Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Friday, October 10, 2014

October 10, 2014

International Trade

Cargo arrived at Puerto Cabello:
  • Over 35,900 tons of yellow corn from Louisiana to Industrias del Maíz, Agro Consorcio Orograin and Alimentos Fontana C.A. (Alfonca).
  • Over 1,580 tons of milk from New Zealand for state agency CASA.
  • Over 261 tons of disposable diapers in 28 containers from Procter & Gamble Perú to their local affiliate
  • Over 19,000 tons of UPK granular fertilizer from Rusian company Ojsc Prosagro Chevepovets for BARIVEN S.A.
  • Over 16,595 tons of beef, chicken, milk and margarine from Brazilian company JBS S/A for CASA
  • 6,000 tons of rice from GuRice Development Board for CASA
23 ships remain at bay at Puerto Cabello awaiting dock assignment.

Private imports decrease, Puerto Cabello is reported to be down to 60% occupancy
Movement at the Puerto Cabello maritime terminal has declined, as private sector imports are down 45%. FEDECAMARAS Carabobo State President, Damiano Del Vescovo says this is due to poor allocation of foreign exchange. He reports that 19 ships arrived at dock this week, 11 of them carrying white and yellow corn, sorghum, rice, and vegetables. More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/Valencia/Casi-a-la-mitad-cayeron-todas-las-importaciones-privadas-2247729/2014/10/09/359841)

Over 25,000 tons of food seized in fight against smuggling
General Vladimir Padrino, Chief of the Strategic Operational Command of the Armed Forces says a total 25,448 tons of food has been seized by the government year to date in its battle against outbound smuggling, along with 14,695 tons of strategic material and 53,454,000 liters of oil, between diesel and petrol. (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/seized-over-25000-tons-food-amid-fight-against-smuggling)


Oil & Energy

CITGO's U.S. refineries sale takes another bidding round
Investment bank Lazard Ltd has asked bidders that have shown interest in buying CITGO Petroleum Corp's U.S. refineries to submit an additional round of offers, as the sale process proceeds despite doubts. An initial round of bids was tabled at the end of September with several companies showing interest. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/09/oil-citgo-pete-sale-idUSL2N0S41IS20141009)

SPECIAL REPORT: Venezuela, in a quiet shift, gives foreign partners more control in oil ventures
Today, the Venezuelan economy is struggling and so is its government-run oil monopoly, Petróleos de Venezuela, or PDVSA. The company is mired in a cash-flow crisis and has had to tap the Central Bank for millions of dollars in loans. It has considered selling its United States gas station subsidiary, CITGO, and is contemplating raising gasoline prices at home, which are the cheapest in the world. But in a quiet change that might surprise many Venezuelans, the company has been discreetly moving to give more control to foreign oil companies that participate with it in joint ventures. In the hopes of jump-starting stagnant production through increased investment, the company has signed or is negotiating financing agreements with numerous foreign oil companies operating here. These agreements give the companies greater say over how drilling operations are run and how they buy supplies and equipment, as well as greater control over spending and profits, according to those familiar with them, some of whom asked not to be identified to preserve relations with PDVSA. One of the first agreements was signed with the American company CHEVRON in May 2013. The deal included a US$ 2 billion loan by CHEVRON to PDVSA to cover the state oil company’s portion of investment in an oil field across Lake Maracaibo from Mene Grande. But it also included provisions sought by CHEVRON to guarantee that the new loan, as well as millions of dollars in unpaid dividends from past operations, would be paid promptly from oil revenues. The deal also provided for tighter controls over how the loan would be spent and allowed for greater flexibility in running the joint project, they said. Several other oil companies have renegotiated their agreements with PDVSA along similar lines. And while the oil companies remain minority partners with PDVSA, the new agreements give the companies a greater say in running Venezuela’s oil fields than they have had in years. That includes allowing for greater leeway in buying supplies and hiring subcontractors, without going through PDVSA-controlled subsidiaries, a frequent source of delays and corruption. The recent loan agreements also generally include provisions that would allow disputes to be resolved through international arbitration or in New York courts under New York law. That is a departure from the operations contracts that govern the joint ventures, which are subject only to Venezuelan law. (The New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/10/world/venezuela-in-a-quiet-shift-gives-foreign-partners-more-control-in-oil-ventures.html?smid=fb-share&_r=1)


