Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label Alimentos Polar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Alimentos Polar. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

August 18, 2015


International Trade

 

Cargo that has arrived in Puerto Cabello:

  • 30,000 tons of wheat from the USA
  • 30,000 tons of sugar from Brazil for state agency CASA
  • 16.578 tons of chicken, beef, milk and margarine, from Brazil for state agency CASA

 

Venezuela-Colombia trade is down 38% in the first semester 2015, at US$ 769 million as opposed to US$ 1.235 billion during the same period last year - a 38% drop. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/internacional/comercio-entre-venezuela-y-colombia-cayo-38-.aspx#ixzz3imksF245)

 

 

Oil & Energy

 

Venezuela oil price falls to just US$ 2.50 off 2015 low

Venezuela's weekly oil basket price fell to within US$2.58 of its 2015 lows as oil prices slipped in international markets on economic worries about China, a nuclear deal that would allow Iran to sell more oil, in addition to a U.S. market remaining amply supplied. According to figures released by the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, the average price of Venezuelan crude sold by Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) during the week ending August 14 was US$ 41.40, down US$ 1.65 from the previous week's US$ 43.15. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2394525&CategoryId=10717; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45079&idc=4)

 

Venezuela imports 3 million barrels of petrol per month

An internal report from state oil company PDVSA shows Venezuela is importing 2.5-3 million barrels of heavy petrol each month from Caribbean facilities and dealer firms, to be used to dilute extra-heavy crude oil. More in Spanish: (El País, http://www.elpaisonline.com/index.php/2013-01-15-14-16-26/internacional/item/182934-venezuela-importa-3-mm-de-barriles-de-nafta-mes; El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/petroleo/industria/venezuela-importa-entre-2-5-y-3-millones-barriles.aspx)

 

 

Commodities

 

Allocating food product sales according to the last digit of customer’s ID card began again in all the establishments of the government distribution network: MERCAL; Abastos Bicentenario, and PDVAL. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45087&idc=3)

 

Alimentos POLAR’s installations have received over 293 inspections by government agencies to date this year. There have been an average of 36 inspections per month. POLAR’s Legal Affairs Manager Mayela Rojas said “the frequency and degree of demand of these visits have intensified as of August 7 to the point of harassment.” (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45076&idc=3)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 

Underlying inflation was 213.2% over the last 12 months, according to studies by the ECOANALÍTICA think tank. June inflation was 16.1%, the second highest this year. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Credit card use is up 132.7% due to higher inflation that is depreciating basic income. The Bank Superintendent's office reports a 416% increase since 2005. More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/Economia/Uso-de-las-tarjetas-de-credito-aumento-1327/2015/08/16/590502/)

 

Central Bank opens bid for banknote paper as paper money shortages are reported

The Central Bank (BCV) has announced it is opening a bid to all those companies interested in supplying banknote paper for printing new Bs.50 and Bs.100 bills. The country has recently been hit by a shortage of bills, mainly VEF 100 notes, and some banks restricted the number of bills handed to their clients cashing in checks or withdrawing from their accounts. The public envelope reception and opening will be held next October 9. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45078&idc=2; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150815/on-the-current-shortage-of-paper-money)

 

The Central Bank has limited the amount of cash available for ATM and credit card withdrawals to VEB 3,000, down from VEB 5,000. More in Spanish: (Diario 2001, http://www.2001.com.ve/con-la-gente/106882/banco-de-venezuela-reduce-el-limite-de-retiros-en-efectivo-.html; El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Central Bank to finally publish official data

After an eight-month hiatus, the Central Bank here (BCV) will soon publish its monthly report, according to an off-the-record source close to the institution. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=45077&idc=2)

 

 

Politics and International Affairs

 

Support for Venezuela’s socialists slides to 19% ahead of vote

Less than a fifth of Venezuelan voters are planning to support candidates aligned with the ruling socialist party in congressional elections scheduled for later this year. The United Socialist Party of Venezuela, or PSUV, is backed by 19.2% of people ahead of the Dec. 6 election, according to a survey conducted by Caracas-based polling company DATANALISIS between July 10 and 23. Support for the party of President Nicolas Maduro has fallen by almost two percentage points since May as declining oil revenue exacerbates product shortages and inflation. Support for the candidates of the opposition alliance and independents rose to 54% in July from 50.1% in May, according to the poll. Maduro’s support fell by 1.5 percentage points to 24.3% in July, the lowest since January, the survey showed. The poll of 999 households had a margin of error of three percentage points. DATANALISIS estimates that 52% of the electorate will participate in the vote. The polling company’s president, Luis Vicente Leon, said last month that abstention favors the government because it has more money, resources and media access to motivate core supporters. (Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-14/support-for-venezuela-s-socialists-slides-to-19-ahead-of-vote; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2394530&CategoryId=10717)

