Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Bolipuertos. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bolipuertos. Show all posts

Friday, April 6, 2018

April 06, 2018


International Trade

Venezuela halts commercial ties with Panama, Panama pulls out its ambassador

Venezuela said on Thursday it was halting commercial relations with Panamanian officials and companies, including regional airline Copa, for alleged involvement in money laundering, prompting both countries to recall their ambassadors. The resolution names Panamanian President Juan Carlos Varela and nearly two dozen Cabinet ministers and top-ranking officials and says that Panama’s financial system had been used by Venezuelan nationals involved in acts of corruption. The individuals named in the resolution “present an imminent risk to the (Venezuelan) financial system, the stability of commerce in the country, and the sovereignty and economic independence of the Venezuelan people,” Venezuela said. The statement came a week after Panama declared Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and some 50 Venezuelan nationals as “high risk” for laundering money and financing terrorism. Panama announced it was recalling its ambassador to Venezuela and asked that Caracas follow suit, which it did several hours later. Panama’s Varela, in brief comments to reporters on Thursday, described the Venezuelan announcement as nonsensical. “We have not heard anything about breaking relations but rather about a set of supposed sanctions - it’s gibberish,” Varela said. Venezuela has been hit with sanctions by Canada, the United States and other countries over issues ranging from human rights violations to corruption and drug trafficking. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-panama/venezuela-halts-commercial-ties-with-panama-suspends-copa-flights-idUSKCN1HC2UA; ABC News: http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/venezuela-suspends-panamanian-businesses-airline-54269119; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-panama/venezuela-cuts-commercial-ties-with-panama-officials-firms-idUSKCN1HC2UA)

 

Port authority VP stashed funds away in Andorra

According to the Spanish daily “El País”, Elisaul Yépes, Vice President of the Venezuela’s national Port Authority (BOLIPUERTOS), stashed away US$ 600,000 in July 2011 in Banca Privada d ‘Andorra (BPA). The funds were transferred by a company controlled by Carlos Luis Aguilera, who was the spy chief for the late President Chavez. The funds had been placed in BPA, a Panamanian instrumental society. In the forms used to open the account, Yépes recorded his intention of depositing US$ 2.5 million, and transferring US$ 500,000 per month. Last October Yépes was named Vice President of BOLIPUERTOS. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/5105/segun-pais-vicepresidente-bolipuertos-habria-ocultado-dinero-andorra)

 

Logistics & Transport

Venezuela suspends COPA flights, passengers to be reimbursed

Venezuela said on Thursday it was halting commercial relations with Panamanian officials and companies, including regional airline COPA, for alleged involvement in money laundering, prompting both countries to recall their ambassadors. Venezuela’s civil aviation authority said in a statement that inbound and outbound COPA flights were suspended for 90 days, effective Friday, “as a measure to protect the Venezuelan financial system.” COPA, a crucial provider of international flights following a sharp reduction in airline services to crisis-stricken Venezuela, did not respond to a request for comment. COPA announced it would fully reimburse passengers for unused airfare. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-panama/venezuela-halts-commercial-ties-with-panama-suspends-copa-flights-idUSKCN1HC2UA; and more in Spanish: El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/5217/copa-reembolsara-valor-boletos-usados-interrupcion-vuelos)

 

Oil & Energy

How a small trading house won multi-million deals in Venezuela

No country in the Americas is deemed more corrupt than Venezuela. There are so many tales of bribes and influence peddling, it’s hard to keep track. But now, in a deeply detailed account spelled out in U.S. courts, it is the government itself -- or, to be exact, the trust of the state-controlled oil giant -- that alleges it was the victim of a decade-long bid rigging scheme costing it billions of dollars. The ploy, allegedly executed by a small and mostly unknown Miami oil trading firm, has all the trappings of a TV detective-thriller: A cloned computer server; a computer geek known as “the nerd;” an estranged wife. It also features an oil trader with an intriguing pitch: “I can guarantee you are going to win.” The alleged winners included such household names as subsidiaries of GLENCORE Plc, TRAFIGURA BEHEER BV and VITOL Group, among the more than 40 individuals and firms named as defendants. At the heart of the alleged scheme were auctions, known in the industry as tenders, held by PDVSA to import or export millions of barrels of oil products. The PDVSA tenders are coveted among traders because of the large volumes of fuels, such as gasoline and naphtha, the company has been buying and selling over the years. Only a handful of market participants are invited to take part in the electronic bidding. The suit alleges that oil trader HELSINGE Inc. bribed a former PDVSA tech employee -- “the nerd” -- to hook up its computers to PDVSA’s servers. That gave HELSINGE “direct access” to secret information on oil auctions on a real-time basis. HELSINGE then used the information, such as details on competing bids, to win the lucrative auctions, the suit alleges, often by suspiciously small margins. HELSINGE was formed by two former PDVSA traders, Francisco Morillo and Leonardo Baquero. HELSINGE made its "guaranteed win" pitch repeatedly over the years, according to traders at different companies who were approached and declined to participate. The alleged scheme was broken open, the PDVSA trust says, when it obtained the hard drive from the estranged wife of Morillo. Vanessa Friedman had come into possession of the hard drive after winning a temporary restraining order against her husband in 2010 that prevented him from having access to his computer. The laptop contained emails and instant messages showing incriminating exchanges between HELSINGE and traders, the suit alleges. A market participant who asked to remain anonymous said he eventually gave up bidding -- the same companies would win, over and over. Internally, PDVSA traders were told to be aware of HELSINGE bids, but action was never taken to shut down the practice, according to one of those traders. (Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-04/rigged-by-the-nerd-oil-auctions-said-to-spew-years-of-profits)

 

OPEC output falls to lowest in a year amid Venezuela woes

OPEC crude production dropped to the lowest in a year amid the woes in Venezuela’s oil industry. Output from the 14 members of Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries fell by 170,000 barrels to 32.04 million barrels a day in March, according to a Bloomberg News survey of analysts, oil companies and ship-tracking data. That’s the lowest since last April’s 31.9 million barrels a day. Back then, Equatorial Guinea -- which pumped 130,000 barrels a day last month -- wasn’t part of OPEC. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-03/opec-output-falls-to-lowest-in-a-year-as-venezuela-s-woes-deepen)

 

