Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Banesco. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Banesco. Show all posts

Thursday, January 11, 2018

January 11, 2018


Logistics & Transport

 
Venezuela to open air bridge with ABC islands for safe return of people

The Venezuelan government has announced that it will re-open the air bridge with the Caribbean islands of Aruba, Curaçao, and Bonaire, collectively known as the ABC Islands, to allow those in the country to return to their respective countries safely. The decision comes after Venezuelan president, Nicolas Maduro, announced suspending all air and sea travel with the ABC islands for 72 hours as a measure against smuggling of the Venezuelan gold, silver, and copper through the islands. Tareck El Aissami, Venezuela's Vice President said in a tweet that a meeting to combat contraband would be arranged with the islands' authorities to discuss the issue. "High-level meeting with the authorities of these islands" will be arranged to come up with "a plan of action to combat the mafias" who steal and smuggle our goods, he wrote. The ABC islands have asked The Netherlands for help, and the Dutch Foreign Ministry issued a statement saying it is “disappointed” it was not formally informed of the blockade and confirmed conversations are under way between both nations. (Curaçao Chronicle: http://curacaochronicle.com/politics/venezuela-to-open-air-bridge-with-abc-islands-for-safe-return-of-people/); and more in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/aruba-curazao-y-bonaire-piden-cooperacion-a-paises-bajos-por-bloqueo-de-venezuela; http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/internacional/holanda-lamenta-cierre-de-fronteras-de-venezuela-con-sus-islas-en-el-caribe; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/holanda-lamento-extension-cierre-fronteras-con-venezuela_683632)

 

Oil & Energy

 
China's debt-ridden GZE taps private refiner for Caribbean project

China’s debt-ridden GUANGDONG ZHENRONG Energy (GZE) has asked a private refining group to join a multi-billion dollar investment in an aging Caribbean oil plant to shore up financing on the deal, said two Chinese executives involved in the matter. The Curacao government last week scrapped a preliminary deal with GZR to operate the century-old Isla refinery, saying the state-controlled commodity trader lacked the financial muscle for the job on its own. Taking over the 335,000 barrels-per-day (bpd) refinery, operated for decades by Venezuela’s cash-strapped state oil firm PDVSA, would give China a foothold in the Caribbean’s second-largest refinery, which has also been a key transfer point for Venezuelan oil heading to Asia. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/china-caribbean-refinery/chinas-debt-ridden-guangdong-zhenrong-taps-private-refiner-for-caribbean-project-idUSL4N1P31CW)

 

Dutch regulators extend time for PDVSA's oil-facility repair review

Dutch authorities on Tuesday agreed to Venezuela’s state-run oil company PDVSA’s request to extend the time needed to demonstrate its financial ability to repair a decaying oil-storage facility on the Caribbean island of Bonaire. The terminal is a key PDVSA facility and its loss would hurt shipments to customers in Asia. In December, Dutch regulator Human Environment and Transport Inspectorate (ILT) told PDVSA unit Bonaire Petroleum Corp (BOPEC) that it must detail a plan to repair deficiencies and provide the necessary financing or face a loss of its operating license. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/bonaire-pdvsa-terminal/dutch-regulators-extend-time-for-pdvsas-oil-facility-repair-review-idUSL4N1P44OQ)

 

Algeria sends more oil to Cuba as Venezuelan supplies fall

Algeria sent 2.1 million barrels of crude oil to Cuba last year and will ship the same amount in 2018, an official at state energy firm SONATRACH said on Wednesday, helping Cuba to offset lower supplies from the island’s closest ally, Venezuela. “We delivered in 2017 three times 700,000 barrels, a total of 2.1 million barrels to Cuba,” Omar Maaliou, SONATRACH’s vice president in charge of trade and marketing, told Reuters. “We will do the same this year, the first 700,000 barrels are about to be delivered.” Saharan Blend light sweet crude is Algeria’s main export grade. Cuba and Algeria have maintained a close relationship in recent years. The island annually imports some US$ 200 million to US$ 300 million of oil products from the African country, including some purchases of naphtha. (Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-algeria-oil-cuba/algeria-sends-more-oil-to-cuba-as-venezuelan-supplies-fall-idUSKBN1EZ28O)

 

No more oil from Venezuela for Haiti

Jude Alix Patrick Salomon, Haiti’s minister of the economy and finance, has revealed that the financial sanctions imposed by the Trump administration against Venezuela, including limiting banking transactions, have resulted in Venezuela no longer sending oil to Haiti since October 2017, because the Bank of the Republic of Haiti is no longer able to make payments in foreign currency. As a result, the PETROCARIBE fund is no longer supplied and Haiti is deprived of this important source of low-rate financing, HaitiLibre reported. This situation now makes things more difficult in Haiti, which must henceforth obtain fuel in the international market and is more exposed to fluctuations in the spot market, while waiting to find a viable alternative, such as long-term fuel orders, which will require guarantees from Haiti. (Caribbean News Now: http://wp.caribbeannewsnow.com/2018/01/10/no-oil-venezuela-haiti-trump/)

 

Commodities

 
Photos of empty grocery shelves show dire situation In Venezuela

Desperate Venezuelans swarmed supermarkets on Saturday in a rare chance to stock up on basic goods amid a spiraling economic crisis that has resulted in widespread poverty and food shortages. Embattled President Nicolás Maduro, who has consistently blamed the nation’s financial woes on low oil prices and a U.S.-led plot to topple his regime, ordered grocery stores to reduce their prices in an effort to fight staggering hyperinflation (Venezuela’s inflation rate reportedly soared to 2,616% in 2017.) The slashed prices prompted mobs of shoppers to flock to the stores, leaving strikingly bare shelves behind. (Huffington Post: https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/venezuela-empty-grocery-shelves-photos_us_5a567751e4b08a1f624afcf6; Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/news/picture/venezuelas-empty-shelves-idUSRTX47AWF)

 

Looted supermarkets halt new product orders

Employees report that Venezuela’s looted supermarkets have halted new product orders. “What you see on shelves is what there is. The stockrooms are empty, and we don’t know when new products will arrive. It will be difficult to replace inventories, we don’t know what will happen”, says one. Another confirmed new purchasing has been paralyzed since authorities are forcing them to sell at prices below those provided by suppliers. Government supervisors continue their daily visits and continue to order price reductions. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/economia/supermercados-supervisados-por-sundde-paralizan-pedidos-proveedores_218122)

