot be completely ruled out. With the Venezuelan government facing crucial parliamentary elections later in 2015 amid a deepening economic crisis and the government's crumbling popularity, exerting claims to Guyanese territory could boost the ruling party's approval ratings. Venezuela had demanded that Guyana halt oil exploration being carried out by Exxon Mobil Corp in disputed offshore territory in an escalation of a long-running border dispute. Guyana’s Independent Party has asked its government to declare Venezuela’s Ambassador persona non grata, a diplomatic step towards expulsion; and a group of Guyanese people protested outside the Venezuelan Embassy against Nicolás Maduro’s decree. Guyanese Foreign Minister Carl Greenidge has asked UN Secretary General Ban-Ki-Moon to mediate in the border dispute, a move welcomed by Venezuela. (Stratfor: https://www.stratfor.com/sample/analysis/venezuela-new-tactic-discouraging-energy-exploration-guyana; (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44244&idc=1; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150610/maduro-instructs-fm-to-contact-guyana-over-diplomatic-mistake; (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/10/guyana-venezuela-oil-idUSL1N0YW00R20150610; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44229&idc=1; and mMore in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150612/guyana-pide-a-ban-ki-moon-que-medie-con-venezuela; AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-saluda-decisi%C3%B3n-guyana-cumplir-acuerdo-ginebra-sobre-diferendo-territorial; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/politica/venezuela-saluda-declaraciones-de-canciller-guyane.aspx)

 

Mexican President Peña Nieto supports human rights in Venezuela

Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto came out in favor of "respect for human rights" in Venezuela, Referring to the recent visit by former Spanish President Felipe González to Caracas he said: "Efforts so that in that nation which we respect there should be full respect for the rule of law, for democracy, will always be well regarded." More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/internacional/pena-nieto-pide-respeto-a-los-derechos-humanos-en.aspx#ixzz3cqKCryyC)

 

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, June 9, 2015

June 09, 2015


Logistics & Transport

 

Airlines still have US$ 3.7 billion in ticket sales cash trapped in Venezuela -IATA

Airlines have US$ 3.7 billion of cash from ticket sales trapped in Venezuela because of currency controls here, says the International Air Transport Association. "It's the airlines' money," IATA Director General Tony Tyler told journalists. "We recognize the country is in a difficult situation and doesn't have a lot of money to spare, but we do want the government to sit down with the industry," and address the long-running issue, Tyler said. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/08/airlines-iata-venezuela-idUSL5N0YU4BW20150608; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150608/iata-urges-venezuela-to-address-debt-to-airlines)

 

Guyana’s Civil Aeronautics Authority cancelled CONVIASA’s permit to operate at its airports due to lack of payment of the Venezuelan State air carrier of a fee used as a guarantee to compensate passengers in case air carriers stop flying all of a sudden. CONVIASA was not allowed to land in Guyana’s international airport since Saturday. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44196&idc=3; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150608/guyana-suspends-entry-of-venezuelan-conviasa-planes)

 

20% of transportation units in Caracas are paralyzed due to high cost of spare parts

Drivers in Metropolitan Caracas are highly concerned about the scarcity and cost of spare parts, which has around 20% of vehicles out of commission; and members of the 71 organizations that operate public transportation in the suburban Tuy Valley area and other parts of the nation went on a five hour protest strike to protest the situation. Tires are one of the items that have had sharp cost increases. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/caracas/150609/por-alto-costo-de-repuestos-se-paraliza-20-de-unidades)

 

 

Oil & Energy

 

Oil prices lower due to drop in Chinese crude oil imports

The average West Texas oil price dropped 1.67% to US$ 58.14 per barrel amid reports of import reductions by China, which have dropped 11% this year to date. More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/petroleo-cae-por-descenso-de-importaciones-de-crud.aspx#ixzz3cYcPyTaU; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/petroleo/industria/petroleo-cae-por-descenso-de-importaciones-de-crud.aspx)

 