Commodities

80% labor absenteeism reported in basic industries due to lack of transportation

Rubén González, a leader of the FERROMINERA del Orinoco union, reports that “80% of the 50,000-man payroll in the Guayana Corporation cannot reach work due to lack of transportation”. He adds: “In Bolivar state there are enormous distances between the homes and workplaces of workers, so transportation services are indispensable. Due to carelessness by authorities there are not enough units available for the different work shifts.” He reports that iron production at FERROMINERA mines at San Isidro, Los Barrancos and Cerro Bolívar has been paralyzed for almost one month because operators cannot get out of Ciudad Piar, since “there is not a single bus operating.” Labor sources at SIDOR, BAUXILUM, ALCASA, VENALUM  and briquette plants repeated the same report, saying that the situation is hitting production that is already low due to scarce spare parts and lack of maintenance. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/empresas/ausentismo-laboral-industrias-basicas-por-falta-transporte_229474)

 

'It feels like we're all dying slowly': Venezuela's doctors losing hope

With major shortages of medicines, many doctors are joining the exodus of people trying to find a better life abroad.  After six years of studying and working part-time jobs, Cristian Diaga, 24, will soon graduate from medical school in Caracas, Venezuela. But instead of continuing his training in a top hospital in the country, as he had hoped, he is taking a job in a fast-food restaurant in Argentina – a situation he says is preferable. But it’s not as though many of Diaga’s relatives still live in the country – the majority have fled to Argentina by road through Brazil. And soon he will join them. More than half of Venezuelans between 15 and 29 want to move abroad permanently, according to a poll carried out by the US firm Gallup and shared exclusively with the Guardian. Shortages of medicines are well-documented in Venezuela, with patients often having to buy prescriptions and basic medical supplies using contacts abroad and risk having them sent over or purchasing at highly-inflated prices on the black market. But many are going without. As is often the case when official channels dry up, black market trade booms. Ordinary people left with no other choice are turning to unofficial channels, with many taking advantage of the demand for drugs to supplement their meager wages. Serina Moritz, 47, a senior doctor in a large public hospital in Caracas, says that in her 20 years working in the profession the system has never been under so much pressure. “Not only do we not have medicines, even basics, but there is no blood as we cannot run tests on it. For most of us we don’t know what to do. I know colleagues who are leaving depressed,” she says. According to the Venezuelan Health Observatory, a research center at the Central University of Venezuela in Caracas, estimates that less than 10% of operating theatres, emergency rooms and intensive care units are fully operational. It says 76% of hospitals suffer from scarcity of medicines, 81% lack surgical materials and 70% complain of intermittent water supply. “I will stay but it is impossible for us to survive under this system … why would anyone want to?” (The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/05/it-feels-like-were-all-dying-slowly-venezuelas-doctors-losing-hope)

 

Economy & Finance

Bolivar is weaker than previously thought as value plummets

Venezuela’s currency is worth even less than previously believed, with new trackers of the black-market rate showing deep discounts compared with the long-standing benchmark gauge. Rates from DOLARTODAY.COM shows a rate of 251,000 bolivars per US dollar but DOLARPRO says it is 30% weaker and puts the currency at a rate of 362,000 to the dollar and e-wallet AIRTM believes it is at 313,000 to the dollar. Regardless of the different values the bolivar has been given, the currency is still worth less than it was five years ago. During that time DOLARTODAY has rated it to be 99.99% lower. As Venezuela has limited access to official exchange markets, citizens are more reliant on these websites which track the rate of the bolivar. In 2015, the Maduro government unsuccessfully tried to sue DOLARTODAY for publishing artificially weaker rates to cause turbulence with Venezuela. (Express: https://www.express.co.uk/finance/city/941930/venezuela-currency-bolivar-value; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-04/venezuela-s-currency-is-doing-even-worse-than-previously-thought)

 

Crypto rating sites are already calling Venezuela’s Petro a scam

Two weeks after Venezuela’s cryptocurrency scheduled sale date, many aspects of the Petro remain a mystery and initial coin offering rating sites are already calling it a fraud. Rating website ICOindex.com gave the token a "scam status," saying the project was missing critical information, from the description of the mechanism to its technology and supposed oil-backing. “We can discourage people from wasting money on this project,” the site reads. Another rating site, ICObench, rated the Petro 1.6 points out of 5. Other ICO raters, including CRYPTORATED and ICOreview, haven’t even bothered to review the project, Criptonoticias reported. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-03/crypto-rating-sites-are-already-calling-venezuela-s-petro-a-scam)

 

Maduro regime must pay US$ 750 million more in debt this month

April is another heavy month for Venezuelan debt payments. It must shell out US$ 756.3 million in 4 PDVSA and 4 government bonds that come due within the next few days. Everything seems to indicate the payments will not be met. Congressman José Guerra says that if the payments are not made, total payments in arrears will rise to US$ 3.1 billion in default. More in Spanish:  (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/economia/gobierno-debe-pagar-este-mes-mas-750-millones-deuda-externa_229476; Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/economia/jose-guerra-advirtio-que-venezuela-entraria-en-default-en-caso-de-no-pagar-deuda)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Member of Presidential candidate campaign wounded in Venezuela, Falcón vows to continue

Venezuelan opposition candidate Henri Falcon denounced on Monday an attack on him during an event in the country’s capital in which a member of his campaign team was severely injured in addition to multiple thefts and assaults taking place. Lawmaker Teodoro Campo received a head injury shortly before the end of the campaign event in Caracas, from a blow apparently inflicted by a steel object, and was admitted to a military hospital where he is under observation, Falcon said. At a press conference shortly after the incident, Falcon said that the attack was carried out by a group of 30 people carrying knives. He also suffered a wound to the head when he tried to defend the journalists present from whom the attackers attempted to steal cameras and other equipment. President Nicolas Maduro said on Tuesday that 17 people had been detained for an attack on a rival presidential candidate’s campaign, but the leftist leader rejected accusations that pro-government thugs were to blame for the unrest ahead of the May vote. Falcón vowed to remain in the streets, and criticized opposition groups that are boycotting the upcoming election saying: “Some of them say they have plans for the nation, I haven’t heard them, the Lima Group is not going to solve our problem for us, neither will a military coup”. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2453878&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics/venezuela-detains-17-over-attack-on-opposition-candidates-campaign-idUSKCN1HB03W; and more in Spanish: El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/5188/falcon-pesar-ataque-seguire-calles-pais)

 

Peru to Maduro: You're still not welcome at Summit of Americas; Maduro says meeting is not his priority

