Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label HRW. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HRW. Show all posts

Thursday, January 10, 2019

January 10, 2019


International Trade

Venezuela launches WTO challenge to U.S. sanctions

Venezuela has launched a complaint at the World Trade Organization to challenge U.S. sanctions, saying that a ban on travel by blacklisted individuals and trade restrictions break WTO rules, a WTO filing showed on Tuesday. In the complaint, filed on Dec. 28, Venezuela also cited U.S. rules on sales of gold and discriminatory treatment of Venezuela’s debt and transactions in digital currency as breaches of the WTO rulebook. (CNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/08/reuters-america-venezuela-launches-wto-challenge-to-u-s-sanctions.html)

 

Oil & Energy

Venezuela congress slams oil deals with U.S., French companies

Venezuela’s opposition-run congress on Tuesday issued a resolution calling deals between state-run oil company PDVSA and U.S. and French companies announced this week illegal, since they had not been sent to lawmakers for approval. The body said the oilfield deals with France’s Maurel & Prom and little-known U.S. company EREPLA violated article 150 of Venezuela’s constitution, which requires that contracts signed between the state and foreign companies be approved by the National Assembly, as Venezuela’s congress is known. “They are giving concessions that violate the law,” said lawmaker Jorge Millan, mentioning the two contracts. Congress, largely stripped of its power since the opposition took it over in 2016, is unlikely to be able block the deals from going forward. But the rejection could create legal complications under a future government. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-oil/venezuela-congress-slams-oil-deals-with-u-s-french-companies-idUSKCN1P22HG)

 

Venezuela plans to remap its offshore oil territory, escalating tension with EXXON

Venezuela will remap its Caribbean oil and gas prospects in a move that could further stoke a century-long border dispute with Guyana and collide with EXXON MOBIL Corp.’s venture in the region, people with knowledge of the plan said. The seismic survey is planned for the coming months and will include an eastern area of Venezuela that borders Guyana. Venezuela has mapped its offshore territory for oil deposits in the past, but some areas remain uncharted. The new survey will also include areas bordering Caribbean islands such as Grenada and Saint Vincent. “More surveys are pending to identify commercially viable options for gas,” said Antero Alvarado, a managing partner at consulting firm Gas Energy Latin America. “Past PDVSA studies ignored identifying gas deposits because the focus was always on oil.’’ Maduro has issued a decree stating Venezuela’s continental shelf is open for oil exploration, although no investment plans have been announced for the area yet. PDVSA’s offshore division produces mainly gas from the western coast in a partnership with Italy’s ENI. It also has several inactive oil and gas projects in the east, near Trinidad and Tobago and Guyana. Three of them are in partnerships with Norway’s EQUINOR ASA, CHEVRON Corp. and France’s TOTAL. (Bloomberg: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/venezuela-plans-remap-offshore-oil-100000274.html)

 

Venezuela claims it can prove EXXON ships entered its waters

The Venezuelan government presented on Tuesday what it described as evidence that vessels belonging to global oil giant EXXONMOBIL entered the nation’s territorial waters last month. Vice President Delcy Rodriguez presented a press conference with audiovisual material in which officers of the Venezuelan navy are heard talking with crews of the oil company’s ships. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2472825&CategoryId=10717; AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-will-deliver-evidence-illegal-incursion-exxonmobil-ships; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-08/venezuela-is-said-to-map-caribbean-as-tension-with-exxon-grows)

 

Curacao oil refinery resumes work after eight-month stoppage

Curacao’s 335,000-barrel-per-day (bpd) ISLA refinery has resumed work, management of the government-owned facility said on Tuesday, after eight months of paralysis caused by a dispute between its operator, Venezuela’s PDVSA, and U.S. producer CONOCO PHILLIPS. ISLA, which has been looking for a new operator to run the refinery beginning at the end of this year, restarted one of its crude distillation units and its thermal cracker, it said in a statement. The plant suffered a fire early last year and fell idle after CONOCO PHILLIPS brought legal actions against PDVSA over a US$ 2-billion arbitration award linked to the nationalization of CONOCO’s projects in Venezuela. The U.S. company got court orders temporarily seizing PDVSA’s cargoes and terminals across the Caribbean. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-refinery-operations-pdvsa-curacao/curacao-oil-refinery-resumes-work-after-eight-month-stoppage-idUSKCN1P22CI)

 

Mohammed Barkindo: Venezuela continues to be a key country for OPEC

On Tuesday, OPEC secretary, Mohammed Barkindo, held a meeting at the Miraflores Palace with the President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, as part of his visit to the country for the inauguration of the President. Thursday, January 10th. In his statements to the media, Barkindo stressed that Venezuela continues to be fundamental in all the efforts promoted by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). (AVN, http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/mohammed-barkindo-venezuela-continues-be-key-country-opec)

 

