Venezuelan Daily Brief

Published in association with The DVA Group and The Selinger Group, the Venezuelan Daily Brief provides bi-weekly summaries of key news items affecting bulk commodities and the general business environment in Venezuela.

Showing posts with label ECLAC; PDVSA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ECLAC; PDVSA. Show all posts

Friday, June 20, 2014

June 20, 2014

International Trade

Incoming cargo at Puerto Cabello
  • 25,000 tons of soy from Argentina for Consorcio Oleaginoso Portuguesa
  • 21,000 tons of chemicals from Russia
  • More than 14,000 tons of soy oil from Argentina for Granja Avícola Chichi, Alimentos Balanceados Tinaquillo, Consorcio Oleaginoso Portuguesa and Alibal
  • Over 14,000 tons of wheat from Terra World Trade for Molinos Carabobo.
  • 1,721 tons of milk and cream from Argentina, for CASA
  • Over 1,000 tons of vehicle parts from China
  • Over 1,544 tons of whole milk powder and skim milk powder from Uruguay of General Alimentos Nisa
  • 818 tons of corn from Argentina
  • 683 tons of tires from Brasil and China for Corporación de Automotriz ZGT
  • 492 tons of newsprint paper from Brazil for Industria Endógena Venezolana de Papel (INVEPAL)
  • 285 tons of margarine from Brazil, for CASA
  • 281 tons of electric transformers from Colombia for Corporación Eléctrica Nacional (CORPOELEC)
  • Over 216 tons of mozzarella and edam cheese from Uruguay
  • Bags and sacks for the Venezuelan Cement Corporation
  • Telephone parts and plastic parts


Logistics & Transport

No cargo to transport
Heavy load carriers say the drop in private imports, along with scarce spare parts, is hitting their trade heavily. José Petit, of the Puerto Cabello Container Cargo Association (ASOTRACONTAINER) says private imports have dropped by 80% so far this year. More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/No-hay-cargas-que-transportar-2181020/2014/06/18/333878)

Local industry faces a 60 to 80% loss in net worth over the next weeks due to rising import expenses after the National Port Authority (BOLIPUERTOS) adjusted its fees to the SICAD 2 rate and the Tax Authority (SENIAT) started basing import taxes on the type of exchange rate used to purchase goods. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39840&idc=3)


Oil & Energy

PDVSA’s revenues from the sale of crude oil and by-products dropped 8% inter-annually in 2013 from U$D 124.4 billion in 2012 to U$D 113.9 billion, according to its annual report. On the other hand, debts were up 28% (U$D 21.4 billion), compared to last year’s financial report. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39842&idc=4)


Commodities

Chemical industry may come to a standstill
Andrés Pérez, President of the Carabobo State Industrial Chamber, says the next industries to come to a halt in that region are those that produce chemical products such as resins, pigments, paint and adhesives. Polyurethane producing industries could also suffer the consequences. Polyurethane is used for the production of shoe soles, hoses, rubber for automobile parts, and mattresses. More in Spanish: (El Carabobeño, http://www.el-carabobeno.com/economa/articulo/83868/empresas-qumicas-podran-ser-las-prximas-en-paralizarse)

POLAR Food Division could be the next to shut down
POLAR's food division is working with remaining inventories and if they do not receive supplies they could be the next to shut down, according to Jhonny Magdaleno, of POLAR's Metal-graphic plant union. He said production has continued because the government made a partial payment to Brazil, but supplies from Germany will not arrive because purveyors have not been paid. José Ruiz, Secretary General of the POLAR Packaging Union says material for packing and aluminum lids are all imported. More in Spanish: (El Carabobeño; http://www.el-carabobeno.com/economa/articulo/83921/alimentos-polar-podra-ser-la-prxima-en-paralizarse)


Economy & Finance

BARCLAY'S: "Venezuela is facing economic collapse"
A report by BARCLAYS Capital says "the nation is facing economic collapse" as the government has lost the notion of urgency for economic reforms. It says FOREX continues to be scarce, along with currency devaluation and inflation, and now estimates economic growth to be -2.9%. It indicates the government's response seems to be more public spending. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Ramírez claims Venezuela holds solid international reserves
Economic Affairs Vice President Rafael Ramírez claims the government has enough international reserves to meet debt obligations, imports and guarantee funds for social spending. "Contrary to media reports, Venezuela has maintained a perfectly manageable debt average, under 4% of income", he said in a press release, and added they would be soon reinforced by funds from the National Development Fund and the Chinese Fund. More in Spanish: (Agencia Venezolana de Noticias; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/venezuela-cuenta-s%C3%B3lido-volumen-reservas-internacionales)

Construction has dropped steadily over the last 17 quarters, says Construction Chamber head Jaime Gómez. He explains that 60,000-70,000 housing units have been usually built in one year, and “this year we won’t make it to 20,000.” As to expectations for the next year, Gómez says “the remainder of 2013 units will be finished because there are no new projects.” (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39839&idc=3)

Tourists must now prove legal purchase of bolivars
Foreign tourists who travel to Venezuela will be required to demonstrate that they obtained their local currency legally as the government seeks to clamp down on the black market. Hotels and travel agencies must require foreign tourists to provide a receipt that shows that any bolivars used are obtained on a legal exchange.  “The government is looking to force tourists to change currency at the official rate and capture dollars from tourism in the Sicad II market,” Asdrubal Oliveros, director of Caracas-based consultancy Ecoanalitica, said today by telephone. “The tourism sector generates very little revenue, and the measure will be difficult to enforce.” (Bloomberg, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-06-19/venezuela-requires-tourists-to-prove-legal-purchase-of-bolivars.html)