Peru’s new foreign minister said on Tuesday that Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was still not welcome to attend a regional summit in Lima next week, upholding a decision by Peru’s disgraced former president. U.S. President Donald Trump and heads of state from across the Western Hemisphere plan to travel to Peru for the Summit of the Americas, which will celebrate the theme “democratic governance fighting corruption” from April 13-14. In his first speech as Peru’s foreign minister, Nestor Popolizio said Peru’s decision not to invite Maduro to the event reflects the view of a dozen countries that have been pressuring Venezuela to hold free and fair elections. Maduro’s refusal to heed calls for democratic reforms “negates even the slightest notion of democracy and represents an insurmountable impediment to taking part in the Summit of the Americas,” Popolizio said before a crowd of diplomats and journalists in the foreign ministry.  This is a firm decision that is not up for revision,” Popolizio said. Maduro, who had vowed to attend come what may, is now saying that going is not among his “priorities” and called the meeting s “waste of time” and a “failure”. He adds that he knows what the “Peruvian people are going to do, because they are calling to go out into the streets, and I know what for”. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-venezuela-politics/peru-to-maduro-youre-still-not-welcome-at-summit-of-americas-idUSKCN1HA2HS; and more in Spanish: El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/5198/maduro-prioridad-asistir-cumbre-americas)

 

France and Argentina demand fair, transparent elections in Venezuela; Maduro slams Macron

France and Argentina have expressed concern for the Venezuelan crisis and called for fairness in the upcoming snap presidential elections. French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian, said his nation demands “fair and transparent” elections that guarantee equality and he Independence of election authorities. He warned that if there is no progress France and its European neighbors would take Additional steps.  French President Emmanuel Macron echoed this call after meeting with former National Assembly President Julio Borges, former Metropolitan Caracas mayor Antonio Ledezma, and Carlos Vecchio, an exiled leader of “Voluntad Popular”.  President Nicolás Maduro responded that Macron is working on behalf of the world financial oligarchy and is simply a spokesman for US President Donald Trump in attempts to discredit Venezuela. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/francia-y-argentina-exigieron-a-venezuela-elecciones-justas-y-transparentes; http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/politica/presidente-maduro-acuso-a-francia-aliarse-con-eeuu-para-desprestigiar-a-venezuela; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/mundo/macron-presidenciales-venezuela-permiten-una-eleccion-justa-libre_229418)

 

González: “Zapatero and I did not talk for half an hour on Venezuela

Spain’s former president and socialist leader Felipe González admitted yesterday his discrepancies with the mediating work that the also former president of the socialist Government José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is carrying out in Venezuela. “Dialogue just for the sake of dialogue makes no sense, it only makes sense to solve problems”, González declared during a joint press conference with the former president of the National Assembly of Venezuela, Julio Borges; Caracas’s mayor in the exile, Antonio Ledezma; and two leaders of Voluntad Popular, Carlos Vecchio and Lester Toledo. “I completely disagree with this type of dialogue that the only thing that does it to give time to the Government of Venezuela”, he continued during the event, celebrated at Casa de América in Madrid. In these moments, according to González, “the only thing that must be negotiated is the date of elections and guarantees for these to be clean”, which entails that the presidential election of 20 May “cannot be recognized”. “I believe Nicolás Maduro when he says that he will never again call elections to lose them, and I assure you that he will honor that, that he will never hold elections with guarantees that he can lose”, he explained in an ironic tone. Nevertheless, he pointed out, “I believe him in a way different to that in which my colleague Zapatero believes him”. According to González, so far, it has not been possible “to speak for even half an hour” with Zapatero about Venezuela. “He knows my opinion perfectly, because it is in writing, but we have not met, although I have offered him to do so”, he affirmed. In the same press conference, Antonio Ledezma asked Spain and the EU to “reject the fraudulent process organized by Maduro’s regime with the election of 20 May” and to tighten up and extend the current international sanctions. The group met subsequently with the president of the Spanish Government, Mariano Rajoy, who says Spain will have a relevant role in resolving the Venezuelan crisis. Apart from Rajoy and González, the Venezuelan delegation -which met President Emmanuel Macron the day before in Paris met the Foreign Minister, Alfonso Dastis, yesterday and the president of Ciudadanos, Albert Rivera. (The Diplomat: http://thediplomatinspain.com/en/gonzalez-zapatero-and-i-did-not-talk-for-half-an-hour-on-venezuela/)

 

Guyana wants ICJ to order Venezuela to withdraw from Ankoko Island; stop scaring investors

Guyana has asked the International Court of Justice (ICJ) to rule that Venezuela must withdraw from Ankoko Island and stop harassing investors onshore and offshore the Essequibo Region, that United Nations (UN) court said in statement. In its case filed with The Hague-headquartered ICJ to settle the controversy over the 1899 Arbitral Tribunal boundary award, Guyana asked the court to adjudge and declare that Venezuela must withdraw from Ankoko Island that it has been occupying for the past 51 years. Venezuelan soldiers have been occupying the eastern half of Ankoko, a three-square-mile island at the junction of the Cuyuni and the Wenamu rivers, since 1966. As part of Guyana’s core request for the ICJ to find that the Tribunal Award is a “full, perfect, and final settlement” of the boundary that was ““identified, demarcated and permanently fixed” by a joint Anglo-Venezuelan Boundary Commission between November 1900 and June 1904, it also wants the Court to order Venezuela to cease scaring away investors from the Essequibo Region. After that exercise, the United Kingdom, on behalf of then British Guiana, and Venezuela had signed a Joint Declaration in 1905 agreeing to the demarcated boundary.If Guyana gets its way, that principal UN judicial organ will also have to adjudge and declare that Venezuela is internationally responsible for violations of Guyana’s sovereignty and sovereign rights, and for all injuries suffered by Guyana as a consequence. The ICJ is also being asked to rule that Guyana enjoys full sovereignty over the territory between the Essequibo River and the boundary established by the 1899 Award and the 1905 Agreement, and Venezuela enjoys full sovereignty over the territory west of that boundary. Guyana submits that the Geneva Agreement authorized the United Nations Secretary-General to decide which appropriate dispute resolution mechanism to adopt for the peaceful settlement of the dispute, in accordance with Article 33 of the United Nations Charter. (Demerara Waves: http://demerarawaves.com/2018/04/05/guyana-wants-world-court-to-rule-that-venezuela-must-withdraw-from-ankoko-island-stop-scaring-investors/)

 

Exiled jurists hear graft claims against Maduro

A group of exiled jurists has met in Colombia's capital to hear corruption allegations against Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, launching a largely symbolic process that could tarnish the embattled socialist leader's reputation. The jurists known as the "Supreme Court in Exile" met at Colombia's congress Tuesday to review accusations linking Maduro to Brazilian construction firm Odebrecht, which has acknowledged paying bribes in many countries. The case was brought by ousted Venezuelan Chief Prosecutor General Luisa Ortega. The judges where appointed to Venezuela's Supreme Court last year by the country's opposition-controlled Congress, but weren't able to take office. Maduro accused them of treason, prompting them to flee Venezuela. The group of 32 judges has sought asylum in Colombia, Panama and Chile, where they have continued to issue decisions on Venezuela's affairs. (New Zealand Herald: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=12025566)

 