 

Opposition presents united front in parliamentary elections

The opposition Democratic Unity Conference (MUD) coalition has presented a unified campaign command called "United Venezuela" under its Secretary General, Jesús Torrealba. Its "executive group" will include leaders of Acción Democrática (AD), Primero Justicia (PJ), Un Nuevo Tiempo (UNT), and Voluntad Popular (VP).  The "strategy group" includes Miranda Governor and two time Presidential candidate Henrique Capriles, along with the governors of Amazonas and Lara states, a "personal representative" of imprisoned Metropolitan Caracas Mayor Antonio Ledezma, former legislator María Corina Machado and National Assembly member Andrés Velázquez. More in Spanish: (Infolatam, http://www.infolatam.com/2015/08/17/oposicion-venezolana-presenta-comando-de-campana-unificado-para-legislativas/)

 

673 out of 1012 new polling centers are in pro-government installations

The opposition Democratic Unity Conference (MUD) and the Catholic University Political Studies Center have detected several irregularities in an audit of electoral plans, among them it has been revealed that 673 of the new 1012 polling centers created by the National Elections Council are not located at schools or government buildings, but in communes, unfinished housing projects and shanties controlled by the pro-government gangs. These new voting centers are 7.4% of total registered voters. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

 

Six states hold 52% of registered voters

The outcome of the parliamentary voting next December 6 will be conditioned by the imbalance between the number of voters enrolled in Venezuelan states and the number of parliamentarians to be elected in those states. Venezuelans will choose 113 candidates by name; another 51 will be elected by the vote issued by the ballots of political parties in 23 states and the Capital District, and three indigenous representatives will get to the National Assembly by means of lists in three special constituencies. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150815/six-venezuelan-states-accumulate-52-of-the-register-of-voters)

 

Foreign Minister tells Kerry relations with the US must be grounded on mutual respect

Venezuela's Foreign Minister Delcy Rodríguez told US Secretary of State John Kerry, to stop "interventionist intentions" against Venezuela. Kerry had said that Venezuela's situation was "very problematic", and had noted that that if Venezuelan authorities do not allow credible international observers and do not release political prisoners before the December 6 parliament vote "it would have a serious impact" on US relations with Venezuela. Kerry added that the US would analyze the vote "very carefully." (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150817/venezuelan-fm-relation-with-the-us-must-be-grounded-on-mutual-respect)

 

Venezuela to present Essequibo claim at Mercosur Parliament

A delegation of Venezuelan deputies will attend the 33rd Regular Meeting and Special Meeting of the Parliament of the Common Market of the South (Mercosur) (Parlasur), held in Montevideo, Uruguay from Sunday, August 16, through Tuesday, August 18. The parliamentarians will present an agreement concerning Venezuela's claim against Guyana over the Essequibo territory, informed the Venezuelan National Assembly in a press release.

The speaker of Parlasur, Venezuelan Deputy Saúl Ortega, commented that the Venezuelan delegation will explain how the government of Guyana, along with imperialist factors, seeks to take over that territory, disregarding Venezuela's sovereignty. He added that a unanimous resolution in support of Venezuela was expected. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150817/venezuela-to-present-essequibo-claim-at-mercosur-parliament)

 

Maduro traveled to Cuba for Fidel Castro's 89th birthday

President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores have traveled to Havana to join 89th birthday celebrations for Cuba's revolutionary leader Fidel Castro.  Bolivia´s President Evo Morales is also taking part in the events. More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150814/maduro-viajo-a-cuba-para-celebrar-los-89-anos-de-fidel-castro)

 

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

May 19, 2015


Oil & Energy

 
Venezuela oil price up for 8th straight week
Venezuela's weekly oil basket price continued to rise for the eighth straight week -- but only a few cents as oil prices began to moderate in some well-supplied markets. According to figures released by the Ministry of Energy and Petroleum, the average price of Venezuelan crude sold by Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) during the week ending May 15 was US$ 57.00, up just 26 cents from the previous week's US$ 56.74. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2387900&CategoryId=10717)
 

