Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Gazprom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gazprom. Show all posts

Thursday, August 29, 2019

August 29, 2019


International Trade

Over 4000 tons of food and general cargo have arrived at Guanta port

The local port authority reports that 4303 tons of food and general cargo have arrived at Guanta in 249 containers aboard the CFS PALAMEDES. Cargo includes wheat flour, spaghetti, packaged beans, tuna, along with oil industry equipment and tires. More in Spanish; (Bolipuertos, http://www.bolipuertos.gob.ve/noticia.aspx?id=43618)

 

Oil & Energy

China helps Venezuela boost oil production

China has financed the construction of a new oil blending plant in Venezuela that will boost the country’s flagging oil production by 120,000 bpd, IHS Markit reports, citing an investment of US$ 3 billion, provided by China’s CNPC, PDVSA’s partner in the SINOVENSA venture that will operate the new plant.  SINOVENSA is 49% owned by the Chinese state giant and 51% owned by PDVSA. It currently produces 100,000 bpd in the Orinoco belt. The crude is a medium grade of the Orinoco super heavy that’s then mixed with light crude to make the Merey blend, which, along with other medium grades, are in high demand among Asian refiners. The latest news suggests that China has no intention of changing course about Venezuela no matter what the U.S. decides to do in response. And it seems it is not the only one: India, according to IHS Markit shipping data, still buys Venezuelan oil in defiance of U.S. warnings. The average import rate since June has been about 450,000 bpd. That’s a solid part of Venezuela’s total production, as calculated by OPEC secondary sources. For July, the figure stood at 742,000 bpd. (Oil Price: https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/China-Helps-Venezuela-Boost-Oil-Production.html)

 

Commodities

Venezuela's trees suffer as firewood replaces scarce cooking gas

Chronic shortages of natural gas in the country with the world’s largest oil reserves now mean that cooking fuel is increasingly coming from trees. The growing use of firewood has triggered alarm among activists who say discussions of environmental problems are often eclipsed by diatribes about runaway inflation, economic collapse and a protracted political stalemate. Fires and home construction in the last 40 years have deforested about 10% of Henri Pittier Park, said Enrique Garcia, director of the ecological group Let’s Plant. In addition, he said, the collection of firewood in urban areas can cause respiratory problems from smoke, rising temperatures in cities and increased risk of landslides in poor communities where houses are often built on unsteady terrain. Wood stoves are now a common sight across Venezuela because of the shortage of gas. Tanks used to store, and transport propane are in disrepair for lack of maintenance. In some cases, people burn trash next to a tree to dry it out so the tree can be cut down and used for cooking fuel. Authorities are broadly ignoring legislation that prohibits cutting down trees without permits. Some cities have so little tree cover that those in search of firewood must walk for miles. (https://www.euronews.com/2019/08/29/venezuelas-trees-suffer-as-firewood-replaces-scarce-cooking-gas)

 

Economy & Finance

Venezuela’s cash reserves shoot up from PDVSA despite sanctions

PDVSA’s sales to China just netted Venezuela a cool US$ 700 million, increasing its reserves to US$ 8.8 billion. Most of the US$ 700 million was in the form of the Chinese yuan and comes from back payments made to PDVSA for its crude oil deliveries to China. The payments had been delayed due to the US sanctions on Venezuela and PDVSA, as both parties struggled to come up with a way to send and receive payments in the face of those sanctions. Venezuela has also sold some crude oil for euros cash via intermediaries. It has also sold gold for euros as well as it tries to make up for lost oil revenue. It took out eight tons of gold in April for sale abroad. Venezuela has seemingly abandoned the dollar trade for its crude oil for fear of running afoul of the US sanctions on the Latin American country. This push away from digital transactions will make it more difficult to track where money is coming from and where it’s going to. (Oil Price: https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Venezuelas-Cash-Reserves-Shoot-Up-From-PDVSA-Despite-Sanctions.html)

 

GAZPROMBANK completes transfer of stake in sanctions-hit lender

GAZPROMBANK said on Wednesday it had completed its handover of a stake in Russian-Venezuelan lender EVROFINANCE MOSNARBANK, which was placed under U.S. sanctions, to Russia’s state property management agency. The United States announced sanctions on EVROFINANCE MOSNARBANK in March for its dealings with Venezuelan state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA). (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-banks-venezuela-gazprombank/gazprombank-completes-transfer-of-stake-in-sanctions-hit-lender-idUSKCN1VI1ES)

 

Maduro official says remittance platform for Petro is ready to use

National Superintendent of Cryptoactives Joselit Ramírez has announced that crypto remittance platform Patria Remesa is live and functioning. Additionally, Ramírez highlighted his confidence in the platform’s safety, as well as how the Venezuelan cryptocurrency El Petro (PTR) allegedly hedges against economic depreciation. Given the Venezuelan government’s history of not delivering on promises related to the PETRO, COINTELEGRAPH advises readers to approach Ramírez’s announcement with skepticism. (Cointelegraph, https://cointelegraph.com/news/venezuelan-official-says-remittance-platform-for-petro-is-ready-to-use)

 