 

Economy & Finance

 
Venezuela’s Parliament outlaws Maduro’s cryptocurrency, calls it a “fraud

The Venezuelan Parliament, run by the opposition, voted on Tuesday to declare Nicolas Maduro’s plan to issue an oil-backed cryptocurrency—the Petro—illegal, claiming that it violates the constitution and attempts to mortgage part of the country’s oil reserves. It called the decision “totally null and void.” According to Parliament, the Petro issuance is an attempt by the government to avoid control over public debt operations as set in article 312 of Venezuela’s constitution. While Maduro is recruiting miners for the digital currency, the opposition-led Parliament denounced the cryptocurrency move, called it illegal, and warned potential investors and cryptocurrency market players that the Petro emission is illegal, as is any other obligation by the state of Venezuela backed by oil or other mineral reserves. “This is not a cryptocurrency, this is a forward sale of Venezuelan oil,” legislator Jorge Millan said, as quoted by Reuters. “It is tailor-made for corruption,” Millan added. He said: “We find ourselves before a new kind of fraud, disguised as a solution the (financial) crisis. This incompetent government wants to compensate for lack of oil production with these virtual barrels.” According to digital currency experts, Venezuela’s inability to manage its economy and the Socialist party’s historic lack of respect for private property will deter investors from snapping up Petros.  (Oil Price: https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/Venezuelas-Parliament-Outlaws-Maduros-Cryptocurrency.html; The Coin Telegraph: https://cointelegraph.com/news/venezuela-parliament-calls-presidents-59-bln-petro-cryptocurrency-new-fraud; Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-economy/venezuelas-congress-declares-petro-cryptocurrency-illegal-idUSKBN1EY2H2)

 

… and Petro Superintendent says Venezuela´s “cryptocurrency” allocations to be controlled by regime

Carlos Vargas, the Petro’s Superintendent, says the new “cryptocurrency” cannot be mined and will instead be allocated by the Maduro regime through a bidding system like that used to control normal currency allocations. He claimed over 50,000 have registered for the project. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/economia/carlos-vargas-petro-podra-ser-minado-asignara-por-subastas_218096)

 

Fund managers set to mark down Venezuela bond holdings

Fund managers holding Venezuela government bonds face a day of reckoning after months of waiting for more than half a billion dollars in late interest payments. Since November, investors following guidelines established by the Emerging Markets Traders Association have marked their Venezuela bond holdings to include all the interest they were owed, even though it hadn’t shown up yet. The trade group decided to scratch that rule Monday, and say that beginning today the nation’s debt will trade flat, or without accrued interest. If the coupons are eventually paid, they’ll go to whoever holds the bonds that day. The decision, which followed a week of talks with market participants, comes two months after rating companies deemed Venezuela to be in default. Typically, defaulted bonds begin to trade flat after the grace period on missed debt payments expires. But with President Nicolas Maduro and his allies repeatedly saying the nation would honor its debt -- and with several delayed coupons on bonds issued by the state oil producer eventually making their way to creditors -- the market had given Venezuela the benefit of the doubt. Recently, the government’s gone silent on its bonds, spurring concern it’s selectively defaulting. Those creditors who’d been following EMTA guidelines will now have to write off the accrued interest they’d accounted for on Venezuelan notes from their net asset value. They should also write down any missed coupons they’re entitled to reflect their expected recovery value. By making these changes in January, money managers avoided suffering the loss in their 2017 performance. The recommendation doesn’t apply to debt issued by state-owned Petroleos de Venezuela, which will continue to trade with a payment for accrued and unpaid interest. Another impact from the change may be that Venezuela’s creditors that had patiently waited for their interest payments may now seek to demand immediate repayment of their principal -- a process known as acceleration. Most bonds require holders of just 25% of an outstanding security to agree to do so. “Acceleration becomes the next step -- and a check to see if Venezuela will quickly cough up the money to pay the coupon and halt a potential acceleration,” Russ Dallen, the managing director at Caracas Capital, wrote in a note to clients. “Venezuela’s reaction to the potential acceleration could be the final clarification for still-hopeful bondholders about whether they were actually going to get paid or not.” (Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-09/managers-set-to-mark-down-venezuela-holdings-as-bonds-trade-flat; The Wall Street Journal: https://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2018/01/10/venezuelan-bonds-bake-in-permanent-default/)

 

Venezuela 2020 bond cut to default by S&P

"Venezuela failed to make US$ 45 million in coupon payments for its global bonds due 2020 within the 30-calendar-day grace period," reports global ratings agency S&P. "In line with our criteria for timeliness of payments, we are lowering the issue rating on this bond to 'D' from 'CC'. We are affirming the long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating on Venezuela at 'SD'." On Jan. 9, 2018, S&P Global Ratings lowered its issue rating on the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela's global bond due 2020 to 'D' from 'CC'. At the same time, we affirmed our long- and short-term foreign currency sovereign issuer credit ratings at 'SD/D'. The long- and short-term local currency sovereign credit ratings remain at 'CCC-/C' and are still on CreditWatch with negative implications, where we placed them on Nov. 3, 2017. Other foreign currency senior unsecured debt issues not currently rated 'D' are rated 'CC'.  Our CreditWatch negative listing reflects our opinion that there is a one-in-two chance that Venezuela could default again within the next three months. We could lower specific issue ratings to default ('D') if Venezuela doesn't make its overdue coupon payments before the stated grace period expires, or upon the execution of the announced debt restructuring. (Latin American Herald Tribune: http://laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2448768&CategoryId=10717; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/brief-sp-says-venezuela-global-bond-due/brief-sp-says-venezuela-global-bond-due-in-2020-rating-lowered-to-d-idUSFWN1P40YL)

 

World Bank estimates 4.2% GDP contraction in Venezuela in 2018

The World Bank’s “World Economic Forecast” estimates that Venezuela’s economy will shrink 4.2% this year. It adds that Venezuela had a 11.9% “recession” in 2017, that was “deeper than had been estimated”. In the meantime, Latin America and the Caribbean grew by 0.9%. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/banco-mundial-estima-contraccion-economia-venezolana_683792)

 