Economy & Finance

Maduro era is endurance test as Venezuela's lifelines fall away

President Nicolas Maduro’s second term is officially six years. However, it will endure only as long as Venezuela’s moribund economy allows. He has weathered protests, impeachment drives, an assassination attempt and U.S. sanctions. But as Venezuela’s economic lifelines drop away, his survival now depends on the country’s stamina. In his next term, Maduro must manage to feed a hungry nation, kick-start production at state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA and fend off creditors threatening to snatch up assets abroad. He has deepened ties with authoritarian allies such as Russia, China and Turkey, but they have provided only limited support. Maduro shows no sign of hesitation: “Rain, thunder or lightning,” he said this week. “Venezuela will stay on its course.” Calls are growing within the ruling socialist party to dissolve the opposition-led congress, the only elected institution Maduro doesn’t control, and one that has already been defanged. On Tuesday, the politically omnipotent National Constituent Assembly passed a measure that could be the first step to enable its disappearance. The super-body convened by the president also threatened treason investigations against dissident lawmakers. Constituent Assembly President Diosdado Cabello said Tuesday that lawmakers in the threatened national legislature who support the idea should be punished. “Those who are now in the National Assembly are traitors. Several lawmakers turned their backs on the most sacred: respect for sovereignty,” he said. Increasingly, however, it’s the Chavistas against the world. Now the U.S. is even considering designating Venezuela itself as a state sponsor of terrorism. Throughout it all, America has remained the primary buyer of Venezuelan crude. Gregory Weeks, a professor of political science at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte, said that if the U.S. truly wants to isolate Venezuela, it would have to stop buying its oil. “You can say you’re not going to recognize him, but if you’re still trading and buying Venezuela oil, how much does it really matter?” Weeks said. (Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-10/maduro-era-is-endurance-test-as-venezuela-s-lifelines-fall-away)

 

Venezuela to collect tax in cryptocurrency - but no Petro?

A decree issued yesterday by Nicolas Maduro’s government states that those conducting business in Venezuela involving either cryptocurrency or foreign fiat money must also pay taxes on that business using cryptocurrency or foreign fiat money, respectively. Exceptions to this stipulation, according to article two, include an exemption for securities traded on the national stock market, and on the “export of goods and services, carried out by bodies or public entities.” The plan to accept cryptos is not fleshed-out yet, however, and currently seems to be only an aspiration of this particular issue of the gazette. Notably, the decree does not mention which particular cryptoassets are usable for paying taxes. There is no mention anywhere in the decree of the country’s national crypto, the Petro, a ERC-20 token issued on the Ethereum network. (Cryptoglobe: https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2019/01/venezuela-to-collect-tax-in-cryptocurrency-but-no-petro/)

 

Mexico tortilla giant GRUMA sues Venezuela for US$ 525 million over 2010 expropriation

The world's leading tortilla maker GRUMA's Spanish subsidiaries Valores Mundiales, S.L. and Consorcio Andino, S.L. have filed a US $525 million lawsuit in U.S. Federal District Court in Washington, D.C. against Venezuela over the expropriation of its Venezuela subsidiaries. The lawsuit is to enforce a US$ 525 million award made against Venezuela for the expropriation of GRUMA's food businesses in Venezuela. On July 25, 2017, an arbitral tribunal brought before the World Bank's International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) ruled that Venezuela must pay Valores Mundiales, S.L. and Consorcio Andino, S.L. US$ 430.4 million in damages, plus compound interest at LIBOR + 2% from January 22, 2013 and until the effective date of payment of the Award, and more than US$ 5.9 million in legal expenses and costs incurred by GRUMA in the course of the arbitration, meaning that Venezuela owes some US$ 525 million to GRUMA. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2472777&CategoryId=10717)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Venezuela's neighbors turn up heat as Nicolás Maduro begins second term

In a televised new year’s message to his atrophying nation, Nicolás Maduro struck an upbeat tone. “Victory awaits us! The future awaits us! And everything will be better!” Venezuela’s embattled president insisted, declaring 2019 “the year of fresh starts”. But the sandbags and rifle-toting troops that now encircle the Miraflores presidential palace in Caracas suggest far less confidence about the days ahead, as Venezuela sinks deeper into economic ruin and political isolation and questions grow over Maduro’s future. Hugo Chávez’s 56-year-old heir – narrowly elected after his mentor’s 2013 death and then again in disputed elections last May – will begin his second presidential term on Thursday, amid intensifying international condemnation of what critics call his illegitimate and authoritarian rule. Last week, a regional bloc known as the Lima Group turned up the heat, with 13 of its 14 members announcing they would not recognize Maduro’s new six-year term and urging him to step down. Those countries included Brazil, whose new president, Jair Bolsonaro, is well-known for his hostility to Maduro and whose pro-Trump foreign minister recently called for Venezuela’s “liberation”. The US has also stepped up pressure ahead of what it calls Maduro’s “sham inauguration” with the secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, telling one Brazilian newspaper “several things” could be done to rid Venezuela of Maduro’s “unacceptable” regime. Pompeo did not specify what those “things” might be. But after years of dawdling, regional patience does appear to be running out, as the situation in Venezuela deteriorates and Latin American politics swerves to the right under leaders such as Bolsonaro, Colombia’s Iván Duque, Chile’s Sebastián Piñera and Argentina’s Mauricio Macri. The Lima Group’s unexpectedly firm declaration – which includes plans for financial sanctions, preventing top Venezuela officials entering their countries, and suspending military cooperation – appeared partly designed to persuade the Venezuelan military to abandon their commander-in-chief. But any international effort to engineer a peaceful transition would founder unless Venezuela’s fractured opposition united. (The Guardian: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jan/09/venezuela-nicolas-maduro-second-term-neighbours-latin-america)

 

Maduro accuses US of using Lima Group to instigate coup in Venezuela

President Nicolas Maduro has accused the United States of using the Lima Group of American countries to instigate a coup against his government, one day before being sworn in for a second term widely regarded as illegitimate. "I cannot lie to you, civilian and military companions... a coup d'etat is under way under the orders of Washington, from the Lima cartel against the constitutional government I preside over," the national news agency quoted Maduro as saying. "We shall not allow even a single slip. Whatever his name, whatever post he holds, whoever tries to promote a coup plan should know that he will face justice, the constitution and the civilian-military powers," Maduro added. (DPA: http://www.dpa-international.com/topic/maduro-accuses-us-using-lima-group-instigate-coup-venezuela-190110-99-499405)

 