Politics and International Affairs

U.S. offers amnesty to Maduro, if he leaves power

A top American diplomat said the United States would not prosecute or otherwise seek to punish Nicolás Maduro if he voluntarily left power, despite bringing his country to the verge of economic collapse and humanitarian disaster. Elliott Abrams, the State Department’s special envoy for Venezuela, said he had seen no indication that Maduro was willing to step down. But his offer of amnesty was a message to Maduro after both countries’ leaders described high-level talks that Abrams unequivocally said did not happen. “This is not a persecution,” Abrams said of Mr. Maduro on Tuesday evening in an interview. “We’re not after him. We want him to have a dignified exit and go.” He added: “We don’t want to prosecute you; we don’t want to persecute you. We want you to leave power.” The Treasury Department last year accused Maduro of profiting from illegal drug trafficking in Venezuela but did not recommend charges. The softer, if pragmatic, appeal sharply contrasted with the eight months of sanctions, international isolation and threats by the Trump administration of military intervention against Maduro and his loyalists, who are accused of hoarding power and manipulating elections last year. Opposition leaders in Venezuela have not offered immunity to Maduro, whom they accuse of prospering in a corrupt government that has left many Venezuelans without food, electricity or medical supplies.  The notion that we are negotiating is just flat-out wrong,” Abrams said. “And the notion that there is a pattern of communication is wrong. There are intermittent messages and I think people would find the very occasional message sent from Washington to be completely predictable: ‘You need to return to democracy. Maduro needs to leave power.’” The comments are likely to soothe Venezuela’s opposition leaders, who have privately said Trump’s statement risked sidelining their own negotiations. A delegation headed by the opposition’s chief political negotiator, Stalin González, traveled to Washington last week to press American officials on the Trump administration’s policy in Venezuela. Abrams said he did not currently see any value in talking directly to the Maduro regime. Abrams maintained on Tuesday that the United States would not lift sanctions against Venezuela unless Maduro steps down. Abrams said the Trump administration would not support new national elections with an incumbent — either Maduro or Mr. Guaidó — on the ballot. If either man wanted to run for the presidency, Abrams said, he should first leave office to prevent concerns about election tampering by the government. And he predicted that Guaidó would formally close the negotiations by Oct. 1 to prevent them from dragging on without resolution. “It’s pretty clear that he has not yet reached the conclusion that it is hopeless,” Abrams said, adding: “He may reach that conclusion tomorrow.” Any offer of amnesty by the United States would have limits. A White House official has previously told The New York Times that the Trump administration would be unable to remove any federal drugs charges that several of Maduro’s top confidants and relatives face. (The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/28/world/americas/us-amnesty-venezuela-maduro.html)

 

US Department of State announces the opening of the Venezuela Affairs Unit (VAU), under the leadership of Charge d’Affaires James Story. The VAU is the interim diplomatic office of the U.S. Government to Venezuela, located at the U.S. Embassy in Bogota‎, Colombia, and has been established with bipartisan support from the U.S. Congress.  The VAU is continuing the U.S. mission to the legitimate Government of Venezuela and to the Venezuelan people.  The VAU will continue to work for the restoration of democracy and the constitutional order in that country, and the security and well-being of the Venezuelan people. The VAU interacts with the government of interim president Juan Guaidó, the democratically elected National Assembly, Venezuelan civil society, and the people of Venezuela.  The United States welcomes the support of the Government of Colombia, which is a further demonstration of its steadfast commitment to democracy and peace in the region. The United States stands with interim President Juan Guaidó, the National Assembly, and the people of Venezuela as they seek to regain their democracy. (State Department: https://www.state.gov/creation-of-the-venezuela-affairs-unit/; VOA: https://www.voanews.com/usa/us-sets-diplomatic-mission-venezuela-colombia; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-usa/u-s-opens-venezuelan-diplomatic-office-in-colombian-capital-idUSKCN1VI1Y9)

 

Venezuela's Guaidó names shadow cabinet to help oust Maduro

Venezuela’s interim president Guaidó named a new shadow cabinet on Wednesday, launching the latest phase of his campaign aimed at forcing Nicolas Maduro from power.  The new team — including heavyweight opposition figures Leopoldo Lopez and Julio Borges — will be dedicated to preparing for a transitional government and new elections, said Guaidó, who claimed presidential powers in late January as head of the National Assembly, saying Maduro's election last year was a fraud. Guaidó's so-called interim government functions more tangibly outside of Venezuela than at home.  Guaidó said he's calling on his political mentor Lopez to serve as general coordinator, though Lopez has lived in the Spanish ambassador's home in Caracas for protection since launching a failed military uprising with Guaidó on April 30.  Opposition lawmaker Borges, who lives in exile in Colombia, will oversee Guaidó's foreign relations, and other members of his team will deal with economic development, asset recovery and human rights. (VOA: https://www.voanews.com/americas/venezuelas-Guaidó-names-shadow-cabinet-help-oust-maduro)

 

Venezuela condemned by OAS for 'systematic' rights abuses

The Organization of American States passed a resolution Wednesday condemning "grave and systematic" human rights abuses in Venezuela and demanded an independent investigation. The regional security body, which comprises every country in the western hemisphere but Cuba, passed the resolution by a 21 to 3 vote. Seven members abstained and three were absent for the vote. The resolution echoed charges of torture, extrajudicial killings and force disappearances made last month against Venezuela's leftist regime by UN human rights chief Michelle Bachelet. It condemned "the grave and systematic violations of human rights in Venezuela, including the use of torture, illegal and arbitrary detentions, extrajudicial executions, forced disappearances and the denial of the most basic rights and necessities, especially those related to health, food and education." It also called for "an independent, exhaustive and credible investigation" to bring the perpetrators to justice and demanded that Venezuela grant "immediate and unhindered" access to the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights. The resolution was presented by Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, the United States, Guatemala, Paraguay and Peru. (France24: https://www.france24.com/en/20190828-venezuela-condemned-by-oas-for-systematic-rights-abuses)

