Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Chile. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chile. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

March 20, 2012

Economics & Finance

Ministry of Trade says the investment environment in Venezuela are discouraging
Conditions for investing in Venezuela are uncertain. The 2011 Report by the Ministry of Trade, mentions uncertainty as one of the "hurdles" in its chapter referring to the Foreign Investment Superintendence (SIEX). "Uncertainty regarding existing investment opportunities," according to the report, which adds: "Regulations are anachronistic and run counter to the new socio-productive framework." (El Universal, 03-19-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120319/discouraging-investment-environment-in-venezuela)

Public debt rose from 18.45% to 25.2% of GDP in one year
The annual report submitted by the Central Bank (BCV) to the National Assembly, shows that the size of the total public debt (not including PDVSA’s) went from 18.4% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2010 to 25.2% at the end of last year. Venezuelan officials insist public indebtedness is perfectly manageable. (Veneconomy, 03-19-2012; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=29841&idc=2)

Finance Ministry charges that the private sector is not committed to socialism
Planning and Finance Ministry Report for 2011 says the private sector is not following the socialist model, which is being promoted since 2007, adding that an obstacle to its plans was "lack of commitment from the private sector to take the initiative taken by the Executive for implementation socialist productive model." It also says that in 2012 it will be necessary to "promote the companies implementing the socialist system, which would optimize fiscal policy actions implemented by the Ministry of Finance". More in Spanish: (El Universal, 03-19-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120319/finanzas-cuestiona-a-los-privados-por-no-ajustarse-al-socialismo)




Commodities

Oil reserves total 2.1 billion barrels
The Ministry of Petroleum and Mining reports that 2.1 billion barrels to oil proven reserves have been added as of December 31, 2011. Most of the reserves, 1.2 billion barrels, are located in the country traditional areas, and in existent offshore condensates Cardón IV, Campo Perla in Falcón state, and Marshal Sucre Project. The remaining 984,000 barrels are located at Orinoco Oil Belt. (El Universal, 03-19-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120319/venezuelas-oil-reserves-total-21-billion-barrels)

Domestic oil basket rises to U$D 116.53
The average price of the Venezuelan oil basket gained U$D 71 cents during the week from March 12 to 16, to U$D 116.53, according to the Ministry of Petroleum and Mining (Menpet), which added that the average price of Venezuela's oil basket amounts to U$D 111.15 year to date. (El Universal, 03-16-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120316/domestic-oil-basket-rises-to-usd-11653)

ALCASA expects to begin exporting aluminum again
ALCASA expects to recover exporting capacity this year thanks to a credit from China, says company president Angel Marcano. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, 03-20-2012; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/petroleo/mineria/alcasa-espera-retomar-exportacion-aluminio-con-cre.aspx)

Government agencies supply a 62.6% market share of basic foods
The Government has become the main distributor and supplier of basic foodstuff such as rice, coffee, cooking oil, cornmeal, powdered milk, sugar, beans, tuna, beef and others, through agencies such as MERCAL, PDVAL and the Bicentenario supermarket chain. It has also become the key supplier of imported staples for the private sector since for the past three years it is the only authorized buyer abroad for rice, white corn, coffee, crude sugar, certain oils, chicken, cattle and frozen beef. According to the annual report of the Nourishment Ministry the total national demand for food is estimated at 6 million tons, and the Government supplies over 3.75 million tons. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 03-20-2012; http://www.el-nacional.com/)




Politics

Chavez home in a week facing more cancer therapy
President Hugo Chavez sang, danced with his daughter and vowed on Saturday to win a presidential election this year, a day after returning from what he said was a successful operation to remove a second tumor. "The beating we're going to give the Venezuelan right will be memorable ... not just in the history of Venezuela but in almost all the world," he told thousands of red-clad, ecstatic supporters gathered outside the presidential palace. But so little is known about his health - even what type of cancer he is suffering from has not been revealed - that big doubts remain over whether the normally energetic Chavez will be able to campaign ahead of the October 7 vote. Chavez said on Saturday he will undergo radiation therapy in the coming days, but it is unclear whether that will take place in Caracas or back in Havana. (Reuters, 03-17-2012; http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/17/us-venezuela-chavez-idUSBRE82G0EB20120317)