Durbin visits Venezuela for talks with government and opposition

U.S. Senator Dick Durbin is in Venezuela to meet with government and opposition leaders, his spokesman said. Durbin, of Illinois, is the second-ranking Democrat in the Senate. His spokesman, Ben Marter, said he wouldn’t comment on the agenda or the purpose of the trip. President Donald Trump’s administration is weighing whether to ratchet up sanctions against Venezuela, and officials have said that could include banning oil imports from and exports to the nation. Meetings are planned this month between Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and his counterparts from the European Union, Canada, the U.K. and many Latin American countries to coordinate efforts to tighten economic pressure on President Nicolas Maduro’s government. Durbin is in Venezuela to push for the release of a Utah man, Joshua Holt, who has been jailed in Caracas for nearly two years on what the U.S. considers trumped-up weapons charges. The senator also planned to deliver a stern message to Maduro that he must guarantee upcoming the presidential election will be free and transparent. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-04/durbin-is-in-venezuela-for-talks-with-government-and-opposition; CBS: http://dfw.cbslocal.com/2018/04/05/texas-republican-secret-peacemaking-trip-venezuela/)

 

Texas Republican made secret peacemaking trip to Venezuela

Texas Republican congressman Pete Sessions quietly visited Venezuela this week and met with President Nicolas Maduro at the invitation of the socialist government in a peacebuilding mission that has raised some eyebrows in Washington. It’s not clear what prompted the previously undisclosed visit by the Dallas congressman to the politically turbulent nation. Caroline Booth, a spokeswoman for the congressman, said it was related to work Sessions has done over the past year as an intermediary to resolve issues in Venezuela, but she declined to elaborate. She added that as chairman of the powerful House Rules Committee he routinely works to ensure countries adhere to international standards and the rule of law. The two-day trip came as Maduro’s government is making a full-court press to prevent the Trump administration from imposing crippling oil sanctions on the OPEC nation for what the United States considers Maduro’s flaunting of human rights and democratic norms. A U.S. official said the private trip was not taxpayer funded and that Sessions had received a letter of invitation from the Venezuelan government and met with Maduro. He said State Department officials played no role in organizing the trip, which ended Tuesday and added that they were not invited to sit in on Sessions’ meetings as they were by Sen. Dick Durbin, the No. 2 Democrat, who arrived in Caracas on Wednesday for his own meetings with Maduro and government officials. Sessions doesn’t have other obvious links to Venezuela, besides writing a letter in 2004 to the country’s banking regulators in support of financier Allen Stanford, a former Sessions donor who in 2012 was convicted in Texas and sentenced to 110 years in prison for running a $7 billion-plus Ponzi scheme. Sessions has been in Congress since 1997, representing a wealthy Dallas district that is home to CITGO, a wholly owned subsidiary of Venezuela’s state oil company. Last year, several of the company’s executives, including five who hold U.S. passports, were arrested by Venezuelan authorities in a corruption investigation that critics say is politically motivated. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/congress/texas-republican-made-secret-peacemaking-trip-to-venezuela/2018/04/05/4f26548c-3922-11e8-af3c-2123715f78df_story.html)

 

Maduro mourns conviction of Brazil’s Lula as Socialists lose grip on Latin America

Venezuelan socialist dictator Nicolás Maduro mourned a court order allowing for the imprisonment of former Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on a 12-year prison sentence for corruption. Brazil’s Supreme Court ruled early Thursday morning that Lula, 72, must begin his sentence after they rejected his habeas corpus petition by six to five following a marathon session watched by millions of people. “Not just Brazil, the whole world embraces you @LulapeloBrasil,” Maduro wrote on Twitter, accompanied by a photo of Lula hugging his supporters. While in office from 2003 to 2011, Lula developed a close alliance with the administration of former Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chávez, as well as other left-wing leaders across the region such as Argentina’s Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, Bolivia’s Evo Morales, and Cuba’s Raúl Castro. The upholding of Lula’s conviction will, therefore, come as another blow to the Maduro regime, which is finding itself increasingly isolated as neighboring countries and international bodies condemn its egregious human rights violations and its war on Venezuela’s democratic institutions. (Breitbart: http://www.breitbart.com/national-security/2018/04/05/maduro-mourns-lulas-imprisonsment-as-socialists-lose-grip-on-latin-america/)

 

Maduro regime arrests five cops for jail fire that killed 68

Five members of the Carabobo state police have been arrested and were charged with murder Wednesday after a jail fire in the Central Venezuela city of Valencia in which 68 inmates and prison visitors were killed. The deputy director of POLICARABOBO, Jose Luis Rodriguez and agent Jose Antonio Loaiza are charged with qualified murder seeking profit (“dolo” in Spanish), denying help to those in distress, smuggling firearms and ammunition inside the jail, located in police headquarters, as well as with “inherent corruption”, the Supreme Court explained in a series of tweets and web postings Wednesday morning, reporting after an arraignment hearing in the city of Valencia. Three other POLICARABOBO officers -- Jose Rafael Colina, Sergio Enrique Rodriguez and Anibal Antonio Padron Pacheco -- were charged solely with “inherent corruption”. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2453946&CategoryId=10717)

 

Maduro mocks fleeing Venezuelans as “toilet cleaners in Miami

Embattled Venezuelan head of state Nicolas Maduro disparaged Tuesday millions of Venezuelans fleeing starvation in the once oil-rich nation, calling them “toilet cleaners in Miami”. The Organization of American States (OAS) and Caracas-based consultancy firm Consultores 21 estimate that between 4 to 4.1 million Venezuelans have left the country since the beginning of the "Bolivarian revolution" in 1999. About 1.6 million of those who have left have done so since 2013, the year Maduro was first elected. The “toilets in Miami” became the theme of Maduro’s televised speech Tuesday: he kept repeating it at least three times, in a cavalier, off hand manner. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2453879&CategoryId=10717)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

 

Friday, December 1, 2017

December 01, 2017


International Trade

 

Cargo arrivals:

  • 30,000 tons of yellow corn at Puerto Cabello port, aboard the POLA UGLICH
  • 11,697 tons of food for the government CLAP distribution program, at La Guaira port, aboard the VIKING MERLIN, from Mexico.
More in Spanish: (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=38807; El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/llegan-alimentos-para-los-clap_679456)

 

Logistics & Transport

 