 

Maduro says dialogue only way to overcome political deadlock

Dialogue is the only means to overcome political deadlock in Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro told Xinhua in an exclusive interview. He said he has proposed the idea of a "permanent negotiating table" between the ruling socialist party and the opposition, as dialogue has resumed after the government side briefly walked away from the talks to protest stepped-up U.S. sanctions. "I have proposed creating a permanent mechanism for dialogue, a permanent negotiation table, which is capable of withstanding any storm, any difficulty, any situation -- dialogue, dialogue for peace," he stressed. Maduro said he has also proposed that the two sides discuss the main problems facing Venezuela and "seek agreed-on, shared solutions." "I can report that we have resumed contact with the government of Norway, there have been several meetings, we have resumed contact with the representatives of the Venezuelan opposition," Maduro said. He expressed optimism that "in the next few days, we will announce good news about the dialogue process." "They have done us harm -- and that's how I am denouncing it to the world -- they have done great harm to the quality of life, to the living standards of the Venezuelan people, but we are in a condition to continue moving forward despite these attacks," said Maduro. (XINHUANET: http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019-08/29/c_138348004.htm)

 

Venezuela's political crisis talks 'not working,' says Guaidó

Venezuela's interim president Juan Guaidó admitted on Wednesday (Aug 28) that talks with the Maduro regime aimed at resolving the country's political crisis "aren't working." The two sides are deadlocked with Guaidó demanding Maduro's resignation and the government insisting the United States lift sanctions that it blames for the country's crippled economy. "At the moment there's no date to restart the mechanism mediated by the kingdom of Norway until we achieve something concrete to approach a solution," said Guaidó. He said that if the government is using the talks simply to boost its image "that serves no purpose for the Venezuelan people." (Channel News Asia: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/venezuela-s-political-crisis-talks--not-working---says-Guaidó-11850808)

 

Cuba asks Canada to help end U.S. sanctions on Venezuela

Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez urged Canadian counterpart Chrystia Freeland on Wednesday to help end U.S. sanctions on Venezuela in their third meeting since May on this country’s political and humanitarian crisis. Canada, a neighbor and NATO ally of the United States, also has long-standing good relations with Cuba, raising hopes it could serve as a mediator in the Venezuelan crisis. U.S. Vice President Mike Pence called on Canada in June to do more to engage directly with Cuba over what he called its “malign influence” on Venezuela. The Canadian Foreign Ministry said in a statement that Rodriguez and Freeland agreed that senior officials would stay in contact and continue to exchange views over Venezuela. (Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-cuba-canada/cuba-asks-canada-to-help-end-us-sanctions-on-venezuela-idUSKCN1VJ02G; Bloomberg, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-28/trudeau-envoy-presses-cuba-to-mediate-in-venezuelan-stalemate)

 

Venezuelans Enter Ecuador from Colombia via Secondary Route

About 1,400 Venezuelans crossed over the weekend from Colombia into Ecuador via the San Miguel Bridge, a secondary route linking the two countries, before new visa rules took effect, officials said Monday. The Venezuelans waited under the hot sun to enter Ecuador before the new visa requirements took effect on Monday.
EFE reporters confirmed that hundreds of Venezuelans waited at a CEBAF binational border service processing center in San Miguel, a city in Putumayo province. The Colombian immigration service said more than 11,000 Venezuelans left the country over the weekend, heading into Ecuador via the Rumichaca International Bridge, the main binational border crossing. Colombian immigration service officials told EFE that 103 people arrived after midnight in San Miguel with plans to enter Ecuador, which started accepting applications for humanitarian visas on Monday. Officials from the two countries started talking about allowing the Venezuelans to enter Ecuador and 83 have been admitted so far. (Latin American Herald Tribune,
http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2482567&CategoryId=10717)

 

U.S. to pay for thousands of doses of HIV drugs for Venezuelan migrants

The United States said on Wednesday it will provide thousands of doses of HIV medication to treat Venezuelans in Colombia as part of regional efforts to manage care for millions of migrants fleeing the crisis-hit nation. U.S. Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Alex Azar told Reuters about the decision in a phone interview following a meeting this week of health officials from 10 countries in the Colombian border city of Cucuta. The officials agreed to various measures meant to help the more than 4 million Venezuelans who have left home amid widespread shortages of food and medicine. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/colombia-usa-health/u-s-to-pay-for-thousands-of-doses-of-hiv-drugs-for-venezuelan-migrants-idUSL2N25O1DV)

 

Venezuelan migrant who sings for tips gets shot at stardom after chance meeting

When Mexican singer Mario Domm overheard a Venezuelan migrant crooning Domm’s own song in exchange for coins outside a restaurant in Bogota, Colombia, he was moved to tears by the young man’s powerful voice. Now Domm is helping the singer, 22-year-old Alexander Beja, pursue his dream of musical stardom. Beja is one of 1.4 million Venezuelans now living in Colombia, after fleeing a deep political and economic crisis in their home country that has caused long-running shortages of food and medicine. The young singer arrived in Colombia last year and began to sing regularly on the streets of northern Bogota, in hopes of earning what money he could. On the day last month when he was overheard by Domm, Beja was singing a tune called “Venezuela.” “He had a voice like a bazooka,” said Domm, who founded the pop group Camila in 2005. “He has to use it.” (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-migration-colombia-music/venezuelan-migrant-who-sings-for-tips-gets-shot-at-stardom-after-chance-meeting-idUSKCN1VH1KL)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