Venezuela reports it paid part of its debt to Brazil four months late

Venezuela’s government has paid part of its US$ 262.5 million four-month overdue import debt to Brazil on January 5th, according to official sources. Brazil’s Ministry of Finance reports it is the balance of a debt due in the Q2 2017. (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/economia/venezuela-pago-con-cuatro-meses-de-atraso-parte-de-su-deuda-con-brasil)

 

Cabello claims Maduro regime to buy top private bank BANESCO for US$ 3.5 million

A top Socialist Party official claimed on Wednesday that Venezuela's government is in talks to buy the country's top private bank, BANESCO, for US$ 3.5 million, potentially expanding state control over a banking sector struggling under soaring inflation. Socialist Party Vice President, Lieutenant Diosdado Cabello, said talks would begin this week and that BANESCO President Juan Carlos Escotet had accepted an offer made by the government. "We're going to buy BANESCO, really cheap," said Cabello, who is a member of an all-powerful legislative body called the Constituent Assembly, during his weekly television show. "We want to thank Escotet. ... BANESCO will become part of the public banking system." Reuters was unable to immediately obtain comment from BANESCO or Mr. Escotet. (CNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/10/reuters-america-venezuela-to-buy-top-private-bank-banesco-for-3-point-5-mln-official.html)

 

Politics and International Affairs

 
OP-ED: Scenarios for the future of Venezuela, by Dr. R. Evan Ellis, Research Professor, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College. Scenario 1: Muddling through / Chinese-Russian vassal state; Scenario 2: Transition to more rational authoritarian kleptocracy; Scenario 3: Break and successful reestablishment of order by military; and Scenario 4: Breakdown of order and disintegration into chaos.  It is a testament to the deterioration of the situation in Venezuela that none of the most plausible scenarios are “good news” stories, although some are less undesirable than others. It is incumbent on the United States and its partners in Latin America and the Caribbean not only to work together to plan for what could transpire in Venezuela but also to collaborate that other unfolding tragedies do not degenerate to the same extent. See full report: ATTACHED.

 

Law and order breakdown in parts of inflation-hit Venezuela

Shops and homes have been looted for a second day in the once prosperous town of Ciudad Guayana in north east Venezuela. With inflation at the rate of 2,600% many are struggling to buy food and medicines ... that is if they are on sale in the first place. Anger and frustration have sparked unrest and the National Guard are often too stretched to maintain law and order: At least five food stores were looted over-night and police sources say 20 people have been arrested, but its’ not just the shops which are vulnerable, some home have been struck as well. Erika Garcia tearfully recounted how looters ransacked her food shop and home just 10 minutes after National Guard soldiers who had been patrolling the area withdrew late on Monday night (Euronews: http://www.euronews.com/2018/01/10/law-and-order-breakdown-in-parts-of-inflation-hit-venezuela; Reuters, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-looting/lootings-scattered-protests-hit-venezuelan-industrial-city-idUSKBN1EY2DV)

 

Video report shows 55 National Guard members arrested in mutiny over food

According to a video circulated on Twitter by journalist Daniel Blanco, some 55 members of Venezuela’s National Guard have been arrested – presumably at the Caracas Fuerte Tiuna garrison – after a mutiny demanding food and more benefits. The video – presumably taped inside the barracks – allegedly took place three days ago. More in Spanish: (NTN24: http://www.ntn24.com/noticia/divulgan-video-de-tropa-de-la-guardia-nacional-en-caracas-que-se-niegan-salir-a-la-calle-por-falta-162396)

 

Teen shot dead in food truck looting here

A 19-year-old Venezuelan was shot dead Wednesday when hundreds of people looted trucks carrying flour and chicken in the western city of Guanare, as the oil-rich but impoverished country faces desperate food shortages. According to police and military reports obtained by AFP the unrest began when about 1,000 people looting the trucks started fighting among themselves. Jose Materan, 19, received two gunshot wounds and died in hospital, where three others were being treated for injuries. It was not immediately clear who fired at him. Many of the looters made off with bags of wheat flour or chicken, police said. There have been in the past several days looting and attempted looting in a number of towns and cities nationwide here. Local universities say 30.2% of Venezuelans face poverty and 51.5% extreme poverty while the government puts the figures at 18.3% and 4.4%, respectively. (Channel News Asia: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/teen-shot-dead-in-food-truck-looting-in-venezuela-9851026)

 

Talks to ease Venezuela's crisis set to resume

Talks to ease Venezuela's dire political and economic straits are scheduled to resume Thursday, even as severe food shortages fuel looting and the president and parliament spar anew over access to humanitarian aid. To address Venezuelans' desperation, representatives of Maduro's administration and the opposition coalition Democratic Unity Committee (MUD) plan to meet Thursday in the Dominican Republic for two days of renewed talks. On Friday, they're to be joined by international observers: Danilo Medina, the Dominican Republic's president, as well as officials from Bolivia, Chile, Mexico and Nicaragua. The ruling Social Party's team seeks international recognition of the National Constituent Assembly as well as an end to international economic sanctions that have reduced the debt-ridden country's access to foreign currency. The United States considers the Constituent Assembly – an all-powerful super-body packed with Maduro supporters – to be fraudulently chosen and a threat to the democratically elected National Assembly. Opposition representatives – led by the National Assembly's outgoing president, Julio Borges – want the administration to respect that legislature, permit foreign humanitarian aid, release political prisoners and commit to democratic elections. Maduro, who faces re-election in December, has accused Borges of maligning his administration. Simon Calzadilla, an opposition lawmaker expected this week at the talks in Santo Domingo, said the MUD was negotiating in good faith. "We are waiting for an agreement to be reached for the good of the country, to get out of this crisis," he said in a phone interview with VOA. "… I hope the government understands that its model has failed, that institutions must be restored through a comprehensive agreement that gives good news to all." Calzadilla would not comment on whether the Maduro administration's December 24 release of dozens of prisoners stemmed from negotiations earlier that month. "We have agreed to maintain prudence," he said. Previous rounds of negotiations have left deep fissures in Venezuela's opposition. The talks are opposed by political leaders such as Antonio Ledezma, the former Caracas mayor who in November fled house arrest for exile in Spain. "We hope that no one will recognize the National Constituent Assembly or request the lifting of sanctions against individuals accused of corruption and violating human rights," he said on social media last month. Richard Blanco, a National Assembly lawmaker and head of the opposition group July 16 Fraction, also said last month that he had low expectations for the talks. "There will be no results of any kind here," he predicted. "Nothing will happen at all." (VOA News: https://www.voanews.com/a/talks-to-ease-venezuelan-crisis-set-to-resume/4202199.html)