Politics

Maduro fires Planning Minister Giordani, more devaluation predicted
In a move Bank of America Corp. says is a prelude to further devaluation, beleaguered President Nicolas Maduro has replaced long-time economic Planning Minister Jorge Giordani with Ricardo Menendez, a geographer and urban planner who is a former Minister of Industry. Giordani, a hard line Communist, masterminded the rigid system of price and exchange controls in place since 2003. "Unfortunately, Giordani's Marxist policies destroyed Venezuela's economy, but the destruction was only revealed after oil prices stopped their meteoric rise in the years before Chavez died," said Russ Dallen, head of Venezuela investment bank Caracas Capital Markets. “Giordani’s exit confirms the radical wing in the government has lost influence over economic policy,” says Bank of America’s Francisco Rodriguez, who adds that this increases the chances of a faster devaluation of the bolivar. Former opposition Presidential candidate Henrique Capriles says "ministers can change, but the model continues to be non-viable"; and Dallen adds: "Although getting rid of some of the more extreme Marxists is positive, it is like reorganizing the chairs on the deck of the Titanic." Economists say his ouster was designed to shore up an embattled president and give more influence over economic matters to the country's powerful energy minister and VP for Economic Affairs, Rafael Ramirez, and the military. Maduro also named General Hebert Garcia Plaza as Food Minister replacing General Felix Osorio. General Luis Graterol replaced Garcia Plaza as Air and Sea Transport Minister. (Latin America Herald Tribune: http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=2340573&CategoryId=10717; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140618/menendez-replaces-giordani-as-head-of-planning; Wall Street Journal: http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304034804579632750483503992?tesla=y&tesla=y&mg=reno64-wsj&url=http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304034804579632750483503992.html)

Giordani's critical reaction to firing draws "traitor" charge by Maduro
In a highly publicized open letter, deposed Minister Jorge Giordani says Maduro "does not transmit leadership and there is a sense of a power vacuum in the President's office". He accused the President of out-of-control spending, saying Maduro is “giving out massive resources to everyone who is asking for them without a fiscal program based on socialist planning”. But he also admits public spending reached extreme heights during the 2012 campaign to reelect Hugo Chavez. Giordani claims private sector pressure "seems to be leading to reinstalling capitalist financial mechanisms", in an apparent reference changes in FOREX policies; and blasts the "independence of PDVSA from central control". Metropolitan Caracas Mayor Antonio Ledezma termed the letter "an atomic bomb". Former legislator María Corina Machado called it "the best example of the regime's moral degradation". Former National Assembly President Fernando Soto Rojas, an orthodox Marxist, said "debating ideas cannot be stopped", but regretted the government PSUV party did not know of the letter before it was published. But President Maduro spoke of "traitors" with "petty bourgeois egos" in an indirect reference to Giordani, while PSUV leader Jorge Rodríguez pleaded for unity in view of "hard times ahead".  (Bloomberg: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-06-18/venezuela-s-maduro-replaces-giordani-in-cabinet-reshuffle.html; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39841&idc=2; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140619/giordanis-removal-from-office-unveils-crisis-in-public-administration: and more in Spanish: Aporrea, http://www.aporrea.org/ideologia/a190011.html; Infolatam)

60% consider Maduro's performance to be negative
A recent poll by Alfredo Keller & Associates shows 60% of those interviewed consider President Maduro's performance negative, 67% say the nation's situation is also negative, and 68% believe the economy has worsened. 71% disagree with the Fair Cost and Price Law which establishes that any business may be expropriated whenever the government wants to. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

María Corina Machado is banned from leaving Venezuela after Judge Adriana López (the same judge who remanded Leopoldo López) issued a travel ban following a request from the Attorney General’s Office. Although nothing is a surprise within “revolutionary justice,” the travel ban is odd since Machado has not even been summoned to testify in the investigation into the violent events of February 12 which is the case assigned to López. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39852&idc=1; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140618/court-bans-deputy-maria-corina-machado-from-leaving-venezuela)

German national killed in shooting in Caracas
Two people were reported dead at the doors of EUROBUILDING hotel in Caracas. A German national was reported to have come out of an armored vehicle when the shooting between his bodyguards and a group of criminals started. The foreigner, identified as Cristophorns Wihem Deuts Keuter, ended dead. The other victim was an at large criminal who allegedly attempted to rob Keuter and ended up confronting several bodyguards who were at the parking lot. President Maduro referred to the killers as "hired assassins". (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140618/german-national-killed-in-shooting-in-caracas)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, June 13, 2014

June 13, 2014

International Trade

Incoming cargo at Puerto Cabello:
  • 33,000 tons of soy flour from Argentina, for CASA.
  • 33, 000 tons of white corn from Mexico, for CASA
  • 30,000 tons of paddy rice from Brazil, for CASA
  • 2,428 tons, 877 kg of chicken from Argentina and Uruguay for CASA
  • 1.023 tons of printing paper from Brasil for Industria Venezolana Endógena de Papel (INVEPAL)
  • 832 tons of cheese and milk powder from Uruguay for Distribuidora Greacla and General de Alimentos Nisa
  • 680 ton of bean seeds for CASA
  • 436 tons of machinery for cargo handling for Empresa Mixta Comercializadora
  • 234 tons of medicine from Farmacuba to Fundación Oro Negro
  • 118 tons of food preparations from Italia for Inversiones Nutralia
  • Shampoo and conditioner arrived for Procter&Gamble
  • Prefabricated construction, for PDVSA IndustrialPersonal care products, milk, cream, tires, refractory bricks, frozen chicken, lentils and tomato paste.