Commodities

PDVSA Industries may increase lubricant production at the Vassa plant in Guacara, Carabobo state. PDVSA’s Chief Eulogio Del Pino explains that adding a third shift can increase production by around 30%, from 5 to 6.5 million liters of oil a month. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41401&idc=4)

Half the tuna can factories in Sucre state have stopped operations because of tuna shortages and the other half operates at a third of its productivity, according to industry spokesman Roger Palacios. He reports there is also shortage of containers. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41398&idc=3)


Economy & Finance

IMF is projecting 3% drop in GDP and inflation for Venezuela
The International Monetary Fund is projecting that Venezuela will enter a depression this year which will extend through to 2015. It forecasts GDP will drop by 3% in 2014, and will contract another 1% in 2015. It is now estimating prices will rise 64.3% in 2014 and 62.9% in 2015. More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/Portada/FMI-vaticina-decrecimiento-e-inflacion-en-Venezuela/2014/10/08/66049; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141008/fmi-advierte-sobre-severas-distorsiones-en-el-pais; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/fmi-estima-que-economia-de-venezuela-caera-3-en-20.aspx)

Venezuela says it has serviced Global 2014 bond, slams default fears
Venezuela said it paid around US$ 1.56 billion to service its Global 2014 bond and interests on Wednesday, admonishing what it called a "perverse" international campaign to foster default fears. "This payment, which was always planned, dismantles a campaign launched by international financial capital's spokespeople and media to harm the Republic's image and its people's integrity with perverse political and economic aims," said a statement from the Information Ministry. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/08/venezuela-bonds-idUSL2N0S31HW20141008; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41386&idc=2; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2355579&CategoryId=10717)

International reserves are down to US$ 19.814 billion, lowest since November 2003
After servicing a first tranche of debt, Venezuela's international reserves have dropped down to US$ 19.814 billion, according to Central Bank data. This is a descent of 8.8% year to date and the lowest point since November 4, 2003. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141010/reservas-internacionales-se-ubican-en-19814-millones)

How Venezuela got no dollars from US$ 65 billion bond sales
In the past decade, Venezuela and the nation’s oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA have sold US$ 65 billion of dollar-denominated bonds without ever seeing a dime. Sure, they got money, but took in no dollars. To preserve foreign reserves while injecting some much-needed hard currency into the economy, the government, PDVSA and the central bank sold the debt to local investors in return for bolivars. Buyers then sold the notes abroad to obtain U.S. currency, which has become scarce as Venezuela tries to limit capital flight. With US$ 4.5 billion of debt coming due this month and reserves at an 11-year low, Venezuela is realizing the bond sales didn’t actually buy it much time and are instead exacerbating a cash crunch that’s fueling concern the country will default. The nation’s bonds have plummeted 9.5% in the past month, the most in emerging markets. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-07/how-venezuela-came-away-with-no-dollars-from-sales-andes-credit.htm)

The 61% devaluation that Venezuela told no one about
The world’s steepest currency devaluation is happening with so little fanfare that you may have missed it. Venezuela is forcing companies to pay an average 61% more for dollars in government auctions compared with a year ago, according to estimates by Barclays Plc. The sales are the only way most of them can get their hands on scarce foreign currency to purchase goods from abroad without access to the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-08/the-61-devaluation-that-venezuela-told-no-one-about.html)