 

National Assembly president says all laws from ANC are null and void

Omar Barboza, the new President of Venezuela’s legislature, says that no law proclaimed by the pro-regime Constitutional Assembly (ANC) is valid since this is the exclusive right of the legitimate National Assembly. He says: “The Constitutional Assembly is not legal or constitutional, it is simply a political fact because if they approve something, and the government and the Armed Forces – or some parts of the Armed Forces – support them, they are of course a reality we cannot deny exists ---- so when they approve laws they are merely usurping functions, because approving laws is remains with the National Assembly.”  He expressed concern over Venezuela’s economic predicament and supported upcoming talks between the regime and the opposition. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión, http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/politica/omar-barboza-ninguna-ley-que-apruebe-la-asamblea-nacional-constituyente-tiene-validez)

 

Opposition groups to take to the streets again if negotiations fail

Congressman Juan Andrés Mejía, of the Voluntad Popular (VP) opposition party that is headed by jailed leader Leopoldo López, says they will again take to the streets defending the rights of the people if negotiations starting today in the Dominican Republic fail. He said everything indicates “we will not be able to move forward in this alleged negotiation” and blamed the Maduro regime for its failure. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevisión: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/noticias/politica/partido-de-leopoldo-lopez-dice-si-la-negociacion-fracasa-estara-en-la-calle)

 

Regime continues its excessive and arbitrary response to protests

On December 27, the powerful Chavista politician Diosdado Cabello announced the detention of Jonatan Diniz, a Brazilian living in Los Angeles who was visiting Venezuela for a nongovernmental group that he directs, which provides food and aid to people in need. Diniz had been detained, Cabello said, for “belonging to a criminal organization with international reach.” Cabello accused Diniz of using the organization as a “façade” to receive “dollars” and to “finance terrorists.” After Diniz spent nearly 10 days incarcerated at intelligence headquarters in Caracas, the Brazilian Foreign Affairs Ministry was able to negotiate his release and departure from Venezuela. Many others haven’t been so lucky. Since 2014, dozens of political prisoners have been held at the same intelligence offices where Diniz was held, some of them for months on end. A crackdown on dissent between April and July 2017 left dozens of people dead, hundreds injured, and thousands detained. More than 750 civilians have been prosecuted—improperly, in military courts—for offenses including rebellion and treason. Detainees have been systematically abused and in some cases tortured by techniques that include electric shock and asphyxiation. Most of these crimes have gone unpunished. In December, several street protests broke out in Venezuela after the government failed to deliver pernil—a leg of pork traditionally served at Christmas in Venezuela—to Venezuelans with access to boxes with food items subject to government price controls. Officials had promised to include pernil in the boxes, and in a country facing severe shortages of food, this was a valuable opportunity for people to secure protein, which is limited in many Venezuelans’ diet. On December 31, a member of the Bolivarian National Guard who, according to witnesses, was drunk, opened fire without warning on a line of people waiting for the expected rations of pernil, killing an 18-year-old pregnant woman who had stood in line for hours. After the news of the killing went viral, a Bolivarian National guard sergeant was detained in relation to this case. During a protest in Valencia on January 3, 30 people partially closed a road, burned tires in front of a mayor’s office, insulted security agents, and shouted: “Damn Nicolás Maduro!” At the protest, police detained Ronald Cevilla, 25, and Erika Palacios, 41. The charges against them include “instigating hatred”—a crime established in November by the pro-government Constituent Assembly that seized powers from the opposition-led National Assembly in August. The vague and overbroad language of the law imposes prison sentences of up to 20 years for those who “encourage, promote, or incite hatred.” Cevilla and Palacios remain behind bars. No independent institutions remain in Venezuela to act as a check on executive power. Without strong international pressure, 2018 may well be the year in which Venezuela’s government entrenches its repressive powers and the impunity it has enjoyed for terrible abuses. (Human Rights Watch: https://www.hrw.org/news/2018/01/10/why-jonatan-diniz-was-lucky)

 

US and Spain to discuss Venezuela

U.S. Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Thomas A. Shannon is in Madrid to meet with his Spanish counterparts on “matters of common interest”, such as the situation in Venezuela. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/eeuu-espana-abordaran-madrid-situacion-venezuela_683776)

 

U.S. embassy in Venezuela to begin issuing visas again. But who can afford them?

For the first time in more than 18 months, Venezuelans trying to go to the United States for business or pleasure can apply for a visa in Venezuela. In a statement on its website, the U.S. embassy in Caracas said it will begin accepting applications for B-1 and B-2 visas — used for temporary business and tourism travel — starting Jan. 17. Visa services in the South American country have been suspended since May 2016, when Washington and Caracas both ejected diplomats and the embassy said it didn’t have the staff to process visas. An embassy spokesperson Wednesday said the consular office was now almost fully staffed. The move will be a welcome relief for Venezuelans who have been forced to make a grueling overland trek to neighboring Colombia to apply for a visa. Even so, at a cost of US$ 160 per visa application, the price is prohibitive for most Venezuelans. The minimum wage is equal to about US$ 7 a month. The move comes just weeks after Todd Robinson was appointed as the embassy’s chargé, the highest-ranking official absent an ambassador. In a Spanish-language statement, Robinson said the renewed activity “will help support legitimate trips to the United States while we protect our citizens.” (The Miami Herald: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/venezuela/article194007524.html)

 

Economic woes forces women into prostitution to feed children

Sputnik Mundo found out how prostitution helped both women survive the economic crisis that has gripped Venezuela for a fourth year. The fall in oil prices, which forms more than 96% of Venezuela's income, led to the strangulation of the country, with a debt of $150 billion. In such a grim situation, children and families with many children became the most vulnerable segment of society. According to some women, on a “good” day they make US$ 4 or 5. However, it is barely enough for them to make ends meet, as they pay for the rent on a daily basis and also hire a taxi that takes them to the brothel and brings them back home. Apart from the tough economic situation the women are forced to deal with, they face heartbreak and emotional pain as well. In Venezuela there are no laws that explicitly prohibit or permit prostitution. The Ministry of Health does not keep prostitution statistics, and female workers say they feel very helpless. According to police reports, in the center of Caracas alone, there are more than 40 brothels of various categories. (Sputnik News: https://sputniknews.com/latam/201801101060658365-venezuela-women-forced-into-prostitution/)

