Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Electric system. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Electric system. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

April 23, 2013


Economics & Finance

Central bank's Merentes named new Finance Minister
President Nicolas Maduro has replaced Venezuelan Finance Minister Jorge Giordani, appointing central bank chief Nelson Merentes in his place two days after being sworn in as the late Hugo Chavez's successor. It will be the third stint as finance minister for Merentes, a mathematician by training who is seen as a more pragmatic economist than his ideologically driven counterpart Giordani, a Marxist academic who was nicknamed "the Monk." "I've great faith in Nelson Merentes. We've known each other for many years," Maduro said. In his speech, he also confirmed Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez, Defense Minister Diego Molero, Foreign Minister Elias Jaua and Vice President Jorge Arreaza in their current roles. (Reuters, 04-22-2013; http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/04/22/us-venezuela-election-merentes-idUSBRE93L01S20130422; El Universal, 04-22-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130422/venezuela-reshuffles-nine-economy-related-ministries; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-22/venezuela-s-maduro-names-merentes-as-finance-head-in-new-cabinet.html; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=756368&CategoryId=10717; The Washington Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/shortly-after-narrow-election-victory-venezuelas-nicolas-maduro-shuffles-cabinet/2013/04/22/e9a98cd6-ab29-11e2-9493-2ff3bf26c4b4_story.html)

Edmée Betancourt nominated as Central Bank President
President Nicolás Maduro Moros is nominating former Trade Minister Edmée Betancourt to be President of the Central Bank, replacing Nelson Merentes. Her nomination will go to the National Assembly for approval. More in Spanish: (AVN, 04-23-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/ejecutivo-propone-edm%C3%A9e-betancourt-como-presidenta-del-bcv; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130423/proponen-a-edmee-betancourt-para-presidir-el-banco-central; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Actualidad/Noticias/Maduro-designa-a-Edmee-Betancourt-como-presidenta-.aspx)

Increase in FOREX supply is expected
Financial circles see the return of Nelson Merentes to the Finance Ministry, replacing Jorge Giordani, as a sign that the Maduro regime will make more FOREX available to grow the economy and stave off inflation. Giordani has radicalized the system over the past three months, attacking "consumerism" through diminished FOREX supply. The result has been a sizeable increase in the black market rate, inflation, and an abrupt increase in scarcities. More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130423/esperan-mayor-oferta-de-divisas-con-merentes-en-finanzas)



Commodities

Venezuelan oil basket plummets to U$D 96.51
The Venezuelan oil basket plunged (U$D 4.96) last week and ended at U$D 96.51 per barrel, according to the Ministry of Petroleum and Mining. As a result, the oil basket average annual price is now U$D 103.14 per barrel. (El Universal, 04-22-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130422/venezuelan-oil-basket-plummets-stands-at-usd-9651)

Military men will run the electric system
President Nicolás Maduro has announced the national electric system is to be a "national security service" and has named General Wilmer Barrientos to supervise the entire grid. He also named former Lieutenant Jesse Chacón as Minister for Electric Affairs. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 04-23-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/130423/disciplina-militar-para-el-sistema-electrico)

Union demands an end to land takeovers at SMURFIT
Luis Zerpa, President of the Forest Workers Union at SMURFIT KAPPA Cartón de Venezuela, which has been run by the Government since September 2011, is leading a group of over 50 union members protesting at the National Land Institute (INTI) to demand an end to land invasions at their installations. Zerpa says their work has been hindered by informal land takeovers and they fear for their jobs. More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120510/exigen-al-inti-solucion-a-invasiones-de-tierras-en-smurfit)



Politics

Poll audit stalls
Disagreements by Election Board members and a lack of information paralyzed the beginning of the auditing process on 46% of the polling stations that operated during the April 14th elections. Audits were scheduled to start yesterday (April 22). Ramón José Medina, spokesman for the opposition in this matter, has demanded a formal written response by the Board to all technical issues raised. "We will not accept a fake or partial audit. It must take place under technical rules. Results are not irreversible; this is precisely what the audit is about". Earlier, Election Council Vice President Sandra Oblitas threw the process into confusion by claiming the scheduled audit isn't about "reversing" the outcome and warning against "false expectations." She added that only the Supreme Court can change the outcome. At the same time, Council member Tania D'Amelio says the Council has not yet received any request to contest election results, and that there is nothing to sustain a claim of fraud. She said the election must be contested within 15 days after the President-elect is proclaimed by the Council, which is May 10th. In order to contest election results the claim must name specific cases, providing full details: stations, voting tables and poll log where a fraud is suspected. Finally, Council member Socorro Hernández says a timetable for audits is being set up and that the starting date will be announced on April 28th at the latest. (Fox News, 04-20-2013; http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/04/20/venezuela-election-official-offers-confusing-prognosis-for-audit/#ixzz2REqmB5TW; AVN, 04-22-2013; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/election-results-contests-not-received-so-far; and more in Spanish: El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130423/no-vamos-a-participar-en-una-auditoria-chucuta)