October 08, 2013

Economics & Finance

Finance Minister Merentes replaced by Oil Minister Ramirez as Vice President for Economic Affairs
Oil and Mining Minister and PDVSA President Rafael Ramírez has just been named Vice President for the Economy, replacing the current Finance Minister. General Hebert García Plaza was named Vice President for Territorial Development in place of Ramírez. Jorge Giordani remains as Vice President for Planning within the Maduro Cabinet. The Cabinet is now headed by Executive Vice President: Jorge Arreaza; Vice President for Planning: Jorge Giordani; Vice President for Social Affairs: Héctor Rodríguez; Vice President for Economic Affairs: Rafael Ramírez; Vice President for Territorial Development: General Hebert García Plaza; and Vice President for Political Affairs: Elías Jaua. Many see this as a gain by the more radical members of government, although analyst Luis Vicente León says on Twitter that exchange policy proposals under discussion in PDVSA are even more "open than the Merentes proposal". More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131008/remueven-a-merentes-de-la-vicepresidencia-del-area-economica#.UlQN5kD24iI.twitter

IMF now projects 1% growth for Venezuela in 2013
The International Monetary Fund has released their "Global economic perspective" report estimating Venezuela will achieve greater growth than previously expected at 1% - up from 0.1% in April - and projects 1.7% growth for this country in 2014, despite higher inflation and unemployment. Hyperinflation will remain a key challenge to authorities, up 4.8% this year and 4.1% in 2014. More in Spanish: (Confirmado; http://confirmado.com.ve/fmi-preve-para-venezuela-un-crecimiento-economico-del-1-este-ano/)

Galloping inflation forces the highest wage raise in 16 years in Venezuela
President Nicolás Maduro has announced the third minimum wage increase this year. The 10% raise was based on the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI). Rampant inflation -averaging 32.9% in January-August- was the main driving force behind the highest wage increase in the last 16 years. The new minimum wage will be VEN 2,972.97 (around U$D 471.9 at the official exchange rate of VEB 6.3 per US dollar, a fraction of that on the parallel market). This is a 45.2% raise in 2013 to date. (El Universal, 10-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131007/galloping-inflation-forces-the-highest-wage-raise-in-16-years-in-venez)

Central Bank is still analyzing new FOREX system
Speaking in Uruguay, Central Bank President Eudomar Tovar remarked "We are working on this matter and there will soon be announcements. We are determining the steps to take and decisions are upcoming on exchange policy". Tovar also urged Uruguay to join the "Sucre" currency that is used by some countries within the ALBA alliance. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/bcv-prepara-anuncios-sobre-control-de-cambio.aspx)

Commodities

GLENCORE has a monopoly on aluminum in Venezuela
GLENCORE representatives in Venezuela buy most of the aluminum the Venezuelan Corporation of Guayana (CVG) produces for the foreign market in dollars. At the same time, it also purchases a part of the products from the government in the domestic market, only to companies registered in the country, and at the official exchange rate. In recent years GLENCORE entered into major agreements with the Venezuelan government, which tipped the scale in its favor. For example, officers of GLENCORE representatives are also shareholders of domestic companies operating in the domestic market of aluminum. Some GLENCORE representatives in Venezuela are simultaneously officers of other private firms buying products from state-run companies BAUXILUM, VENALUM and ALCASA, among other basic industries. Executive officers of EXTRUDAL, TREFYMACA, Alambres del Yaracuy and ARMCO in Venezuela are the same people who, three years ago and on behalf of GLENCORE, renewed futures contracts under which they secured purchase of Venezuela's aluminum production during recent years. GLENCORE has aroused great controversy since it monopolizes aluminum exports through Noble Resources. Andrés Velásquez, an opposition deputy for the state of Bolívar, has asked the Attorney General's Office to investigate GLENCORE contracts. Last week, the Accountability Committee, National Assembly, vowed to assess GLENCORE businesses in Venezuela. None of GLENCORE's futures contracts have been previously examined by the Venezuelan Comptroller's Office or the relevant committees in the National Assembly. There was not even a public call for bids, and the agreements even included confidentiality clauses. (El Universal, 10-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131007/glencore-has-the-monopoly-of-aluminum-in-venezuela)

SIDOR remains paralyzed as workers reject CVG offer; FERROMINERA resumes work
The SIDOR steel processing complex remains paralyzed after 21 days as workers remain assembled at Gate 3. José Luis Hernández, president of the United Steelworkers Union, has announced they will not accept a proposal set forth by the Guayana Corporation which does not include a cash advance on their demands. He called the offer "a trap". Iron workers at FERROMINERA did reach an agreement with management after a 10 day stoppage. More in Spanish: (Globovision; http://globovision.com/articulo/sidor-continua-en-paro-y-los-trabajadores-no-aceptan-propuesta-de-cvg)

Government electricity company "intervened" for six months
Electric Power Minister Jesse Chacon has announced the "intervention" of the national electricity corporation CORPOELEC, which is a government controlled operation. His decree says: "The demand for electricity has experienced excessive growth in recent years, far above actual power requirements, deepening even more this year given the sabotage of electrical services, resulting in reasons to justify the intervention of CORPOELEC". (AVN, 10-07-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/national-electricity-company-be-taken-over-six-months)