The OPEC decided to keep its 30 million barrels per day production quota unchanged, as anticipated by the market. Minutes before the meeting began in Vienna, Saudi Minister Ali al Naimi had told the press demand had been increasing lately and supplies had been dropping. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44195&idc=4)

 

 

Commodities

 

Minister claims that the government has distributed 128,000 tons of food in 2015 to date

General Carlos Osorio, Vice President for Nutrition Security and Sovereignty, says that to date this year over 128,000 tons of food have been distributed to over 5 million people through state food distribution centers such as MERCAL, PDVAL and Abastos Bicentenarios. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/agro/osorio--hemos-distribuido-mas-de-128-mil-toneladas.aspx#ixzz3cSqv38Tl; Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/m%C3%A1s-mill%C3%B3n-600-mil-toneladas-alimentos-se-han-distribuido-este-a%C3%B1o)

 

...and announces state quotas for cleaning and personal care products

General Osorio also announced that the regime will authorize distribution of personal care and cleaning products on a state by state weekly basis. He said "we now control distribution of 6 products, such as diapers, soap, and detergents, among others." More in Spanish:  (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/mercados/cada-estado-del-pais-tendra-una-cuota-de-productos.aspx#ixzz3cYeCfuIT)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 

Barron's: Venezuela Reserves hit new low, gold not helping

Venezuela’s central bank has reported foreign reserves fell to a new 12-year low. The data show reserves fell to US $16.897 billion for the week ended June 3, from a prior-week figure of US$ 17.526 billion. Venezuela held approximately 11.6 million ounces of gold at the end of 2014. It was valued at US$ 14.6 billion, calculated at an average price near US$ 1,258 per ounce. But gold prices are down nearly 10% from their settle high of near US$ 1,301 in late January. Still, a Venezuelan debt default may not be in the offing. Venezuela borrowed roughly US$ 385 million from its the International Monetary Fund in April – albeit the first such loan in more than a decade. LATINVEST Editor Russ Dallen reiterates his sentiment that “Venezuela is running on fumes,” writing: "Venezuela’s situation continues to unravel at increasing speed as the bolivar tumbled 30% over just the last week, while the country’s international reserves simultaneously hit a new 12 year low …Venezuela’s reserves have now fallen 21% since the beginning of the year, but more importantly US$ 6.7 billion from their high just 2 months ago – a high that not only included US$ 2.8 billion from mortgaging CITGO, US$ 1.9 billion from the selling of US$ 4 billion of oil receivables from the Dominican Republic, and the transfer of previously unreported China FONDEN funds into the reserves." (Barrons, http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2015/06/05/venezuela-reserves-hit-new-low-gold-not-helping/)

 

The government’s debt with the private sector is almost equivalent to the totality of the international reserves at this moment. The government owes the automotive, pharmaceutical and aeronautics sectors, among others, some US$ 14 billion for non-liquidated dollars. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44198&idc=2)

 

Chinese cooperation fund reportedly grants new loans

Surface Transport Minister and Vice President for Territorial Socialism Haiman El Troudi who is in China for an international forum, has reported that, loan lines for US$ 30 billion were activated, under special conditions, for infrastructure projects. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44192&idc=2)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

Saab says legislative elections are slated for the end of the year

Public Defender Tarek William Saab has announced that legislative elections will be held toward the end of the year, adding that Tibisay Lucena, President of the National Elections Board has said so publicly "and I can confirm it because we have discussed it on the telephone: The elections will be at the end of November or the first week of December. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150608/saab-a-final-de-ano-se-realizaran-las-parlamentarias)

 

Opposition says it will sign an elections pact, with conditions

Jesús Torrealba, Secretary General of the opposition Democratic Unity Conference (MUD) says they have agreed to sign an agreement to abide by results, as proposed by President Nicolás Maduro - but will insist on having international observers during the process. More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/politica/mud-condiciona-acuerdo-electoral-propuesto-por-mad.aspx#ixzz3cYdJxLC2)

 