Customs charges will adjust to the new exchange rates
Tariffs applied to incoming goods will henceforth charge at the SICAD I or SICAD II rates, as applicable. The VEB 6.30/U$D1 rate will no longer be used. More in Spanish: (Notitarde; http://www.notitarde.com/La-Costa/Tasa-de-impuesto-aduanero-dependera-del-tipo-de-cambio-2176758/2014/06/12/332902)

Customs workers protested in Vargas state to demand the repeal of the presidential decree creating the Venezuelan Foreign Trade Corporation, CORPOVEX. Protestors marched to the maritime Customs House. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39737&idc=3)


Logistics & Transport

Aviation authorities give airlines five days to submit airfares, airlines insist on a signed repayment agreement
General Hebert García Plaza, Minister for Aquatic and Air Transportation has told airline representatives that the government will soon establish parameters for adjusting airfares to and from Venezuela. Once the resolution is published airlines will be required to submit their adjustments within 5 days. Major airlines operating here insist they will not reach an agreement unless the government must signs an agreement for repayment of its FOREX debt. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140612/aviation-authorities-give-airlines-five-days-to-submit-airfares; and more in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)


Oil & Energy

The OPEC will keep its current production decided at the end of 2011. Delegates of member nations have reached a consensus to maintain the 30 million barrels per day ceiling. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39739&idc=4)

Curacao's government and PDVSA will jointly seek investors for the Isla Refinery
Officials in Curacao say their government will join PDVSA in seeking investors for the island's ISLA Refinery, which is leased to PDVSA through 2019. The 96 year old refinery requires massive investment. More in Spanish: (En Oriente, http://enoriente.com/canales/yvn/29365-gobierno-de-curazao-y-pdvsa-firman-acuerdo-para-buscar-inversionistas)


Economy & Finance

Central Bank confirms 5.7% inflation in April, and 5.7% again in May

Barclays: "Venezuela is in the middle of an economic collapse"
Investment banks expected president Nicolás Maduro would implement an adjustment plan including FOREX rate unification, raising the price of gasoline, monetary discipline, and tax reform. However, Alejandro Grisanti, analyst at Barclay's Capital, says that the current events point in the opposite direction. "There has been no progress towards such measures. At the end of April, public expenditure jumped by 20% in real terms. In the monetary area, between late March and early April, the central bank provided VEB 75 billion (U$D 11.9 billion) to fund state-run oil company PDVSA. No FOREX rate unification can be put in place because nobody is expecting currency controls to end; therefore, the parallel FOREX market will continue to exist," explains Grisanti. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140611/venezuela-is-in-the-middle-of-economic-collapse; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140611/high-turnover-in-economic-cabinet-termed-negative)

Bank of America: Venezuela is undergoing a deep crisis
A recent report by Bank of America Merrill Lynch shows President Maduro's popularity down to 30% due to a deep recession and accelerated inflation. The report says Maduro has low political capital which limits his capacity to carry out economic reforms. It says accumulated economic distortions have made it impossible to stop industrial production from dropping, and says "it is not clear whether the economic team in charge of macroeconomic policy shares the same view and whether it is in sync with the team that handles microeconomic policy". More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)

Talks suspended with business representatives as huge debt remains unpaid. Eduardo Garmendia, head of the National Industry Council (CONINDUSTRIA) says companies have submitted all of the information required to solve problems within the productive sector, and says “the ball is in the government’s court.” (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39739&idc=4)

SICAD 2 fails to abate the unofficial FOREX market
The government set up the First Ancillary Foreign Currency Administration System (SICAD 1) in March 2013, in an attempt to put an end to the unofficial FOREX market, which determines prices for many goods and services, and propels inflation. Following a poor performance with SICD 1, authorities implemented the so-called SICAD 2 a year later, allowing corporations and individuals to buy foreign currency at the exchange rate of VEB 49 per US dollar, 43% below the unofficial forex rate, yet supply fails to cope with demand. Economic research firms such as BARCLAYS say that the government's determination not to allow the FOREX rate for SICAD 2 to float based on supply and demand has translated into yet another FOREX rationing system. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/140612/sicad-2-fails-to-vanquish-the-unofficial-forex-market)

Venezuelan debt up to U$D 122.3 billion by the end of Q12 2014, due to a more bonds issued on the local market. Domestic debt closed at U$D 56.8 billion in 2013, and rose to U$D 61.2 billion in March. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39728&idc=2)