Opposition warns of deteriorating PDVSA refineries
Jorge Larrañaga, a member of the Democratic Unity Conference Oil and Gas Committee, says the government does not have the funds to pay for international commitments in oil, and says this is why Brazil gave up on Venezuela's taking part in the Pernambuco refinery. He also said the drop in productivity in processing oil derivatives, as well as in profitability at refineries is due to PDVSA abandoning safety and maintenance: "Both Amuay and Cardon are beneath their processing levels, and the El Palito refinery's catalytic cracking unit was stopped due to deteriorating installations." He said the US Energy Department report shows 110,000 BPD fuel imports by PDVSA in June. More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/131008/mesa-alerta-aumento-del-deterioro-de-las-refinerias-de-pdvsa)

Venezuela's oil shipments to India average 400,000 per day
Rafael Ramírez, head of PDVSA and Minister for Petroleum and Mining says working groups have been set up with Indian investors, in an attempt to boost bilateral oil business. He said oil shipments to India have progressively increased, averaging 400,000 barrels per day so far in 2013. "Venezuela is meeting nearly one third of India's oil demand," Ramirez said. (El Universal, 10-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131007/venezuelas-oil-shipments-to-india-average-400000-per-day)

GAZPROM NEFT is staying in Venezuela, its CEOf Alexander Dyukov said the company would remain at the Junín-6 bloc on the Orinoco Belt due to its high profitability. He added GAZPROM is evaluating the sale offer FROM LUKOIL, Russia’s second oil producer, which wants to pull out of the project. (Veneconomy, 10-06-2013; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=36619&idc=4)

PDVSA forecasts 4 million BPD oil output at the Orinoco Oil Belt by 2014
PDVSA estimates oil output at 4 million barrels per day by December 2014 at the Orinoco Oil Belt, says Rafael Ramírez, president of the company and minister of petroleum and mining.
This would be a 33% increase over current production, which stands at 3 million bpd. Previously, PDVSA had forecast oil output at 3.5 million BPD by 2013, yet in April, the goal was lowered to 3.32 million BPD.
(El Universal, 10-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131007/pdvsa-forecasts-oil-output-at-the-orinoco-oil-belt-at-4-million-by-201)

Two new oil tankers arrived
Ramírez also inspected two oil tankers on Friday: the ”Ayacucho,” the first of four such ships built in China and the Suezmax “Río Arauca.” Both are to be incorporated into the PDVSA fleet. (Veneconomy, 10-06-2013; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=36621&idc=4)

Logistics & Transport

Sugar laden ship remains 47 days at bay
Despite government talk about "economic warfare", Bahamas based "Podlasie" loaded with 33,000 tons of sugar for the state Supply and Agricultural Services Corporation has been at bay at Puerto Cabello for 47 days awaiting dock facilities. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131008/buque-cargado-con-azucar-para-casa-acumula-47-dias-fondeado)

BOLIPUERTOS and DIANCA workers blocked access to docks
Workers from the DIANCA and BOLIPUERTOS state corporations at Puerto Cabello blocked access to docks for two hours in protest over 5 years with no collective bargaining agreement. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Politics

Assembly convenes to debate Special Powers amid challenges on Maduro's nationality
A special session of the National Assembly is scheduled this afternoon during with President Nicolás Maduro will present his request for special powers to deal with corruption as well as what he calls "economic warfare". Such powers require a 3/5th majority vote and Government forces claim they have the 99 votes required, which implies one opposition legislator may switch sides. Maduro has called on his partisans to go with him to the National Assembly to deliver the request for powers. and Assembly President Diosdado Cabello has been saying "the people" are "legislator # 99", which suggests force and intimidation may be used. At the same time, Attorney General Luisa Ortega Díaz has sought to disqualify independent deputy María Mercedes Aranguren, and bring in her substitute for the crucial vote. Aranguren has charged the PSUV government party tried to "buy" her substitute, Carlos Flores. Concurrently, opposition legislators are calling the special powers "another coup", and demanding that Maduro show his birth certificate to dispel doubts as to his nationality amid charges he was born in Colombia and thus barred from being President by the Constitution. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/maduro-reitera-que-ira-este-martes-a-la-an-para-so.aspx#ixzz2h7naWX00; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/131008/unidad-pedira-partida-a-maduro-ante-la-solicitud-de-habilitante; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131008/maduro-quiere-habilitante-para-superar-el-rentismo-petrolero; Confirmado; http://confirmado.com.ve/diputado-99-y-nacionalidad-de-maduro-controversia-parlamentaria-ante-la-habilitante/)

Venezuela, on the path to implosion, expels diplomats
The expulsion of three U.S. diplomats by Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro last week should be taken as one more symptom of the unraveling of the crackpot socialist regime inflicted on the country by the late Hugo Chávez. Maduro, a former bus driver picked by Chavez to replace him as he was dying of cancer, accused Charge D’Affaires Kelly Keiderling and two colleagues of plotting to sabotage the crumbling national electric grid, histrionically shouting “Yankee, go home” for good measure. The charges are ridiculous, but there is logic to their timing. Maduro’s government is besieged by the consequences of 14 years of disastrous economic policies: inflation that has risen above 45%; severe shortages, including of food staples and toilet paper; chronic power outages, including one that turned out lights in 70% of the country last month; and one of the world’s highest rates of violent crime. Two weeks ago the president travelled to China in the hope of extracting a cash loan from one of Venezuela’s biggest oil customers. According to reports in the Venezuelan press, he was turned down. Incredibly, a country that receives U$D 90billion a year in oil revenue lacks the cash to import basic consumer goods. Unwilling or unable to take steps to stabilize the economy, combat the mounting violence in the streets or stop rampant corruption, Maduro has taken to ranting about supposed conspiracies to cause shortages or power outages as well as plots to kill him. He said he had learned of a secret White House meeting at which a plan to destabilize Venezuela was hatched, called “Total Collapse.” Sadly, “total collapse” is where Mr. Maduro’s regime appears to be headed. (The Washington Post Editorial; http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/venezuela-on-the-path-to-implosion-expels-diplomats/2013/10/06/19288850-2b8f-11e3-b139-029811dbb57f_story.htm)