Venezuelan airline barred from European Union skies

Venezuela's AVIOR Airlines has been banned from European Union skies after a commission determined it no longer meets international safety standards, another blow to troubled nation's already beleaguered flight industry. The European Commission announced Thursday that AVIOR had been added to a list of international airlines prohibited from flying within the union because the European Aviation Safety Agency detected "unaddressed safety deficiencies." The Venezuelan airline is one of a handful still offering international flight destinations as major carriers like United and Delta halt operations in the crisis-ridden nation. Air carriers have cited financial and safety concerns as reasons for suspending service. AVIOR operates flights within Venezuela, throughout Latin America and to Miami, Florida, and lists an office location in Madrid on its website. The airline is certified under U.S. federal aviation regulations and Venezuela remains in good standing with the International Aviation Safety Assessment, the Federal Aviation Administration's program to determine whether foreign countries provide sufficient safety and oversight of airlines that fly to the U.S. (Fox News: http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/11/30/venezuelan-airline-barred-from-european-union-skies.html)

 

Oil & Energy

 

New oil czar head blames oil woes on 'sabotage', claims Venezuela can do without sales to US

Venezuela's oil industry is being sabotaged, the general newly installed as the crisis-hit country's oil minister and head of state crude giant PDVSA said Thursday. "We have managed to arrest 20 people involved in a plan to sabotage production," General Manuel Quevedo told reporters at a meeting of OPEC in Vienna that agreed to extend established oil production cuts through all of 2018. "This sabotage plan is aimed at achieving a repeat of 2002-3 when there was an attempted coup against [Hugo] Chavez," the former president, Quevedo said. "This time there is a whole plan to hit [oil] production." Quevedo also floated the possibility that Venezuela would stop selling oil to the United States, echoing comments from President Nicolas Maduro on Tuesday. "We want to sell oil to the American people but if their government doesn't want to help its people, then we can easily switch to other markets," Quevedo said. The general also claimed that Venezuela has funds to meet its current obligations and said delays in payments were due to bank “maneuvers” as part of a “conspiracy” to block and delay payments under US orders. (AFP/Jamaica Observer: http://www.jamaicaobserver.com/latestnews/Venezuela_blames_oil_woes_on_sabotage?profile=1228); and more in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/economia/acuerdo-de-recorte-petrolero-opep-y-no-opep-aplicara-todo-2018; Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/pa%C3%ADses-petroleros-extienden-recorte-producci%C3%B3n-hasta-finales-2018; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/opep-socios-amplian-recorte-produccion-hasta-finales-2018_679577; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/quevedo-asegura-que-hay-liquidez-para-pagar-deuda-pero-reconoce-retrasos_679503)

 

CITGO names new CEO as arrests in Venezuela continue

Houston-based CITGO Petroleum officially named a cousin of the late Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez as its new chief executive Thursday as a purge of Venezuela's energy establishment reached the top tiers of government. Asdrubal Chavez, a former oil minister, was installed as the CITGO CEO following the arrests last week of CITGO's previous CEO and five other executives on corruption charges. In announcing the new chief executive, CITGO did not mention last week's arrests nor did it note Chavez's relationship to the late president. As for Chavez, he is a politician and former Venezuelan oil minister. CITGO declined to comment on whether he will live in Houston or lead the company from Venezuela. He's a 1979 chemical engineering graduate from the Universidad de los Andes who started his career at the El Palito Refinery in Venezuela. He worked his way up to vice president of refining at PDVSA, and then to oil minister from 2014 to the beginning of 2016. (The Houston Chronicle: http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/article/Citgo-names-new-CEO-as-arrests-in-Venezuela-12396991.php)

 

ExxonMobil helping Guyana pay legal fees in World Court Guyana-Venezuela border case

The United States oil giant has agreed to help pay Guyana’s legal fees, amounting to just over US$ 15 million, for taking of the Guyana-Venezuela border controversy to the World Court, despite a denial earlier Thursday. High-level government sources said that the so-called US$ 20 million signing bonus from Exxon “is to assist with the border process as the UN Secretary General has promised to refer the case to the World Court in about four weeks. Guyana’s Finance Minister, Winston Jordan one week ago denied that government had raked in US$ 20 million from ExxonMobil as a signing bonus. Earlier Thursday, Minister of State Joseph Harmon said: “in the event that the matter goes to the ICJ, the legal fees would be paid by the Government of Guyana.” Sources, however, said that the government is “garnering all the necessary resources” to prepare for the demarcation of the border with Venezuela given numerous threats to the country’s national security. (Demerara Waves: https://demerarawaves.com/2017/11/30/exxonmobil-helping-guyana-pay-legal-fees-in-world-court-guyana-venezuela-border-case-sources-but-harmon-says-no/)

 

PDVSA's Amuay refinery halts distillation unit

Venezuela’s 645,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Amuay refinery has halted its distillation unit No. 5 due to an operational problem, union leader and opposition activist Ivan Freites said on Thursday. The 955,000 bpd Paraguana Refining Center, which includes Amuay and the neighboring 310,000 bpd Cardon refinery, is currently producing at 27% of its installed capacity, Freites said, citing an internal report. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-refinery-operations-pdvsa-amuay/pdvsas-amuay-refinery-halts-distillation-unit-union-leader-idUSKBN1DU2QE)

 

Economy & Finance

 

In Venezuela, the dollar’s gained 10,768% in just the last two years

The speed at which the Venezuelan bolivar is sinking against the dollar is hard to fathom. It’s one of those rare market moves that’s so crazy that analyzing it from the perspective of the declining currency feels inadequate. That’s because the value of a currency, of course, can’t fall more than 99.99%. Gains, on the other hand, are infinite. And so, it’s more illuminating to examine the move from the angle of the dollar’s advance against the bolivar. In the black market -- the place where most Venezuelans acquire dollars in the authoritarian country -- the U.S. currency has risen 135% this month alone. To date this year, it’s up 2,959%. And over the past two years, it’s climbed 10,768%. For some context, bitcoin, the cryptocurrency whose rally has mesmerized investors the world over, is up about 2,500% over that time. (That advance, it should be noted, is against the dollar, meaning bitcoin’s rally versus the bolivar is astronomical.) The bolivar traded at 96,794 per dollar as of late Wednesday. It had started the week at 82,186 per dollar and hovered under 10,000 per dollars as recently as late July. The official government-set exchange rate, a largely irrelevant number at this point, is 10 bolivars per dollar. The situation has become so out of control that some within Maduro’s constituent assembly -- including a former trade and investment minister -- have even begun talking about something that’s long been taboo for them: the idea of re-implementing some free-market policies. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-30/in-venezuela-the-dollar-s-gained-10-768-in-just-last-two-years)

 