Politics

Arrest warrant issued for Venezuelan opposition leaders
Venezuela's attorney general has issued arrest warrants against three prominent opposition leaders. They are Diego Arria, a former presidential candidate and United Nations ambassador; Pedro Burelli, former external director of the state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela; and Ricardo Koesling, a lawyer who has been a strong critic of the government. They are wanted for questioning in an alleged plot to assassinate President Nicolas Maduro. "Groups outside the law have violent political plans," said Attorney General Luisa Ortega. She said she would ask Interpol to issue international arrest warrants, as they may have left the country. The attorney general's office said the three were not officially charged with participating in the alleged assassination plan, but they had failed to testify in an investigation of the plot. Another opposition leader, former legislator Maria Corina Machado, has been accused of being the primary organizer of the alleged plot. She has been called in to testify on 16 June. Via Twitter, Mrs. Machado scoffed at the accusations, calling them "infamy." Ambassador Arria called plot charges a "fantastic contrivance" and says the regime is in its "terminal phase". He adds that the Venezuelan government has harassed him ever since he denounced the late President Arria in The Hague court. (BBC News, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-27806616?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AMorning%20Brief&utm_campaign=2014_MorningBrief%206.12.14; Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/world/2014/06/11/venezuela-calls-for-arrestsof-3-government-opponents-for-alleged-plot-against/; El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140611/attorney-general-arrest-warrants-for-arria-burelli-and-koesling; Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39738&idc=1; and more in Spanish: Infolatam).

Government repression increased 485% in February and March, compared to 2013, the highest figure in the last 25 years, according to PROVEA’s report “Venezuela 2014: Protests and Human Rights”. The NGO revealed 3,127 people have been detained for protesting so far, 2,463 of whom have been arraigned in courts and 119 have been remanded. It also showed there have been 157 documented cases of torture and cruel and inhuman treatment. (Veneconomy, http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=39729&idc=1)

Capriles calls for election of new electoral board
Venezuelan opposition leader Henrique Capriles Radonski has stressed the need for choosing the new authorities of the National Electoral Council (CNE) before engaging in any political agenda. Reference was made to the expiration of the tenure of the CNE directors. "Before talking about a constituent assembly, a vote should be held to replace the officials whose terms have expired," said the opposition leader during a meeting with workers from the state of Miranda, north Venezuela.  Capriles noted that choosing a new electoral board is vital to bring peace to the country. The Supreme Court has ruled that members of the CNE's Board whose term has expired can remain in office until the National Assembly chooses their replacements. (El Universal, http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140611/capriles-calls-for-election-of-new-electoral-board; and more in Spanish: http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/140611/tsj-deja-hasta-nuevo-aviso-a-los-tres-rectores-del-cne)

Student protests revive as World Cup begins
Student protests have again erupted, with barricades and demonstration attuned to World Cup celebrations. Protests have taken place in Valencia, where 16 were wounded; Puerto Ordaz, where 4 students were detained; Maracay, Mérida, Caracas and the island of Margarita. More in Spanish: (El Nacional; http://www.el-nacional.com/)


The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.


Tuesday, May 1, 2012

May 01st, 2012


Economics & Finance

Government priorities trump currency allocation
Even though the Ministry of Petroleum and Mining reports on a weekly basis that the Venezuelan oil basket is sold at prices in excess of USD 100 per barrel, the market is subject to changes in the allocation of currency by the official sector. Last April 20, the president of the Currency Administration Commission (Cadivi), Manuel Barroso, explained certain aspects about the new currency allocation priorities for eight academic areas.
He pointed out that, based on the Millennium Goals and the Socialist Plan for the Nation, the government set academic priorities benefiting from the exchange rate of Bs 4.3 per US dollar. He clarified that this move does not mean that anyone desiring to study other areas may not have access to currency as there are other options, like the Transaction System for Foreign Currency Denominated Securities (Sitme), which involves the purchase of bonds at an exchange rate of Bs 5.3 per US. The medicine sector was also notified of the "temporary" measure for priority allocation of currency for 121 active principles over any other of its kind, according to members of that sector. (El Universal, 04-28-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120428/government-priorities-trump-currency-allocation)

Fitch says opaque off-budget spending weighs on Venezuela's creditworthiness
According to a special report published today by Fitch Ratings, the growth in off-budget spending has decreased the transparency of Venezuela's public and external accounts and increased their discretionary character. Information on these funds' balances, quality of investments and cash flows is limited, thus increasing the challenges to assess the sovereign's actual financial strengths and vulnerabilities. In addition, 'the policy choice of transferring an increasing share of the oil windfall to opaque and highly discretionary mechanisms has resulted in a visible deterioration in Venezuela's external and fiscal credit metrics in spite of exceptional oil prices,' said Erich Arispe, Director in Fitch's Latin America Sovereigns Group. (Reuters, 04-30-2012; http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/30/idUSWNA614720120430)

PDVSA bond rally sends yield on 2015 note to record low
The yield on Petróleos de Venezuela SA bonds due in 2015 fell to the lowest since being issued in 2009 amid a rally in Venezuelan assets. The yield on the 5% bonds due in 2015 fell 53 basis points, or 0.53 percentage point, to 10.27% at 1:22 p.m. in Caracas, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The bond’s price rose 1.38 cents to 84.86 cents on the dollar. The bonds are attractive because there’s little risk additional supply will create a glut, Raymond Zucaro, who helps manage about U$D230 million of emerging-market corporate debt at SW Asset Management LLC, said in a phone interview. (Bloomberg, 04-27-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-27/pdvsa-2015-bond-rally-sends-yields-to-record-low-caracas-mover.html)