Chile slams the murder of consul's daughter
The Chilean government "strenuously" condemned on Sunday the killing last Saturday of Karen Berendique, the daughter of the ad-honorem Chilean consul to Maracaibo, the capital city of western Zulia state, presumably by police agents. In a press release the Chilean Foreign Ministry requested "clarification of the events as soon as possible" and expressed its sympathy to the family, Efe quoted. The Chilean Foreign Office fingered members of the Scientific, Criminal and Forensic Investigation Agency (CICPC) as suspects for the shooting. The Interior Ministry confirmed the capture of 12 CICPC agents "involved in this irregular practice." (El Universal, 03-19-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120319/chile-slams-the-murder-of-consuls-daughter)

UN starts Guyana assessment application
The UN Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf has begun its 29th session, scheduled to run through to April 27, during which it will discuss the application by Guyana to extend the outer limits of its continental shelf beyond 200 nautical miles. Venezuela has argued against the request which - according to experts - should lead to the resumption of negotiations between the two countries under the UN good offices, to find "a solution satisfactory for the practical settlement of the dispute, "according to the Geneva Agreement of February 1966. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 03-19-2012; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Venezuela is the largest arms buyer in Latin America - Purchases rose 555% from 2007 to 2011.
According to a report from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute the Venezuelan government purchased 555% more weapons from 2007 to 2011 more than the period covered from 2002 to 2006. The increase is comparable to the 580% increase of weapons purchases made by Syria from Russia during the same time frame. By making these arms purchases, mainly from Russia, Venezuela has risen from 46 to 15 globally among nations with the most weapons purchases. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 03-20-2012; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Friday, July 8, 2011

July 08th, 2011

Economics & Finance

Gov’t claims inflation is down by 3.3% during the first semester of 2011
The National Consumer Price Index (INCP), prepared by Venezuela’s Central Bank (BCV) and the National Statistics Institute (INE), shows an accumulated variation of 13% for the first semester this year, which is 3,3% less than the same period 2010. It’s register for June 2011 shows a 2.5% variation which is the same as the previous month and higher than June 2010 (1,8%). According to the official report, the Consumer Price Index has improved to 23.6% in June 2011, down from 31.3% in June 2010. More information in Spanish. (Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; 07-08-2011; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/66033)

Venezuela's US-dollar bonds dip
After rising steadily for a week, Venezuela's dollar-denominated global bonds halted their upward trend and are showing a moderate decline. Venezuela's benchmark 2027 US-dollar bond, which is the most traded Venezuelan bond, dropped 1.5 points and ended Tuesday at 71.1% of its value. Debt traders said that the decline is because the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) stopped repurchasing debt and investors who speculated about a change of leadership in the short term, due to Chávez's illness, have realized that the Venezuelan president may remain in office. (El Universal, 07-06-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/06/venezuelas-us-dollar-bonds-dip.shtml)

International reserves rose by U$D 1,178 million in one day
Venezuela’s international reserves closed at U$D 29.567 million, according to the Central Bank, which is a gain of U$D 1,178 million compared to end June 30. More information in Spanish. (El Mundo, 07-07-2011; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Economia/Politicas-Publicas/Reservas-Internacionales-subieron-$1-178-millones.aspx)

Expert estimates private sector will receive BF 26 billion less this year
Daniel Mogollón, a consultant on sustainability, innovation and energy estimates the productive sector will receive BF 26 billion this year due to changes in the Law on Science, Technology and Innovation (LOCTI). He explained that during 2009 funds applied to these areas were 2.6% of GDP and their projected total for 2010 was BF 26 billion. Changes in the law have diverted such funds directly to the Government. More information in Spanish. (El Universal; 07-08-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/07/08/sector-productivo-dejara-de-percibir-bs-26-millardos.shtml)

Colombian exports to Venezuela drop again
Venezuela seems to be recovering slowly from a two year recession, but bilateral trade with Colombia does not reflect improvement. Colombian exports to Venezuela grew back by 14% for the first time in two years, according to the Colombian National Statistics Office (DANE); but according to preliminary data from the Colombian Tax Authority (DIAN), they fell again by 6.4% in May. More information in Spanish. (Ultimas Noticias; 07-08-2011; http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/Noticias/Actualidad/Economia/Caen-exportaciones-de-Colombia-a-Venezuela.aspx)