Venezuela’s currency, the bolivar, has been rendered basically worthless

ATMs here now have a daily limit of 10,000 bolivars, which is just about enough to buy a few cups of coffee. Sometimes, bank tellers will only pay you half of your pension and suggest that you come back later for the rest. State spending in the communist state has been seen as out-of-control and other policies have simply led to hyperinflation. A vicious cycle has occurred where there is now not enough cash in circulation to keep up with the rapidly rising prices. Jean Paul Leidenz, a senior economist at the Caracas think tank ECOANALITICA commenting on the worthless currency said there are about 13 billion banknotes in circulation in Venezuela.  However, around half of these are 100-bolivar notes which equates to a fraction of one pence. The central bank has introduced higher-denomination bill such as the 100,000-bolivar note. These new banknotes are printed in Europe and the government lacks the money to import enough of them to meet demand. Leidenz added: "Prices are doubling around every two months. So, at that rate of price increases you can’t keep up with inflation even if you start importing bills." (The Express: https://www.express.co.uk/finance/city/886361/venezuela-hyperinflation-bolivar)

 

Maduro’s National Constitutional Assembly approved the 2018 budget for VEB 36 billion

The pro-regime National Constitutional Assembly has approved Venezuela’s budget for fiscal 2018 for VEB 36 billion, which is more than US$ 10 billion at the highest official exchange rate. The budget was presented by Executive Vice President Tareck el Assami, bypassing Venezuela’s elected National Assembly which has been held in contempt and stripped of legislative Powers by the government controlled Supreme Tribunal. (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/economia/anc-aprobo-presupuesto-del-ano-2018-por-36-billones-de-bolivares; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/anc-aprueba-presupuesto-2018-por-361-billones_679586;  http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/anc-aprobo-presupuesto-nacion-ley-endeudamiento-para-2018_679554)

 

Venezuela creditors meet with Rotshchild, Cleary in London

Investment bank Rothschild is participating in a Venezuelan creditors' meeting in London to discuss how to handle the country's request to restructure some US$ 60 billion in outstanding bonds. The meeting, organized by UK-based hedge fund MACROSYNERGY Partners, will aim to discuss a likely path forward on debt issued by the government and state-owned oil company PDVSA, as well as whether to form an informal, ad-hoc bondholder committee. Among those in attendance will be lawyers from Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton LLP, including Lee Buchheit, a partner who specializes in sovereign debt restructurings. Rothschild, the Paris-based global advisory firm whose specialties include debt restructuring, is also participating. The meeting is one of the most concrete signs yet that holders of Venezuelan bonds are meeting with each other to strategize on how to handle the country's deeply distressed bonds. While President Nicolas Maduro has said Venezuela will keep servicing its obligations for now, bondholders ranging from hedge funds to emerging market funds are starting to lay the foundations for what could be a bitter showdown over this nation's debt down the road. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-debt/venezuela-creditors-meet-with-rothschild-in-london-sources-idUSKBN1DU2BC)

 

Tea Party Koch brothers sue Venezuela over US$ 400 million expropriation

After years of litigation at the World Bank's International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes arbitration panel (ICSID), the Koch Brothers -- stalwarts of the Tea Party -- have filed suit in Federal District Court in Washington, D.C., to collect a US$ 409 million ICSID award against Venezuela. The late President Hugo Chavez expropriated the fertilizer and chemical plant FERTINITRO in 2010. Koch had a 25% interest in the venture through its Swiss subsidiary Koch Minerals. Another Koch Swiss entity Koch Nitrogen International had contracts to buy the resulting ammonia and urea at a discount because of the investment as part of the deal and the investment was protected by a bilateral Swiss-Venezuela Investment Treaty. The Koch entities filed suit against Venezuela at ICSID in 2011 after not being compensated for the expropriation and the three judge ICSID arbitration panel awarded Koch US$ 409 million. In addition to the award, the panel also awarded legal fees of US$ 17 million and ICSID fees of US$ 629,000 to Koch, a sign that Venezuela was clearly at fault. Koch is a closely-held corporation owned by the Koch brothers, stalwart funders of the right-wing US Tea-Party. Costing US$ 1.1 billion dollars to build, FERTINITRO ranks as one of the world’s largest nitrogen-based fertilizer plants, with daily production capacity of 3,600 metric tons of ammonia and 4,400 metric tons of urea. Until the Chavez government expropriated it in October of 2010, FERTINITRO was owned 25% by a Koch subsidiary, 35% by Venezuela state petrochemical company PEQUIVEN, 20% by a Snamprogetti subsidiary of Italian oil company ENI, and 10% by Venezuela's private food and beverage giant Polar. (Latin American Herald Tribune: http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2446938&CategoryId=10717)

 

Some Venezuelan socialists are pushing for free-market reforms

As Venezuela’s economy sinks deeper into depression some ruling socialist party members are raising their voices to call for reforms. A closed-door debate is occurring inside the country’s all-powerful constituent assembly, the body stacked only with pro-government lawmakers created in August to sideline the opposition-controlled congress, on what to do with the economy. Perhaps one of the loudest voices calling for change is Jesus Faria, a former trade and investment minister who’s now a member of the constituent assembly. He has been urging the government to permit a free-floating exchange rate where the forces of the market set the best price for the bolivar. While he believes other stronger and subsidized exchange rates to shield the poor should be kept, it’s an odd public posture for a self-proclaimed Marxist economist who was a young university student in East Berlin when it was still under Soviet rule. Maduro has resisted calls to devalue the official rates or significantly cut subsidies on everything from gasoline to utility rates and has become infamous for saying he’s going to make important economic announcements without following through. While he added denominations of new bills of as large as 100,000 bolivars it’s done nothing to address the problems. The most significant economic adjustment he’s taken to save dwindling cash for debt payments was to curtail imports for everything from food to medicine and capital goods. The government fears that liberalization will lead to the depletion of the foreign reserves. Francisco Rodriguez, chief economist at TORINO Capital who himself has made recommendations to the government on economic reforms in recent years, said that while discussions to loosen currency controls aren’t new, they’ve become louder. (Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-30/some-venezuelan-socialists-are-pushing-for-free-market-reforms)