Maduro warns of 'diplomatic measures' against Latin American critics

President Nicolas Maduro on Wednesday warned he could take “diplomatic measures” against Latin American nations that signed a statement last week describing his second term, which starts on Thursday, as illegitimate. Venezuela “has alerted very clearly to the governments of the Cartel of Lima that, if they do not rectify their position (...) we will take the most crude and energetic measures that can be taken in diplomacy,” Maduro, using a pejorative name for the group widely used by ruling Socialist Party leaders. He did not provide details what measures he could take. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics/venezuelas-maduro-warns-of-diplomatic-measures-against-latam-critics-idUSKCN1P32C0)

 

Group of Lima nations to deny entry to Venezuelan officials

Thirteen nations from the Group of Lima have agreed to deny entry to high-ranking officials of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro's government. Colombian Foreign Minister Carlos Holmes said the decision was made after a Friday meeting of the group in Peru. At the end of the Friday meeting, the Peruvian Foreign Ministry issued a joint resolution of the Group of Lima -- in which Mexico was not included -- asking President Nicolas Maduro to abstain from assuming the presidency, to transfer power to the National Assembly and to call for new elections. The resolution said that Group of Lima countries would, depending on internal legislation, take action to prevent the entry of high-ranking Venezuelan officials to their territories and evaluate lists of Venezuelan people and organizations with which transactions will be banned. (UPI: https://www.upi.com/Group-of-Lima-nations-to-deny-entry-to-Venezuelan-officials/9721547047206/#ixzz5cB7CU8ip)

 

Caribbean to decide the fate of Nicaragua and Venezuela at the OAS

The Permanent Council of the Organization of American States (OAS) will meet this week to address the situation of the dictatorships in Venezuela and Nicaragua. In the first case, the government of Nicolas Maduro runs the risk of being repudiated by the OAS, and in the case of Daniel Ortega, is on the verge of the application of the Inter-American Democratic Charter. In this vote, the 15 countries that make up the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) would have an important weight, which will also be very important in the case of Venezuela. The session of Venezuela will be on January 10th and the session of Nicaragua on the 11th. The process for the application of the Inter-American Democratic Charter began on December 27 after the announcement of the secretary general of the regional body, Luis Almagro. In the case of the territorial conflict over the Essequibo region between Venezuela and Guyana, CARICOM has closed ranks in favor of Guyana. Manuel Salvador Abaunza, former ambassador of Nicaragua in Venezuela, says that from January 10 there will be changes in the panorama, because the regime of Nicolas Maduro will have lost legitimacy. “It is very certain that the Caribbean countries will see that they have no future of any kind with Maduro and that it is better for them to start negotiating with the United States, or at least show a change of attitude, because Maduro no longer offers them anything by becoming a De-legitimized state,” he explained. Venezuela still has a card under its sleeve to play -which is Guyana- and that is to offer the Caribbean that they will settle the conflict with Guyana below the table. If that scenario occurs, Venezuela could get CARICOM to vote against both the Nicaraguan resolution and the one against Venezuela. (Havana Times: https://havanatimes.org/?p=146723)

 

World leaders to skip Maduro inauguration amid possible further EU sanctions

 President Nicolas Maduro’s new term will bring further international pressure on Caracas as dozens of countries have called his May re-election fraudulent and pledged not to recognize his new government. The European Union is expected to release a strongly worded warning hinting that further EU sanctions could be levied on the country, should the president continue to flout human rights and the rule of law. The lack of international recognition will be apparent from the lack of foreign visitors at the inauguration ceremony for Maduro, due to be held at 10 am outside the Supreme Court building. Only Cuba and Bolivia have confirmed their presidents will attend, while a handful of other countries will send diplomats.  Plans to organize a mass boycott of the investiture ceremony by all 28 EU ambassadors to Venezuela appeared to have fallen foul of divisions in the bloc, however. The Telegraph understands that the Spanish and Greek ambassadors will attend, but Britain’s will not. Other drastic proposals within Latin America, such as the withdrawal of diplomatic missions from the country or the appointment of a parallel president in exile, have also been rejected for now. To squash any discontent, Maduro will rely on the armed forces and paramilitary groups known locally as colectivos, as he did during 2017 street protests. In the days preceding the inauguration, local media have reported caravans of government supporters, including masked men on truck beds, passing through downtown Caracas. In one of the city’s most emblematic slums, traditionally a bastion of pro-government support, government supporters fired guns into the air on rooftops. (The Telegraph: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/01/09/world-leaders-skip-maduro-inauguration-amid-possible-eu-sanctions/)

 

European Parliament reaffirms support for Venezuela’s National Assembly

Antonio Tajani, President of the European Parliament, has expressed support for the the legitimate National Assembly in Venezuela, in a telephone call to the Assembly’s newly elected President, Juan Guaidó. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/europarlamento-envio-mensaje-de-apoyo-a-la-asamblea-nacional)

 

Spain and Portugal will not send representatives to Maduro’s second inaugural

Spain’s government has confirmed it will not send official representatives to Nicolás Maduro’s swearing in ceremonies. The 28 nations within the European Union announced in December that they would not send representatives if the ceremony were to be held anywhere other than the National Assembly, and that should it take place elsewhere representation would be “beneath ambassadorial rank”. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/internacional/30146/gobierno-de-espana-no-asistira-a-toma-de-posesion-de-maduro)

 

Ecuador will not send a representative to Maduro’s swearing-in

Ecuador’s President Lenin Moreno has announced his government’s decision to not send representatives to Nicolás Maduro’s swearing-in ceremony citing the Venezuelan regimen’s violation of human rights: “International protection for human rights is an ethical and legal obligation, not intervention into the internal affairs of other countries”, he said. He called for solving Venezuela’s problems in a peaceful and democratic way, “through dialogue”. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/30150/lenin-moreno-anuncio-que-ecuador-no-enviara-representacion-para-asuncion-de-maduro)