Maduro government backs official arrested with 407,000 Euros in Bulgaria
Venezuela has denied that the official of the National Institute of Sports (IND) arrested last week in Bulgaria for carrying 407,000 undeclared Euros was involved in money laundering. Ovidio Almeida, the arrested official of the IND, attached to the Ministry of Sports, arrived in Bulgaria, allegedly to pay the training costs for several sports delegations in that country. Almeida did not declare the 407,000 Euros (U$D 549,450) as the law provides and Bulgarian authorities detained him, amid media speculation implying that the Venezuelan official was involved in money laundering. (El Universal, 10-07-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/131007/venezuela-stands-up-for-official-arrested-with-407000-euros-in-bulgari)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, April 6, 2012

April 06, 2012

Economics & Finance

Fitch revises Venezuela outlook to negative
Fitch Ratings revised down its sovereign credit outlook for Venezuela to negative on Wednesday, citing a weakening fiscal policy framework. Fitch said the South American country's economy is becoming more vulnerable to commodity price shocks. It affirmed the nation's B-plus rating. Venezuela is rated B-plus with a stable outlook by Standard & Poor's and B2, a notch lower but also stable, by Moody's Investors Service. Venezuela's benchmark 2027 Global bond, already slightly weaker on the day, saw its bid level drop to 87.563, down 0.562 points in price, yielding 10.934 percent. (Reuters, 04-04-2012; http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/04/venezuela-fitch-outlook-idUSL2E8F433K20120404;  http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/04/idUSL2E8F42S220120404;  Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-04/venezuela-s-credit-rating-outlook-cut-to-negative-by-fitch.html)

Analyst: Too soon to say that inflation is diving
According to the Central Bank of Venezuela, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased for the fourth month in a row. However, economist José Guerra, ex manager of economic research at the BCV, feels "it is too early to claim victory." Guerra pointed out that since 2005, prices have shown an upward trend. Therefore, he thinks that results obtained in the past four months can’t be used as an indicator to set a trend. "I am not sure that one can speak of a downward trend. I think it would be wise to wait some months," Guerra said. (El Universal, 04-04-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120404/analyst-too-soon-to-say-that-inflation-is-diving)

Bank of the South constitutive agreement came into effect
The Constitutive agreement of the Bank of the South came into effect last Tuesday, as it has been ratified by five of its seven founding members, according to a statement by the Venezuelan Foreign Ministry. The founding of the Bank of the South was endorsed in December 9th, 2007 by Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Ecuador, Paraguay, Uruguay and Venezuela, with the aim to devise a regional funding agency independent from organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF). (AVN, 04-04-2012; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/bank-south-constitutive-agreement-came-effect)




Commodities

Crude oil output at the Orinoco Oil Belt over 1.6 million
According to Minister of Energy and Mines Rafael Ramírez, "We are currently at a record production level of 1.21 million barrels a day. Everything indicates that our set goal is feasible, like the U$D 5 billion in additional resources that we have to raise production at the Belt". (El Universal, 04-05-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120405/crude-oil-output-at-the-orinoco-oil-belt-over-16-million)

Fitch revises PDVSA's rating outlook to negative
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Petróleos de Venezuela S.A.'s (PDVSA) 'B+' Foreign and Local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) and its 'AAA (ven)' National scale rating. This rating action affects approximately U$D19.5 billion of debt outstanding with a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'. Fitch has also affirmed C.A. La Electricidad de Caracas's (EDC) Foreign and Local currency (IDRs) at 'B+' as well as its National scale long- and short-term ratings of 'AAA (ven)' and 'F-1+ (ven)', respectively. (Reuters, 04-04-2012;

Gazprom Neft to begin Venezuela output later than Deputy PM date
OAO Gazprom Neft (SIBN) will begin output at a joint venture with Petróleos de Venezuela SA in in August, three months later than a target set by the Russian Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin last October. “We have gained all permits and begun drilling,” said Alexander Dyukov, chief executive officer of the oil arm of Russia’s natural-gas export monopoly, on state-run Rossiya 24 television today. “In August we will produce first oil and in the summer of 2013 reach 50,000 barrels a day.” By 2018 production should reach a daily 450,000 barrels, he said. (Bloomberg, 04-04-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-04/gazprom-neft-to-begin-venezuela-output-later-than-deputy-pm-date.html)

Harvest may eye Chinese buyer for PETRODELTA stake, analyst says
Harvest Natural Resources Inc. (HNR), a U.S. oil company with producing assets in Venezuela, may find a Chinese buyer for its stake in the Petrodelta venture, according to Little Bear Research. The “likely acquiror” for Harvest’s 32% stake in PETRODELTA may be China National Offshore Oil Corp or China Petroleum & Chemical Corp, Zachary Prensky, an analyst with Little Bear Research in New York, wrote in a note to clients today. Petróleos de Venezuela SA, the state-owned oil company, has a 60% stake PETRODELTA, located in eastern Venezuela. (Bloomberg, 04-04-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-04/harvest-may-eye-chinese-buyer-for-petrodelta-stake-analyst-says.html)