Henrique Capriles does not rule out repeating election
Opposition Presidential candidate Henrique Capriles hopes for the best scenario: a repetition of elections in the short term. He believes this would be the inevitable result an electoral audit to be conducted this week on 46% of the ballot boxes not audited on April 14 after the presidential vote. When asked what, in his view, would be the results of the audit, Capriles replied that "an election re-run" would be necessary. He added that, under the law, the vote has to be repeated when irregularities are found. According to Capriles, the election would be repeated at least partially, but the number of voters involved would be large enough "not only to close the gap, but to give us the victory." (El Universal, 04-22-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130422/henrique-capriles-does-not-rule-out-election-re-run)

"In the matter of an audit, some countries defend the status quo"
Opposition leader Henrique Capriles rejected meddling by Argentine President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in Venezuelan affairs and says she interferes in domestic affairs as "if she were part of the Chavista government."
Capriles says he is troubled by the position "some presidents" have taken regarding the audit requested on election results, according to which ruling party candidate Nicolás Maduro won the presidential vote held on April 14, DPA informed. (El Universal, 04-22-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130422/stance-of-some-countries-about-audit-is-in-defense-of-status-quo)

Jaua warns the US against imposing sanctions
Venezuela threatened on Monday to take measures affecting energy and trade if the United States resorts to sanctions in a row over the disputed presidential election in Caracas earlier this month. "If the United States takes recourse to economic sanctions, or sanctions of any other kind, we will take measures of a commercial, energy, economic and political order that we consider necessary," Foreign Minister Elias Jaua warned in a television interview. US Assistant Secretary of State Roberta Jacobson was reported over the weekend to have urged a recount in order to give the public confidence in the outcome, which has been challenged by opposition candidate Henrique Capriles. Asked whether the United States would impose sanctions if Venezuela refused to recount the votes, Jacobson said she could not say one way or another, according to CNN en Español. (El Universal, 04-22-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130422/venezuela-cautions-the-us-against-sanctions and AFP, http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/venezuela-threatens-oil-trade-measures-i/647850.html)

NGO complains about "serious" attacks on detainees for political reasons
NGO Foro Penal Venezolano (Venezuelan Penal Forum) has collected documentary evidence to file a complaint with local and international organizations over "serious and systematic" violations of due process and human rights abuses against minors and youngsters captured for exercising their right to protest. NGO Director Alfredo Romero says there were attacks and torture, including degrading treatment –unprecedented action in the country- and pellets fired at point-blank at areas such as faces and arms. (El Universal, 04-22-2013; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/130422/ngo-complains-about-serious-attacks-on-detainees-for-political-reasons)

Paraguay millionaire president-elect speaks highly of Venezuela
Paraguay’s president-elect, Horacio Cartes, said Monday that he’ll urge Congress to approve Venezuela’s entry into Mercosur. A millionaire businessman, Cartes said he transferred his interests in his dozens of companies before the campaign began to avoid conflicts of interests after he takes office Aug. 15. (The Washington Post, 04-21-2013; http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/paraguayans-elect-tobacco-magnate-horacio-cartes-returning-colorado-party-to-presidency/2013/04/21/9d9b7c9e-aae5-11e2-9493-2ff3bf26c4b4_story.html)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, June 1, 2012

June 01st, 2012


Economics & Finance

JP Morgan projects Venezuela's economy to stall in 2013, inflation to reach 36%
JP Morgan foresees increased stagnation in Venezuela's economy in 2013. It estimates there will be zero growth in the production of goods and services, and inflation will accelerate to 36%. Spending is projected to drop from 7.9% to 2.3% in 2013. The report says 2012 growth, estimated to reach 5.5% by the end of the year, with 25% inflation, is "temporary, based on fiscal stimulation". More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 06-01-2012; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Increased public debt absorbs excess bank liquidity
Massive growth in public indebtedness aimed at increasing spending and accelerating consumption has reached U$D 11.85 during the first four months of 2012 through the sale of bonds and Treasury bills to banks. Last January the banking system was U$D 11.65 billion above and beyond reserves required by the Central Bank. By April this amount was down to U$D 6.36 billion. (El Universal, 05-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120530/debt-issue-chops-excessive-liquidity-in-banks)

