Oil & Energy
PDVSA production down 30% in 6 years, oilfields
decline, needs US$ 70-80 price for investments
Venezuela’s
crude oil production has shrunk around 30% over the past 6 years according to
official data from state oil company PDVSA and the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC). Production fell from 3.12 million barrels per day
to an all-time low of 2.18 MBD, some 900,000 barrels, around 30%. In May, PDVSA
denied a drop in production this year but did not provide details on pumping.
Last week, at a public ceremony, President Nicolas Maduro himself urged Oil
Minister Eulogio Del Pino “to start
raising the nation’s oil production during next semester”. Eudis Girot,
Executive Director of the United Oil Workers Federation, reported the industry
is producing only 2.4 MPD, one million barrels less than in 2008. He says “the company has been abandoned, our drills
are in broken down deposits, our own fleet is destroyed”. Oil expert Victor
Maldonado says “if there are no resources
there is no investment, which is key to developing the industry”.
ECOANALITICA Director Alejandro Grisanti says “Venezuela is not getting US$ 500 million every month, or US$ 6 billion
per year”, due to the drop in production. At a recent meeting Oil Minister
Del Pino admitted investments to meet global oil demand require prices between
US$ 70-80 per barrel. He says half of the investments scheduled for 2016 were
deferred due to low prices, adding “that
will obviously impact production”.
He also admitted there is a 20-25% “natural
decline” in oilfields which forces them to “replace 600,000 BPD, simply to maintain (current) production”. More
in Spanish: (Panorama: http://www.panorama.com.ve/politicayeconomia/En-6-anos-cayo-30-de-produccion-de-crudo-en-Venezuela-20160628-0118.html;
http://www.panorama.com.ve/politicayeconomia/Ministro-Eulogio-Del-Pino-Industria-petrolera-requiere-un-barril-de-al-menos-70-dolares-20160629-0074.html)
Venezuela’s oil output decline accelerates as drillers
go unpaid
Venezuela’s
oil output, already the lowest since 2009, is set to slide further this year as
contractors scale back drilling after the cash-strapped country fell more
than US$1 billion behind in payments. This nation’s oil production, which
generates 95% of export revenue, will decline by about 11% to 2.1 million
barrels a day by the end of the year, BARCLAYS estimates. Output is
falling largely because oil-services companies aren’t being
paid, according to the International Energy Agency. (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-06-27/venezuela-s-oil-output-decline-accelerates-as-drillers-go-unpaid)
PDVSA says it has made financing deals with WEATHERFORD,
HALLIBURTON
State
oil company PDVSA says it has signed financing agreements with services firms HALLIBURTON and WEATHERFORD, PDVSA's president
said on Wednesday, following chronic payment difficulties for companies working
here. PDVSA has more than US$ 20 billion in outstanding bills to providers,
which has led some companies to slow work. The company's access to hard
currency has tumbled along with the price of oil, and Venezuela is struggling
with triple-digit inflation, a severe recession and heavy bond payments this
year and next. "This morning WEATHERFORD
signed a financing agreement with us, HALLIBURTON signed yesterday,"
Eulogio Del Pino, who is also the country's oil minister, said in a speech
broadcast on state television. (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-pdvsa-idUSKCN0ZF2V6)
US Supreme Court to hear Venezuela oil rig dispute
The
U.S. Supreme Court on Tuesday agreed to weigh Venezuela's bid to block a
lawsuit filed by an American oil drilling company that claims this country
unlawfully seized 11 drilling rigs six years ago. The high court will review a
May 2015 ruling by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia
Circuit that allowed one of the claims made by Oklahoma-based HELMERICH &
PAYNE International Drilling Company to move forward. The company sued both the
Venezuelan government and state-owned oil companies under a U.S. law called the
Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act, saying among other things that the property
seizure violated international law. (Reuters,
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-venezuela-idUSKCN0ZE1MV; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/receives-venezuelas-bid-block-helmerichs-lawsuit_317055)
Commodities
Venezuela seeks additional partnering with South
Korea’s POSCO
Foreign
Trade and Investment Minister Jesús Faría is in South Korea seeking to expand
relations with POSCO, that nation’s largest steelmaker and attract investments
to Venezuela. POSCO made an US$ 245 million investment in the Puerto La Cruz
(Anzoátegui state) refinery’s deep conversion process. More in Spanish: (Agencia
Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-busca-ampliar-relaciones-empresa-sider%C3%BArgica-surcoreana)
Economy & Finance
Central Bank seeks US$ 1 billion from Latin American
Reserve Fund
According