Politics

Positive results mark President Chavez's recovery
Upon returning to Venezuela on Wednesday night, President Hugo Chavez underscored that positive results have marked his physical recovery and he informed that a second radiotherapy session concluded successfully. "Today (Wednesday) I finished a second radiotherapy session. So far, fortunately, there has not been any adverse reaction to the treatment. The body has assimilated it well and all tests I've gone through have showed positive results of physical recovery," Chavez said. (AVN, 04-05-2012; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/positive-results-mark-president-chavez039s-recovery; The Washington Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/venezuelas-vice-president-says-hugo-chavezs-2nd-radiation-treatment-was-successful/2012/04/04/gIQABBTcvS_story.html; CNN, http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2012/04/05/chavez-returns-to-venezuela-after-radiation-treatment/?iref=allsearch)

Lula shows Chávez interest in visiting Brazil soon
Former Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula Da Silva promised his President Chavez that as soon as his doctors deem it appropriate he would visit Caracas in order to have a meeting with him. The news was provided in a communiqué from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs which said Lula made a phone call to his friend Chávez on Tuesday. (El Universal, 04-05-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120405/chavez-shows-lula-his-interest-in-visiting-brazil-soon)

Friday, February 10, 2012

February 10th, 2012

Economics & Finance

Venezuela still risky for investment
Economist Jesús Casique says the nation remains among the riskiest emerging nations according to daily measurements. This is when country risk for foreign investment is rated by companies such as Moody ´s, Standard & Poor´s, and J.P. Morgan; there is a surcharge on its bonds above the rate paid for US Treasury Bonds. More in Spanish: (Tal Cual, 02-10-2012; http://www.talcualdigital.com/index.html)

Trade Minister admits inflation linked to low production
Trade Minister Edmée Betancourt admitted that production must meet demand in order to reduce inflation. She recently said: “We have not yet managed to balance demand with production and that is why we have inflation”. She added that “we need to produce more”, saying: “Whenever we manage to balance production and demand we will have beaten inflation”. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 02-10-2012 http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120209/admiten-que-inflacion-esta-ligada-a-escasa-produccion)




Commodities

PDVSA had record revenue of U$D128 billion in 2011
Petroleos de Venezuela SA, the state oil company, posted record annual revenue of U$D 127.8 billion in 2011, Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez said. That compares with revenue of U$D 94.9 billion in 2010. The company is using loans to finance its investment plan of about U$D 15 billion a year and pays expenses with cash flow, he said, without providing additional financial results. “When a company like PETROBRAS takes on new debt, everyone is happy,” Ramirez said, referring to Brazil’s state-controlled Petroleo Brasileiro SA. “But they criticize us when we do. We get loans because our company is strong. The China Development Bank, for example, has a very rigorous way of qualifying a company for a loan.” PDVSA’s total debt surged 40% in 2011 from a year earlier to U$D 34.9 billion after issuing more than U$D 10 billion last year in dollar-denominated bonds. (Business Week, 02-10-2012; http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-02-10/venezuela-s-pdvsa-had-record-revenue-of-128-billion-in-2011.html and Reuters, 02-09-2012; http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/02/09/venezuela-pdvsa-idUSL2E8D9AE620120209)

PDVSA Ponzi scheme's US receiver sues to recover U$D 550 million for Venezuela
The US court-appointed receiver responsible for unwinding the asset management companies at the center of a Ponzi scheme involving Venezuelan state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA)'s pension funds in the US has filed 6 lawsuits in US Federal Court seeking U$D 550 million dollars from a host of figures, including PDVSA investment manager Juan Montes for bribery; Venezuelan multi-millionaire Moris Beracha and a host of his companies; and Ponzi schemer Francisco Illarramendi and his partners. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 02-09-2012; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=469516&CategoryId=10717)

Venezuela to increase oil production capacity to satisfy global demand
In view of estimates of rising oil demand worldwide, in excess of 100 million barrels a day, Venezuela is increasing its production capacity to satisfy future market demands, said the Petroleum and Mining minister, Rafael Ramirez.
Government expects to increase production from current three million barrels per day to four million in 2014 and to six million in 2019. (AVN, 02-09-2012; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/98633; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/98648)

By 2015 oil exports to China in 2015 will match current oil shipments to the US
Rafael Ramírez, Venezuela's Minister of Petroleum and Mining and president of state-run oil company Petróleos de Venezuela (Pdvsa) predicted that oil exports to China would be equal to current shipments of Venezuelan oil to the United States. Ramírez commented that PDVSA intends to export one million barrels a day to China in two years. The Asian superpower currently imports 460,000 barrels a day from Venezuela. (El Universal, 02-09-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120209/oil-exports-to-china-in-2015-are-to-match-current-oil-shipments-to-the)

Refinery closing threatens Virgin Islands’ debt, employment
The U.S. Virgin Islands will confront the threat of a debt downgrade when one of the region’s largest oil refineries shuts down this month, doubling joblessness on St. Croix, the archipelago’s poorest island. About 2,000 workers will lose their jobs when the 350,000- barrel-a-day HOVENSA LLC refinery, a partnership of Hess Corp. (HES) and Petroleos de Venezuela SA, closes in mid-February to stem $UD 1.3 billion in losses over the last three years. The decision leaves the Virgin Islands without its biggest private employer and facing a widening budget deficit and higher energy costs as some of its best-paid jobs disappear. (Bloomberg, 02-09-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-09/refinery-closing-threatens-virgin-islands-debt-employment-1-.html)

