Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Venezuela’s economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Venezuela’s economy. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 15, 2011

November 15th, 2011

Economics & Finance

Central Bank says economy grew over 3.5% in Q3
Venezuela's economy grew more than 3.5 percent during the third quarter of 2011 compared with the same period a year ago, says Nelson Merentes, head of the Central Bank. Its economy expanded 2.5% In the second quarter and 4.8%  in the first quarter versus the same periods in 2010, boosting the government's confidence in sustained growth following an 18-month recession that ended late last year. "Fortunately, the worst years for the economy have passed. 2009 and 2010 were very tough years," Merentes said. President Hugo Chavez is seeking to spur the economy ahead of an election next October at which he has vowed to win another six-year term despite  recovering from cancer. (Reuters, 11-15-2011; http://af.reuters.com/article/metalsNews/idAFN1E7AD1ZJ20111115)

PDVSA to issue U$D 2.4B in 2021 bonds
State oil giant Petróleos de Venezuela said Monday it will issue U$D 2.394 billion in 2021 bonds in a private placement to the Central Bank, further extending the country's debt issuance spree this year, which has now surpassed U$D 17 billion. In a statement, PDVSA, as the company is commonly known, said it will exchange U$D 1.25 billion in existing 2013 for the new notes in the private transaction. Another U$D 564 million in debt will be exchanged for cash up front. With plans for ramped up spending ahead of next year's presidential elections, more than U$D 17.5 billion in debt has already been raised between PDVSA and the government in 2011, more than any other country in the region. The oil monopoly alone has sold more than $10 billion this year. (The Wall Street Journal, 11-14-2011; http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20111114-714430.html)

Currency exchange operations to be made more flexible
The Central Bank (BCV) says it will modify rules on exchange controls starting January 1st, 2012. It will then allow duly authorized banks, savings and loan associations and currency exchange houses to operate under conditions dictated by the BCV. Hotels will also be able to also provide the service to customers. The rate of exchange for these operations has not been officially published. More in Spanish:  (Tal Cual; http://www.talcualdigital.com/index.html;

Business climate worsens in Venezuela, says World Bank
According to the 2012 Doing Business report, conducted by the World Bank, the ease of doing business in Venezuela has been worsening. Venezuela ranks 177 out of 183 economies across the world. As per data compiled as of June 2011, the South American country is just five steps from becoming the country with the greatest difficulties for doing business worldwide. In the previous survey, Venezuela ranked 175th. (El Universal, 11-14-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/111114/business-climate-worsens-in-venezuela-says-world-bank)

Socialist criteria” to prevail in setting prices, Government will decide
The Executive Office has already defined the criteria it will use in the analysis and review of costs and prices of goods and services produced and sold in Venezuela. The Regulation drafted by the Executive Office and expected to become official, provides that guidelines for setting prices "will be based on statistical, economic and accounting methods that are best suited to the Economic and Social Development Plan, particularly those that promote the setting of better prices for people, meet their needs and are in line with domestic interests." The Government will now decide what costs to admit, parameters for profit regulation, documents to be presented to the Superintendent, frequency with which revisions and adjustments can be requested, and the time officials will take to decide matters. (El Universal, 11-14-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/111114/socialist-criteria-to-prevail-when-setting-prices and El Universal, 11-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/111115/ejecutivo-se-reserva-detalles-de-esquema-de-revision-de-costos)



Stock market up 72%
The local stock market broke its last record once again this week. It rose 3.36% over the week. The biggest gainer was Electricidad de Caracas shares which rose 17.24% and ended the week at Bs. 0.34. The National Electric Corporation (CORPOELEC) has made public its intentions to withdraw the shares of Electricidad de Caracas from the Caracas Stock Exchange and buy-back shares from previous workers that still hold them. However, the price the government is offering is Bs. 0.53, and shareholders have rejected it as below the one PDVSA paid to AES in 2007 when Venezuela nationalized the company. AES was paid approximately Bs. 0.57 a share, since it paid US$739.25 million for 87.1% of all shares. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 11-14-2011; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=443803&CategoryId=10717)