Government authorizes USD 1.63 billion agricultural bond issue
The National Superintendence of Securities authorized an agricultural bond issue by the National Development Fund (Fonden) amounting to VEB 7 billion (USD 1.63 billion, at the official exchange rate of VEB 4.30 per US dollar).
The financial regulation agency said that the debt instruments will be due in 2015, 2016 and 2017, whereas the coupon of the bonds will be about 70% of the interest rate set for agricultural transactions.
The bonds will be purchased by the Venezuelan banks. In turn, the banks will provide funds for the agricultural portfolio. (El Universal, 04-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120430/government-authorizes-usd-163-billion-agricultural-bond-issue)




Commodities

PDVSA and Chinese SINOHYDRO signed a framework cooperation agreement for the building of an industrial complex at the Carabobo area in the Orinoco Oil Belt, says the oil State company in a press release. The investments estimated for this oil and services complex have been estimated in U$D 4.5 billion. (Veneconomy, 04-30-2012; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=30303&idc=4)

Catalytic cracking unit at Amuay restarted, PDSVA Says
Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A., the state oil company, restarted the catalytic cracking unit at the Amuay refinery in Falcon state following maintenance work that began in February, the company said today in an e-mailed statement.
The company also restarted treatment plants connected to the unit, which processes 108,000 barrels of oil a day and 64,000 barrels a day of gasoline, according to the statement. A catalytic unit at Amuay refinery broke down after attempts to restart an air compressor following programmed maintenance, Caracas-based newspaper El Universal reported April 26, citing union leader Ivan Freites. (Bloomberg, 04-28-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-28/catalytic-cracking-unit-at-amuay-restared-pdsva-says.html)

Reduced Venezuelan aluminum production forces authorities to adjust exports
The decline in aluminum production in industries located in the Guayana region has forced authorities to "adjust" aluminum supply quotas sold to multinational companies. Aluminum smelter CVG ALCASA's failure to deliver the product is long-standing and it is due to the industry's operational decline. In the case of smelter VENALUM, exports were reduced because of production has plummeted in recent weeks, and high levels of iron have been found in aluminum cylinders.  (El Universal, 04-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120430/reduced-venezuelan-aluminum-production-forces-authorities-to-adjust-ex)

New power units operate inefficiently
Igor Gavidia, head of the National Center for Electric Power Delivery (CNDC), National Electricity Corporation (CORPOELEC), has admitted that several "important units" of the National Electricity System (SEN) have been hit by power failures. As a result, there have been several power outages. Meanwhile, energy experts have said that power generation in the northern region of the country does not meet demand, because the megawatts added to the system have not worked as expected. (El Universal, 04-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120430/new-power-units-operate-inefficiently; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120430/venezuelan-govt-confirms-failures-in-major-power-plants)

Sources report fall in fuel supply in Caracas
The supply of gasoline in the Greater Caracas has been affected by failures in the distribution of fuel by the National Transport Company (ENT), industry sources reported. Gasoline deliveries have met not even 60% of total demand in gas stations, which amount to 290 gas pumps in Caracas Metropolitan Area.
Sources said that under normal circumstances, there should be about 120 oil tank trucks loading fuel at the gas stations in Caracas. However, the number of trucks is far lower. (El Universal, 04-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120430/sources-report-fall-in-fuel-supply-in-caracas)





Logistics & Transport

Slow operations saturate ports
The slow processes, limited availability of machinery to mobilize cargo, limited yard capacity and the number of procedures involved in releasing loads have caused a saturation of containers in the yards of Puerto Cabello. Jorge Aroca, director of the Puerto Cabello Chamber of Commerce, explains there is an adversary criteria by some authorities in verifying cargo. More in Spanish: (Tal Cual, 04-30-2012; http://www.talcualdigital.com/index.html)




Politics

President Chavez enacted new Labor Law

Chávez weighs Venezuela's pullout of the IACHR
Venezuela's President Hugo Chávez disclosed the setup of a State Council to ascertain in the possibility of leaving the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR).
"I will request the establishment of a State Council to analyze this subject and I have asked Dr. José Vicente Rangel and Luis Brito García to join it," the Head of State commented in an obligatory simultaneous broadcast from Miraflores presidential palace. (El Universal, 04-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120430/chavez-weighs-venezuelas-pullout-of-the-iachr)

Chavez back in Cuba for more cancer treatment
President Hugo Chavez is on his sixth trip to Cuba this year to continue his treatment for cancer ahead of elections in October, fueling speculation his health is deteriorating. The National Assembly held an emergency session to vote on whether to grant him leave to absent himself from the country for more than five days. On previous occasions, Congress has voted unanimously in favor; this time the opposition demanded that the Vicepresident be named in the interim, and abstained as the majority voted permission. (Bloomberg, 04-30-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-30/chavez-seeks-permission-to-fly-to-cuba-for-more-cancer-treatment.html; AVN, 04-30-2012; http://www.avn.info.ve/contenido/parliament-discuss-chavez039s-permission-travel-cuba; El Universal, 05-01-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120501/president-chavez-leaves-for-havana)

Guyana: Venezuela's position on Guyana is "incongruous"
The submission presented by the Guyanese government to extend the Caribbean country's continental shelf by 150 nautical miles was discussed last week by the Guyanese Parliament. Guyanese Foreign Minister Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett referred to the objections that Venezuela has filed with Ban Ki-moon, the Secretary General of the United Nations, related to Guyana's submission to extend its continental shelf. "In September 2011, and indeed more recently, the government of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, declared its incongruous position on the action taken by Guyana," the top diplomat said. (El Universal, 04-30-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120430/guyana-venezuelas-position-on-guyana-is-incongruous)



The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.