EXXON wins US$ 1.6 billion settlement for Venezuela seizure
EXXON MOBIL was awarded a US$ 1.6 billion settlement by an international arbitration panel for assets seized by Venezuela’s government in 2007, a fraction of what the crude producer had sought. The World Bank’s International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes, or ICSID, awarded the sum to EXXON as compensation for investments in the Cerro Negro project and other losses. The company had originally sought as much as US$ 14.7 billion for assets nationalized after it refused to accept terms of a partnership with Petroleos de Venezuela SA. In 2011, the International Chamber of Commerce, or ICC, ordered PDVSA to pay Exxon US$ 907.6 million, minus a US$ 161 million counterclaim by PDVSA, for the seizure of a 41.67% stake in the Cerro Negro heavy-oil project in the Orinoco Belt, the same one that triggered the ICSID claim. PDVSA said in 2012 that it had settled the ICC ruling with a cash payment of US$ 255 million. Speaking through Foreign Minister Rafael Ramírez, the Venezuelan government hailed the ruling as a victory. (Business Week, http://www.businessweek.com/news/2014-10-09/exxon-wins-1-dot-6-billion-settlement-for-venezuela-seizure; more in Spanish: El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/ramirez--el-ciadi-rechazo-las-pretensiones-exagera.aspx#ixzz3Fjuacsjj; El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141010/ciadi-resuelve-que-venezuela-pague-16-millardos-a-exxon; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/ramirez-el-ciadi-rechazo-las-pretensiones-exagerad.aspx)

World Bank tells Venezuela hiding statistics is a thing of the past
Augusto de la Torre, the World Bank's chief economist for Latin America says delays in divulging economic statistics are reminiscent of past practices in Latin America and make it difficult for international institutions to evaluate the country. "It is odd yet understandable that the more problems a country have, the more cautious they are in showing information, and that is the Latin America of the past". More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/bm-a-venezuela-atrasos-en-estadisticas-es-una-prac.aspx#ixzz3FYEy7MaG)

Fraser Institute: Venezuela is the world's least economically free country
Venezuela ranked last among 152 countries assessed in the Economic Freedom of the World Report 2014, conducted by the Canadian Fraser Institute. The ranking is based on information available one or two years ahead. The study measured five areas: size of government, legal structure and security of property rights, access to sound money, freedom to trade internationally, and regulation of credit, labor and business. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141009/fraser-institute-venezuela-is-the-worlds-least-economically-free-count)


Politics and International Affairs

UN group calls for freeing López immediately
The UN's Human Rights Council Working Group on Arbitrary Detentions has asked Venezuelan authorities to immediately free Leopoldo López, founder of Voluntad Popular, and considers his detention "arbitrary" and in violation of the International Convention on Civil and Political Rights. It says the charges of provoking disturbances in order to overthrow the government are baseless. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141009/en-onu-instan-a-venezuela-a-liberar-a-lopez-de-inmediato; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/ONU-gobierno-liberar-Leopoldo-Lopez_0_497350396.html)

Opposition coalition convenes crusade against violence
Jesús "Chúo" Torrealba, Executive Secretary of opposition umbrella group Democratic Unity Conference (MUD) called on "all Venezuelans to join the national crusade against violence," and said he call is not intended to dissenters only, but "to Venezuelans against violence, and all Venezuelans and chavistas interested in joining us will be welcomed with respect, because this struggle concerns everyone". He announced that a huge rally would be held in Caracas on October 18, yet he would not give further details. He added that the MUD would hold 22 citizens' assemblies on October 11 across the country to discuss the issue of violence. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141008/opposition-coalition-convenes-crusade-against-violence)

Distancing themselves from street vendors?
Pro government legislator Saúl Ortega says the country’s main cities slums are “filled" with paramilitaries. He explained, “its vox populi. A very small portion of those working as street vendors are Venezuelans who need sources of employment but most are these illegal people that have turned this into a problem.” (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41396&idc=3)

Two people have been arrested for expressing their opinions in their Twitter accounts. Abraham David Muñoz (@AbraahamDz) and Inés González (@inesitaterrible) were remanded to the SEBIN headquarters in Caracas on Tuesday after they were charged with alleged insults to officials and inciting hatred. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41374&idc=1)

OAS anticorruption delegation Inspects Venezuela
A Commission of the Anti-Corruption Mechanism of the Organization of American States (OAS) held an “on-site” visit to Venezuela from September 30 to October 2 with the country´s consent, as part of the analysis that the mechanism carries out in accordance with the methodology adopted by consensus among its member countries. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2355646&CategoryId=10717)