Commodities

Oil basket rises to U$D 109.4
The price of the Venezuelan oil basket climbed to U$D 109.4 per barrel in the week from November 7 to 11, according to data released by the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum. It says;"The average price of main oil benchmarks ended the week higher, driven by improving macroeconomic data in the United States, as well as more positive expectations about a possible solution to the debt crisis in the euro zone". (El Universal, 11-11-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/111111/venezuelas-oil-basket-rises-to-usd-1094) 



Politics

Attack reported on Venezuelan opposition candidate
An attack has been reported against Venezuelan opposition presidential candidate Maria Corina Machado and her supporters in a neighborhood on the east side of Caracas. El Nacional newspaper published a photo of what it said was the shooting, showing two people on a motorcycle. Wearing a red T-shirt, the man on the back is pointing a gun at a bus. A campaign spokesman says a pair on a motorcycle fired shots into a bus carrying Machado and her supporters. Machado says the “government has absolutely lost control and, in many cases, has been complicit with the criminal gangs". She accused the government of providing some groups with weapons. (CNN, 11-13-2011; http://edition.cnn.com/2011/11/13/world/americas/venezuela-candidate-shots-fired/)

“Thousands” are reported to rally in support of President Chavez and his re-election bid
“Thousands” are reported to have turned out to show support for President Hugo Chavez and his plan to run for re-election next year at a rally which has been one of the few public events that Chavez has attended in recent months as he recovers from cancer treatment. (The Washington Post, 11-13-2011;  http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/americas/thousands-of-venezuelans-rally-to-support-president-chavez-and-his-re-election-bid/2011/11/13/gIQA2db9IN_story.html; and Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=28422&idc=1)

UNASUR seeks closer tabs on arms spending in Latin America
Latin America's Union of South American Nations, which hopes to become a regional security umbrella organization, has served notice on members to get their facts together on who is spending what on defense in the region. UNASUR includes members of other regional groupings, notably the MERCOSUR trade bloc and the Andean Community of Nations. In recent months it has sought to exert influence on the defense spending of countries on its Defense Council, which is meeting in the Peruvian capital this week. (UPI, 11-10-2011; http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Special/2011/11/10/Unasur-seeks-closer-tabs-on-arms-spending-in-Latin-America/UPI-50241320957128/)

Washington Nationals’ catcher Ramos rescued after kidnapping
Wilson Ramos, the 24-year-old Venezuelan catcher for the Washington Nationals, was rescued yesterday in a mountainous area of central Venezuela two days after being kidnapped in front of his family’s home. Commando units rescued Ramos after exchanging gunfire with his captors in a rural area of Carabobo state, Interior and Justice Minister Tarek El-Aissami said. Six people were arrested. (Bloomberg, 11-12-2011; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-12/washington-nationals-catcher-ramos-rescued-after-kidnapping-in-venezuela.html; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/12/us-baseball-ramos-kidnapping-idUSTRE7AA4M020111112)





The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, July 15, 2011

July 15th, 2011

Economics & Finance

UN-ECLAC estimates Venezuela’s economy will grow by 4.5%
The economy of Latin America and the Caribbean will move forward by 4.7% this year, a better result than previous estimates, according to a six-month report launched in Santiago by the UN's Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (UN-ECLAC) on Wednesday. According to the report, Uruguay's GDP would leap by 6.8% in 2011; Colombia's GDP would rise by 5.3%, and Venezuela's GDP would climb by 4.5%. (El Universal, 07-14-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/13/eclac-estimates-that-venezuelan-economy-will-grow-by-45.shtml)