 

As Maduro begins new term in Venezuela, opposition sees trouble looming

As Maduro begins his new term on Thursday — one that will have him leading the nation until 2025 — Julio Borges is aware of the perception that Maduro is firmly in control. But Borges doesn’t buy it. As one of Venezuela’s most visible opposition figures who’s not in detention, Borges has spent his time lobbying foreign governments to turn the screws on Maduro. And it’s been working. Borges, 49, has been one of President Nicolas Maduro’s harshest critics over the decades. A co-founder of the Primero Justicia political party and the president of the National Assembly from 2017-2018, he’s been living in exile since March, amid fears that he would join other colleagues who have been detained or died in jail. Not surprisingly, Borges’ advocacy has put him in Maduro’s cross-hairs. The president routinely accuses him of plotting coups and encouraging international invasions. While Borges says he has always favored a peaceful, democratic transition, he said the Maduro administration has opened the door to violence by closing off real opportunities for change. In August, Maduro accused Borges of being one of the masterminds behind an alleged assassination plot that included an explosive-packed drone. Talking in Bogotá, Colombia, his home in exile, Borges says there are plenty of reasons to believe that Maduro may not get to finish out his new term. “Maduro remains in power, fundamentally, due to two things: the support of the military — really just the upper ranks — and the dictatorial know-how of the Cubans,” Borges said. “Outside of that Maduro has nothing. There’s no economic support, no diplomatic support, no political support. ... I think he’s irredeemably defeated and it’s impossible for him to overcome the crisis he’s created.” Borges said the democratic opposition has used every avenue possible to create change: organizing protests, engaging in dialogue, winning the National Assembly, calling for a boycott during the 2018 presidential election, promoting international sanctions. But nothing has moved the needle. “We have done everything we can through civil society and organized politics,” he said. “But the government doesn’t care how much damage is produced as it clings to power.” He adds: “The constitution itself says that any citizen, with or without authority, has the right to restore the constitution, and that’s what society is pleading for the armed forces to do … They are asking for the armed forces to restore the constitution, which Maduro is ignoring.”  Borges said that Maduro clearly has the support of the military’s higher echelon, “the corrupt elite,” but is losing the rank and file. And that’s where the real threats are brewing … what I can tell you with certainty is that inside Venezuela’s armed forces they are not only tired of Maduro, but they’re in revolt. And the country is asking for them to complete their ‘divorce’ … for dignified, constitutional and democratic armed forces to see resurgence.” (The Miami Herald: https://www.miamiherald.com/latest-news/article224124250.html)

 

Defense minister asked Maduro to resign: Washington Post

Venezuela’s defense minister told socialist President Nicolas Maduro to step down last month, and said he would offer his own resignation if he did not, the Washington Post reported on Wednesday, citing an anonymous U.S. intelligence official. Both Maduro and Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino Lopez are still in office. Maduro is set to be sworn in for a second six-year term on Thursday, though several countries in the region have warned him not to take office, calling his May 2018 re-election vote a sham. Discontent within the military’s ranks has grown as Venezuela’s economic collapse has deepened, prompting millions to migrate. Security forces tortured dozens of military personnel accused of subversion last year, according to human rights groups, and detentions for desertion have increased. A U.S. government source told Reuters the government believes reports that Padrino threatened to resign if Maduro did not depart are credible. This week, however, General Padrino made a public statement on behalf of the Venezuelan military, expressing “indignation over the meddling of Latin American governments, under the auspices of the United States, through which they are attempting to ignore Venezuela’s unrelinquishable rights over the Essequibo region”. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-defense/venezuelas-defense-minister-asked-maduro-to-resign-washington-post-idUSKCN1P32LQ); and more in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/politica/30048/fanb-rechazo-injerencia-de-paises-latinoamericanos)

 

Military personnel, relatives tortured in Venezuela: HRW

Venezuelan security forces in recent years have detained and tortured dozens of military personnel accused of plotting against the government, and in some cases their family members, two human rights groups said in a report published on Wednesday. The report by New York-based Human Rights Watch and Venezuela’s Penal Forum, which also says forces tortured civilians, comes as countries in the region are pushing the International Criminal Court to probe the government for alleged crimes against humanity. In most cases, members of the country's General Directorate of Military Counterintelligence (DGCIM) or the Bolivarian National Intelligence Services (SEBIN) carried out the arrests, according to the rights groups. In the report, detainees described being strangled, deprived of food and having the soles of their feet cut with razor blades. "The Venezuelan government has brutally cracked down on members of the military accused of plotting against it," said Jose Miguel Vivanco, Americas director at Human Rights Watch. The two groups analyzed information about cases involving a total of 32 people. Victims include military officers accused of plotting against the government and civilians accused of collaborating with Oscar Perez, a rogue police official who was killed in January 2018 after opposing the government. Several detainees did not have access to their families, lawyers or adequate medical treatment during their detentions, the report said. The individuals were arrested for crimes including "treason" and "instigating rebellion", however lawyers representing the accused said the charges were fabricated and not supported by any real evidence. (Al Jazeera: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/01/military-personnel-relatives-tortured-venezuela-hrw-190109155041848.html; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-rights/venezuela-tortured-military-personnel-accused-of-subversion-rights-groups-idUSKCN1P30BD)

 

Venezuela names ex-spy chief as head of new presidential security unit

Venezuela’s former spy chief, who was ousted last year amid an uproar over the death of a jailed opposition politician, was sworn in on Tuesday as the head of a newly-created presidential security council, according to state television. General Gustavo Gonzalez Lopez was replaced as the head of the National Bolivarian Intelligence Service (SEBIN) in October after opposition councilman Fernando Alban died while detained at the agency’s headquarters in Caracas. The death was officially ruled a suicide, but critics said he was killed. Gonzalez Lopez was sworn in by Vice President Delcy Rodriguez in a brief ceremony just days before socialist President Nicolas Maduro is set to be inaugurated for a second term. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics/venezuela-names-ex-spy-chief-as-head-of-new-presidential-security-unit-idUSKCN1P301X)