UNASUR Secretary General expects UN and EU to do "their job" in elections here

UNASUR Secretary General Ernesto Samper has said he expects the Organization of American States (OAS) and the European Union (EU) to "do their job" in the upcoming legislative elections in Venezuela. He added that UNASUR will be present at the polling, at the invitation of National Elections Board Chairman Tibisay Lucena. (Globovision, http://globovision.com/samper-espera-que-oea-y-ue-cumple-su-tarea-en-elecciones-venezolanas/)

 

Spanish ex-premier Gonzalez in Venezuela to help defend jailed opposition leaders

Former Spanish prime minister Felipe González is in Venezuela to help lawyers defending imprisoned opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez. He was criticized by President Nicolas Maduro after announcing he would advise Lopez and showered with insults by his supporters. The Foreign Ministry has said that Gonzalez isn't welcome here. He has already visited Caracas mayor Antonio Ledezma who is currently under house arrest on charges of conspiring against Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro’s government. “Finally, with authorization, we made the meeting possible, a very pleasant, very cordial one, and we spoke about the concerns we all have (...) we think Venezuela lacks dialogue to solve problems,” said Felipe Gonzalez in brief remarks. “One has to talk, rebuild, reconcile and reconstruct institutions,” he added. After the head of Venezuela's Supreme Court said he was not allowed to take part in court proceedings, González said he will simply advise the defense, adding "I did not come here to fight with the government; I am here to try to visit the political prisoners and am awaiting permission to do so." (Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/06/07/spanish-ex-premier-gonzalez-arrives-in-venezuela-to-help-defend-jailed/; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2389867&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150608/felipe-gonzalez-waits-for-authorization-to-visit-political-prisoners; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44199&idc=1; and more in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150609/gonzalez-vine-a-asesorar-y-a-ver-a-los-presos-politicos; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/; and Infolatam, http://www.infolatam.com/2015/06/08/gonzalez-acata-decision-de-supremo-venezolano-sobre-defensa-de-opositores/)

 

Guyanese foreign minister to summon Venezuelan ambassador

Guyanese Foreign Minister Carl Greenidge said he was preparing to summon Venezuela's ambassador to ask her why Caracas has allegedly further extended its maritime boundary to include an offshore area precisely where US oil giant ExxonMobil, granted a concession by Guyana, recently found a huge oil deposit. "We shall be calling in the country's (Venezuela) ambassador to explain its (the decree on maritime boundaries) meaning, and to voice our concern about this escalation of a long-running attempt to achieve by questionable means, what Venezuela has so far failed to achieve by internationally accepted legal and diplomatic approaches," Greenidge said, without saying the date when the ambassador would be summoned. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150608/guyanese-foreign-minister-to-summon-venezuelan-ambassador; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/08/guyana-venezuela-idUSL1N0YU1L620150608; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150608/guyana-terms-illegal-venezuelas-decree-on-maritime-boundaries)

 

Venezuelan Bishops’ Conference (CEV, in Spanish) rejected the government’s refusal to allow them to visit political prisoners in jail. Its head, Monsignor Diego Padrón emphasized they would insist on the need for a true dialogue and for the immediate release of Venezuela’s political prisoners, as well as respect for their human rights. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44200&idc=1)

 

Venezuelan Foreign Affairs Minister Delcy Rodríguez was also appointed PDVSA’s director and Vice President for International Affairs (June 3 Gaceta Oficial). (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44194&idc=4)

 

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

 

Friday, June 5, 2015

June 05, 2015


International Trade

 

Cargo that has arrived at Puerto Cabello:

  • 2,444 tons of transformers, hardware and high capacity plants for China Machinery Engineer, (CHME), PDVSA and CORPOELEC
  • Over 2,000 plant parts for state agency CORPOELEC
  • Over 417 tons of refined edible oil from Oil Dri Corporation for Alimentos Polar
  • Over 200 tons of xilenium for state agency PEQUIVEN
  • Over 171 tons of paper filters for PDVSA Petróleo
  • Over 14 tons of parts from Ford Motors for their Venezuelan affiliate.
More in Spanish: (El Carabobeño, http://www.el-carabobeno.com/portada/articulo/106064/-al-puerto-arribaron-ms-de-dos-mil-toneladas-de--partes-elctricas-)