U$D 2.32 billion bond issued to fund housing plan
The Central Bank has called on banks to buy certificates due in 2015 for VEB 10 billion (U$D 2.32 billion at the official exchange rate of VEB 4.30 per US dollar), with an interest rate of 3.75%. (El Universal, 05-31-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120531/venezuela-issues-usd-232-billion-in-bonds-to-fund-housing-plan)

Anti-Monopoly Law being drafted
The National Assembly is considering a law to ban "monopolies, oligopolies and unfair competition" in "strategic products and connected activities". The draft exempts state owned companies from regulation. (El Universal, 05-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120530/congress-subcommittee-approves-venezuelan-draft-antitrust-law)

IMD calls Venezuela least competitive nation, worse than Greece
Venezuela was the only nation to score worse than Greece in an annual survey of global competitiveness by the IMD business school. Venezuela placed last among the 59 countries because of the absence of “an effective legal environment” and lack of “competency in government,” according to IMD, which is based in Lausanne, Switzerland. Greece ranked 58th, scoring lowest in executives’ perceptions of “competency of government” and “research and development” culture. (Bloomberg, 05-30-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-30/venezuela-beats-greece-as-least-competitive-nation-imd-says.html)




Commodities

Oil prices trend down
NYMEX reports Texas oil dropped 1.46% to U$D 86.53 at the end of May, for an total decrease of 17.4%, the lowest since last October. London markets showed Brent below U$D 100 for the first time in 8 months, due to China industrial figures, fears about Spain and gloomy US indicators. The OPEC reference price dropped to U$D 101.06 per barrel. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-01-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120601/precio-del-petroleo-en-nueva-york-cayo-17-en-mayo; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/petroleo/industria/el-barril-de-brent-bajo-los-100-dolares-por-primer.aspx; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/petroleo/industria/precio-de-cesta-referencial-opep-cae-a-$101,06-el-.aspx)

Q1 sale of oil and related products to US drops 13.6%
According to data from the US Department of Energy there has been a significant drop in Venezuelan oil exports to the US during 2012. Sales averaged 888,000 bpd during the first quarter, a drop of 13.6% from the same period last year. A sharp drop took place in January and February. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 06-01-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120601/cayo-136-la-venta-de-crudo-y-derivados-a-eeuu-entre-enero-y-marzo)

PDVSA offers jet fuel cargo - trade
State oil company PDVSA has offered a jet fuel cargo in the spot market as part of its regular monthly oil product exports, traders said on Wednesday. The company is offering 240,000 barrels of jet fuel, though no other details including loading date and tender closing date have yet been given, one of the traders said. (Reuters, 05-30-2012; http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/30/venezuela-jet-export-idUSL4E8GU4UK20120530; El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120530/pdvsa-offers-fuel-to-singapore)

PDVSA owes U$D 26.7 million on its commitments to fund social programs in the United States, undertaken by CITGO, its US subsidiary. Most of the debt is due to delays in supplies that should have been provided to the Fuel for Heating program that supplies subsidized fuel to poor and Native American homes in the United States. (Veneconomy, 05-31-2012; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=30731&idc=4)

U$D 849.3 million assigned to bolster petrochemical industry
During his recent televised Cabinet meeting, President Chavez expenditures up to U$D 849.3 million to fund projects aimed at funding a dozen projects in the government owned petrochemical industry, among them a urea plant in Moron (Carabobo state) and the conclusion of a maritime terminal being built by a Chinese company. More in Spanish: (Ultimas Noticias, 05-31-2012; http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/aprobaron-un-realero-para-impulsar-la-petroquimica.aspx)

Electric system reports losses up to 30% due to theft
According to a report by the Electric Energy Ministry, the electric system is hit by "non technical losses of up to 30% of electricity that is generated and not paid for". The term refers to practices known as "stealing energy" which, if collected, would add up to 4,000-5,000 billion VEB per year. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 05-31-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120531/a-30-llegan-las-perdidas-por-hurto-electrico)




Politics

Dan Rather reports Chavez "in last stage"
Uncertainty about President Chavez's illness has as prominent US journalist Dan Rather reports that a source close to the President is suffering from "rhabdomyosarcoma metasthasis" that has gone into its "final stage". The source also said inner government circles are deeply worried that Chavez has "only a few months" left to live after repeated visits to Cuba for chemo and radiotherapy sessions. More in Spanish: (Tal Cual, 05-31-2012; http://www.talcualdigital.com/index.html)

Chavez insists he will run, calls for power to remain in his hands
In a staged televised Cabinet meeting this week, President Chavez confirmed he will run in the October 7th national election and called on voters to keep him in office for another six years. More in Spanish: (Tal Cual, 05-31-2012; http://www.talcualdigital.com/index.html)







The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.