 

Pope criticized for comments on Venezuela and Nicaragua by 20 ex-leaders

In response to Pope Francisco’s annual Urbi et Orbi Christmas speech, 20 ex-leaders from across Latin America wrote a letter to the religious leader criticizing his words regarding the situations in Venezuela and Nicaragua. In his speech, the Pope expressed a desire for Venezuela to find “harmony” and for Nicaragua to reach “reconciliation,” both criticized by the ex-presidents of the region for being too simplistic. The letter was inspired by the Democratic Initiative of Spain and the Americas (IDEA), headed by ex-president of Costa Rica and Nobel Peace Prize winner Oscar.  Your Holiness’ speech … is being interpreted in a very negative way by many in Venezuela and Nicaragua,” the letter stated. “In the current context,” it explained, “your speech could be interpreted as a request to the people who are victims to agree with their aggressors.” In relation to Venezuela, the Pope asked that “it finds peace again and that all the members of the society work together for the development of the country, helping the weakest area of the population.”  “[Venezuelans] are victims of oppression by a militarized narco-dictatorship,” the letter read, “which has no qualms in systematically infringing the right to life, freedom and personal integrity.” (Chile Herald: https://chileherald.com/pope-criticised-for-comments-on-venezuela-and-nicaragua-by-20-ex-leaders/1592/)

 

Venezuela is in crisis. so how did Maduro secure a second term?

President Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela is set to be inaugurated on Thursday for the second time, extending his term in office to 2025, after winning an election last year that had been rejected by nations across the region as illegitimate. But even as his country is grappling with a humanitarian crisis driven by this collapse, Maduro has clung to power. So how did he get here, and how has he managed to hold on? Here’s what to know as Mr. Maduro begins his second term in office. Maduro’s re-election in May 2018 was widely criticized, with reports of coercion, fraud and electoral rigging. Election officials said Maduro won 68% of the vote. The chaotic state of the country and the desperation of poor voters may have contributed to Maduro’s ability to maintain control. Representatives of Maduro’s party tracked those who voted by registering their “Fatherland Card” — or national benefits card — and promised aid and government subsidized food handouts if re-elected. Independent international observers were not on hand, and a crackdown on critics left several of them unable to participate. Opposition leaders called for a boycott of the election, and that, combined with the disillusionment of many longtime government supporters, meant the turnout was exceptionally low. Less than half of the country’s voters cast ballots. How strong is his grip on power? Despite international criticism and a crisis at home, Maduro has won the loyalty of the country’s powerful military by handing its leaders control of the food and oil industries as well as profitable mining regions. But there are clear signs of growing discontent. While the country’s opposition lost much of its power as a result of government persecution and the forced exile of some of its most prominent figures, the election last week of a new president in the opposition-controlled National Assembly, Juan Guaidó, has renewed calls to remove Maduro from power. Who still supports him? Maduro has found some allies in the region, including President Evo Morales of Bolivia, a fellow socialist who will attend the inauguration. And Mexico’s new leftist president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, invited  Maduro to his own inauguration and has taken a friendlier stance in relations with Venezuela than his predecessor. Russia has remained a staunch ally, with President Vladimir V. Putin voicing his support for Maduro during a December meeting in Moscow. Venezuela has also received recent financial support from China. Within his country, loyal “chavista” governors, named for their support of Chávez and his revolutionary leftist policies, expressed their support for Maduro in a news conference on Wednesday. What’s the impact on Venezuelans? Daily life in Venezuela has become unrecognizable from what it was a few short years ago. Where once the government built homes, clinics and schools for the poor as part of its socialist policy, people are now finding themselves without the most basic necessities. The country’s health system has collapsed, leaving many without access to lifesaving medicine. Hunger is common, and the shelves of grocery stores lie bare. But there is no sense conditions are improving. (The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/10/world/americas/venezuela-maduro-inauguration.html)

 

EDITORIAL: Latin America has never seen a crisis like Venezuela before

The epic political and humanitarian crisis in Venezuela is due to pass a new juncture Thursday when President Nicolás Maduro is sworn in for a second six-year term. His first saw an implosion unprecedented in modern Latin American history: Though his country was not at war, its economy shrank by 50%. What was once the region’s richest society was swept by epidemics of malnutrition, preventable diseases and violent crime. Three million people fled the country. Yet Maduro, having orchestrated a fraudulent reelection, presses on with what the regime describes as a socialist revolution, with tutoring from Cuba and predatory loans from Russia and China. If there is any light in this bleak picture, it is that Venezuela’s neighbors are edging toward more assertive action to stem a crisis that, with the massive flow of refugees, threatens to destabilize several other countries. Last week, 13 governments, including Brazil, Colombia, Argentina and Canada, issued a statement declaring Maduro’s presidency illegitimate and threatening sanctions. Peru imposed travel and banking restrictions on Maduro and his cabinet, and several countries said they would recognize the opposition-controlled National Assembly as Venezuela’s only legitimate institution. Unfortunately, that is unlikely to move the regime. Like three administrations before it, the Trump White House has struggled over how to respond to the Chavistas. As conditions continue to deteriorate Maduro may finally be toppled by dissidents inside the regime or a new popular uprising. If not, the pressure Venezuela is putting on its neighbors will escalate. One recent study by scholars at the Brookings Institution concluded that 5 million more refugees may pour across the borders. The region has never seen a crisis like this: a steadily escalating catastrophe with no solution — either from inside or outside — in sight. (The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/latin-america-has-never-seen-a-crisis-like-venezuela-before/2019/01/09/26cc15b4-1381-11e9-b6ad-9cfd62dbb0a8_story.html)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Thursday, October 27, 2016