 

US-Venezuela balance of trade is down 37.13% during the first 4 months this year, according to the US Census Bureau - from US$ 13.49 billion in 2014 to US$ 8.48 billion now. Venezuelan exports to the US contracted 46.49%, and 93.84% of this were oil exports. More in Spanish:  (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

 

Oil & Energy

 

Iraq, Venezuela see US$75-80 as "fair" price for oil

The top oil officials of Iraq, Venezuela and Angola have said that US$ 75 to US$ 80 a barrel was now a "fair" price for oil, reflecting an emerging consensus on a possible new equilibrium for volatile markets. "The equitable price will be between US$ 75 and US$ 80," Iraqi oil minister Adel Abdel Mahdi told an OPEC seminar in Vienna. "We share the same opinion of the minister of Iraq regarding this issue," Venezuela's oil minister Asdrubal Chavez said. Oil ministers from Iran and Ecuador declined to comment. Angolan Oil Minister Jose Botelho de Vasconcelos said US$ 80 per barrel is a good price for producers. "For consumers you must ask them," he said. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/03/opec-meeting-price-idUSL5N0YP3AJ20150603)

 

Venezuela finds new front in attack on U.S. fracking: water

Venezuela sought to open a new front in its months-long verbal assault on the U.S. shale oil industry on Wednesday, suggesting it posed a grave threat to water supplies. In the latest criticism of the hydraulic fracturing technology that has yielded a gusher of crude supplies in Venezuela's biggest oil market, oil minister Asdrubal Chavez cited the "huge environmental impact" from shale. "This does not seem to raise any concerns among the governments promoting it or the companies involved," he told an OPEC seminar in Vienna attended by chief executives of some of the world's biggest oil companies, including EXXON and BP, both of which operate in U.S. shale. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/03/opec-meeting-venezuela-fracking-idUSL1N0YP11A20150603)

 

 

Commodities

 

Hospital patients are being asked to import their own supplies

The severe scarcity in medical and surgical supplies has led some clinics to ask patients undergoing treatments such as procedures or elective surgery to import necessary supplies because the health centers do not have them, according to medical sources. This has happened in cases of haemodynamics,  hemodiálisis, laparoscopies, and inter-ocular lenses. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

The chicken production deficit in the country is 50,000 tons per month, according to Venezuela’s Poultry Federation Chief Simón Leal. He explains the industry barely places 70,000 tons out of the 120,000 needed, and added it requires US$ 2.5 billion a year or US$ 208 million a month to recover production. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44168&idc=3)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 

LATINVEST estimates Venezuela's international reserves are crashing, could run out in 8 months

Last week, Venezuela's foreign reserves started the week at US$ 17.526 billion.  Yesterday after the close, Venezuela's Central Bank reported that the reserves have now fallen to a new 12 year low of US$ 16.897 billion as of Wednesday, June 3. Venezuela has now burned through US$ 7.357 billion in reserves in 3 months since February 27.  That is an unsustainable average drawdown of over half a billion a week.  If that burn rate was to continue, it would mean that the country would run out of reserves in 8 months – and this is not factoring in the huge maturity, amortization and interest bulge of over US$ 5 billion that Venezuela will hit in October and November - at the same time that the government will theoretically be wanting to spend extravagantly to fund its electioneering: Sources in the government seem to be pointing to December 6, the anniversary of the election that brought Chavez to power in 1998.  Meanwhile, the bolivar's depreciation continues to gather speed, and the currency is now at 438 bolivars to the dollar in the black market, with the dollar doubling against the bolivar in just 3 months. At the same time, the government continues to print bolivars, with M2 money supply up over 70% in just the last 12 months.  (Latinvest: https://www.scribd.com/doc/266632291/).