Venezuela meets international protocols to prevent Ebola here
Health Minister Nancy Perez met with representatives of the World Health Organization (WHO), workers of harbor company Bolivariana de Puertos, as well as epidemiologists, and others, to strengthen epidemiological surveillance and confirm that the country has updated protocols to monitor the entrance to the country of people who come from nations where the Ebola fever has spread. (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-meets-international-protocols-prevent-ebola-country)



The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

October 07, 2014

International Trade

Cargo arrived at Puerto Cabello:
  • Over 80,000 tons of yellow corn from Argentina, for Alimentación Balanceada
  • 2,500 heads of cattle, weighing over 1,000 tons, from Brazil, for Frigorífico Ind Los Andes, Asesores Int Xw C.A. and Desarrollo Los Cocos Ranch.

Smuggling, border closing, to center attention of Holguín – Ramírez meeting
Colombian Foreign Minister María Ángela Holguín expects to arrive in Caracas on October 20th for meetings with her Venezuelan counterpart, Rafael Ramírez, which will focus on cross border smuggling and closely evaluate the closing of the border by Venezuela. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141007/el-contrabando-sera-el-eje-de-cita-holguin-ramirez)


Logistics & Transport

International airlines await government's call
International airlines operating in Venezuela are awaiting the government's call in order to resolve their differences with authorities here over repatriation of funds accrued in US dollars arising from the sale of plane tickets. President Nicolás Maduro last Monday ordered aviation and FOREX authorities to "completely solve" the crisis with international airlines, which dates back to August 2013. However, representatives from international airlines have not yet been called for a meeting. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141006/international-airlines-wait-for-venezuelan-governments-call)


Oil & Energy

Venezuela's diluted crude oil shipments to CITGO down by 57%
Diluted crude oil shipments from Venezuela to CITGO Petroleum, a subsidiary of state-run oil holding Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) in the United States, fell by 57% in September. PDVSA had pledged to keep output levels and shipment volumes unchanged; however, DCO shipments fell to 2.13 million barrels in September, from 4.99 million barrels shipped in the previous month after the Venezuelan oil giant froze exports to adjust oil prices. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141006/venezuelas-diluted-crude-oil-shipments-to-citgo-down-by-57; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/03/oil-citgo-imports-idUSL2N0RU1IH20141003)

Venezuela oil price continues tumbling
Venezuela's weekly oil basket fell to a 3 year low this week. According to figures released by the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, the average price of Venezuelan crude sold by Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) during the week ending October 3 was US$ 85.89, down US$ 0.76 from the previous week's US$ 86.65. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2354906&CategoryId=10717)

Russia's LUKOIL sells its stake in Venezuela project to ROSNEFT
LUKOIL has sold its 20% stake in a consortium developing a large oil project in Venezuela to its Russian peer ROSNEFT. LUKOIL, Russia's No.2 oil producer, last year said it wanted to sell its stake in the Russian Junin-6 consortium developing heavy oil in the Orinoco basin, in order to focus on other projects. The group is led by Russian state oil major ROSNEFT and also includes GAZPROM NEFT. Kommersant reported that LUKOIL might sell its stake to ROSNEFT for US$150 million, with the deal expected to be completed in November. Lukoil was not immediately available for comment. The newspaper said the company declined comment on a possible deal. The consortium owns 40% in the project, which started production in September 2012. Venezuela's state-run PDVSA holds 60%. (Reuters: http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL6N0RY0AC20141003)


Commodities

Local vehicle production down 82.29% in one year
The latest report from Venezuela's Automotive Chamber shows 10,286 vehicles were produced here January-September 2014, an 82.29% drop from 58,073 assembled by 7 companies operating in Venezuela. Chrysler and Mack have stopped operations for the past 2 months. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)