October 26, 2016


International Trade

MERCOSUR to discuss enforcement of democratic clause against Venezuela

The Common Market of the South (MERCOSUR) will hold a meeting "in the upcoming days" to discuss whether the democratic clause should be enforced against Venezuela, informed Uruguayan President Tabaré Vázquez at a press conference, along with his Argentinian counterpart Mauricio Macri. "As for the democratic clause, MERCOSUR has to hold a meeting to discuss the matter, and Uruguay will attend that meeting and it is going to discuss it with the integrity and responsibility we seek to prosecute in our governance," said Vázquez, who specified neither date nor place of the meeting. For his part, President Macri noted that both Uruguay and Argentina were “very concerned about how things have worsened” in Venezuela. "Under these terms, Venezuela cannot be part of Mercosur,” and added that this country has to be "deplored by all American nations and the entire world" as "human rights are not being respected." (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/mercosur-discuss-enforcement-democratic-clause-against-venezuela_624077)

 

Oil & Energy

Venezuela winning bondholder relief as 39% accept PDVSA swap

Petroleos de Venezuela SA, maneuvering to repay a ballooning debt load, says that creditors holding US$ 2.8 billion of bonds have agreed to extend maturities after weeks of tense negotiations that included dire warnings from Caracas of a possible financial collapse. The deal, while far short of the US$ 5.325 billion that PDVSA had been seeking to exchange, was still seen as significant enough to win the state-run oil giant the relief it needs to continue servicing its debts for the time being. Notes from the company and Venezuela’s government surged after the announcement. The deal comes at a hefty cost. While the country’s oil minister touted it as a victory for the “fatherland,” Venezuela had to pawn one of its most attractive assets -- CITGO Petroleum Corp., the U.S. unit of PDVSA -- to persuade investors to accept the deal. Years of declining output and a crash in oil prices have left PDVSA and the government, which relies on crude for almost all its hard currency income, struggling to find enough cash to make payments and import basic necessities. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-24/venezuela-wins-relief-from-bondholders-as-39-accept-pdvsa-swap; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/bond-swap-5257-pdvsa-says_624128)

 

Commodities

Agriculture Ministry, NESTLÉ sign agreement to expand production

Venezuela’s Agriculture and NESTLÉ have signed an agreement to create 1500 direct and indirect jobs and substitute imports worth US$ 15 million through investments seeking to increasing production in 30 items, including milk, cocoa, rice, fruit and fruit pulp. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/acuerdo-con-nestle-permitira-ahorro-millones-dolares_624125)

 

Economy & Finance

U.S. said to be closing in on PDVSA-linked seizures

U.S. Federal prosecutors are preparing to charge several individuals and confiscate their property over the alleged looting of Venezuela’s state oil company in what may amount to one of the biggest asset seizures in U.S. history. Three people familiar with the case say the government has been investigating at least a dozen Venezuelans and is expected to file charges in Houston against a few of them as soon as next month. Those on the list, including former executives of Petroleos de Venezuela SA, known as PDVSA, are suspected of having taken bribes from middlemen to award contracts at inflated prices, helping to siphon more than US$ 11 billion out of the country. All three people spoke on condition of anonymity because the investigation is ongoing and sensitive due to its impact on U.S. foreign policy. The government has set its sights on a number of U.S. assets, including about 20 residential properties, some in West Palm Beach and the Houston suburbs. Switzerland has seized US$ 118 million in assets from Swiss banks related to the matter and sent US$ 51 million to U.S. authorities, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday. Venezuela’s opposition-run congress is separately seeking to recover US$ 11.3 billion that went missing from PDVSA between 2004 and 2014 while Rafael Ramirez, currently Venezuela’s ambassador to the United Nations, was company president. It seeks to hold him politically responsible. Ramirez has rejected the congressional accusations as lies. Investigators are also looking at the dealings involving PDVSA and a number of companies, including Pratt & Whitney, General Electric and Rolls Royce Holdings, as well as ProEnergy Services, a Missouri-based firm. The prosecutors have been tracking money that flowed through Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co., they added. The people under investigation include current Venezuelan government officials, prominent businessmen and individuals suspected of involvement with cocaine trafficking, two of the people said. Homeland Security Investigations, the Drug Enforcement Administration and the FBI are all involved in the investigation, which has been under way for at least three years and looks at activity going back to 2005.  The investigation comes at a time when the cost of corruption is vividly apparent in Venezuela’s crumbling economy. A former finance minister, Jorge Giordani, has said that as much as US$ 300 billion was embezzled from Venezuela in the last decade through high-level corruption. The U.S. has a strong legal interest in the case because the allegedly ill-gotten money passed through its banks and was used to buy property here. The people under investigation have been linked to billions of dollars of gains, much of which was transferred to offshore accounts in Panama, the people said. (Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-25/u-s-said-to-be-closing-in-on-venezuelan-asset-seizures-charges)

 

Central Bank orders higher denomination currency

It has been reported that Venezuela’s Central Bank has ordered a VEB 1000 coin and currency bills denominated at VEB 5,000; 10,000 and 20,000 for delivery toward the end of this year due to inflationary pressure here, which the International Monetary Fund expects will close at 700% by year end. More in Spanish: (El Universal:


 

Venezuelan foreign debt only payable in foreign currency, says Rodriguez of TORINO