 

Venezuela's 'butt-lift' boom

Brazil has long had a thriving plastic surgery industry that has fueled countless liposuctions, implants, nips and tucks. But recently, the economic woes of Brazil’s northern neighbor Venezuela are prompting more Brazilians to cross the border for surgery, where cosmetic tweaks are far cheaper. The sudden increase in purchasing power has created a unique opportunity for Francisca Maia Vasconcelos, who has built a business, ferrying patients, mostly from the city of Manaus in Brazil, across the border to the Venezuelan town of Puerto Ordaz, where surgeries are cheaper. Though prices vary, a liposuction, breast and buttock augmentation surgery in Venezuela can cost Brazilians around 10,000 real ($3,098). In Brazil the same procedures can cost closer to 30,000 real. (BBC: http://www.bbc.com/capital/story/20180110-venezuelas-butt-lift-boom)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, July 15, 2014

July 15, 2014

International Trade

Imports into Puerto Cabello:
  • 1,400 tons of chicken from Argentina and Uruguay, for CASA
  • 1,120 tons of powdered milk in 50 vans from Argentina
  • 528 tons of pasta or spaghetti from Dominican Republic, for CASA
  • 306 tons of margarine in 15 vans from Brazil.
 25 ships at are at bay at Puerto Cabello, awaiting dock assignment. 12 are carrying bulk cargo, including 98,000 tons of yellow corn, 90,000 tons of sugar, 27,000 tons of wheat and 27,000 tons of rice. More in Spanish:  (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Veinticinco-buques-esperan-en-la-bahia-portena-2197202/2014/07/15/339085)

Guamache port on Margarita island received 600 tons of food directly upon being incorporation as an international port. Food Minister General Hebert García Plaza, and Air and Water Transport Minister General Luis Graterol said it brings a "savings of 67% in operating costs and rates for merchants, optimizing land routes and easing ferries". More in Spanish: (AVN; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/nueva-esparta-recibi%C3%B3-este-s%C3%A1bado-600-toneladas-alimentos-puerto-guamache)

Government now accounts for 42% of all imports
Public sector imports continue to grow as the government expands food imports by more than U$D 3 billion. The National Statistics Institute reports state imports were 42% in Q1 2013, up from 34.3% at the same time last year. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/compras-del-gobierno-concentraron-42--de-las--impo.aspx#ixzz37RFnXnI1)


Logistics & Transport

UNITED, LUFTHANSA and AEROLINEAS ARGENTINAS cut flights to Venezuela
UNITED announced it will discontinue its daily Caracas-Houston flight starting in September.
In this way, UNITED joined other major US airlines that have reduced their services in Venezuela amidst problems to repatriate their revenue owing to exchange controls. UNITED will operate four weekly Caracas-Houston flights as from September 17. German airline LUFTHANSA will reduce service to Venezuela by 40% starting next month amid an ongoing dispute about repatriation of revenue from ticket sales. Carriers, including American Airlines, Delta and United, have in recent weeks reduced flights to Venezuela over complaints they have not been able to obtain hard currency through the OPEC nation's currency control system. Lufthansa will cut flights to 3 per week from 5 per week as of Aug. 3, citing "operational reasons." AEROLINEAS ARGENTINAS as of Aug. 8 will reduce available seats by 17% and AIR EUROPA of Spain will cut flights to Caracas by 57%. Venezuela requires airlines to sell tickets using the local bolivar currency. But carriers say they are not receiving approval from the exchange control board to convert those earnings into dollars. (The Chicago Tribune; http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/sns-rt-us-venezuela-airlines-20140714,0,4785408.story; El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140712/united-cuts-flights-to-venezuela; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-11/united-airlines-joins-peers-cutting-flights-to-venezuela.html; More in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140714/lufthansa-disminuye-frecuencia-de-vuelos)


Oil & Energy

Venezuela oil price falls as world oil prices moderate
Venezuela's weekly oil basket fell for the second week in a row as oil prices around the world continued to moderate even as crises in Ukraine, Iraq, Syria and Israel simmered. According to figures released by the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, the average price of Venezuelan crude sold by Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) during the week ending July 11 was U4D 96.98, down U$D 2.00 from the previous week's U$D 98.98. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2343613&CategoryId=10717)

Chacón says excess electricity consumption can no longer be subsidized
Electric Energy Minister Jesse Chacón says the government can no longer continue subsidizing excess electricity consumption. Electric rates have been frozen for the past 12 years, making Venezuela's Electricity Corporation (CORPOELEC) non viable as its revenue covers only 33% of its payroll, at best. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/energia/chacon--el-estado-no-seguira-subsidiando-el-consum.aspx#ixzz37RG083C0)

Russia's ROSNEFT agrees to buy WEATHERFORD's Russian, Venezuelan assets
Russia's ROSNEFT, the world's biggest listed oil company by output, has agreed to buy drilling and well-servicing assets of oil and gas service company WEATHERFORD International in Russia and Venezuela, the company said on Sunday. ROSNEFT, which is expanding its own oilfield services unit RN-Burenie, added that it will buy a total of eight WEATHERFORD group companies after all needed approvals are granted. The deal is expected to close before the end of the year. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/13/rosneft-weatherford-deal-idUSL6N0PO0BN20140713; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140714/weatherford-assets-in-venezuela-to-be-transferred-to-rosneft; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-14/rosneft-to-buy-weatherford-drilling-units-in-russia-venezuela.html)

PDVSA Naval owes ESPÍRITO SANTO Bank U$D 173 million, according PDVSA's 2013 financial report, which also shows there is a U$D 43 million trust there for the Simón Bolívar Fund. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=40163&idc=2)

60% of PDVSA’s revenues in 2013 were generated by the sale of 40% share of the National Gold Company [Empresa Nacional Aurífera (ENA)] to the Central Bank (BCV) for U$D 21 billion. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=40155&idc=4)