PDVSA to pay interest on bonds maturing in 2021, 2024, and 2035
State-run oil company Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) will pay the corresponding interests of the six-month period ending in May 2015 to all holders of bonds maturing in 2021, 2024, and 2035.
The operation will be made pursuant to the terms and conditions of those papers, which were issued in November 2011, May 2012, and May 2014, respectively, PDVSA said in a press release.
(El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150518/pdvsa-to-pay-interests-of-bonds-maturing-in-2021-2024-and-2035
 

Falling oil prices try exporters
The drop of international oil prices will have a significant fiscal effect on the economies of Latin American countries and the Caribbean and will put them to the test with regard to their ability to make adjustments.

In the case of Venezuela, its reluctance to up-regulate gasoline prices could translate in pressure on the countries which import Venezuelan oil through PETROCARIBE. This is according to information posted on the website of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It is also noted that in many of these countries, the decreasing value of oil imports exceeds the projected financing from PETROCARIBE. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150518/falling-oil-prices-try-exporters)

 
 

Commodities

 
FORD, government to set out rules for car sales in dollars
Representatives of FORD Motors de Venezuela and Venezuelan officials are meeting to plan for automotive assembling in July-August this year, and later, as well as car sales in dollars, says Gilberto Troya, the Secretary General of Ford trade union. He adds that customers will be invoiced in dollars at the FOREX rate traded at the Foreign Exchange Marginal System (SIMADI) (VEB 197.89 per USD), while production costs will be set according to the Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD) rate (currently VEB 12 per USD). Previously Industries Minister Ricardo Menéndez had said that the only legal currency in Venezuela is the bolívar, in response to announcements that the company would begin selling vehicles in dollars after reaching an agreement with the national (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/150518/ford-venezuela-govt-to-set-out-rules-for-car-sales-in-dollars; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=43916&idc=2)
 

FEDECÁMARAS asks government not to take over distribution centers
FEDECÁMARAS President Jorge Roig warns that taking over private product distribution centers "would be the worst mistake" the government could make.  He added that it obstacles to acquiring FOREX continue the private sector could "collapse", bringing down domestic production and imports. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/empresas/fedecamaras-insta-al-gobierno-a-no-tomar-centros-d.aspx#ixzz3aTqopbbn; Ultimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/fedecamaras-insta-al-gobierno-a-no-tomar-centros-d.aspx)

 The worst is yet to come
Economist Ángel García Banchs says the Venezuelan economy is weeks away from totally depleting its product inventories, a traumatic event that could be sudden and could lead to a stage of great changes since the regime would have to decide either to abandon the FOREX and price control systems or begin the path towards a much more restrictive and repressive totalitarian regime. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=43913&idc=3)

 POLAR complains of constant inspections
Alimentos POLAR, Venezuela's main food industry, says its facilities have been inspected over 165 times this year and has responded to over 1,500 requests for information. The company's Director General, Manuel Felipe Larrazábal, says "in just the last 3 weeks, 6 different government offices have carried out 27 visits at 13 plants, with a total 80 officials, which amounts to 150 working hours interrupting our daily work." More in Spanish: (Últimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/polar-se-queja-de-continuas-inspecciones.aspx#ixzz3aZPQOrLA; El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Alimentos-Polar-recibido-inspecciones-ano_0_630536995.html)

 

 

Economy & Finance

 
Key government legislator admits FOREX scarcity
The pro government Chairman of the National Assembly’s Finance and Economic Development Committee Ricardo Sanguino says “there is not enough availability of foreign currency to continue satisfying the country’s needs.” He explained priorities had to be set to boost productive and economic activities. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=43917&idc=2)

 
Russia OK's extending Venezuela credit through 2016
Russia and Venezuela signed the agreement for a US$ 4 billion credit in December 2011, in order to finance the delivery of Russian industrial products. More in Spanish: Últimas Noticias, http://www.ultimasnoticias.com.ve/noticias/actualidad/economia/rusia-aprueba-la-ampliacion-del-prestamo-a-venezue.aspx#ixzz3aZQI8582)

 
 