PDVSA says secures March deadline on Brazil refinery
Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA says it managed to extend until the end of March a deadline to make its contribution to a long-delayed refinery project with Brazil's PETROBRAS. PETROBRAS said on Tuesday that PDVSA had failed to secure a U$D 10 billion loan from Brazil's state-development bank BNDES that it was counting on to pay its 40-percent stake in the Abreu e Lima facility. (Reuters, 02-09-2012; http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/02/09/venezuela-brasil-refinery-idUSL2E8D9BLG20120209; El Universal, 02-07-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120207/pdvsa-fails-to-get-loan-for-pernambuco-refinery)

No problems in Sidetur
Unlike the situation in SIDOR-Guayana, there are no problems with contract workers at Sidetur, located in Barquisimeto’s Industrial Zone II, since they are few (around 20 people) and in charge of maintenance and services and are not “inherent in the company’s productivity,” said Vicente D’ Ángelo, a representative of the Sidetur Socialist Workers’ Union. (Veneconomy, 02-08-2012; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=29349&idc=3)

National Assembly approves agreement between PDVSA and GAZPROM
The National Assembly gave final approval to an agreement between Venezuelan Petroleum Corporation (Corporación Venezolana de Petróleo), a subsidiary of state-run oil company Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), and GAZPROMBANK Latin America Ventures for the creation of a joint venture in the Orinoco Oil Belt. Under the agreement, PDVSA will own 60% of the venture and the Russian oil company will own 40% of the firm. The joint venture comprises an area of 21,236 square miles, in the states of Anzoátegui, Monagas and Guárico. (El Universal, 02-08-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120208/national-assembly-approves-agreement-between-pdvsa-and-gazprom; AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/98510)


International Trade

Trade agreement with Colombia reached, Colombia expects to increase sales to over U$D 2.5 billion
Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos has announced that Colombia and Venezuela reached a trade agreement to take the place of Andean Community rules. Colombia´s Trade Minister Sergio Díaz-Granados added that the final signature on annexes is expected soon, adding that over 91% of items exported by Colombia between 2006 and 2010 will have zero tariffs. Businessmen within the Colombia-Venezuelan Chamber are optimistic and expect to increase exports to Venezuela by U$D 2.5-3 billion, according to Chamber President Magdalena Pardo. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 02-10-2012; http://www.el-nacional.com/ and  El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/colombianos-preven-aumentar-sus-ventas-a-venezuela.aspx)

Venezuela to purchase 20 Brazilian planes
President Hugo Chavez announced he signed an agreement with a representative of the Brazilian Government, Alessandro Teixeira, to purchase 20 airplanes to extend the air connection with Latin America and the Caribbean.
President Chavez said the deal discussed with Teixeira seeks to "ensure the future of Venezuela and the future of Brazil." The President highlighted other important projects reviewed as he said Venezuela is very interested in having Brazil's oil company PETROBRAS work in the Orinoco Oil Belt with the national venture, PDVSA. More in Spanish: (AVN, 02-09-2012; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/98629)

Venezuela and Haiti will cooperate in 12 areas under a three year agreement signed by Haitian President Michel Martelly and Venezuela´s Hugo Chávez. Areas covered by the agreement include agricultural development, irrigation systems, fertilizer production, industrial development, financial cooperation for productive credits, storage for oil byproducts, among others. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 02-10-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120210/venezuela-y-haiti-acuerdan-cooperar-en-12-areas)




Politics

Chavez faces tough challenge in likely foe Henrique Capriles
When Chavez came on the political scene as a trim, 44-year-old former army paratrooper, his fresh face and revolutionary ideas made him a viable alternative to the established order. Now Capriles, who has a wiry athletic build and is 39, is offering a similar break — not only from the aging opposition politicians who came from the two-party system Chavez replaced but also from the president himself. Capriles faces an uphill battle, but polls released late last year showed him closer to the president than any other politician who has challenged Chavez. On Sunday, Capriles is expected to emerge from a field of five opposition leaders in a first-ever primary designed to choose one strong candidate who could end Chavez’s long rule in October’s presidential election, according to the Caracas-based pollster DATANALISIS. The very fact that a primary is taking place — one in which various parties are represented — demonstrates how a once-fractured opposition has united, political analysts say. (Washington Post, 02-07-2012; http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/venezuelas-hugo-chavez-faces-tough-challenge-in-likely-foe-henrique-capriles/2012/02/07/gIQArEVLyQ_story.html)

Election Board will announce primary results when 90% are tallied
Results will be given to the Election Committee of the National Unity Committee. No hour has been set for announcements, but polling stations will close at 4 PM if there are no voters in line. Experts feel it unlikely there will be results before 9 PM Sunday. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 02-10-2012; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Chávez postpones meeting with Brazil's Dilma Rousseff
President Hugo Chavez will not meet this weekend with his Brazilian counterpart Dilma Rousseff, as he had previously announced. He says he will travel to Brazil by the end of March to meet with Dilma Rousseff and promote the bilateral relationship. (El Universal, 02-09-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120209/chavez-postpones-meeting-with-brazils-dilma-rousseff)




The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.