Economy & Finance

Government starts process US$1.786 billion payment
Venezuela has withdrawn money from its Central Bank reserves to start paying roughly US$1.786 billion in debt, a high-ranking government source told Reuters, allaying fears the country might opt to default. Venezuela has to service roughly US$ 1.498 billion due from its Global 2014 bond on Wednesday and about US$250 million in coupons as of next week. The country has to pay a total of around US$5 billion in sovereign bonds and bonds issued by state oil company PDVSA this month. "Yes, it was for the payment," the source said when asked if international reserves had dropped ahead of the debt service. With the US$1.786 billion drop on Friday, international reserves stand at US$20.012 billion, the lowest level in over a decade. Venezuela has to pay over US$6 billion in debt in 2015; around US$7 billion in 2016; and over US$14 billion in 2017, according to Thomson Reuters data. "I'm not worried about 2014," said Asdrubal Oliveros, an economist with ECOANALITICA in Caracas. "I'm worried about the future," he said, adding the government's maneuvering room is dwindling. (The Daily Mail, http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/reuters/article-2782963/Venezuela-starts-process-pay-1-786-bln-debt-source.html#ixzz3FSvTGEIH)  

Venezuela yield curve signals rally to Goldman
Venezuela’s shorter-term notes yield more than its longer-dated bonds, a signal to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. that debt coming due in the next few years is poised to rally as concern eases about the country’s ability to pay. The Chart Of The Day shows that speculation Venezuela could default has driven yields on its shorter-term debt above those on its longer-term securities in the past month, forming a so-called inverted curve. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-06/venezuela-yield-curve-signals-rally-to-goldman-chart-of-the-day.html)

Swiss HOLCIM cement group claims the government still owes US$ 97.5 million, as part of compensation Venezuela had to pay for the nationalization of one of its plants here. The amount should have been paid on September 10 at the latest, said HOLCIM in a press release. Venezuela granted HOLCIM $650 million in 2010 as total compensation for its nationalization plan. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41332&idc=3; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141006/venezuelan-govt-yet-to-pay-holcim-usd-975-million-compensation; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/06/holcim-brief-idUSFWN0S000820141006)


Politics and International Affairs

Opposition leader looks to legislative elections
The new leader of Venezuela's opposition is betting on next year's legislative elections as a springboard to end over 15 years of socialist rule amid discontent over economic woes. Journalist Jesús Torrealba says he wants "to live with Norway's quality of life, but with a Venezuelan taste", in reference to Norway's development and welfare. He believes the united opposition can gain an "ample majority" based on growing discontent with Maduro among 'chavistas'. "The chavista glacier is starting to melt", he says. Torrealba faces the challenge of keeping a united opposition in view of differences between the more radical group led by Leopoldo López and moderates headed by two time presidential candidate Henrique Capriles. "I am sure both are to be presidents of this country", says Torrealba, who also wants to make sure the opposition has a strong imprint in Venezuela's barrios: "One must reach a public we did not reach before, the social and political segment that has been growing explosively over the past 15 months: the disaffected 'chavistas'". He says Maduro - who recently called Torrealba "garbage" when the opposition leader sent condolences over the murder of pro-government legislator Robert Serra - "is the main obstacle to dialogue at this time". More in Spanish: (Infolatam)

Maduro says legislator's killers have been identified, points to Uribe
President Nicolás Maduro has accused former Colombian President Álvaro Uribe and "criminals" protected by the US Government of masterminding the murder of pro government legislator Robert Serra and his assistant, and says those implicated have been identified and security forces are after them. "I am more than sure that the masterminds are outside the country, from information I have, they point to Colombia and the criminal band which former President Álvaro Uribe has always led ..they point to Miami and the gang of criminals that is protected by the US Government". Uribe quickly denied the allegations made by Maduro. Government supporters have begun to seek the "connections" with opposition members such as dissenter Lorent Saleh, and opposition legislator Carlos Berrizbeitia. The Democratic Unity Conference (MUD) rejected groundless accusations and innuendo in the case. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141006/call-for-inquiry-into-links-between-dissenters-and-deputys-murder; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141006/alvaro-uribe-denies-any-connection-with-murder-of-venezuelan-deputy; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2355067&CategoryId=10717; and more in Spanish: Infolatam)

Venezuela, China sign deal to build third satellite
Manuel Fernández, Minister of University Education, Science and Technology, has signed an agreement with China for the construction of the third satellite called Sucre. (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-china-sign-deal-build-third-satellite; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41331&idc=3)