Venezuelan bonds continue on the rise, anticipated conditions calm markets
Conditions for bond issues for BF 45 billion in the local market, published today under the Supplementary Credit Law have quieted international markets. PDVSA and sovereign bond issues continued to rise with expectations of a single sovereign bond issue for U$D 1.7 billion. A US financial analyst says terms do not exclude dollar denominated bonds. More information in Spanish. (El Nacional, 07-15-2011; http://www.el-nacional.com/www/site/p_contenido.php)

Domestic debt increase raises incentives for a devaluation
The administration of President Hugo Chavez has launched debt plan to be implemented primarily by selling bonds in bolivars to the nation's banks, a strategy advantageous to government finances but increases incentives for a devalue and punishes savers. The government has been granted authority to issue bonds for 45 billion bolivars during the remainder of the year, although a portion of this could be placed abroad in dollars using the official exchange rate, the vast majority will be sold in the country by the advantages for the public accounts. More information in Spanish. (El Universal, 07-13-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/07/13/la-deuda-interna-aumenta-los-incentivos-para-devaluar.shtml)

International reserves down to U$D 30.062 billion
A Central Bank of Venezuela report shows that international reserves fell from U$D 30.159 billion to U$D 30.062 billion. Reserves have been dropping, from U$D 30.547 billion last July 7 to current levels. More information in Spanish. (El Mundo, 07-14-2011; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Economia/Politicas-Publicas/Reservas-internacionales-de-Venezuela-bajan-a--(1).aspx)

U$D 1.5 billion going to FONDEN
Chavez says the National Development Fund (Fonden) will receive excess reserves from Venezuela’s Central Bank (BCV), in order to reinvest in economic growth. He explained these are resulting from excess reserves during the first semester of 2011; and added that optimum reserve levels are set at U$D 27 billion. More information in Spanish. (Agencia Venezolana de Noticias, 07-15-2011; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/67299)

PDVSA now receiving financial aid from the Central Bank
Over the past three years, state-run oil company Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) sought financial assistance from government agencies, and the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) has been the institution that has provided financial assistance to PDVSA in 2011. (El Universal, 07-13-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/13/pdvsa-received-financial-aid-from-the-central-bank-in-2011.shtml)

Government claims Venezuela's food production increased 44% in 12 years
National food production increased from 17,160,577 tons (1998) to 24,686,018 (2012) over the past twelve years, an increase of 44%, according to figures released by the Information and Communications Ministry. It claims 1,100,000 tons of foods were produced in 2010. (AVN, 07-14-2011; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/67224)

Caracas is the fourth most expensive city in Latin America
Caracas is the fourth most expensive city in Latin America, surpassed only by Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Brasilia (Brazil), according to Mercer's 2011 Cost of Living Survey. Venezuela’s capital jumped 49 places in the ranking of most expensive cities in the world, and is ranked 51 in the 2011 ranking. The deterioration was caused by inflationary pressure. "In the case of Venezuela, the official exchange rate has remained unchanged at VEB 4.30 per US dollar. This is the reason why overall inflation exceeds 25% and inflation in foodstuffs is over 34.4%. As a result, Caracas has jumped almost 50 places compared to last year," said Gabriel Regalado, human capital consulting manager in Mercer. (El Universal, 07-14-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/14/caracas-is-the-fourth-most-expensive-city-in-latin-america.shtml)

Special Law on Costs and Fair Pricing enacted
President Chávez has approved a Special Law on Costs and Fair Pricing, designed to regulate, administer, supervise and control prices in order to end speculation and hoarding which it says lead to inflation. More information in Spanish. (Agencia Venezolana de Noticias, 07-15-2011; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/67353; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/07/15/aspiran-a-controlar-inflacion-con-ley-de-costos-y-precios-justos.shtml)