to sources at the Latin American Reserve Fund (FLAR), Venezuela’s Central Bank
(BCV) requested a US$ 1 billion loan, but received only US$ 400 million, drawn
against the BCV’s own reserve with the institution. The same source reports
that in order to get a billion-dollar loan the agreement would require approval
by Venezuela’s National Assembly, in order to comply with FLAR rules which
requires clear guarantees. This is not the first time the BCV seeks financial
aid from international institutions. For over a year it has been drawing from
the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as well as engaging in gold swaps
through foreign banks. BCV authorities are concerned about the drop in
international reserves, which are now at an all-time low of around US$ 12
billion. More in Spanish: (El Nacional: http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/BCV-millardo-Fondo-Latinoamericana-Reservas_0_875312763.html
Companies have reduced operations by 80% due to lack
of FOREX
FEDECAMARAS
President Francisco Martinez, head of the nation’s largest business federation,
reports that scarce foreign exchange has led 90% of all Venezuelan companies to
reduce operations by almost 80%, since it is impossible to acquire “raw materials, intermediate goods, machinery
and spare parts”. He says political confrontation is hindering economic
progress and called for inclusive talks between the government and the private
sector, “with measurable, tangible”
results for the population. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Empresas-reducido-operaciones-falta-divisas_0_874712788.html)
Venezuela received only US$ 1.591 billion foreign
investments out of US$ 167.5 to Latin America
According
to the 2015 World Report by the United Nations Conference on Trade and
Development (UNCTAD), Venezuela received only US$ 1.591 billion in direct
foreign investment during 2015, out of US$ 167.5 billion that was directed to
Latin America. Most of the amount reported for Venezuela are funds held back
from repatriation due to currency controls. More in Spanish: (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/economia/venezuela-capto-inversiones-por-1591-millones-dolares-2015_316966;
El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/economia/Venezuela-capto-inversiones-America-Latina_0_874712814.html)
Politics and International Affairs
Obama urges Venezuela to respect democratic process,
pursue recall, release prisoners
U.S.
President Barack Obama on Wednesday urged the Venezuelan government to respect
the democratic process and the rule of law, including allowing the release of
political prisoners. "Given the very
serious situation in Venezuela and the worsening plight of the Venezuelan
people, together we're calling on the government and opposition to engage in
meaningful dialogue and urge the Venezuelan government to respect the rule of
law and the authority of the national assembly," Obama said at a news
conference with the leaders of Canada and Mexico. "Political
prisoners should be released, the democratic process should be respected and
that includes legitimate efforts to pursue a recall referendum consistent with
Venezuelan law." (Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-usa-obama-idUSKCN0ZF2KV)
China invites opposition parliamentary leader Julio
Borges to talk
Julio
Borges, head of the opposition majority coalition in Venezuela’s National
Assembly is in China to talk about the economic crisis and challenges of change
in Venezuela. The five-day visit will allow him to brief Chinese experts on the
country’s current situation. He is a guest of the Chinese Association for
International Understanding (CAFIU), an organization attached to the Chinese
ruling party. He arrived in China on Monday, to share his vision over the
economic crisis and take part in high-level meetings over, among other things,
the future in Venezuela. Members of opposition umbrella group Unified Democratic
Panel (MUD) backed the visit and regarded it as an open path and a clear signal
of the world’s expectations around the country’s situation. Borges is a leader
within the Primero Justicia party, along with former Presidential candidate
Henrique Capriles Radonski. (El
Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/julio-borges-global-community-must-know-venezuelas-visions_317078)
Pro-government forces threaten to abolish Parliament,
Cardinal calls idea “desperate”, and
a “coup d’etat”
Didalco
Bolivar, a former governor of Aragua state, announced that a coalition of all
pro government parties called “Great
Patriotic Pole”, is considering a motion requesting that the Supreme
Tribunal “abolish this National
Assembly….and call for new parliamentary elections”. He claimed the
legislature is violating the Constitution, betraying the Fatherland, usurping
duties, and abusing its authority in foreign policy. Previously, President
Nicolas Maduro had also accused Parliament of usurping duties and treason.
Bolivar also said the recall referendum could not be called this year, claiming
it has been called ahead of time, and accused the opposition of fraud.