Commodities

Massive cattle theft reported in Apure state
Some 5,500 head of Brahman cattle have been stolen from cattle raising Hato El Porvenir ranch since 2011.The stolen herd is worth more than VEB 70 million (U$D 11.1) and investors are concerned over the long time it will take to restore livestock in a state that borders with Colombia. Estimated time is more than six years, if provided the proper maintenance Brahman cattle requires. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140712/targeting-productive-lands)


Economy & Finance

Annual inflation now averages 62.1%
Unofficial sources report June inflation was 5.5%, which would bring annual inflation for the past 12 months to 62.1%. Such high inflation has not been reported since the 1994 financial crisis and the 1996 economic adjustment. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Venezuela's inflation is 658% above Latin America's average
Statistics from the IMF and the UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean point to Venezuela as an exception within the region as the bolivar has lost 83% of its value over the past six years. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

MCDONALD'S adjusting accounting to the SICAD II rate (average VEB 50/1 U$D)
Local holders of the MCDONALD'S franchise say they will adjust their bolivar accounting and results from operations in Venezuela to the SICAD II FOREX rate (average VEB 50/U$D 1) due to lack of access to SICAD I currency this year. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140715/mcdonalds-ajustara-sus-cuentas-en-el-pais-a-la-tasa-del-sicad-ii; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/mc-donalds-hara-sus-calculos-contables-a-tasa-sica.aspx)

Business sees negative outlook for the second semester
Business expectations in Venezuela have lowered. As the first half ended with negative figures, the outlook for the second half remains bleak. According to a flash poll conducted by the Venezuelan Confederation of Industries (CONINDUSTRIA), 64% of industrialists expect their activity in the second half will remain unchanged, and 21% estimate it will shrink. The outlook is discouraging, as 61% of respondents said productive activities tumbled in the first half. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140714/entrepreneurs-see-negative-outlook-for-the-second-half)

FITCH Affirms BANESCO USA's IDRs at 'B+/B'
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Long-and Short-term IDRs of Banesco USA (BNSC) at 'B+/B', respectively. The Rating Outlook is Stable. KEY RATING DRIVERS - IDRs, VR BNSC's IDRs are currently constrained by low levels of profitability, its geographic and product concentration to the South Florida CRE market, and exposure to non-domestic credit markets. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/14/fitch-affirms-banesco-usas-idrs-at-b-b-idUSFit70896020140714)


Politics

Istúriz says: "If exchange controls are removed we'll be overthrown"
Hard line Anzoátegui state governor Aristobulo Istúriz says "exchange controls are not an economic policy, in Venezuela exchange controls are a political policy. If we remove exchange controls dollars will be taken out and we will be overthrown. As long as we rule we will have exchange controls." More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/isturiz---si-quitamos-el-control-de-cambio-nos-tum.aspx#ixzz37XC766qH)

Military leader says armed forces do not seek to usurp political areas
Venezuela's main military leader, General Vladimir Padrino says that members of the armed forces have no intention of usurping political areas or becoming political militant. Padrino was responding to criticism for having hailed Hugo Chavez and Nicolás Maduro at a recent military parade. At the same time, he said the provision within the 1961 Constitution barring political activity by the military was "one of its aberrations" and that "all human beings are political animals by excellence". He finally called for "unity among revolutionary forces". Opposition leader Henrique Capriles quickly responded that Padrino is seeking appointment as Minister of Defense. More in Spanish: (Infolatam)

Monsignor Zárate: Dialogue is not meant to leave things unchanged
Secretary General of the Venezuelan Bishops' Conference (CEV), Monsignor Jesús Zárate, asserted that "(government-opposition) dialogue should not aim at cooling things off, leaving things unchanged, in order to bring about serenity and calm which do not lead to real settlement of conflicts or difficulties facing the country."
He stressed the need for both the opposition and the Venezuelan government to show signs of being truly committed to seeking solutions through dialogue.
(El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140714/monsignor-zarate-dialogue-is-not-meant-to-leave-things-unchanged)

Near 1.7 million young Venezuelans neither study nor work
The social and economic reality of young Venezuelans is far away from the government speech. Only 42% out of 7.6 million Venezuelans aged 15-29 years regularly attend a learning center. Another piece of data: 900,000 adolescents aged 15-19 years are out of schooling, that is, they did not finish high school.
This is just one of many indicators arisen from the National Youth Survey 2013 of the Economic and Social Research Institute, Andrés Bello Catholic University (IIES-UCAB) recently released by the project coordinator, Anitza Freitez.
(El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140712/near-17-million-young-venezuelans-neither-study-nor-work)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, December 20, 2013

December 20, 2013

Economics & Finance
Central Bank calls off press conference on November inflation, unofficial sources report it at 3.5%. The Central Bank called off a press conference it had called to report on its November Consumer Price Index. Unofficial sources report inflation is at its highest level since the measurement was established. Experts say it could be up to 3.5%, despite government mandate price reductions. Food prices continue to rise and block efforts to bring the index down. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/banca/extraoficial--inflacion-en-noviembre-fue-de-3-5-.aspx#ixzz2o0ytFYiw; and Noticias 24,  http://www.noticias24.com/venezuela/noticia/214255/ine-revision-de-algunos-indicadores-retraso-la-publicacion-del-indice-de-inflacion-de-noviembre/

Venezuelan Bolivar overvaluation estimated at 54.7%. With the official exchange rate unchanged since February at VEB 6.30 per US dollar and inflation skyrocketing, both US dollars sold by the FOREX authority (CADIVI) and gasoline are the two cheapest items in Venezuela's domestic market. As currency is overvalued items people can buy here for VEB 6.30 are much less than what they can purchase for one US dollar abroad. This boosts imports to increasingly unsustainable levels and impacts public accounts: public expenses continue rising and the government's dollar income falls short of the country's needs. A major currency devaluation is required, and research firm ECOANALÍTICA has constructed an index to measure the Bolivar's overvaluation against the currencies of Venezuela's main trade partners, including the United States, Colombia, Brazil, China and Mexico. The index takes inflation and imports into account and shows that by the end of this year the Bolivar will be overvalued by 54.7% in real terms. The exchange rate required to balance this distortion should be VEB 14.45 per US dollar. (El Universal, 12-19-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131219/venezuelan-bolivar-overvaluation-estimated-at-547)