Commodities

Venezuela in talks to buy Japanese stake in VENALUM
Venezuela’s government said it started talks to acquire a 20% stake in state aluminum producer CVG Venalum from six Japanese companies. The government is seeking to buy the stake from Showa Denko KK (4004), Kobe Steel Ltd. (5406), Marubeni Corp. (8002), Sumitomo Chemical Co., Mitsubishi Materials Corp (5711), and Mitsubishi Aluminum Co., Venezuela’s Ministry of Basic Industries said today in a statement. The ministry expects to have a formal negotiating committee set up in August and aims to have an agreement in place within four months. (Bloomberg, 07-14-2011; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-07-14/venezuela-holding-talks-to-buy-japanese-stake-in-cvg-venalum.html)



Logistics & Transport

Freight operations at Venezuelan ports are twice as costly
Freight operations with Venezuela are the most expensive in the world according to shipping companies that operate at Puerto Cabello, particularly after an announced increase in rates. To illustrate this claim, cargo transfers from China at the Colombian ports such as Cartagena, cost about U$D 2.200 U (10.120 Bolívars), whereas at terminals such as Puerto Cabello, the same operation would cost U$D 4.500 19 350 Bolívars). Both figures are calculated using the official exchange rate BF 4.30 per U$D. More information in Spanish. (El Carabobeño; 07-13-2011; http://www.el-carabobeno.com/impreso/articulo/t130711-sl02/fletes-navieros-hacia-puertos-venezolanos-cuestan-dos-veces-ms)



Politics

Chavez admits “hyper-leadership” was a mistake
In the middle of public reflections on the consequences of having a cancerous tumor removed on June 20, President Hugo Chávez admitted that "hyper-leadership" is one of his "fundamental errors". "He also admitted the need for radiotherapy or chemotherapy in order to "to try to shield the body of new malignant cells." The third stage of the disease has led him to face not only lifestyle but the perception of leadership. More information in Spanish. (El Universal; 07-14-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/07/14/chavez-acepta-que-su-hiperliderazgo-fue-un-error.shtml)

Moody's: Chavez’s illness raises uncertainties for Venezuela’s future
According to Moody's risk rating, the illness of President Hugo Chavez creates an uncertain future for the country and has mixed implications for debt rating. More information in Spanish. (El Mundo, 07-14-2011; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Economia/Internacional/Moody-s--Enfermedad-de-Chavez-abre-futuro-incierto.aspx)

Venezuelan leader changes his tune
It has appeared repeatedly on Venezuelan state television, government ads, and the even the president's Twitter account. Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez has a new populist slogan.  Chavez, who recently admitted he is battling cancer, is no longer using the slogan that defined his first decade in power: "patria, socialismo o muerte" (fatherland, socialism, or death). He has now changed it for one that is markedly more optimistic. Since he returned from Cuba earlier this month after undergoing cancer treatment that included a surgery, Chavez has been using the slogan "viviremos y venceremos" -- we will live and be victorious. (CNN, 07-14-2011;

Chavez says: "One never undertakes a revolution to become rich"
He made the statement to his followers in a recent public statement. He also called on his cabinet to “advance much more toward our socialism: A socialism within our constitution. Venezuelan style Socialism”. More information in Spanish. (El Universal. 07-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/07/15/una-revolucion-nunca-se-hace-para-volvernos-ricos.shtml and Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/67291)

"The US and Venezuela have not started to turn the page"
According to Departing US Deputy Chief of Mission John Caulfield, who adds: "We cannot advance without substantial communication (...) "Drug trafficking concerns us all. There is still minimum cooperation, but it is important”. Caulfield ends his term of service this week and will go to Havana as mission chief; he is being replaced by Kelly Keiderling. More information in Spanish. (El Universal, 07-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/07/15/eeuu-y-venezuela-no-han-empezado-a-voltear-la-pagina.shtml)

Humala meeting with Chávez
Peruvian President-elect Ollanta Humala has arrived in Caracas for a one day visit in order to meet with President Chávez. More information in Spanish. (El Nacional, 07-15-2011; http://www.el-nacional.com/www/site/p_contenido.php)




The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.