Politics and International Affairs
 

The Wall Street Journal reports Venezuelan officials suspected of turning country into cocaine hub
The Wall Street Journal reports U.S. prosecutors are investigating several high-ranking Venezuelan officials, including the president of the country’s congress, on suspicion that they have turned the country into a global hub for cocaine trafficking and money laundering, according to more than a dozen people familiar with the probes. An elite unit of the Drug Enforcement Administration in Washington and federal prosecutors in New York and Miami are building cases using evidence provided by former cocaine traffickers, informants who were once close to top Venezuelan officials and defectors from the Venezuelan military, these people say. A leading target, according to a Justice Department official and other American authorities, is National Assembly President Diosdado Cabello, a former army lieutenant, considered the country’s second most-powerful man. “There is extensive evidence to justify that he is one of the heads, if not the head, of the cartel,” said the Justice Department official, speaking of a group of military officers and top officials suspected of being involved in the drug trade. “He certainly is a main target.” Investigations are being run by federal prosecutors who have wide leeway to target criminal suspects. U.S. authorities say they are far along in their investigations. But they say any indictments that may result might be sealed, making them secret until authorities can make arrests—something that would be difficult if not impossible unless the suspects travel abroad. U.S. law-enforcement officials say many Colombian traffickers moved operations to neighboring Venezuela, where they found a government and military eager to permit and ultimately control cocaine smuggling through the country. “It is a criminal organization,” said the Justice Department official, referring to certain members of the upper echelons of the Venezuelan government and military.  At the same time, a group of 16 Democrats in the US House of Representatives are asking President Barack Obama to lift sanctions on Venezuelan officials implicated in human rights violations and drug trafficking. (The Wall Street Journal; http://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuelan-officials-suspected-of-turning-country-into-global-cocaine-hub-1431977784?tesla=y)
 

Venezuela opposition held primaries for high-stakes parliament vote, PRIMERO JUSTICIA leads vote
Venezuela's opposition coalition held primaries on Sunday for this year's high-stakes parliamentary election, its best shot in over a decade at recouping the National Assembly at one of the ruling Socialist Party's lowest ebbs. The MUD umbrella coalition has struggled to articulate policy proposals and shake an elitist aura, so Sunday's low-profile primaries were largely a show of mobilization against President Nicolas Maduro. José Luis Cartaya, head of the MUD's electoral committee, says 543,793 voted, which is 7.4% of registered voters. PRIMERO JUSTICIA, which is led by Miranda Governor and former Presidential candidate Henrique Capriles Radonski, won 13 nominations; VOLUNTAD POPULAR, headed by imprisoned leader Leopoldo López, gained 8 positions; the old ACCIÓN DEMOCRÁTICA party secured 7 nominations; UN NUEVO TIEMPO racked up 5; CUENTAS CLARAS, 2; while the traditional COPEI Social Christian party and imprisoned Mayor Antonio Ledezma's AVANZADA PROGRESISTA, won one nomination, each. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/18/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN0O20IV20150518; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=43918&idc=1; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2388009&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150518/turnout-in-primary-vote-of-opposition-coalition-mud-hits-640000; and more in Spanish: El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150518/pj-obtuvo-13-candidaturas-en-primarias-de-la-unidad)
 

US repeats its concern over freedom of speech in Venezuela
United States has again voiced concern about freedom of expression in Venezuela, and insists that "the only way" to solve the troubles in Venezuela is "through a true dialogue instead of trying to silence critics." "We share the concern expressed by the Inter-American Press Association (IAPA). We have urged many times the Venezuelan government to improve the environment of respect for human beings and fundamental liberties, such as freedom of expression and peaceful association," said a spokesperson for the US Department of State. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150518/us-reiterates-its-concern-about-freedom-of-speech-in-venezuela)
 

Palestinian FM "proud" of bilateral relation with Venezuela
Riad al Malki, Palestinian Minister of Foreign Affairs says that his visit here country is an opportunity to boost the bilateral relation. In reference to sanctions imposed by the United States on seven Venezuelan government officials, the Palestinian Minister said that his country rejected all sort of aggressions against Venezuela and added that the people of Palestine supported Venezuela unconditionally. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150518/palestinian-fm-proud-of-bilateral-relation-with-venezuela)
 

Felipe González visit to Venezuela postponed until new López's hearing
Former president of Spain Felipe González will travel to Venezuela when a new date for the next trial hearing of dissenter Leopoldo López is scheduled. González called off his visit to Caracas, which was expected this Monday, when López's hearing was adjourned, AP reported. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150518/felipe-gonzalezs-visit-to-venezuela-suspended-until-new-lopezs-hearing)