Friday, March 16, 2012

March 16, 2012

Economics & Finance

Moody's ratifies Venezuela's debt ratings
Moody’s credit rating agency confirmed Venezuela's debt rating last Tuesday, but warned that if the government's financial position further deteriorates because of higher spending or a sudden decline in oil prices, downward pressure would be placed on ratings. Moody's said in a statement that it confirmed Venezuela's "B2" foreign currency government bond rating. The outlook for the rating is stable, Reuters reported. The credit rating agency also confirmed Venezuela's "B1" local currency government bond rating. Moody's said that the outlook of the rating is stable, the news agency added. (El Universal, 03-14-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/economia/120314/moodys-ratifies-venezuelas-debt-ratings; Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/13/idUSWNA238620120313)

‘Fair’ Costs and Prices Law is simply a sophistication of controls that are not new and have been in force here for the last nine years, says DATANÁLISIS CEO Luis Vicente León. He points out controls in Venezuela have historically only made problems worse and have fed inflation. (Veneconomy, 03-14-2012; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=29783&idc=3)

CADIVI and banks evaluate new procedures for imports
Currency Board (CADIVI) authorities and representatives of the public and private authorized exchange operators have been meeting to analyze new procedures that are coming in place for renewing or withdrawing applications for foreign exchange for import of goods. The procedures seek to simplify procedures and shorten response times, according to CADIVI information. More in Spanish: (AVN, 03-14-2012; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/103230)

Paralyzed plant provides MERCAL and PDVAL
1,200 workers at the DEMASECA plant, a key provider of cornmeal to PDVAL and MERCAL, have stopped activities in search of a new collective bargaining agreement after waiting 8 months to begin wage discussions after the Government expropriated the company – which processes and stores wheat flour, cornmeal, oil, pasta, rice and oats. Actual Government occupation has not taken place and plant owners do not want to sign a new contract because of the expropriation decree. The plant produces 18 tons per day of corn flour. More in Spanish: (El Nacional, 03-14-2012; http://www.el-nacional.com/)




Commodities

RUSORO expects Venezuela gold takeover as talks fail
RUSORO Mining Ltd., the last remaining publicly traded gold miner in Venezuela, expects its gold assets in the South American country to be taken over after a deadline to negotiate with the government lapsed, Chief Executive Officer Andre Agapov said. The stock slid 12%. RUSORO is preparing to seek international arbitration to obtain compensation for the assets as the Venezuelan government’s joint venture offers undervalue the company’s gold resources, Agapov said today in a phone interview from New York.“As of today, all the assets will be nationalized and they will take control of operations,” Agapov said. RUSORO would be the fifth mining company seeking compensation from Venezuela through the World Bank’s arbitration court following nationalizations. (Business Week, 03-15-2012; http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-03-15/rusoro-expects-venezuela-gold-takeover-as-talks-fail)




Politics

Rumors in Venezuela as Chavez returns
When President Hugo Chavez returns to Venezuela this week after an operation in Cuba to remove a cancerous lesion, he will find a country swirling with rumors. With less than seven months to go before presidential elections, few know the true state of the socialist leader’s health. It is unclear whether he will even be able to stand, let alone campaign effectively, as he faces several weeks of radiotherapy and perhaps other treatment following his return from Havana. The uncertainty has focused attention on who could replace the founder of the “Bolivarian revolution”, who has attempted to keep himself in the limelight with Twitter messages, telephone calls and cabinet meetings on state television, as well as releasing occasional photographs. (Financial Times, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/02632d92-6dd0-11e1-b9c7-00144feab49a.html#axzz1pBgiLwP8)

Venezuela rebuts Guyana's application at the UN
Venezuela has rejected an application submitted by Guyana to the United Nations Commission on the Limits of Continental Shelf, which seeks to extend its continental shelf. It has reminded the UN that the territory west of the Essequibo River is the subject of a territorial sovereignty dispute "inherited from colonialism" and subject to the Geneva Agreement of 1966 and, as such, to the Good Offices of the UN Secretary-General, "to which Venezuela is fully committed." (El Universal, 03-14-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120314/venezuela-rebuts-guyanas-application-at-the-un)

Government refuses access to the UN and the Inter American Human Rights Commission
Representatives from the UN and the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR) will find closed doors in Venezuela, unless the Government "deems it appropriate" to invite them in”. The Government made its position clear in a final report sent to the Human Rights Council United Nations in response to the Universal Periodic Review of Human Rights which the country underwent in October. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 03-15-2012; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120315/gobierno-rechaza-abrirle-las-puertas-a-la-onu-y-a-la-cidh)