Converting foreign currency bonds to local currency would of course be an event of default under the terms of the bond indentures and would trigger Credit Default Swaps,” said Francisco Rodríguez, Chief Economist of TORINO Capital, in reference to a claim filed by company Corporation XT 46 with the Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ). “The claim argues that Article 128 of the Law on the Central Bank (of Venezuela), which stipulates that payments in foreign currency must be made in a currency of legal tender at the place of payment, allows (state-run oil company Petróleos de Venezuela) PDVSA to pay in bolivars the coupons and amortizations of its foreign currency bonds,” according to Rodríguez’s report. “Coming as it did on the eve of Friday’s (since extended) deadline for PDVSA’s exchange offer for its two issuances due on 2017, and given that the claim explicitly referenced these issuances (as well as the Pdvsa 2016 bonds due October 28), the news generated concern that the government may have been looking for ways to avoid upcoming payments (…),” the economist noted. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelan-foreign-debt-only-payable-foreign-currency_624117)

 

Politics and International Affairs

Enraged Venezuela opposition escalates anti-Maduro protests

Venezuela's increasingly militant opposition stepped up its push to remove leftist leader Nicolas Maduro on Wednesday with rallies that drew hundreds of thousands of protesters and calls for a general strike and march on the presidential palace. Enraged by last week's suspension of their push for a referendum to remove Maduro and determined to end 17 years of socialism here, Venezuela's opposition has sharply ramped up its tactics in recent days.  Maduro, the unpopular 53-year-old successor to Hugo Chavez who has presided over an unprecedented economic crisis, accuses the opposition of seeking a coup with U.S. help. "They are desperate, they have received the order from the north to destroy the Venezuelan revolution," he told a counter-march of red-shirted government loyalists. After launching a political trial against Maduro on Tuesday in the National Assembly, the opposition coalition held nationwide marches dubbed "Takeover of Venezuela" on Wednesday. "This government is going to fall!" crowds chanted, many wearing white and waving national flags as they filled one of Caracas' main highways.  Protesters clashed with security forces in several cities across Venezuela, including the volatile western town of San Cristobal that was an epicenter of violence during 2014 anti-Maduro protests. Opposition leaders said there were dozens of injured, with two protesters reportedly struck by bullets in the Western city of Maracaibo near Colombia. Both were hospitalized and expected to recover.  Coalition leaders called for a national strike for Friday, and a Nov. 3 march to the Miraflores presidential palace in Caracas, unless the election board allows the referendum.  In apparent tactics to impede the opposition demonstrations, authorities set up roadblocks and closed some underground metro stations in Caracas. Reuters journalists in several cities reported big crowds at the opposition rallies, especially in the capital, collectively numbering hundreds of thousands. Wary of trouble, many businesses stayed shut and some parents kept children away from school. In the restive city of San Cristobal, masked protesters threw rocks and petrol bombs in clashes with security forces and attacked the local headquarters of the electoral council.  Maduro convened a special Committee for the Defense of the Nation at the presidential palace to analyze the National Assembly's actions against him and a tentatively scheduled dialogue with the opposition this weekend. National Assembly head Henry Ramos, a veteran politician who swaps insults with Maduro almost daily, declined an invitation to attend. "Here's his chair, empty again," said Maduro, urging participation in talks supported by the Vatican, regional bloc UNASUR and various ex-heads of state. Opposition leaders, however, said they would not attend talks until the government allowed the referendum process to continue. (Reuters: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKCN12Q0B6)

 

National Assembly votes to put President Nicolas Maduro on trial; military brass backs him

Venezuela’s opposition-led National Assembly voted on Tuesday to put President Nicolas Maduro on political trial, but the legislature’s dwindling power means the decision will likely have no practical effect. The vote was an attempt to put new pressure on Maduro a day before the opposition planned a show of force on the streets. The legislature charged Maduro with abandoning the presidency and carrying out a coup against the Constitution. “Let him respond for the actions that have destroyed, broken, denied the right to choose in a democracy,” said Julio Borges, the leader of the Assembly’s opposition bloc. In response to the vote, Edwin Rojas, a lawmaker from Maduro’s Socialist Party, said, “This is a cheap copy of impeachment.” Referring to the impeachment of former President Dilma Rousseff of Brazil, he added, “We are not Brazil.” Venezuela’s political turmoil has grown more intractable by the day, with the opposition reacting furiously to a decision by the Electoral Council last week that blocked a drive for a referendum to recall Maduro. The referendum has been seen as the most effective legal avenue to challenge Maduro’s increasingly autocratic rule, which many Venezuelans blame for the collapsing economy. Polls have shown that an overwhelming majority of Venezuelans would vote to remove him. Addressing a crowd outside the presidential palace on Tuesday, Maduro disregarded the Assembly vote. Instead, he blamed President Obama for Venezuela’s political standoff. “These attacks from the right are an attack by Obama because he is close to leaving,” Maduro said. He also invited the opposition president of the National Assembly, Henry Ramos Allup, to meet with him and other members of the government. As he spoke, the crowd chanted, “Dissolve the Assembly!” Maduro has just returned from a five-day trip overseas, where he met on Monday with Pope Francis and early Tuesday with the incoming secretary general of the United Nations, António Guterres. The Vatican has been attempting since May to mediate between Venezuela’s government and the opposition, and it appeared to have made a breakthrough on Monday, when the pope’s special envoy to Venezuela, Archbishop Emil Paul Tscherrig, said both sides would begin a dialogue on Sunday. But leading opposition figures said they would not take part in the session, suggesting instead that the government wanted to buy time by agreeing to discussions. “In a possible dialogue, the opposition has nothing to offer, only to demand,” Ramos Allup said. As the crisis mounted, the army came down squarely in support of Maduro. Defense Minister General Vladimir Padrino Lopez, in a rare televised address, accused congress of trying to promote instability and said the country’s armed forces would uphold the rule of law here. Congress’s “real intent is nothing less that to gravely affect the institutionality of the country through chaos and anarchy,” he said in a prepared statement. “They want to overthrow the lawfully established government of Nicolas Maduro Moros, who for us is not partial to politics but rather the constitutional president and commander in chief of the Bolivarian Armed Forces, with supreme authority and to whom we reiterate our unconditional loyalty and unwavering commitment.” (The Wall Street Journal: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/26/world/americas/venezuela-nicolas-maduro.html; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-politics-idUSL1N1CV102; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-25/venezuela-s-military-backs-maduro-in-dispute-with-congress)