The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, October 3, 2014

October 03, 2014


International Trade

 
New cargo arrivals reported at Puerto Cabello

  • Over 35,000 tons of sugar from ED & Man Brasil for C.A. Azúcar, Moliendas Papelón and Central El Palmar
  • 10,000 tons of wheat from Superior World Trade for Molinos Carabobo
  • 6,000 tons of rice from Guyana Rice Development Board for Corporación de Abastecimientos y Servicios Agrícolas (CASA)
  • Over 755 tons of vehicle parts from Ica International Automobile for Corporación Automotriz ZGT, C.A.
  • Over 83 tons of äpparel from Amazon Zona Libre Panamá for Inversiones El Wilmar 14. Also, over 36 tons of household items and 13 tons of underwear.
  • 13 tons of sandals of various kinds from La Estación Suo Buonoco INC for Veneteca.
  • Over 2 tons of Christmas lights from China Panda for Comercial Meliza
More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Llegaron-al-puerto-carabobeno-mas-de-35-mil-toneladas-de-azucar-2242558/2014/09/30/357196; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Llegaron-partes-para-el-ensamblaje-de-vehiculos-2243757/2014/10/02/357579)

 

300 containers with medicines held up at La Guaira port

It is reported that 300 containers carrying medicines, surgical supplies and medical equipment have been held up at La Guaira port due to a debt of over VEB 200 million by the Ministry of Health with the Port Authority (BOLIPUERTOS).  The imports come from agreements with Argentina, Brazil and Cuba. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 
 

Commodities
 

Sugar cane farmers protested outside the government's Pío Tamayo Sugar Mill in El Tocuyo demanding that management pay pending debts for molasses from the 2014 sugar harvest that ended in June. One hundred and thirty small sugar cane farmers are involved. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41298&idc=3)

 
 

Economy & Finance

 
Recession looms over Venezuela, official data under wraps

Venezuela has kept its economic growth figures under wraps this year but empty store shelves, closed factory gates and idled construction projects tell their own story – the economy is contracting and some sectors are in deep trouble.

Private industry groups estimate that the construction and manufacturing sectors - both crucial to broader growth - shrank as much as 10% in the first half of the year. Retail sales chamber CONSECOMERCIO says sales fell about 50% during the same period, the result of weaker consumer sentiment and tight currency controls that have forced a sharp decline in the availability of imported goods. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/02/us-venezuela-economy-idUSKCN0HP2BM20141002)

 

Industry calls for urgent steps to reactivate domestic production

Venezuela's Industrial Confederation (CONINDUSTRIA) says local industry needs urgent steps to be taken in order to overcome the drop in production and guarantee employment. They say price controls and difficulties in obtaining inputs have paralyzed production and led to closing companies. More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/Economia/Piden-medidas-urgentes-para-activar-la-produccion-nacional-2244493/2014/10/02/357682; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141003/exigen-al-ejecutivo-toma-urgente-de-medidas-economicas; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Maduro warns abandoned companies will be "occupied", Capriles says no one will invest under such conditions

After two major companies announced they would cease operations here - one of them CLOROX - President Nicolás Maduro said the government will occupy companies that take this kind of decision. "Socialist formula: Abandoned company, company taken over by the workers, with the support of the revolutionary government", he said. Opposition leader Henrique Capriles retorted by rejecting Maduro's threats against business and said no one will invest here in such conditions. "What should we do with all of the nonperforming state companies?...This model will never work if speeches are used to threaten". More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/141001/maduro-anuncia-toma-de-empresas-que-sean-abandonadas; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141002/capriles-alerta-que-con-amenazas-nadie-invertira-en-el-pais)

 