 

FOREX reserves have been dropping an average US$ 49 million daily this year, according to a report by ODH Análisis Venezuela. Añade que ha habido mayores disminuciones específicas en los momentos de pago de deuda. Over the past 3 days reserves rose by US$ 306 million due to an increase in the price of gold - which is the largest part of reserves held by the Central Bank of Venezuela. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/; and El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150605/que-esta-pasando)

 

Daily FOREX allocations have been cut 71% to US$ 40.6 million in the first four months of this year, according to ECOANALÍTICA, down from US$ 140 million during the same period in 2014. There have been no bids since October 2014. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44169&idc=2)

 

FOREX rate change under study

An unofficial source reports the Government is analyzing a correction in the FOREX rate and devaluating the VEB 6.3/US$ 1 to VEB 25/US$ 1, for all imports going through the Foreign Trade Center. The new devaluation would also imply a subsidy program for food and medicines. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Gobierno-estudia-modificar-tasa_0_640136243.html)

 

CONINDUSTRIA reports the number of active companies is down 60% nationwide since 1998

The National Council of Industries (CONINDUSTRIA) reports that the number of active companies is 60% less than in 1998, and says the only way to reactivate the economy over the next 10 years is to implement effective public policies to stimulate innovation, investment and entrepreneurship. "There were around 15,000 industrial companies in 1998 and we are now down to little more than 5,000. We have continued shrinking this year." More in Spanish: (GLOBOVISION, http://globovision.com/segun-conindustria-empresas-activas-en-el-pais-se-han-reducido-60/)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

ECOSOC, ILO slam Venezuela's "economic warfare" excuse for harassing businessmen

The argument that business and the opposition are plotting to leave the country without food, medicines, and other products in order to discredit the Venezuelan government seems increasingly implausible to the world. The United Nations Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ECOSOC) on Wednesday questioned the Venezuelan government for attributing most of domestic troubles to "economic warfare." The country was scrutinized in a regular exercise of the UN Member States that have ratified the Convention on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights. Colombian expert Rodrigo Uprimmy asked Planning Minister Ricardo Menéndez: "When there is progress it's due to the revolution and where there are problems it is due to economic warfare? Clarify what you mean by "economic warfare".  Menendez asked the UN to "be respectful...not make value judgments...and not trivialize economic warfare, which is to manipulate international markets to lower the price of crude oil, destabilize the national currency, and raise the country risk for Venezuela." China's Shiqiu Chen asked for details: "Your policies seem to be hurting everyday people, who is this economic warfare against". Menendez remarked that despite the situation the country has not lowered social investment. On Thursday, the International Labor Organization (ILO) rejected the use of this argument by Venezuelan authorities to justify its constant harassment of businessmen and some union leaders. "That argument is untrue to the international vision," said ILO expert Rafael Echeverría during Venezuela's evaluation of trade union freedoms. The head of the Venezuelan delegation, Labor Relations Vice-Minister Elio Colmenares argued that the Venezuelan Federation of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (Fedecámaras) kept on planning, funding, and heading the economic war against the government. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150604/ilo-economic-war-is-no-excuse-for-harassment-of-businesspersons; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150603/un-questions-that-venezuelan-govt-adduces-economic-war; and more in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150604/venezuela-pidio-a-la-onu-no-banalizar-la-guerra-economica; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

UN, US seek freedom for López and Ceballos, as 24 people remain on hunger strike over political prisoners. The United Nations has expressed its concern over Venezuela’s political prisoners, and asked to guarantee medical attention to those now staging a hunger strike. The US State Department expressed "deep concern", urged the Venezuelan regime to guarantee their well being, and stated "we join the international community in seeking their immediate freedom." Former San Cristóbal Mayor Daniel Ceballos has lost 10 kilos since starting his hunger strike 14 days ago. López joined him 12 days ago. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44171&idc=1; and more in Spanish: El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Monsignor Lückert reports "the Pope is concerned over Venezuela's situation"