Analysts believe Venezuela will devalue Bolivar during Q1 2014. Venezuela will make the biggest devaluation of its currency since 2010 by the end of March in an effort to boost revenue and narrow the budget gap, all analysts surveyed by Bloomberg forecast. It will weaken the official bolivar rate 39% to 10.3 per dollar, boosting local currency revenue from each dollar of oil exports, according to the median estimate of 14 analysts surveyed Dec. 11-13. A record gap between the official and black market rate has fueled the world’s fastest inflation. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 12-18-2013; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=1339603&CategoryId=10717)

Ford estimates U$D 350 million in losses due to devaluation in Venezuela. Ford Motor Co. is worried about Venezuela's economy and its impact on regional results. The auto manufacturer estimates that political and financial volatility will make it lose U$D 350 million here in 2014, Efe reported. Ford's CFO Bob Shanks put Venezuela as the second element that will have an adverse effect on corporate results. "The environment in Venezuela is volatile, increasingly difficult and unpredictable for companies." The company lowered its regional economic estimates for the last quarter of 2014 due to hindrances in its Venezuelan operations, and estimates U$D 350 million in potential losses. (El Universal, 12-19-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131219/ford-estimates-usd-350-million-in-losses-out-of-devaluation-in-venezue)

215% rise in debt service aggravates FOREX scarcity.  Venezuela's Government increased its foreign debt by 108% from 2008 to 2012, from U$D 50.909 billion to U$D 105.779 billion, and the load has started to impact national accounts. An important part of outstanding bonds came due this year, on top of interest payments; as a consequence the amount the Central Bank takes from international reserves to service these debts is rising steadily. According to official data the Central Bank disbursed U$D 5.804 billion in debt service during the first three quarters of 2013, a 215% from the same period in 2012. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131220/alza-de-215-en-el-servicio-de-la-deuda-agrava-escasez-de-divisas)

Government claims November unemployment rate at 6.6%. Venezuela's unemployment rate stood at 6.6% in November according to the National Statistics Institute (INE). This reflects a 0.2% increase from November 2012. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131218/unemployment-rate-at-66-in-november-in-venezuela)

Venezuelan bank to buy Spain’s NCG after bailout. Venezuela’s BANESCO Group will acquire control of NCG Banco SA for 1 billion Euros (U$D 1.37 billion) as Spain lines up buyers for banks rescued under last year’s European-funded bailout. Through its Spanish Banco Etcheverria unit, BANESCO, controlled by billionaire Juan Carlos Escotet, will also buy two portfolios of written-off loans, Spain’s bank rescue fund said in an e-mailed statement yesterday. Etcheverria said in its own statement that its bid didn’t include any request for state aid. NCG Banco faces potential losses of 1 billion Euros ($1.38 billion) that are not covered by provisions, a source at bank restructuring fund FROB said. The sale of 88.3% of NCG Banco to BANESCO is a step forward for Spain as it seeks buyers for lenders nationalized under the 41 billion-euro bailout that prevented mounting losses at savings banks from overwhelming government finances. NCG Banco has 57 billion Euros of assets and 672 branches, and was formed from a merger of savings banks in the region of Galicia. It needed 9.1 billion Euros of aid to replenish its capital. BANESCO will pay 40% of the price when the sale closes and the rest in stages through 2018. (Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-12-18/banesco-to-buy-nationalized-spanish-lender-ncg-for-eu1-billion.html; Reuters, 12-19-2013; http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/19/spain-ncg-idUSE8N0FI01W20131219; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=1339044&CategoryId=10717)

Oil & Energy
Venezuela considers fuel price rise in three-year plan. President Nicolas Maduro says he is contemplating a three-year period to raise domestic fuel prices, a sensitive issue for Venezuela where a similar move helped spark deadly 1989 riots. "Without a doubt, we have to correct a distortion," Maduro said of Venezuela's highly-subsidized gasoline that, at less than $0.02 per liter, is the cheapest in the world. "(There is) a three-year plan to adjust the prices of hydrocarbons in the internal market ... We'll do it fairly at the right time, not right now, not in January, not rushing," Maduro said at an unusual meeting with opposition politicians. (Reuters, 12-18-2013; http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/19/venezuela-gasoline-idUSL2N0JY01X20131219; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-12-19/venezuela-may-phase-in-gasoline-price-increases-over-three-years.html; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131218/opposition-alliance-questions-maduros-plan-to-increase-gasoline-price; Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/12/18/venezuela-president-wants-to-hike-world-cheapest-gas-price-unchanged-for-nearly/)

S&P lowers rating on CITGO Petroleum to ‘B’ and CORPOELEC to ‘B-’. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services said on Tuesday it lowered its long-term corporate credit on CITGO Petroleum Corp. to ‘B’ from ‘B+’. At the same time, the agency lowered its senior secured debt ratings on CITGO to ‘BB-’ from ‘BB’. The senior secured recovery rating of ‘1’ is unchanged. The outlook remains negative. The rating action on CITGO follows the downgrade of PDVSA to ‘B-’ from ‘B’. S&P bases its downgrade on the application of Group Ratings Methodology and its assessment of CITGO as an insulated subsidiary to its Venezuelan parent, PDVSA. The agency assesses the group credit profile of PDVSA at ‘b-’, in line with its corporate credit rating on PDVSA. S&P believes the facts and circumstances warrant CITGO being rated one notch above PDVSA. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services lowered its long-term corporate credit and senior unsecured debt ratings on Corporacion Electrica Nacional, S.A. (CORPOELEC) to ‘B-’ from ‘B’. The outlook remains negative. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 12-18-2013; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=1339545&CategoryId=10717; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=1339473&CategoryId=10717)

PDVSA awards tenders for fuel components to India, Russia firms. State-run Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) awarded a tender to import up to 2.88 million barrels of alkylate from Indian refiner Reliance and another one to buy up to 8.64 million barrels of MTBE from Russian oil company LUKOIL, traders told Reuters. The tenders, launched by PDVSA in late November to buy its annual supply of components for motor gasoline and intermediate fuels for mixing with heavy crudes, guarantees some 42,000 barrel per day (bpd) of products that the company will use during 2014. The price agreed by PDVSA and Reliance for the alkylate is 23-30 cents per gallon over the U.S. Gulf Coast waterborne price, one of the traders said. (Reuters, 12-19-2013; http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/19/oil-venezuela-india-idUSL2N0JY1DE20131219)