Venezuela-Exxon arbitration ruling due this week

The World Bank arbitration tribunal will give its final award ruling this week on a multibillion- dollar claim by Exxon Mobil Corp against Venezuela over the 2007 nationalization of two oil projects, legal sources said on Tuesday. "The final ruling will be delivered to the parties on Thursday, Oct. 2, according to a notification they received last week," one of the sources told Reuters. Another source said lawyers for state oil company PDVSA had left the country to await the ruling, although it was not immediately clear where they will receive the document. The International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), which is deciding the case, formally has until the end of October to meet a 90-day deadline for a ruling following the close of proceedings on July 28. Pro-opposition Venezuelan daily El Nacional cited a PDVSA source this week as saying Exxon would be awarded between US$ 700 million and US$ 1.2 billion for the takeover of its Cerro Negro heavy oil project and its smaller La Ceiba. Venezuela is facing about 20 cases at the World Bank tribunal after a wave of nationalizations under the late President Hugo Chavez's socialist government. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/30/us-venezuela-exxon-mobil-idUSKCN0HP1Q420140930)

 

Maduro's bill to regulate use of foreign currency in electronic transactions will be considered by the National Assembly’s Committee on Administration and Services. The law will regulate the offer of goods and services in Internet to “guarantee the offered services are real and to prevent swindles.” (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41300&idc=2; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141002/venezuelan-parliament-seeks-to-regulate-e-commerce)

 

Red tags will be attached to imported products, says Fair Prices Superintendent Andrés Eloy Méndez on Wednesday. He said this would refute the idea that CENCOEX does not authorize dollars for imports. The tag will also state whether the product was imported at Bs.6.30:$ or at Bs.12:$. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41299&idc=2)

 
 

Politics

 
Elections Board selection may go to Supreme Court, opposition seeks international mediation

As government and opposition legislators are deadlocked over naming the committee that will nominate 3 new members of the 5 member Elections Board, key government representatives are saying they will ask the Supreme Court to declare a legislative vacuum and make the nominations itself. National Assembly President, Lieutenant Diosdado Cabello said "He who laughs last laughs best".  There will be two votes taken on naming the committee and if the required two thirds are not reached they plan to send the matter to the Supreme Court, as they did in 2003. The opposition hopes the South American Union (UNASUR), and particularly the three nations involved in promoting dialogue - Brazil, Colombia and Ecuador - will mediate in order to guarantee a balanced committee. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141001/chavismo-asoma-que-dejara-al-tsj-designacion-del-cne; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Special Report: The rise of Venezuela's military

Early this September, during a shakeup of his cabinet, President Nicolás Maduro made a surprising pick. Rodolfo Marco Torres, his nominee for vice president for the economy,  was a former brigadier general in Venezuela’s army. Torres is not alone. Now, military men hold several key portfolios, including defense, electricity, food, industry, interior and justice, and transportation -- not to mention finance. Eleven of Venezuela’s 23 states are headed by former army officials. Military men (both retired and on active duty) also serve in the country’s National Assembly, staff its diplomatic missions abroad, and head its tax and import agencies. These days, the Venezuelan state’s every move bears the army’s fingerprints. These days, every move of the Venezuelan state bears the army’s fingerprints. The military’s political involvement seems poised to grow still further because of Maduro’s crumbling public support and the country’s accelerating political and economic crises. It now appears possible that the army could be called upon to dispel antigovernment rallies. Opposition politicians also fear that the military would not accept opposition political victories, a pressing question given that Maduro’s fading popularity could allow them to win control of the National Assembly in the upcoming congressional elections scheduled for the end of 2015. Before Chávez took office, the Venezuelan military regularly received high marks in surveys measuring armies’ professionalism and impartiality, partially as a result of four decades of civilian rule. These rankings have since plummeted, and top officers stand accused by foreign law enforcement officials of shady dealings in the drug business and contraband. So widely acknowledged is the army’s involvement in the Venezuelan black market that critics have taken to calling it the sun cartel, after the stars that dot the generals’ uniforms. Maduro fears the loss of the army’s backing, which would be a blow he would not likely survive. How long this tenuous equilibrium will last depends in large part on the military’s willingness to shore up the government. For the moment, Maduro and the army’s top brass need each other to survive. But if the opposition wins the congressional elections in 2015, all bets will be off, and the military may have no choice but to abandon the president or take control. Either outcome stands likely to plunge the country further into turmoil. (Foreign Affairs, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/142133/peter-wilson/a-revolution-in-green)