Pope Francis is concerned over the situation in Venezuela, insecurity, disrespect of human rights, and political prisoners, according to Monsignor Roberto Lückert León, who held a meeting with the Pope last Monday. "There are lot of things that both he and people outside our country, cannot understand, such as an immensely rich country like Venezuela is an immensely poor country", Lückert said. As chairman of the Episcopal Commission of Media in Venezuela explained that for the Pope to come here, there must be a move by the Bishops' Conference and the government. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150603/monsignor-luckert-the-pope-is-worried-for-venezuelas-situation)

 

United opposition coalition sets protest agenda

The Executive Secretary of the United Democratic Conference (MUD), Jesús Torrealba, has announced an agenda agreed to by the coalition to settle disagreements after the unilateral call by the Voluntad Popular party for a demonstration last Saturday. "The best decision is that made by all of us together, because is the strongest one, the one capable of going far," Torrealba. The heads of the opposition parties gathered in support of the agenda provided by the wives of  Leopoldo López, Daniel Ceballos and Antonio Ledezma. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150603/venezuelan-opposition-coalition-sets-protest-agenda)

 

Dissident socialists urge regime to investigate corruption

Dissident and former members of Venezuela's ruling Socialist Party have asked the regime to investigate alleged multi-billion dollar frauds they say have flourished under the country's strict currency controls. MAREA SOCIALISTA, a small group of leftist intellectuals, as well as fringe members of the Socialist Party, say corrupt companies and complicit officials are gaming a currency system designed to control imports ranging from foods to medicines. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/03/venezuela-politics-idUSL1N0YP1K920150603)

 

Simultaneous attacks against two opposition mayors’ offices

El Hatillo Mayor David Smolansky, a militant of Voluntad Popular, has denounced that armed pro-government groups attacked two mayors’ offices headed by members of his party: The Páez District’s in Apure whose mayor was removed by the TSJ, based on an irregular decision from the district’s council and Mario Briceño Irragorri’s in Aragua state where a municipal worker, camera man Alejandro Ledo, was thrown off a balcony. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44172&idc=1; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150604/fifteen-people-injured-in-captured-mayors-office-in-aragua-state)

 

 Venezuela does not cooperate in the fight against drug trafficking", according to US Southern Command Chief General John Kelly in statements at the International Conference against Illegal Drugs held in Cartagena, Colombia. He pointed out a significant amount of the cocaine going to Europe or the United States leaves from Venezuela. He added Venezuela is the only country in the region with which there is no cooperation. The Venezuelan Ministry of Foreign Affairs quickly issued a communiqué rejecting Kelly's remarks, and said that such statements harm "efforts" to normalize bilateral relations. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=44170&idc=1; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150604/venezuelan-foreign-office-rejects-us-drug-trafficking-accusations)

 

Maduro claims an opposition legislator is implicated in Congressman Serra's murder

Julio Vélez, a former alderman in Cúcuta, Colombia, has been arrested and charged with masterminding the murder of pro-government legislator Robert Serra and his assistant. National Assembly President Captain Diosdado Cabello reports Vélez's connections in Venezuela are being investigated, and confirms that Vélez is a fugitive of Colombia's justice for murdering his wife and other crimes. He added that his father manages brokerage firms on the border are "the ones that plot to economically destabilize the country." Later, President Nicolás Maduro said an opposition legislator from the United Democratic Conference (MUD) could be implicated in the case, but did not provide a name. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150604/authorities-investigate-julio-velezs-connections-in-venezuela; and more in Spanish: http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150605/maduro-diputado-de-la-mud-esta-implicado-en-caso-serra)

 

Maduro suggests Maradona as FIFA President

President Nicolás Maduro says the FBI investigation of corruption in the international soccerl federation, FIFA, is a maneuver to wrest the seat of the World Cup away from Russia and Qatar in 2018 and 2022. He also suggested that Argentina's former soccer star Diego Maradona - a fan of both the Castro and Maduro regimes - should take over the reins of FIFA from Joseph Blatter. Maradona has for a long time denounced corruption at the highest levels of FIFA. More in Spanish: (Infolatam, http://www.infolatam.com/2015/06/03/venezolano-maduro-sugiere-a-maradona-como-presidente-de-la-fifa/)

 
 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.