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

Venezuelan negotiations resume as financial pressures mount

Venezuela's socialist government and its opposition will seek today to jumpstart negotiations on resolving the country's economic and political crisis, pressured by international sanctions and a looming presidential election. The planned two-day session in the Dominican Republic is to be the first formal talks since anti-government protests collapsed in July with a toll of more than 120 dead and thousands detained. Given the scant results of previous attempts at dialogue, including talks last year mediated by the Vatican, expectations are low. But some analysts expressed optimism a deal could be struck because the cash-strapped administration of President Nicolas Maduro is desperately looking for support as it tries to refinance Venezuela's huge foreign debt. That will give the opposition a foothold to press their demands, analysts said. Just the fact that the two sides agreed to talk is a sign of progress. Still smarting from their belief the government committed fraud to pull off an unexpected victory in recent gubernatorial elections, several opposition parties are boycotting the talks as well as this month's mayoral elections. They say such things legitimize Maduro's "dictatorship." The hardliners have won a sympathetic ear from international critics, including Luis Almagro, the head of the Organization of American States, who this week said that "if I were Venezuelan I wouldn't go to the dialogue." Reflecting those tensions, the opposition delegation led by National Assembly President Julio Borges will for the first time include representatives from civil society groups. He said that would add transparency to the closed-door talks. Borges said they will repeat longstanding demands that the government release dozens of political prisoners recognize the National Assembly's authority and allow humanitarian aid. And the opposition will push for guarantees that next year's the presidential election will be free and fair, he said. "We want Venezuelans, with their vote, to be the ones who change this government," he said earlier this week at a news conference to outline goals for the talks. Lending urgency to the talks is Venezuela's spiraling financial crisis. The U.S. Treasury Department has said that U.S. sanctions could ease if any debt restructuring deal was endorsed by Venezuela's legislature, whose authority has been gutted by a pro-government assembly formed to rewrite the constitution. Also providing an extra nudge will be the presence as observers of foreign ministers from a half dozen Latin American countries, including two of Maduro's staunchest leftist allies, Bolivia and Nicaragua, and two harsh critics, Mexico and Chile. Chilean Foreign Minister Herald Muñoz has confirmed his nation will participate as an observer in these talks, but warned that Chile does not want them to be a “sham”, and that “if this were the case it would clearly make no sense to continue that kind of meeting”. Colombia’s Foreign Minister María Angela Holguín also said her country has reservations about the new negotiations that she called complicated because President Maduro wants to cling to power despite “his people’s suffering”. She added that arriving at decisions will be “very difficult due to radical positions and a divided opposition in the face of a government that is strong despite economic sanctions”. Former Lara state governor Henri Falcón of the Avanzada Progresista party has said they support the talks but will not attend because they were not invited, and complained that four opposition parties are taking the dominant role. Vicente Díaz, a former member of the National Elections Council, who will attend on behalf of the Democratic Unity coalition, has warned that “the government will be the one to blame if these talks deadlock”. (Fox News: http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/12/01/venezuelan-negotiations-resume-as-financial-pressures-mount.html); and more in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/gobierno-chile-espera-que-dialogo-sea-simulacro_679552; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/colombia-con-reservas-dialogo-gobierno-oposicion_679472; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/henri-falcon-avanzada-progresista-fue-excluida-del-proceso-dialogo_679447; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/diaz-este-proceso-tranca-sera-por-responsabilidad-del-gobierno_679431)

 

Maduro regime arrests ex-oil bosses for graft in widening purge

Venezuelan authorities on Thursday arrested two once-powerful officials who had run the oil ministry and state energy company PDVSA as part of a deepening industry purge also seen as a power play by leftist President Nicolas Maduro. In the highest-profile arrests to date, engineer Eulogio Del Pino and chemist Nelson Martinez were detained early on Thursday on accusations of graft and seeking to sabotage the nation’s ailing energy industry, prosecutor Tarek Saab said in a televised speech. He accused Del Pino of participating in a US$ 500 million corruption and sabotage scheme at the PETROZAMORA joint venture with Russia’s GAZPROMBANK and said Martinez had allowed a poor refinancing deal for Venezuela’s CITGO Petroleum Corp, a U.S.-based refiner that he used to lead, to go ahead without government approval. Videos during the press conference showed armed guards in balaclavas knocking on the officials’ doors, taking them from their homes in handcuffs and pajamas. The government will seek to seize the assets of corrupt officials abroad, Saab said, including mansions and yachts. Del Pino, in video shot before his detention and published on his Twitter account on Thursday, said he had been a “victim” of an “unjustified attack.” He said he would exercise his right to self-defense but did not elaborate on who ordered his arrest in the early hours of Thursday. Some 65 executives have been detained so far, panicking PDVSA workers, depriving Venezuela’s oil industry of much of its top brass, and stalling decision-making in the company overseeing the world’s biggest crude reserves. The opposition dismisses the probe as a power struggle within Maduro’s inner circle, noting that the industry has been under tight control of the ruling Socialist Party since early in the late President Hugo Chavez’s 14-year rule. They say authorities ridiculed and dismissed a report last year by the opposition-run Congress, which concluded that some US$ 11 billion went missing at PDVSA over a decade when Del Pino and Martinez were both influential officials. They say Maduro is sidelining influential and capable figures within his party who he thinks could become rivals for the presidency. Both Del Pino and Martínez are proteges of former oil czar Rafael Ramirez, who headed PDVSA and served as oil minister for a decade until becoming Venezuela’s ambassador to the United Nations in 2014. Ramirez is believed to be the ultimate target of the PDVSA housecleaning. “It looks like a political move. On the one hand giving more power to the military that sustain him and putting a loyalist at the helm, on the other eroding a rival’s power. But it would be very costly for the industry,” says Francisco J. Monaldi, a fellow in Latin American energy policy at the Baker Institute in Houston, noting that the “military have overseen other areas in which corruption is rampant.”

 