Venezuela’s Cardinal Jorge Urosa called the move “desperate”, and said “I think
this has no head or tail, it would be a coup d’etat against the will of the
people expressed on December 6, when an overwhelming majority of the Venezuelan
people voted in the direction the National Assembly is now taking. More in
Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2016/06/28/chavismo-estudia-como-abolir-el-parlamento-venezolano/;
El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/politica/iglesia-catolica-rechaza-idea-abolir-parlamento_317185)
….and regime then appears to backtrack
Ombudsman
Tarek William Saab, a member of the pro-government PSUV party, then said “isolated voices, such as those calling for
the abolition of public powers, will not have any kind of support nationally,
because they are individuals----what Venezuela now needs is cooperation between
public powers”. He added that “radical
and extremist voices will have no success in Venezuela at this time…success
will come to consensus proposals that lead to an effective solution”. The
leader of the pro-government faction within the National Assembly, Hector
Rodríguez, said they are not shirking the possibility of a recall referendum
since it is a part of the Constitution and said the opposition has the right to
use all means possible. He added that the population is more concerned with
scarcity and inflation than it is with the proposed referendum. Speaking later,
President Maduro called on his supporters to make it a priority to “defeat” and “denounce” the National Assembly during the second semester this
year, and called the legislature “a
hindrance to development, and we must all take it on as such”. He made reference
to the proposal for abolition. More in Spanish: (Infolatam: http://www.infolatam.com/2016/06/29/ombudsman-venezolano-afirma-propuesta-de-abolir-parlamento-no-tendra-apoyo/;
http://www.infolatam.com/2016/06/30/maduro-pide-que-derrotar-al-parlamento-sea-la-linea-del-proximo-semestre/;
Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/nacionales/2016/junio/28/161036=hector-rodriguez-aclaro-que-no-se-estan-negando-a-la-posibilidad-de-la-realizacion-del-rr-)
Ramos Allup slams regime for clinging to High Command,
announces review of TSJ justices
National
Assembly President Henry Ramos Allup says it is “worrisome” that the Maduro regime should depend on the military
High Command and the Supreme Tribunal’s Constitutional Chamber to cling on to
power. He rejected military coups and repeated that the democratic system has
been altered here. He said the Maduro regime had been “given notice” that he is being fired; and added: “They know they’re in their final days, and
they’re going to pay, whether they’re civilians or soldiers,” he said,
adding that “when this comes about, which
will be soon, they are going to have to answer to the courts for their evil
deeds”. He also announced that the legislature will revoke the decision –
which he termed unconstitutional – through which current justices of the
Supreme Tribunal were appointed. He said that if this happens they will call
for a new nomination process. (Latin American Herald Tribune, http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2415166&CategoryId=10717;
and more in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/junio/28/161055=ramos-allup-critica-que-el-gobierno-se-aferre-al-alto-mando-militar-para-permanecer-en-el-poder)
PSUV says managers who do not fire employees who
petitioned for Maduro’s recall must be fired
Lieutenant
Diosdado Cabello, vice president of the pro-government PSUV party has announced
that his party will demand that all those who hold management positions within
government and do not fire employees who have signed a petition for a recall
referendum against President Nicolas Maduro, must also be fired. He also said
the opposition must be forced to collect 4 million signatures in one day and
with 20% of all polling machines. “We are
not going to make it easy for them. No. I swear we won’t. And we will do
whatever we have to do”. More in Spanish:
(El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/PSUV-destitucion-despidan-firmaron-revocatorio_0_875312804.html;
http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Solicitaran-CNE-firmas-recoja-maquinas_0_875312787.html)
Workers fired, students deprived of scholarships, for
signing recall petition
200
employees of the SENIAT tax authority reported to the National Assembly that
they were fired for having signed the petition for a recall referendum against
President Nicolas Maduro. The pro-government Zulia state has suspended
scholarship benefits of 200 students, according to reports confirmed by
authorities at four public and private universities there. (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Despiden-trabajadores-quitan-estudiantes-firmar_0_875312785.html; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/venezuela/fundalossada-niega-que-retiro-becas-sea-represalia-por-revocatorio_317162)
Maduro’s nationality discussed at the National
Assembly
Pro
government legislator Victor Clark claims the Colombian government has reported
“no information was found relating to a
birth certificate or identification card” that could indicate that President
Nicolas Maduro is a Colombian national. Clark read out a response by Colombian
Foreign Minister María Angela Holguin to a request by National Assembly
President Henry Ramos Allup. Ramos Allup retorted that Clark had read an
incomplete response since that first notice was followed by another document
sent to the Colombian National Registry requesting information on the
nationality of Maduro’s parents, which would raise the issue of dual
citizenship. (El
Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/colombian-govt-speaks-about-nationality-venezuelas-maduro_317073; http://www.eluniversal.com/noticias/daily-news/colombian-govt-support-requested-clarify-maduros-nationality_317050)
Foreign Minister Rodriguez and Ernesto Samper visited
Surinam’s Bouterse
UNASUR’s
pro tem president, Foreign Minister Delcy Rodríguez, and Ernesto Samper,
Secretary General of the Union of South American Nations, have travelled to
Surinam to meet with that nation’s President Dési Bouterse, and said they would
call a meeting of the organization to discuss the situation there within the
next few days. More in Spanish: (Noticiero Venevision: http://www.noticierovenevision.net/politica/2016/junio/28/161040=canciller-rodriguez-y-ernesto-samper-visitaron-surinam-para-reunirse-con-el-primer-mandatario-desi-bouterse)
Paraguay regrets MERCOSUR the union’s chair may go to
Venezuela
Paraguay’s
Foreign Minister Eladio Loizaga has said his nation regrets that the Foreign
Ministers of Argentina and Uruguay announced that the pro tem chair of MERCOSUR
would go to Venezuela, as scheduled, without consulting Paraguay or Brazil. “I deeply regret this information has been
put out unilaterally by two fellow foreign ministers”, he said. More in
Spanish: (El Nacional, http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Paraguay-presidencia-Mercosur-Venezuela-consultar_0_875312757.html)
The following brief
is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such,
the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte
Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.