Venezuela is the only oil producer with increased indebtedness
After eight years of high oil prices, oil exporters - except for Venezuela – are consistently saving part of the revenues and reducing debt, according to data and projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). (El Universal, 07-06-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/06/venezuela-is-the-only-oil-producer-that-increases-debt.shtml)

Food consumption by low-income Venezuelans declines
According to recent data released by the National Statistics Institute (INE), low-income Venezuelans face greater difficulties to improve their food intake. By the end of the second half of 2010, the apparent daily consumption of food by the least favored sectors of the population showed a larger reduction, while the wealthiest social groups' food intake increased. (El Universal, 07-07-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/07/low-income-venezuelans-food-consumption-declines.shtml)



Commodities

IEA raises Venezuela's oil output estimates
Doubts about state-run oil company Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) output and exports figures led secondary sources in the oil market to provide data quite different from those reported by PDVSA. However, two weeks ago, the International Energy Agency (IEA, which comprises 28 oil-importing countries) announced a review of their data for the past decade, which shows a downward trend in Venezuela's domestic production for 2002-2004, but also led to an upward trend in 2005-2011. According to the IEA, Venezuela's average domestic output decreased by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) n 2002, 2003 and 2004 (during and after the oil strike); from 2.47 million to 2.37 million bpd. However, in 2005-2011, average oil output went 300,000 bpd higher, from 2.39 million bpd to 2.7 million bpd. (El Universal, 07-07-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/07/iea-raises-venezuelas-oil-output-estimates.shtml)

Food prices (controlled or not) rose 16% between December 2010 and June, almost six percent points above general inflation (10.3%), according to the Venezuelan Central Bank (BCV), and were also above the 9.5% posted by the Food sector for that period. (Veneconomy, 07-06-2011; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=26612&idc=2)



Politics

Chávez confirms Cabinet and extends command terms for military leadership
President Hugo Chávez has extended terms of service for all military commanders and confirmed his Cabinet as to signal cohesion within his government in order to dismiss opposition rumors about changes in the higher military ranks. He also confirmed the Executive Vice President Elías Jaua, and named María Pilar Hernández as Youth Minister. More information in Spanish. (Agencia Venezolana de Noticias;  07-08-2011; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/66126)

Venezuelan army is crucial player in the midst of uncertainty
The armed forces will probably have an important role in the political future of the country if Chavez is forced from office by cancer. Senior military commanders appeared next to Chávez, as he greeted the participants of the bicentennial parade from the presidential palace. However, some analysts and former military officers say there are old divisions between those who strongly support Chavez's socialist politics and who do not. Some believe that simmering tensions could explode within the ranks and that the military could end up playing a crucial role in any transition to new leadership, should the president's health problems become worse. More information in Spanish. (El Mundo, 07-06-2011; http://www.elmundo.com.ve/Noticias/Economia/Politica/ANALISIS---AP--Ejercito-venezolano-sera-actor-cruc.aspx)

According to Reuters, Chávez’s cancer jeopardizes elections
In an analysis of President Chávez’s illness and Venezuelan elections, the Reuters news agency says his situation has uncovered the government’s enormous dependence on its leader, which it claims could derail dozens of political and economic projects crucial to the 2012 election campaign. More information in Spanish. (Ultimas Noticias; 07-08-2011; http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/Noticias/Actualidad/Politica/Reuters--Elecciones-en-jaque-por-cancer-de-Chavez.aspx)

Nicaraguan businessmen seek a free trade agreement with Venezuela
According to DPA, Nicaraguan businessmen, concerned over the health of Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez, are insisting the Ortega government should negotiate a free trade agreement (FTA) with Venezuela.
Entrepreneurs believe that the FTA would provide stability to bilateral trade relations, beyond current governments. (El Universal, 07-06-2011; http://english.eluniversal.com/2011/07/06/nicaraguan-businesspersons-seek-free-trade-agreement-with-venezuela.shtml)

Venezuela, Chile evaluate new date to hold CELAC Summit
The Venezuelan Foreign Affairs minister Nicolas Maduro met with his Chilean counterpart Alfredo Moreno to set a new date for the summit to formally constitute the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC). (AVN, 07-07-2011; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/66049)




The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.