… but the top target on Maduro's purge list is holed up in Manhattan

But the one Maduro wants to nab the most remains free: Rafael Ramirez, the Venezuelan ambassador to the United Nations. The two have been intense rivals for years, dating to the days when the firebrand revolutionary Hugo Chavez was alive and rapidly converting Venezuela into a socialist economy. Back then, Ramirez was energy minister, overseeing the world’s largest oil reserves, while Maduro served most of that era as Venezuela’s foreign minister. The vast bulk of the executives imprisoned by Maduro’s forces are considered disciples or allies of Ramirez. The sense from Venezuelan watchers is that having successfully crushed the political opposition, Maduro is turning his attention to his enemies from within Chavismo as he prepares to run for re-election next year. Ramírez, who is thought to have had presidential ambitions, is struggling to survive after being fired from his job by Maduro and summoned back to Caracas from New York. In recent weeks he wrote online opinion articles criticizing PDVSA’s production slump and Maduro’s handling of the economy. According to press accounts, when Foreign Minister Jorge Arreaza relayed the news of his firing to Ramírez over the phone Tuesday night, the ambassador retorted that only Maduro himself can fire him. Arreaza flew to New York on Wednesday, ostensibly to attend a Thursday meeting of the Non-Aligned Movement, but Caracas outlets reported he came to do the firing in person. While Maduro is Ramirez’s boss and can simply fire him if he so chooses, such a move is fraught with risk. In recent tweets and op-eds in a pro-government policy discussion website, Ramirez has pushed backed at his critics and at claims that he has broken ranks. “I demand respect. I cannot accept being discredited or called names simply because I give my opinion while completing my revolutionary duty,” he wrote. “I’m in complete exercise of my loyalty to Chavez.” By now, “Ramirez has accumulated enough money and influence to become a significant competitor against Maduro,” said Angel Alvarez, a political analyst and former professor at Central University of Venezuela. “Beating Ramirez is a way to end the financing of a possible non-Maduro candidate.” As U.N. ambassador, Ramírez has enjoyed diplomatic immunity—until now. A U.N. spokesperson, Farhan Haq, said the world body was not notified of any personnel changes in the Venezuelan representation; but Ramírez was a no-show at a dinner gathering where he’d previously confirmed attendance, and failed to appear at a General Assembly annual event he never skips. Saab did not mention Ramirez by name, although both Maduro and top officials have recently repeatedly referred to his governance as oil boss as a time when “mafias” were formed and executives came to think of themselves as the owners of Venezuela’s reserves. Authorities appear to be seeking information on Ramirez from Del Pino and Martinez as splits widen in the Socialist Party. Rather than returning to Caracas, Ramirez could instead just walk over to federal prosecutors’ offices as other ex-Chavistas have in recent years to share details of murky business transactions that have raised suspicion in the U.S. A Venezuelan diplomat said Ramírez is trying to use his deep knowledge of the way Venezuela does business as leverage to save his UN position, referring to oil agreements between PDVSA, and companies in Russia, Cuba, Nicaragua and elsewhere. Now, the diplomat added, he’ll lean on those countries to pressure Maduro not to fire him. If he loses the fight, the diplomat said, Ramírez may flee to Havana, Moscow or even Qatar, where he has a lot of contacts. Yet another diplomat cited Caracas sources who intimated Ramírez may already be working a deal with U.S. authorities who have implicated him in illegal activities, to inform on higher-ups and receive asylum in the United States. Ramirez’s next moves were not immediately clear.

 

… and Maduro´s reelection plans are confirmed

Vice President Tareck El Aissami said on Wednesday that he hoped that Maduro will be re-elected in 2018, the clearest sign yet that the former bus driver will seek another term despite the deepening economic crisis. Amid chants of “Maduro, Maduro” from the crowd at a rally in the central state of Aragua ahead of the Dec. 10 municipal elections, the vice president lashed out at the opposition. “They embody individualism, hatred, intolerance, sectarianism, treason, corruption, looting, and black-marketeering,” he said, describing all opposition leaders as being cut from the same cloth and as “puppets of Trump” who take orders from the US Embassy. Speculation has been rising that Maduro may call elections for as early as March to take advantage of disarray within the opposition, which has been struggling to come up with a strategy to confront the president’s increasingly authoritarian rule. Experts say it’s a high-risk strategy for Maduro, who is under increasing international pressure as well as U.S. financial sanctions. Should Ramirez decide to turn to U.S. authorities for protection, as many expect, he could likely provide incriminating testimony on corruption at the highest levels of the system.

(Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-oil/venezuela-arrests-ex-oil-bosses-for-graft-in-widening-purge-idUSKBN1DU1X4; https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-oil-prosectuor/venezuela-confirms-ex-oil-bosses-del-pino-martinez-detained-idUSKBN1DU279;  https://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-oil/venezuela-arrests-ex-oil-minister-and-ex-pdvsa-head-sources-idUSL1N1O00RY: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-oil-delpino/in-pre-recorded-video-detained-venezuela-oil-minister-says-is-victim-idUSKBN1DU2V3; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-01/no-1-target-on-venezuela-s-purge-list-is-holed-up-in-manhattan;  https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-30/venezuela-arrests-former-oil-heads-as-pdvsa-graft-purge-deepens; The Daily Beast: https://www.thedailybeast.com/will-the-feds-nail-venezuelas-ex-un-ambassador; BBC News: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-42182289; The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuela-arrests-2-top-oil-officials-in-corruption-probe/2017/11/30/7b249b80-d5e4-11e7-9ad9-ca0619edfa05_story.html; The Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/articles/top-oil-officials-are-detained-in-venezuela-for-alleged-corruption-1512056145; Oil Price: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Venezuela-Arrests-Ex-Oil-Ministers-PDVSA-Bosses-For-Corruption.html; The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/30/world/americas/venezuela-maduro-oil-corruption-arrests.html; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2446984&CategoryId=10717)

 

Ledezma asks Trump to double down on sanctions

Antonio Ledezma who fled to Spain and was recently ousted as mayor of Caracas following two years of house arrest on charges of conspiracy against the government is now on a tour of Washington, D.C.’s political corridors. Now free to travel, Ledezma visited the head of the Organization of American States, gave speeches at think tanks, and made media appearances in a bid to call attention to the plight of a nation he said is being held hostage. Ledezma’s presence in D.C.’s power-adjacent circles signals a growing interest in what’s happening in Venezuela, a nation Florida Senator Marco Rubio has referred to as a “lost democracy”. Ledezma says Venezuela’s economic woes will never be adequately addressed if Maduro remains in the highest office. He says any potential wealth the nation has due to oil production is immediately siphoned off to Cuba, and has called on US President Donald Trump to double down on sanctions on members of the Maduro regime. (Red State: https://www.redstate.com/slee/2017/11/30/life-socialist-venezuela-told-political-exile/); and more in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/ledezma-pide-trump-que-amplie-sanciones-gobierno-venezuela_679481)

 

Venezuela and Russia teamed up to push pro-Catalan fake news

At the height of the Catalan separatist crisis, analysis of more than 5 million messages about Catalonia posted on social networks between Sept. 29 and Oct. 5, shows that only 3% come from real profiles outside the Russian and Venezuelan cybernetworks. These are the conclusions of a report prepared by Javier Lesaca, visiting scholar at the School of Media and Public Affairs at George Washington University. And there’s more: 32% of the messages investigated came from Venezuela—accounts linked to the regime of Nicolás Maduro. 30% were born from anonymous accounts exclusively dedicated to contents of the Russian state media RT and Sputnik; 25% came from bots; and 10% from the official accounts of the two Russian media mentioned. On the same dates, the geolocation data offered by social networks such as Twitter or Facebook show similar results: Excluding Spain, 13% of those who shared RT’s information about the illegal referendum in Catalonia were in Venezuela. Based on these data, the newspaper El País concluded on Nov. 11 that, the “Russian network used Venezuelan accounts to deepen the Catalan crisis.” Hours later the government of Spain claimed that it has well-founded information that confirms many messages with a Catalan secessionist bias in social networks comes from “Russian territory.” The evident purpose: to undermine European as well as Spanish unity. The possibility of Venezuelan involvement was left open. (The Daily Beast: https://www.thedailybeast.com/why-is-venezuela-waging-cyber-war-in-europe)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.