 

Pope urges Maduro to alleviate people's suffering

President Nicolas Maduro made a surprise visit on Monday to Pope Francis, who urged the embattled leader to alleviate people's suffering and negotiate with the opposition to solve his country's crisis. The private, evening meeting took place in the framework of the "worrying" situation in Venezuela which was "weighing heavily on the entire population", a Vatican statement said. It said the pope had urged Maduro to "courageously take up the path of sincere and constructive dialogue to alleviate the suffering of the people, most of all the poor, and to promote a climate of renewed social cohesion, which will allow people to look to the future of the nation with hope".  (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-pope-venezuela-maduro-idUSKCN12O2A9; http://www.reuters.com/article/pope-venezuela-maduro-idUSL8N1CU5PA; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-24/venezuela-s-maduro-meets-pope-francis-as-vatican-joins-talks; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/venezuelas-maduro-meets-with-pope-francis_624163)

 

Papal Representative announces start of a dialogue; opposition says no talks without recall referendum

The Pope’s Special Representative, Monsignor Emil Paul Tscherrig, announced that President Nicolas Maduro’s government and the opposition MUD alliance agreed to initiate a dialogue next week in pursuit of a solution to this nation’s political crisis. The agreement to begin talks emerged from a meeting of the parties under the auspices of the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR), through the former presidents of the Dominican Republic, Leonel Fernandez, and Panama, Martin Torrijos, and former Spanish President Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, the papal representative said. But opposition leaders balked at the terms of the announcement. "No dialogue has begun in Venezuela," said two-time presidential candidate Henrique Capriles. "These devils want to use the good faith of Pope Francis to buy more time." The opposition Democratic Unity coalition's major parties mostly said they would not be engaging in the talks unless the recall referendum process is reinstated. They also demanded that any talks be held in Caracas, not Margarita Island as originally proposed. The secretary general of the opposition coalition, Jesus Torrealba, who met Monsignor Tscherrig, said that while talks are important and Papal mediation has been sought by them, "it can't continue to be a strategy for the government to gain time".  Capriles later emphasized that he is willing to discuss how to solve the nation’s problems, saying: “If I have to meet with the devil, I would do so, with witnesses, with the Vatican”; and emphasized that he distrusts government representatives and those from UNASUR, particularly Rodríguez Zapatero; and would ask for conditions such as incorporating other heads of state, such as Spain’s Felipe Gonzalez; clear rules and a clear agenda that includes restoring the Constitution, freeing political prisoners,  accepting humanitarian aid, access for media and calling up a recall vote. “The opposition has nothing to negotiate. The government calls for talks because it is drowning…Talks are not to save Maduro and his regime”. He said that through talks he could agree to new general elections, through a Constitutional amendment, “Signed, because one cannot believe anything from those people, and endorsed by the people.” (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2423857&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/vatican-envoy-announces-govt-opposition-talks-venezuela_624009; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKCN12O27N; BBC News: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-37758515; and more in Spanish: El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Capriles-oposicion-negociar_0_946105681.html)

 

Head of Roman Catholic Bishops Conference says talks have not begun

Monsignor Diego Padrón, Chairman of Venezuela’s Roman Catholic Bishops Conference, says that talks between the government and its opposition have not yet begun. He said that on Sunday, October 30th there may be a meeting to set an agenda. He added that the Vatican continues to explore what disposition there is on both sides towards talks, and emphasized that talks cannot replace the people’s right to revoke President Maduro. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/octubre/25/173405=monsenor-diego-padron-aclaro-que-dialogo-entre-gobierno-y-oposicion-aun-no-ha-comenzado)

 

UNASUR praises talks in Venezuela, calls for more democracy

The Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) on Monday embraced the decision made by the Venezuelan government and the opposition to engage in talks, adding that political crisis may be solved only with more democracy. In a communiqué, Colombian ex-President and UNASUR’s Secretary General Ernesto Samper said that “today more than ever, it makes sense to call on all Venezuelans to find, through dialogue, the solution to differences that have them confronted with each other”. Likewise, Samper pointed out that the decision made by the National Electoral Council (CNE) to halt the collection of signatures for a recall vote against the term in office of President Nicolás Maduro could have intensified the differences. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/unasur-praises-talks-venezuela-calls-for-more-democracy_624148)

 

HRW calls for international pressure in Venezuela’s humanitarian crisis

Human Rights Watch is urging “strong international pressure,” in particular from the countries of the Americas, to get the Nicolas Maduro government to take “immediate measures” to deal with the “profound humanitarian crisis” in Venezuela, according to a lengthy report released Monday. “The Venezuelan government has seemed more vigorous in denying the existence of a humanitarian crisis than in working to resolve it,” said HRW Americas director Jose Miguel Vivanco. “Its failures have contributed to the suffering of many Venezuelans who now struggle every day to obtain access to basic health care and adequate nutrition,” he added. In preparing the report, in which HRW denounces the “severe shortages” of medicines and food in Venezuela, as well as the “inadequate and repressive” government response, the human rights organization last June interviewed more than 100 people in Caracas and six Venezuelan states and visited several public hospitals. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2423839&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/hrw-calls-for-intl-pressure-over-maduro-tackle-crisis-venezuela_623999)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.