PDVSA oil spill exposes fissures in Chavez’s Socialist Party
An oil spill at a facility operated by Venezuela’s state oil company has sparked the first public spat in the ruling party since President Hugo Chavez was diagnosed with cancer in June. While PDVSA President Rafael Ramirez told reporters Feb. 29 that 5,000 to 6,000 barrels of oil had been spilled and that the water supply was fit for drinking. Jose Gregorio Briceño, a government loyalist and governor of Monagas state, an oil producing region in the east of the country, said the government is trying to restart a water treatment plant that has been off line for more than a month when there are still traces of oil in the river that supplies the state capital Maturin. He also said that PSUV party officials, including the party’s vice president, Diosdado Cabello, are taking advantage of Chavez’s absence while he recovers from an operation in Cuba, to attack him. (Bloomberg, 03-13-2012; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-13/venezuelan-oil-spill-exposes-fissures-in-chavez-s-ruling-socialist-party.html)

Improved US-Venezuela relations need to be based on “specific progress”, according to US Deputy Chief of Mission James Derham, who spoke at an Inter American Dialogue event in Washington this week. He said the US is interested in improving its “very complicated” relations with Venezuela but that it has to go beyond rhetoric. More in Spanish: (El Universal; http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/120316/eeuu-aboga-por-avances-concretos-en-relacion-con-venezuela)

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

August 16th, 2011


Economics & Finance

Analysts: Pending price-control law could backfire, boosting inflation in Venezuela
Pending legislation aimed at curbing Venezuela’s soaring inflation could backfire by boosting consumer prices, spurring corruption, stemming investment and causing more severe shortages of basic goods, analysts warned on Saturday. Government officials and lawmakers loyal to President Hugo Chavez claim the Law for Fair Costs and Prices would help reduce Latin America’s highest rate of inflation by forcing businesses to set retail prices at rates established by government officials. Among the factors that officials would consider are production costs such as raw materials and labor. (The Washington Post, 08-13-2011; http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/analysts-pending-price-control-law-could-backfire-boosting-inflation-in-venezuela/2011/08/13/gIQA3BCaDJ_story.html)

Chávez promotes the SUCRE as a tool to shield the region from financial crisis
Though a phone call to a partisan event by his supporters, President Chávez said that the Unified Regional Compensation System (SUCRE) has potential as a tool to shield the region from the financial crisis caused by global economic meltdown in the U.S. and Europe. He added that launching a single currency would allow them to ignore the dictates of US currency. More in Spanish: (AVN, 08-15-2011; http://www.avn.info.ve/node/72483)

PDVSA relies on nine special funds for parallel expenditures
Live the Venezuelan Government, the state-run oil holding Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) also runs on a parallel budget through nine funds that support social welfare programs known as missions, as well as projects in agriculture, housing, infrastructure, industry and electric power. According to data supplied by the oil company, these special funds contributed over U$D 10 billion to social plans and production projects. (El Universal, 08-13-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/13/pdvsa-structures-parallel-expenditure-through-nine-special-funds.shtml)

National Assembly has authorized added expenditures jointly funded by China
The National Assembly has authorized an additional credit for projects jointly financed with China, which also draw upon the existing Long Range High Volume U$D 20 billion fund. It approved a special U$D 2 billion operation to be used for acquiring products for the “My Well Equipped Home” program, installing a household appliance factory, purchasing transport aircraft, expanding the port at Puerto Cabello and seven agricultural plans. More in Spanish: (El Universal; 08-16-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/16/autorizan-credito-a-planes-del-convenio-con-china.shtml)

Polling firm DATANÁLISIS says 62.7% perceive food supply negatively
According to a perception study conducted by DATANÁLISIS, 62.7% of Venezuelans have a negative view about the availability of foodstuffs in their usual shopping areas. 37% have a positive view 0.3% did not know or had no answer. During June, the reports shows consumers consider it more difficult to find products vegetable oils, corn and soy, milk powder, and wheat flour. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 08-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/15/627-de-la-poblacion-cree-que-el-nivel-de-abastecimiento-es-negativo.shtml)

CADIVI cut foreign exchange allocations to commerce in half
According to CADIVI, the agency responsible for distributing dollars at the official exchange rate of 4.30 bolivars allocations to the commercial sector have dropped off  50% as compared to the first semester 2010, falling from U$D 1,51 billion to 772 million. Foreign currency authorizations to import machinery and equipment fell by 44%. More in Spanish: (El Universal, 08-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/15/cadivi-recorta-a-la-mitad-la-asignacion-de-divisas-al-comercio.shtml)



Commodities

Venezuela Oil Falls to U$D 103.45
Venezuela's Ministry of Energy and Petroleum reports that the average price of Venezuelan crude sold by Petróleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA) during the week ending August 5 fell to U$D 103.45 from the previous week's U$D 107.84, but still raising the average for the year to U$D 99.43. (Latin American Herald Tribune, 08-15-2011; http://www.laht.com/article.asp?ArticleId=413558&CategoryId=10717)

Venezuelan oil production and exports decreased in June to 2.77 million bpd from 2.79 million bpd a month earlier, according to the Ministry of Energy. This is the second lowest monthly average so far this year. Of the total amount, Venezuela exported 2.41 million bpd, down from 2.48 million bpd in May due to fewer sales of byproducts. (Veneconomy, 08-11-2011; http://www.veneconomy.com/site/index.asp?ids=44&idt=27161&idc=4)