Venezuela has deported 7,021 Colombians in 3 years
The Foreign Office of Colombia reported that from 2012 to date 7,021 Colombians have been deported from Venezuela due to their irregular status. The numbers arrived after the Foreign Office of Venezuela said last Thursday that as many as 494,597 Colombians had entered Venezuela illegally. Based on Venezuelan data, in 2012-2014, the number of illegal Colombian residents was "160,984 in 2012; 189.001 in 2013, and 144,612 in 2014". (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150518/colombia-in-three-years-venezuela-deported-7021-colombians)

 

The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, September 12, 2014

September 12, 2014

International Trade

Venezuela extends night closure of Colombia border to stop smuggling
Venezuela says it will extend an overnight closure of its border with neighboring Colombia for another three months in a campaign to stop widespread fuel and food smuggling. The measures to stop traffic crossing between 10 p.m. and 5 a.m., and limit the movement of cargo vehicles during the day, were introduced in mid-August to combat the lucrative business in smuggling heavily subsidized Venezuelan products. "We are going to pursue and punish smugglers with double severity," President Nicolas Maduro said, announcing the three-month extension. "They are looting the republic." (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/12/us-venezuela-colombia-idUSKBN0H62ND20140912)

MELIÁ planning five hotels in Venezuela
MELIÁ Hotel International will be managing five new hotels in Venezuela under the Innside By Melia brand in the coming years, the company announced. The hotels will be developed together with investor Franco Biocchi Zurita. “This framework agreement is a major landmark in the consolidation of the Innside brand as a market leader for urban hotels in cities with strong growth and development potential in Latin America, while also strengthening our strategic alliance with Franco Biocchi to develop extraordinary and successful hotel projects in Venezuela,” said Gabriel Escarrer, CEO of MELIÁ Hotels International. Melia said the first hotel would be the Innside Punto Fijo Hotel in the state of Falcon, which is slated to open in 2016. (Caribbean Journal, http://www.caribjournal.com/2014/09/11/melia-planning-five-hotels-in-venezuela/)


Oil & Energy

PDVSA seeks bids for CITGO in potential US$ 10 billion deal
Venezuela's state-run oil company PDVSA is seeking preliminary offers for its U.S. unit CITGO Petroleum Corp by the end of September a deal that could fetch up to US$ 10 billion, according to two people familiar with the matter. Venezuela is selling CITGO in part due to a cash crunch stemming from repaying debts to Beijing with oil, rather than selling the crude to generate revenue, analysts say. The government denies a cash-flow problem exists. Within President Nicolas Maduro's government, the potential sale is controversial and seen as a privatization that would contradict years of socialist policies, including a nationalization of the oil industry in 2006 and 2007. Investment bank Lazard Ltd, which is running the sale process for CITGO on behalf of PDVSA, has sent offering materials to potential buyers, the people said in recent days, asking not to be named because the matter is not public. PDVSA also has a 50% stake in the Chalmette refinery in Louisiana alongside Exxon Mobil Corp, which owns the remainder. The Venezuelan oil company has tapped Deutsche Bank separately to explore a sale of its stake in that refinery. A sale, if it were to come to fruition, would be Venezuela's biggest pullback ever from the U.S. refining market. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/09/us-refineries-citgo-pete-sale-idUSKBN0H428720140909)


Commodities

Steel: Venezuela’s showcase city becomes symbol of economic meltdown
Long before Hugo Chávez launched his socialist revolution, government planners came to Ciudad Guayana on Venezuela’s eastern frontier, where the Orinoco and Caroni rivers converge, and envisioned an industrial workers’ paradise. A half-century later and 15 years after Chávez came to power, Ciudad Guayana’s factories are crippled, starved for investment and riled by labor disputes. The workers’ standoff with President Nicolás Maduro – Chávez’s successor and a former union leader himself – has turned Ciudad Guayana into a crucial battleground for the socialist government as it faces economic meltdown and political infighting. When it was founded, Ciudad Guayana and its state-run heavy industries were Venezuela’s best hope for breaking the country’s overwhelming dependence on crude oil exports. It had the raw materials on hand: iron ore, bauxite and gold; timber and farmland; and huge rivers to supply cheap hydropower for smelters and factories.  The steelmaking company at the core of the Ciudad Guayana project, SIDOR, produced a record 4.3m tons before it was nationalized by Chávez in 2008. Today, most of its furnaces sit cold, deprived of raw materials, new technology and reliable labor. The last contract for its 14,000 steelworkers expired four years ago. National Assembly president Diosdado Cabello – Venezuela’s second-most-powerful figure after Maduro – has denounced union adversaries at SIDOR as “mafias” in the service of US “imperialism”, offending many of the workers who consider themselves Chávez loyalists and true patriots. In private, government officials say SIDOR will need to produce 250,000 ton of steel a month just to break even. Its current output is closer to 70,000 tons. Closing the gap will require hundreds of millions in new investments. One official close to the SIDOR negotiations who was not authorized to speak publicly said it makes little sense for Venezuela to sink more money into inefficient steelmaking. “We could let SIDOR die and import all the steel we need,” he said. “And there would still be enough to pay the workers’ salaries.” (The Guardian, http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/09/venezuela-maduro-labour-dispute-ciudad-guayana)