 

Opposition leader blames President for protest deaths

Opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez, on trial for political unrest, has denounced President Nicolas Maduro and Interior Minister General Miguel Rodriguez to the public prosecutor’s office for two deaths during protests earlier this year. “Leopoldo filed a complaint against President Maduro and the Interior Minister Rodriguez Torres on the grounds that the public prosecutor’s investigation reveals that the ones actually responsible for the deaths of Bassil Dacosta and Juan Montoya is the President,” says Lopez’s lawyer, Juan Carlos Gutierrez. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2354551&CategoryId=10717)

 

Lawmaker Serra's murder blamed on far right

President Nicolas Maduro has blamed "ultra-right" opposition groups in the country and in neighboring Colombia for the murder a governing party lawmaker. Robert Serra, 27, and his partner Maria Herrera were found dead at their home on Wednesday night in Caracas. Maduro says the authorities are near to revealing the suspects' identities. Herrera and Serra, one of Venezuela's youngest lawmakers, were reported to have been stabbed. "Terrorist groups encouraged by sectors of Venezuela's ultra-right and Colombian paramilitary groups are behind this [effort] to bring violence to our country," President Maduro said. Speaking at Serra's funeral, he said the investigation was "advanced", adding: "I think we're close to giving a strong blow to this criminal gang and assassins." Serra was a member of the National Assembly for the Socialist Party and well known for delivering passionate speeches. The killings came 10 days after President Maduro announced he would expand a plan to disarm civilians. (BBC)

 

Venezuela is the worst Latin American country to get old in and one of the worst globally, according to the 2014 Global Age Watch. Venezuela ranked 76th out of 96 countries on the list. The best country to get old in the region was Chile (22nd) and the five top countries were Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, Canada and Germany. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41289&idc=1)

 

Venezuela responds criticism by US newspapers

In two letters, Venezuela's chargé d'affaires to The United States, Maximilen Sánchez Arveláiz rejected the views voiced by The Washington Post and The New York Times where they questioned the government of Nicolás Maduro.
The diplomat lambasted the NY Times editorial, published on September 21, in which Venezuelan authorities are accused of persecuting political leaders, particularly Leopoldo López who is currently held in jail. In reference to the editorial of The Washington Post published on September 21, which elaborated on Venezuela's aspiration to a seat at the UN Security Council, Sánchez wrote that Venezuela is a "decisive advocate of peace, and that its commitment to regional stability and strong support to Colombia in its peace process speak for themselves."
(El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141002/venezuela-responds-critiques-raised-by-us-newspapers)

 

Opposition requests help from the Vatican on behalf of political prisoners

Vatican Secretary of State Pietro Parolin was given a document signed by over one million people here, requesting help from the Holy Seed to achieve "fair treatment of political prisoners" here. The information was disclosed by Nelson Maldonado, vice-president of COPEI opposition party and a promoter of the initiative. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/141002/opposition-requests-help-from-the-vatican-for-political-prisoners)

 

Government vows legal action after Twitter suspends official's account

The government has said it will take legal action against Twitter Inc, the U.S. social media site, for apparently suspending the account of a ruling party governor. The microblogging site on Wednesday suspended the account of Tareck El Aissami, an Aragua state governor and former Interior and Justice Minister (@TareckPSUV), according to Information Minister Delcy Rodriguez. "We're going to take legal action against Twitter's abusive and illegal practice," Rodriguez wrote on Twitter late Wednesday. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/10/02/us-venezuela-twitter-idUSKCN0HR1FT20141002)

 

HRW opposed to seating Venezuela on UN Security Council

José Manuel Vivanco, Director of the Americas Division of Human Rights Watch says Venezuela does not deserve a seat on the UN Human Rights Committee, despite strong Latin American and Caribbean support in the upcoming October 16th election. He said the country is in the hands of an autocratic regime that cannot contribute to the defense of human rights; He says the support this government has received is disappointing in the middle of "the worst human rights crisis in Venezuela in many years." More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.