PETROPIAR increases daily oil output to 160,000 Barrels
Petróleos de Venezuela SA, the state oil company, says it has increased daily production of heavy crude oil at its Petropiar unit to 160,000 barrels. PETROPIAR, a joint venture with CHEVRON Corp., had daily production of 155,000 barrels during the second quarter and the unit expects to end the year producing 169,000 barrels a day. PDVSA, as the company is known, said it plans to increase daily output to 175,000 barrels in 2012. (Bloomberg, 08-14-2011; http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-14/pdvsa-s-petropiar-boosts-daily-heavy-crude-oil-output-to-160-000-barrels.html)

PDVSA shows mixed environmental record
Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA is reporting over 2,000 oil leaks in its 2010 management report, down from more than 8,100 the prior year. At the same time, Petróleos de Venezuela recorded 2,393 leaks of hydrocarbons and chemical products during 2010. From January to October 2009, the company recorded 8,124 such incidents. The company called the spills "undesirable events with an environmental impact" in its management report. The volume leaked was down from 182,000 barrels in 2009 to 121,000 barrels in 2010, a decline of more than 30%. (UPI, 08-12-2011; http://www.upi.com/Business_News/Energy-Resources/2011/08/12/PDVSA-shows-mixed-environmental-record/UPI-39691313142298/)

Blackout in northwestern Venezuela due to failure in power plant
After disruptions in the Isiro-Planta Centro power lines, a major blackout took place in the state of Falcón (northwestern Venezuela) after a power generation failure. The outage also hit the Paraguaná peninsula, despite the fact that this region is supplied by the Josefa Camejo power plant. The blackout, due to a failure in Planta Centro power plant, hit the 25 municipalities of the Venezuelan state. (El Universal, 08-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/15/blackout-in-northwestern-venezuela-due-to-failure-in-power-plant.shtml)



Logistics & Transport

Shipping freight costs to local ports
The shipping lines increased the cost of sea freight to Venezuela by 5%, according to a source close to the port activity, which reports carriers made the adjustment as a result of increased taxes and port charges that Bolivariana de Puertos (BOLIPUERTOS) began implementing in June. "It was to be expected with increased rates Bolipuertos," said the source consulted, adding that even before the adjustment freight shipping costs were more expensive than in other countries in the region. "Before the implementation of new port tariffs we had the most expensive costs in the region." More in Spanish: (El Universal, 08-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/15/navieras-elevaron-costos-de-fletes-hacia-puertos-locales.shtml)



Politics

Chavez returns from chemo recharged but cautious, seeks reelection with more votes than in 2004
President Hugo Chavez returned to Venezuela in the early hours of Sunday after undergoing a second round of chemotherapy in Cuba, sounding recharged and combative in a telephone conversation with state television. Chavez said he felt fewer side effects this time from the treatment and that his doctors will decide soon whether he needs a third session and also possibly radiation therapy. Seeking reelection, on Twitter he says; “Hey comrades, if we beat the opposition by 60% 7 years ago, in 2012 we must surpass this” (Reuters, 08-14-2011; http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/08/14/venezuela-chavez-idUSN1E77D05G20110814; More in Spanish: El Universal; 08-16-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/16/chavez-aspira-a-ser-reelecto-con-el-doble-de-votos-de-2004.shtml)

Reuters: Chavez seeks to contain voter angst over economy
Venezuela's economy is plagued by shortages, high inflation and crippling currency controls, but a massive spending spree by President Hugo Chavez will likely keep an incipient recovery alive, at least until a 2012 vote. Polls show support for the charismatic leftist leader has edged up since he announced in June he had cancer. But unless he can generate as much sympathy for his economic stewardship, his re-election bid could be at risk. In the short term, Chavez can paper over underlying problems with subsidies, price controls and ramped-up spending on his flagship health and housing programs for the poor. (Reuters, 08-15-2011; http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/08/15/uk-venezuela-economy-idUKTRE77E3BU20110815)

National Assembly will investigate opposition funding
The National Assembly will investigate alleged foreign financing of the opposition Democratic Unity Board (MUD). The move was proposed by the head of the pro-Government United Socialist Party, Cilia Flores; and supported by opposition Assembly members. The Executive Secretary of MUD, Ramón Guillermo Aveledo, says they can investigate the organization “as many times as they want” and that all their actions are public. He added: “They will not distract MUD from its true objective which is to continue building a solid unity and a proposal for all Venezuelans in 2012”. Chavez, upon returning from Cuba, requested the investigation “politically and legally”, and accused the opposition of “creating an atmosphere aimed at questioning” their possible defeat in 2012. More in Spanish: (El Universal; 08-16-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/16/an-aprobo-por-unanimidad-investigar-a-la-mesa-unitaria.shtml  and  El Universal, 08-16-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/16/mesa-investigacion-no-desviara-la-unidad-ni-propuesta-para-2012.shtml)

Over 500,000 people migrated from Venezuela in 2010
A total of 521,000 Venezuelans sold their belongings, rented their houses, left the country with their scarce properties or migrated without any money in 2010. At the same time, over one million people migrated to the South American country, according to a report called "Migration and Remittances Factbook 2011" by the World Bank. The number of people emigrating accounts for 1.8% in a nation of h 29,322,327 inhabitants, according to demographic by the National Statistics Institute (INE). (El Universal, 08-15-2011; http://www.eluniversal.com/2011/08/15/more-than-500000-people-emigrated-from-venezuela-in-2010.shtml)




The following brief is a synthesis of the news as reported by a variety of media sources. As such, the views and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Duarte Vivas & Asociados and The Selinger Group.