Detergent plant is paralyzed for lack of supplies
A powdered detergent plant owned by Alimentos POLAR has been paralyzed for the past 15 days for lack of supplies. Some 400 workers at the plant were on protest to ask the government to release a sodium sulfate load that has been held up at Puerto Cabello since August 22nd. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140910/planta-de-detergentes-de-polar-esta-parada-por-falta-de-insumos)

Toyota’s plant in Cumaná remains closed by workers one week after they began a conflict with the assembler’s board of directors, due to differences over salary raises and the elimination of quota assignments to workers to purchase cars at cost price. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41019&idc=3)


Economy & Finance

Maduro says Venezuela can pay debt, blasts default fears, orders legal action against economists
President Nicolas Maduro said Venezuela could meet all its obligations to bondholders, as he sought to quell market fears that the Socialist-run country may opt to default when US$ 5 billion of its foreign debt falls due for repayment next month. Fears of a possible default heightened, with bond yields spiking, after the publication of an article by a former planning minister and a pro-opposition economist that suggested an orderly default could ultimately help Venezuela's slumping economy. "We're prepared to meet our international obligations in their entirety," Maduro declared on Wednesday night. "Down to the last dollar." He said Harvard economist Ricardo Hausmann - who recently wrote the government should prioritize its debt to the Venezuelan people above international bond holders - is a "bandit" and added: "I have ordered the Solicitor and spoken to the Prosecutor so that we can start action against you..key advisor to all those groups that want to harm Venezuela...and work as financial hit men for those forces at the IMF and oligarchies" (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/11/us-venezuela-bonds-idUSKBN0H60DF20140911; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-11/venezuela-bonds-rally-on-maduro-pledge-to-pay-every-last-dollar.html; and Noticiero Digital: http://www.noticierodigital.com/2014/09/maduro-acuso-al-economista-ricardo-hausmann-de-bandido-y-sicario-financiero/)

Specter of default looms over Venezuela despite oil reserves
Venezuela is struggling to meet its international bond payments, raising the specter of an Argentine-style default despite the country’s massive oil reserves. Yields on Venezuelan bonds, the third-largest constituent of JPMorgan’s global emerging bond index, have risen since Caracas put CITGO, the country’s US refining operation, up for sale and scrambled to reassure investors it can refinance US$ 7 billion coming due this year on its more than US$ 80 billion of sovereign debt. A Venezuelan default could be widely felt. The country accounts for 7% of emerging market benchmarks, meaning a default could force redemptions of other investments by passive index-tracking funds. As Morgan Stanley wrote in a research report late last year: “Venezuela may affect your . . . portfolio, even if you don’t own it.” Until recently, bond investors drew comfort from Venezuela’s US$ 85 billion annual oil exports. But confidence was shaken this week as yields on short-dated bonds issued by PDVSA, the state owned oil company, shot above 25%. Venezuelan credit default swaps also rose to levels comparable to Argentina. “The [Venezuelan] government is clearly exploring any and all options to generate additional cash in order to stay afloat, with an eye on short term fixes,” comments Risa Grais-Targow, Latin America analyst at Eurasia, the risk consultancy. Venezuela’s public finances certainly look tight. Despite US$ 21 billion of reserves, less than US$ 3 billion of these are liquid. The government also has about US$ 9 billion in obscure off-budget funds, plus eventual proceeds from CITGO’s sale. “The difference between Argentina defaulting and Venezuela is that Argentina had nothing to lose,” says Luis Vicente León OF DATANALISIS, a local pollster. “By contrast, Venezuela has substantial foreign assets under risk – from CITGO, to oil shipments, to PDVSA receivables . . . That makes default risk devastating.” On Wednesday, BNP Paribas recommended buying Venezuelan bonds. Other investment banks also said Venezuela had enough funds to meet import needs and short-term debt payments, although to continue doing so it needed to embrace politically costly reforms. “I don’t think Venezuela is going to default, although the probability has greatly increased,” said Russ Dallen of Caracas Capital Markets. “It is a case of the ‘devil you know versus the devil you don’t’. And the problem is we don’t know.” (Financial Times, http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/279da4e8-39b1-11e4-83c4-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3D2HGtX3o) 