Commodities
Central bank, PDVSA establishes gold joint venture. The Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) and state oil company PDVSA has established a joint venture to engage in the gold business in an attempt to stop smuggling. PDVSA will hold 60%. Rafael Ramírez, Vice President for Economic Affairs has said the Central Bank of Venezuela will buy all gold output from miners at the rate set by the Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD). (El Universal: http://english.eluniversal.com/economia/131217/central-bank-pdvsa-establish-joint-venture-engaged-in-gold-business)

SIDOR back to work after 32 day strike. Venezuela's main steel industry, SIDOR, is back in operation following a 32 day strike by workers over benefit payments. An agreement was reached with Guayana Corporation Vice President Heber Aguilar, who is now in Caracas reviewing demands with government analysts. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/sidor-se-reactiva-tras-32-dias-de-huelga.aspx#ixzz2o0ybMryQ; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131220/trabajadores-reanudan-operaciones-en-sidor)

International Trade
Paraguayan Congress okays Venezuela's entry into MERCOSUR. Paraguay's Congress has given a green light to Venezuela's entry into the Common Market of the South (MERCOSUR). The move also marks Paraguay's comeback to the South American trade bloc and redirects the relations among its members for them to make headway with their talks with the European Union, thus overcoming the "legal impediment" argued by the government of Conservative President Horacio Cartes, Reuters reported. (El Universal, 12-18-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131218/paraguayan-congress-okays-venezuelas-entry-into-mercosur)

Swiss holding sells 10 Dornier airplanes to Venezuela. Swiss armament and aeronautic holding RUAG has sold ten Dornier-228 airplanes to Venezuela. The amount of the deal was not disclosed. A spokesperson for the group said that it was "at the higher level" of a two-digit amount in terms of millions. Eight new Dornier 228 and two secondhand Dornier 228-12 airliners are included in the purchase order, RUAG specified. (El Universal, 12-19-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131218/swiss-holding-sells-10-dornier-airplanes-to-venezuela)

Logistics & Transport
Container arrivals at ports have dropped by 70%. There has been a sharp decline in the number of containers arriving at Venezuelan ports over the past two months as a consequence of limited access to FOREX with the government holding back permits, in addition to an "economic offensive" forcing stores to reduce prices  in store. Sources close to shippers operating at Puerto Cabello have confirmed a 70% drop in container movement in November and December, except for priority areas such as food, medicines and spare parts for vehicles or Xmas holiday items. José Manuel Rodríguez, president of the Puerto Cabello Chamber of Commerce says up to 75% of imports are bulk loads, foods like wheat, soybeans, sorghum or sugar, and the overall load has sharply diminished. "Many people decided not to make their purchases and others chose to leave their goods in Panama, waiting for the situation to stabilize the country, as they are forced to sell at a loss. They feel distrust and refrain from bringing merchandise". (Notitarde, 12-18-2013; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Hasta-70-ha-caido-llegada-de-contenedores-a-puertos-2067876/2013/12/17/290648)

American Airlines runs out of tickets for Xmas season. American Airlines reports it has run out of tickets to and from Venezuela during the Xmas season, and is deny ling local media reports that it has suspended ticket sales here. American Airlines and other international carriers operating in Venezuela have over U$D 2 billion in backed up debt pending with the FOREX authority (CADIVI). More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/american-airlines-se-queda-sin-boletos-en-temporad.aspx#ixzz2o0xh4MV9; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/131220/pasajes-aereos-estan-agotados-hasta-agosto-del-proximo-ano)

Politics
Maduro holds rare dialogue with opponents. President Nicolas Maduro held a rare meeting with opponents on Wednesday, challenging them to collect signatures to oust him in 2016 if they wanted but to work with him in the meantime. Maduro invited opposition mayors and governors to the presidential palace in an attempt to draw a line after four bitterly fought elections in Venezuela in little over a year. "I respect all your political positions," said the 51-year-old former union activist, urging them to join government anti-poverty projects in the OPEC nation of 29 million people. "In the spirit of Christmas, we can turn over a new page," he added. "Our differences will remain, but I urge you to work." Before the meeting, Maduro shook hands with high-profile. While Maduro spoke of a fresh start between bitterly opposed political factions and listened attentively to his opponents, many will remember how his mentor, Chavez, skillfully interspersed rapprochements and attacks to outwit his foes. The president's opponents sat stone-faced through Maduro's opening speech at the meeting but then did not hold back when allowed to give ripostes. The opposition's main leader, Miranda state Governor Henrique Capriles, chose not to attend, saying he did not oppose dialogue but felt the government was imposing conditions, and complained about the government's undermining of local authorities in opposition hands by creating parallel bodies. In various opposition-controlled areas, the government has named alternative "protectors" and organizations funded by the state. Caracas Mayor Antonio Ledezma urged Maduro to consider an amnesty for jailed opponents. (AVN, 12-19-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/opposition-mayors-called-join-national-government-projects; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/131218/president-maduro-meets-with-opposition-governors-and-mayors-in-miraflo; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/19/venezuela-maduro-idUSL2N0JY01R20131219)

Capriles: Time will tell if government-opposition dialogue has started. Opposition leader and governor of Miranda state Henrique Capriles referred to the meeting by President Nicolás Maduro and the newly elected opposition mayors by saying he believes in dialogue and supports any initiative in that direction. "The country needs dialogue and yesterday we showed that we're willing to talk under the Constitution. Time and facts will say if yesterday's meeting with mayors is the beginning of the dialogue the country is calling for." (El Universal, 12-19-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/131219/capriles-time-will-tell-if-government-opposition-dialogue-has-started)

CIPE Blog: The Private Sector and the Future of Venezuela. The big question after election results is whether the government will feel secure enough to open meaningful talks with the private sector seeking support for measures that must be taken in a very short term. These include devaluation of the currency, loosening of exchange controls, and support for investment, particularly in the oil sector. The private sector has reached out to the government in this respect, as witnessed by its recent press release regarding economic reform. Should this be the case, the economy will start to stabilize. However, if the more radical elements in the government continue to control the agenda and are successful in taking further steps towards eliminating private property and continuing the country’s path toward a communist economy then the potential for economic chaos and political/social confrontation will be very high. (CIPE)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.