Venezuelan bonds recover slightly
Venezuelan bonds value recovered slightly following President Nicolás Maduro's remarks stating that the country is capable of honoring its international debts which slightly exceed US$ 5 billion in bonds maturing next month.
Venezuelan bonds plummeted last week amid investors' concerns about short supply of dollars in the country, which has hit its economic variables and worsened shortages of staples. However, President Maduro said on Wednesday that his administration was prepared to meet its foreign liabilities. "Despite greater risk of non-payment to domestic sectors, namely airlines, automobile, pharmaceutical, and food, (Venezuelan) authorities will continue to honor their financial debt and international obligations," says Diego Moya-Ocampos, analyst at IHS, referring to the multi-million outstanding debt caused by delays in foreign currency supply. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140911/venezuelan-bonds-recover-on-thursday)

The Central Bank (BCV) corrected the annualized inflation rate on Wednesday, a day after it had presented the figures, using the new “methodology.” Now, inflation in June was 4.4%, 4.1% in July and 3.9% in August for an annualized rate of 62.2% and not 60.5% as initially reported between June 2013 and June 2014. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41009&idc=2; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140910/central-bank-of-venezuela-revises-down-inflation-figure; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140910/capriles-inflation-sets-record-high-even-with-fabricated-numbers; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140911/utility-rates-in-venezuela-up-55-in-12-months; Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-09/venezuelan-inflation-slows-for-third-consecutive-month-in-august.html)

Retailers report sales plunged 52% in the second quarter
According to a poll conducted by the National Trade and Services Council (CONSECOMERCIO) up to 52.2% of retailers report sales plummeted in the second quarter, "Rather than improve, the numbers have slipped," says CONSECOMERCIO's president, Mauricio Tancredi. He says high inflation, insecurity, low stocks, and price regulations are the main obstacles facing the commercial sector. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140911/retailers-claim-sales-plunged-52-in-the-second-quarter)

Food inflation climbs 210% in 24 months in Venezuela
The government has implemented a price regulation policy for many products, managed a large network of agro-industrial companies, and held thousands of hectares in the agricultural sectors. However, their results are below the expectations. According to figures disclosed by the Central Bank (BCV), the average price of food and non-alcoholic beverages skyrocketed 210% in August 2012 - August 2014. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140911/food-inflation-climbs-210-in-24-months-in-venezuela)

DATÁNALISIS: 84% describe the current economic situation as negative
DATANALISIS Director Luis Vicente Leon reports that 84% of all Venezuelans consider the current economic situation is negative and 53% doubt this government is able to solve economic problems. More in Spanish: (El Mundo, http://www.elmundo.com.ve/noticias/economia/politicas-publicas/datanalisis--84--de-la-poblacion-considera-negativ.aspx#ixzz3D0YXsVIQ)


Politics

Maduro claims his regime is set to win 2015 legislative elections
President Nicolás Maduro claims his United Socialist Party (PSUV) is getting ready for "a great victory" in parliamentary elections set for October 2015 to teach those have "sabotaged the economy" a "lesson". He added that "the shakeup is only beginning... we are going after the remainder of the bourgeois state". More in Spanish: (Infolatam)

Opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez on trial September 22
One of Venezuela's main opposition leaders, Leopoldo Lopez, again appeared in court in Caracas and the next hearing has been set for September 22nd. He is accused of inciting violence during anti-government demonstrations earlier this year and has been in custody since 18 February, when he handed himself in to the authorities. He denies all the charges. Dozens of people gathered outside the courthouse to demand his release. The prosecution was expected to present more evidence against him. Lopez, who is the head of the Popular Will Party, has accused the government of President Nicolas Maduro of jailing Venezuelans for seeking democratic change. Other opposition activists detained during the protests earlier this year have also appeared in court in Caracas. The authorities accuse Lopez of inciting violence and encouraging demonstrators to vandalize government buildings. Only two of the four witnesses summoned for this fourth hearing showed up and according to López’ defense they “irrefutably” determined there was no arson at the Attorney General’s Office building last February 12 which is one of the charges against Voluntad Popular leader and the four students, Marco Coello, Christian Holdack, Ángel González and Demian Martin. (BBC, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-29151975?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AMorning%20Brief&utm_campaign=2014_MorningBrief-%20RD%20PROMO%209.11.14; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=41011&idc=1; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140911/leopoldo-lopezs-next-hearing-scheduled-for-september-22; Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2351650&CategoryId=10717)

US is concerned over the "lack of due process" for opposition leaders here
US State Department spokesperson Marie Harf referred to opposition leaders imprisoned after protests began in February, including Leopoldo López, and mayors Enzo Scarano and Daniel Ceballos, saying: "The US is deeply concerned by the lack of due process and guarantees in procedures against those detained over protests in Venezuela". More in Spanish: (Diario 2001, http://www.2001.com.ve/en-el-mundo/eeuu-preocupado-por-la--falta-de-debido-proceso--a-opositores-en-venezuela.html)

BLOOMBERG View: Colombia does Venezuela's dirty work
How to parse Colombia's decision to hand over two young Venezuelan fugitive dissidents to the Bolivarian thought police? One theory: To seal a peace deal with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), Juan Manuel Santos, Colombia's president, is again pandering to the autocrat next door. It's no secret that Venezuela has long been in the corner of the Colombian insurgents, who have been waging terror and mayhem against Colombia’s government for the last half-century, often with a wink and a nod from their Venezuelan patrons. That toxic bond had estranged Colombia and Venezuela for most of the previous decade, with the hawkish Alvaro Uribe pitted against the chief Andean tub-thumper, Hugo Chavez. Since Santos was first elected in 2010, he has gone out of his way to end the Andean Cold War, infuriating Uribe, many Colombians, and the entire Venezuelan opposition besides. Exhibit A: his 2011 extradition of suspected Venezuelan drug-trafficker, Walid Makled, then in a Colombian jail. Not to the U.S., where Makled was wanted for a farrago of felonies, from running cocaine to abetting the FARC, but to Venezuela, where his trial has yet to be concluded. Two years on, peace is still elusive, but Santos has kept courting the Chavistas. Gabriel Valles, aged 27, and Lorent Saleh, 26, are members of an organization protesting the government of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, but they aren't exactly hardened criminals, much less game changers in the peace parley. Both had slipped over the border to evade the Venezuelan courts, where they face charges of troublemaking during antigovernment street protests, including "inciting public disorder," spreading "false information," and a Bolivarian gem called "public uncertainty," which is Chavista-speak for anything their men in red want it to be. Since they were first hauled into Venezuelan court, they'd been under orders to report every few weeks to the police and were barred from traveling abroad. So effectively, their offense was skipping probation. Venezuela hadn't even issued an extradition request when Colombia handed the two over to Venezuelan intelligence last week. More tellingly, perhaps, Saleh and Valles were reported to be close to former president Uribe, Santos's archenemy, and had criticized the Santos administration in speeches, adding a note of potential political payback to the surrender. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-09-11/colombia-does-venezuela-s-dirty-work)

Brownfield slams Venezuela's lack of cooperation on narcotics
US Assistant Secretary of State of the Bureau of International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs William Brownfield says drug traffic through Venezuela has increased considerable due to lack of cooperation with the US and other countries in the Hemisphere. "When I arrived in Venezuela as Ambassador in 2004 we had some sort of cooperation....when I left almost all cooperation had ended. This creates an opportunity for drug traffic and creates the problem we now have". More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140910/brownfield-critica-la-no-colaboracion-del-pais-en-drogas)

Venezuela gains support to sit on the UN Security Council
According to Amín Cruz, a Dominican Republic diplomat who chaired a closed door meeting of Latin America and Caribbean representatives at the UN on July 23rd, the decision was taken there to support Venezuela's candidacy to a term on the UN Security Council. The last time Venezuela attempted to gain a seat on the Council - in 2006 - it was torpedoed by the US, which has not spoken on the issue at this time. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140912/venezuela-aseguro-apoyo-regional-al-consejo-de-seguridad)



The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.